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Plays of the Day
Value: Yogi Ferrell has been the man for the Mavericks over his last 2 appearances and he’ll remain a fantastic value play if Deron Williams (toe) can’t suit up tonight. The lightning-quick PG out of Indiana has jump-started one of the league’s worst offenses and he should feel at home in a matchup against the young Sixers this evening.
Fade: Karl-Anthony Towns struggled at times in his last matchup and barely met value down the stretch of a close game. It’s hard to trust him tonight against a desperate Cavs team that is stingy against opposing centers and far more vulnerable in the backcourt.
Games to Target
- Brooklyn Nets (+2.5) hosting New York Knicks (Over/Under = 223)
- Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5) hosting Chicago Bulls (Over/Under = 207.5)
Kyle Lowry (TOR) @ BOS DK:$8,600/FD:$8,700
Obviously you can consider paying up for Russell Westbrook ($12,000/$12,600) as a truly elite option a home matchup against the Bulls, but Lowry is a much more affordable option with great upside in his own right. He just posted his first 30-point, 10-assist game of the season while hitting a game-winner to down the Pelicans last night and the ultra-competitive PG should be ready step up again tonight in a matchup with Isaiah Thomas and the Celtics. Thomas is lighting the league on fire and if Lowry can’t stop him, he should look to punish him on the defensive end and produce against a Boston team that allows the seventh-most FPPG (45.83) to opposing PGs over the last month. In any case, he’s looking at a heavy workload with DeMar DeRozan (ankle) ruled out and he’s been great recently with DDR inactive.
Brandon Jennings (NYK) @ BKN DK:$5,200/FD:$5,600
Jennings came through as a mid-tier play last night with 21 points, 5 rebounds, 5 steals and 2 assists against an improving Wizards team, so he’s certainly worth a look against the bottom-feeding Nets tonight. Brooklyn gives up the most FPPG (49.97), fourth-most PPG (24.71) and APG (9.2) to opposing PGs this season and coughs up the most PPG (114.6) overall while playing at the fastest pace in the NBA. Jennings is a street ball legend who loves to play in up-tempo games and he should only be growing more comfortable as a starter with Derrick Rose (ankle) looking iffy at best for the second half of their B2B set and he should definitely be able to post more than just 2 dimes tonight against a much worse defensive team.
Yogi Ferrell ($4000/$4900) might be an even better value option than Jennings, but only if Deron Williams (toe) remains out for Dallas. Isaiah Whitehead ($3500/$4000) has exceeded value in 3 straight games for the Nets and he’s a good option as a pivot off Ferrell if necessary.
Rajon Rondo ($4100/$5200) is a high-upside option at that price tag on DK as he’s somehow benefitting from all the strife within the Bulls locker room. If Emmanuel Mudiay (back) remains out, Jameer Nelson ($5600/$5100) will still be worth a look.
Norman Powell (TOR) @ BOS DK:$5,500/FD:$4,200
DeRozan’s absence is a blessing for those constructing DFS lineups on FanDuel, where Powell is a true value play and an easy choice to exceed value on that site. Powell started again with DDR out last night and produced a full line with 18 points and 34 DK points (32.3 FD points) in a win over New Orleans and he draws a plus matchup tonight against a Celtics team that he burned for 20 points and 5 steals over 36 minutes in a spot start for DeMarre Carroll back in December. Powell has actually attempted more FGs over his 12 starts this year than he has in 36 appearances off the bench and he’s clearly encouraged to assert himself on offense when DeRozan is inactive, as he sports a 23% Usage Rate and averages 0.46 points per minute with DDR off the floor this season.
Seth Curry (DAL) vs. PHI DK:$5,400/FD:$5,800
While Yogi Ferrell paced the Mavericks offense in a surprising win over the Cavs on Monday, Curry remained heavily involved while playing the most minutes (37:41) on the team. He posted a 20.3% Usage Rate, averaged 13.7 PPG and shot 50.3% from the floor during the month of January and will be worth a look as an excellent cash game play if Deron Williams misses another game for Dallas. When Williams and J.J. Barea are off the floor, Curry’s Usage Rate increases (24.5%) while he averages 0.45 points per minute and tonight he draws a good matchup against a 76ers team that gives up the tenth-most FPPG (38.89) to opposing SGs over the last month.
Wesley Matthews ($4700/$5600) remains a fantastic bargain on DK and he’s worth a look along with the other two Mavs guards we mentioned above.
Gary Harris ($4800/$5000) was great last night and he’ll be looking at a huge role against the Grizzlies tonight if Will Barton (ankle, back) and Emmanuel Mudiay remain out for Denver.
