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Plays of the Day
Value: With Lou Williams traded, Jordan Clarkson’s become a much more reliable option and he flashed some upside with a team-high 20 points while attempting 19 FGs in a loss to Boston on Friday. Tonight he’ll face a poor Pelicans defense that is giving up the second-most PPG (24.56) to opposing PGs and an above average 37.49 FPPG to opposing SGs on the year while allowing the tenth-most PPG (106.5) overall.
Fade: It’s tempting to keep rolling with Russell Westbrook given his monstrous line against the weak Suns defense on Friday, but now he faces a decent Dallas defense that’s limited him to relatively modest numbers this season and he may not pay off his incredibly lofty price tag.
- Los Angeles Lakers (+6) hosting New Orleans Pelicans (Over/Under = 215)
- Phoenix Suns (+6) hosting Boston Celtics (Over/Under = 225)
John Wall (WAS) vs. ORL DK:$10,000/FD:$10,400
The temptation is to pay all the way up for Westbrook in the midst of his historic 40-plus point streak, but Wall has a chance to be nearly as productive in a great matchup. He faces a Magic team that’s coughing up the fifth-most FPPG (45.28) and sixth-most PPG (23.92) to opposing PGs this year and has torched Orlando to the tune of 78 points and 18 assists over 2 meetings this season. Wall has been much better at home for years and he’s averaging 24.1 PPG in Washington while he comes into this contest hot riding per game averages of 21.2 PPG and 12.8 APG over his last 5 appearances.
Jordan Clarkson (LAL) vs. NO DK:$5,500/FD:$5,200
With Lou Williams traded, Clarkson’s become a much more reliable option and he flashed some upside with a team-high 20 points while attempting 19 FGs in a loss to Boston on Friday. Tonight he’ll face a poor Pelicans defense that is giving up the second-most PPG (24.56) to opposing PGs and an above average 37.49 FPPG to opposing SGs on the year while allowing the tenth-most PPG (106.5) overall. Clarkson’s averaging 16 PPG while logging 27.2 MPG over 2 meetings with New Orleans but his playing time has risen while he’s sporting a 29.6% Usage Rate over 4 appearances since Sweet Lou was shipped to Houston.
Yogi Ferrell ($4900/$5200) remains a solid cash game option as the Mavericks PG of the future and he draws a plus matchup against the Thunder tonight.
It’s a revenge game for Isaiah Thomas ($9100/$9300) in Phoenix tonight, while Tyler Ulis ($3900/$4400) is a punt play with upside as part of the Suns youth movement.
Seth Curry (DAL) vs. OKC DK:$6,400/FD:$6,300
He’s been remarkably consistent recently while producing 35-plus DK points in 5 consecutive appearances and averaging 23.6 PPG on scorching 56.8% FG shooting during that span. Now the younger Curry finally draws a plus matchup after doing that work against stingy defensive teams, as he faces a Thunder squad that is giving up an above average 21.6 PPG to opposing SGs this season and has become far more vulnerable at that position with Victor Oladipo (back) out over the past week. Curry leads the Mavericks with a 24.3% Usage Rate over those last 5 games and he could continue to see extended run if Wes Matthews (hip) is limited or inactive tonight.
Avery Bradley ($5200/$5700) is still on a minutes limit but he’s a decent bet to meet value on DK in a juicy matchup against the Suns, while Marcus Smart ($4900) is the superior value on FanDuel.
Evan Fournier ($5500/$5300) will have to be on his game if the Magic (+10.5) are going to compete at Washington tonight.
T.J. Warren (PHO) vs. BOS DK:$5,900/FD:$5,500
As long as he remains priced below $6K on both main DFS sites, Warren will be worth a look as a rock solid cash game play. The second-year man out of NC State is rolling right along with averages of 17.6 PPG and 6.8 RPG over his last 5 appearances and it’s no coincidence that his production spiked as soon as P.J. Tucker was traded at the deadline. Warren continued to produce in relatively tough matchups with 15 points and 7 boards against OKC on Friday and now he faces a Boston team that’s ranked 28th in total rebounding and gives up the sixth-most FPPG (42.83) to opposing SFs over the last month.
