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Baltimore Orioles OF Adam Jones 2017 Fantasy Baseball Forecast

Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Adam Ronis provides his take on Baltimore Orioles OF Adam Jones during 2017 draft season...

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Fantasy baseball owners don't like boring players, especially veterans. Many want the next big thing that breaks out early in their career. With an influx of young, talented players in baseball the last few seasons, this has become more prevalent.

Unfortunately, you don't get extra points for sex appeal. It's about banking stats, and veteran players with consistent track records often get undervalued. Take Adam Jones as an example.

If you asked me several weeks before doing any drafts if I wanted Jones, I would likely say no, thinking he would go earlier than I preferred.

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After doing several drafts and looking at others, Jones is becoming a value. Jones is boring. There's no upside. We know what Jones will do. What's wrong with that? Stability and consistent performers in baseball are key cogs as well.

Jones is going in the eighth to tenth rounds of most drafts. You can get Jones as your third or fourth outfielder where you can start five. I'll take that. Of course, it comes down to roster construction. If you already took safe players in the first few rounds of drafts, you might want to take more chances with some players that can break out in the later rounds.

Still, we know what we are getting with Jones. Is he going to bat .300? No. Will he steal double-digit bases? Probably not. Those days look done at age 31, and the Orioles don't run much. Will Jones hit 35 home runs? Highly unlikely.

Jones has done a good job of staying on the field. He has played in at least 150 games in every season except one since 2011. Jones has hit at least 25 home runs in six straight seasons. He has at least 82 RBIs in six straight seasons. He has improved his strikeout rate in three straight seasons.

If you play in an on-base percentage league, Jones does get downgraded. He doesn't walk, and his on-base percentage has been .318 or less in four straight seasons. Jones had a career-high 40.6 percent fly ball rate last season, and he still has good power.

Jones was bothered by a rib injury last season and started slowly but finished with good numbers. He batted .265 with 86 runs, 29 home runs, and 83 RBIs.

There aren't many players that avoid injuries and Jones has done a good job of it during his career. That has value. Jones isn't going to be a pick that wins you a league, but shooting for a high ceiling on every pick will fail. If you mix in stable, consistent players at a good value like Jones, it can help your fantasy baseball team.

Just remember that you do not need to take a young, unproven player with all your middle round picks. Sometimes, taking an undervalued veteran with a consistent track record can make your team better.


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