Jimmy Butler (CHI) @ OKC: DK:$8,800/FD:$9,500
While he’s nowhere near as consistent as Kawhi Leonard, Butler could come through in the same matchup that the Spurs MVP crushed last night. Jimmy Buckets bounced back from an embarrassing performance in the wake of Instagram-Gate with 28 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists in a loss to Philly on Sunday and he should be productive with the Bulls (+3.5) expected to get into a dogfight at OKC this evening. The Thunder now coughs up the fourth-most FPPG (44.22) and third-most PPG (23.93) to opposing SFs over the last month and the fact that Butler was completely invisible (0-6 from the floor over 29 minutes) while trying to play through an illness against OKC last month should serve to lower his ownership rate.
Carmelo Anthony (NYK) @ BKN: DK:$7,500/FD:$8,500
Melo gonna Melo at times, and last time that meant an efficient shooting performance but virtually no ball distribution as he produced 26 points with 5 rebounds and 0 assists in an overall disappointing line. Yet he should get another chance to carry the offensive load with Derrick Rose (ankle) doubtful and Kristaps Porzingis (illness) questionable to suit up after both players missed the front end of a B2B yesterday. Anthony sports an absurd 44.1% Usage Rate and averages 1.21 FPs per minute with Rose and The Unicorn off the floor this season and he’s facing a Nets team that gives up the most PPG (26.29) and FPPG (48.42) to opposing SFs over the last month.
Andre Iguodala ($4200/$4400) remains a great bet for production and he could become an even better option if Steph Curry misses another game for Golden State. If that’s the case, Kevin Durant ($10,000/$10,700) would become a virtual must play.
Wilson Chandler ($5500/$5700) came alive against the lowly Lakers defense last night and he could keep rolling with the Nuggets missing Nikola Jokic and potentially two other guards in Barton and Mudiay tonight.
Kenneth Faried (DEN) vs. MEM: DK:$5,700/FD:$6,900
Jusuf Nurkic can be considered left for dead by the fantasy community and Darrell Arthur is a highly inconsistent option to replace Nikola Jokic in the Nuggets lineup, but Faried remains an excellent mid-tier play with The Joker out. Even in a tough matchup against Memphis, the Manimal should be able to produce a third consecutive double double, as he went for 5 points and 11 boards over just 27 minutes in a previous meeting with the Grizzlies this season. With Jokic and Nurkic off the floor, Faried averages 0.40 rebounds and 1.07 FPs per minute this season and Nurkic may start, but he’s highly unlikely to play significant minutes considering his recent performances.
Channing Frye (CLE) vs. MIN: DK:$4,000/FD:$4,200
Even though he didn’t start and didn’t play over 20 minutes in a loss at Dallas, Frye certainly saw more usage and seemed to play harder with Kevin Love inactive. Love is not expected to return for tonight’s tilt against the Wolves and it’s possible that Frye will get a chance to start over Richard Jefferson since he matches up much better against Minnesota PF Gorgui Dieng. The sharpshooting PF is still a solid piece for the Cavs and he’s capable of knocking down good looks against a Wolves team that ranks 26th in opponents’ FG shooting (.469%) this season.
Dario Saric ($4400/$4400) is one of several 76ers forwards who will be worth a look with Joel Embiid (knee) set to miss tonight’s game.
Nerlens Noel ($6200/$6200) no longer comes at a discount but he’ll have to step in for Embiid and he could flirt with a double double against a Mavericks team that ranks dead last in rebounding this year.
Andre Drummond (DET) vs. NO: DK:$7,900/FD:$8,700
His huge lines in recent games were due in part to some fantastic matchups, but you also have to give Drummond plenty of credit for succeeding in those spots. He just dropped 28 points and 22 boards on the undersized Celtics and continues to improve on his production each time he takes the floor over the last week. Tonight he draws another great matchup at home against a Pelicans team that gives up the second-most RPG (15.91) and an above average 47.18 FPPG to opposing centers this season. Anthony Davis looked shaky while holding down the middle for New Orleans last night and his questionable health makes the Pelicans more vulnerable in the middle.
Guillermo Hernangomez (NYK) @ BKN: DK:$3,900/FD:$4,300
From a non-factor in 3 minutes to starting PF in one game, Hernangomez produced a double double to assert his merit as the Knicks best replacement for the suddenly injury-prone Kristaps Porzingis. If The Zinger is able to suit up on the second half of a B2B set, you’ll have to pivot off “Wily” but otherwise, you can consider him as a great punt play after he played 32 minutes last night. He obviously draw a fantastic matchup tonight against a Brooklyn team that is horrible against every position and gives up the most FPPG (51.49) to opposing centers this seasons and he’s far more reliable than per-minute monster Kyle O’Quinn.
Kyle O’Quinn ($3400/$4100) is far from a reliable option, but he will also be worth a look if Porzingis is out for the Knicks. Tristan Thompson ($4800/$5100) burned owners badly on Monday but he’ll be worth a look again with Kevin Love (back) ruled out tonight.
Jahlil Okafor ($4600/$4700) is a value play to consider with Embiid out. You have to like Steven Adams ($5400/$6000) in any format with the Thunder depending on their big man even more right now.