Terrence Ross (ORL) @ WAS DK:$5,500/FD:$4,500
Ross scared a lot of DFSers with a weak outing in a plus matchup against the Knicks last week, but he bounced back with a full line to produce 30 DK points (29.3 FD points) in a tougher matchup against Miami. The important thing to note is that he’s playing 35.1 MPG with his new team and remains a veritable bargain on FanDuel considering the fact that he’s averaging 13.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 2.1 steals per 36 minutes this year. The Wizards represent a tough matchup on paper, but were vulnerable against opposing SFs earlier this season and Ross managed to drop 15 points over just 17 minutes in a meeting with Washington when he was coming off the bench for Toronto.
If Rodney Hood (knee) remains out, Joe Ingles ($4400/$3800) would serve as a solid punt play in a great matchup at Sacramento.
Could see Bojan Bogdanovic ($4400/$3800) getting hot again as the Wizards host a Magic team that struggles to defend the 3PT line.
Anthony Davis (NO) @ LAL: DK:$10,100/FD:$11,200
Fading Westbrook would allow you pay up for either Boogie or The Brow and Davis seems like a slightly more appealing option against a Lakers team that coughs up the second-most FPPG (47.18) to opposing PFs this season. He’s averaging a ridiculous 37.5 PPG and 12 RPG over 2 meetings with the Lakers this season and has been even more productive since Cousins joined the Pelicans with averages of 33.6 PPG and 10.6 RPG over his last 5 appearances. While Big Cuz hogged 23 rebounds in an OT loss to San Antonio on Friday, preventing The Brow from a double double by one board, those rebounds should bounce his way more often while he’ll almost assuredly roast the Lakers weak front court for 25-plus points on the road.
Dirk Nowitzki (DAL) vs. OKC DK:$5,400/FD:$5,900
Call it a hunch, but I like Dirk to come alive in a home tilt against the Thunder tonight. Dallas (-1) is barely favored in a matchup against the flammable Russell Westbrook and Nowitzki is playing solid ball right now, while he’s due for one of the big time scoring efforts that he’s still capable of at this stage in his career. Sunday evening games are a little easier for a veteran to manage and he averaged 19.3 PPG on 55% FG shooting over 3 meetings with OKC last season. The Thunder’s been vulnerable against opposing PFs with a revolving door rotation at that position and they might struggle to contain the still dangerous Swish 41.
Marquess Chriss ($4300/$4400) is a decent bet for production against a Celtics team that struggles to defend down low.
Derrick Favors ($5500/$5500) is finally looking healthy at this point in the season and he could rip through a weak Kings front court.
Alan Williams (PHO) vs. BOS: DK:$5,400/FD:$6,000
It’s a relatively easy choice on DK and if you can’t afford Cousins at $10.3k on FanDuel, feel free to use Big Sauce as a mid-tier value option with plenty of upside. Williams has completely taken over as the Suns main center with Tyson Chandler resting during the tail end of his career and he draws a fantastic matchup against a Celtics team that coughs up the fifth-most RPG (17) along with an above average 48.45 FPPG to opposing centers over the last month. He’s averaging 14.8 PPG, 9.2 RPG and 2.4 STL/BLK per game while logging just 24.6 MPG over his last 5 appearances and has earned more run, as he just produced his third double double in 4 tries with 14 points and 13 boards in a tough matchup against the Thunder.
Marcin Gortat ($5300/$6000) seems like a solid pivot in cash games against a Magic squad that’s coughing up a league-worst 21 RPG to opposing centers over the last month.
Rudy Gobert ($7000/$7600) could log a big double double against a Kings team that’s struggled Sans-Boogie. Skal Labissiere ($3800/$3500 as PF on FD) could be more productive than Cauley-Stein in a tough matchup against the Jazz tonight.