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Scouting The NBA DFS - Tuesday, March 14

We break down tonight's 5-game NBA slate (weather pending) and look at the top DFS plays on DraftKings and FanDuel

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Plays of the Day

Value: Reggie Jackson formerly exited Stan Van Gundy’s doghouse by dropping 19 points and 8 dimes over 30 minutes of run on Saturday and he’s now averaging 18.6 PPG and 5.2 APG over his last 5 appearances. Ish Smith is still lurking as a potentially more efficient player off the bench, but both guards could see the floor if Kyle Korver (foot) remains out and the Cavs use two-PG lineups to compensate.

Fade: Stephen Curry and the Warriors draw a great matchup against a porous Sixers defense but it might be too good to be true considering the ramifications of a blowout. Either Splash Brother could have a big game over 3 quarters to put this one to bed, but it’s awfully risky to guess that Steph will go off at his price tag.

Game Lines

  1. New Orleans Pelicans (-4) hosting Portland Blazers (Over/Under = 216.5)
  2. Cleveland Cavs (-7.5) hosting Detroit Pistons (Over/Under = 215)

Point Guards

Two Studs

Damian Lillard (POR) @ NO DK:$8,800/FD:$8,800

There’s a potential danger for the Thunder-Nets game to be postponed due to weather tonight, which makes Russell Westbrook a question mark and Steph Curry’s Warriors (-17) should be able to roll the shorthanded Sixers at home. That leaves Dame Dolla as the top PG option in a fantastic matchup against the Pelicans weak backcourt defense. New Orleans gives up the fourth-most PPG (24.33) and FPPG (45.7) to opposing PGs this season while Lillard is averaging 27 PPG despite shooting an inefficient 17-for-43 (.395%) from the field over 2 meetings with the Pels. He’s gotten into a great groove with 27.4 PPG and 6.4 APG over his last 5 appearances and could get hot in what might be another shootout featuring the Pelicans.

Reggie Jackson (DET) @ CLE DK:$5,800/FD:$5,200

With a very solid performance (21 points, 5 assists, 8-of-16 FG shooting) to lead the Pistons to a win over the Cavs last week, Jackson seemed to regain his status as a starting PG in this league. The following game, R-Jax formerly exited Stan Van Gundy’s doghouse by dropping 19 points and 8 dimes over 30 minutes of run and he’s now averaging 18.6 PPG and 5.2 APG over his last 5 appearances. Ish Smith is still lurking as a potentially more efficient player off the bench, but both guards could see the floor if Kyle Korver (foot) remains out and the Cavs use two-PG lineups to compensate. Cleveland is coughing up the ninth-most FPPG (44.34) to opposing PGs this season and continues to play high-scoring affairs with Kevin Love on the shelf.

Potential Value

Deron Williams ($3900/$4200) should be able to meet value in a plus matchup against the Pistons and he’ll be much safer if Korver remains out. Ish Smith ($4200/$4600) is also a good cash game play for salary relief.


If the Thunder and Nets play tonight, Jeremy Lin ($5700/$5800) will be worth a look in GPP formats while Russell Westbrook will obviously be the best option on the board at a lofty price tag.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

C.J. McCollum (POR) @ NO DK:$7,500/FD:$7,300

Tonight’s 5-game slate could really turn into a 3-game slate if the New York games are PPD and the Warriors (-17) are probably going to win handily. The Cavs (-7.5) could play a competitive game with the Pistons, but Blazers-Pelicans is clearly the premier game to target with a 216-point Over/Under and Portland (+4) checking in as a sleight underdog. Neither team has the right personnel to stop the other teams’ strength, as New Orleans is woefully poor in terms of backcourt defense and has allowed CJM to average 24 PPG on 16-for-37 FG shooting (.432%) over 2 meetings this season. Lillard and McCollum could both go off while Boogie and The Brow might as well and the important thing with CJ is that the rest of the SG position is barren as per usual on a short slate.

Andre Iguodala (GSW) vs. PHI DK:$4,600/FD:$4,900 as SF

While he’s been quiet (on the court) over his last couple of games, Iggy has still played 29 and 32 minutes in those contests as he’s playing a much bigger role in the absence of Kevin Durant. The former all-star is averaging 0.75 FPs per minute with KD off the floor this year and remains a good bet to be at the center of any Warriors blowout at home. After his controversial comments to the media, Iguodala may be motivated to go out and perform on the court against his former team in the Sixers, which happens to give up the most PPG (115.82) and second-most overall FPPG (222.8) over the last month.

Potential Value

Sean Kilpatrick ($4900/$4200) will definitely be worth a look as a value if the Nets play tonight. Iman Shumpert ($3400/$3600) could serve as a decent punt if Korver remains out.


Ian Clark ($3700/$3600) is coming off the best game of his career with the Warriors resting several starters and he might see extra run during the second half of a blowout tonight.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

LeBron James (CLE) vs. DET DK:$11,000/FD:$11,200

The King came up short of value and failed to produce a triple double in his last appearance, but he’s still very much an elite play with the potential to reach that statistical achievement should tonight’s game remain close for four quarters. The Pistons defeated the Cavs last week in spite of LeBron’s 29 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists, so he’ll certainly have to carry a heavy load in an effort to earn a home win. With Kevin Love on the shelf, LeBron has been huge over the past couple of weeks and he’s averaging eye-popping numbers of 30.2 PPG, 12.4 RPG and 8.4 APG over his last 5 appearances.

Maurice Harkless (POR) @ NO DK:$4,800/FD:$4,500

His streak of solid performances came to an end when Harkless produced just two points in a loss at Phoenix over the weekend, but he’s still a reliable mid-tier option with Evan Turner (hand) out indefinitely. Using Harkless or another value play at SF might be necessary in order to stack the stars in the most appealing game of the slate tonight and Mo should join in on a potential shootout in New Orleans. He’s averaging 12.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.6 STL/BLK per 36 minutes this year and is playing close to that amount of time on a nightly basis with Turner out.

Potential Value

Caris LeVert ($3700/$4000 as SG on FD) would also be worth a look as a risk-reward value for the Nets if they play tonight. Matt Barnes ($3700/$4200) is a good bet to produce for the Warriors in an easy win over the Sixers.


I would consider Marcus Morris ($6000/$5900) as a good GPP play if Tobias Harris (knee) is forced to sit tonight.

Power Forwards

Two Studs

Anthony Davis (NO) vs. POR: DK:$10,500/FD:$11,600

While superstar teammate DeMarcus Cousins ($9500/$9000) is worth a look as a tournament play after his horrid game at Charlotte on Saturday, Big Cuz seems to be taking a bit of a backseat to The Brow, who is playing like an MVP again now that he’s healthy. Davis went for 46 points and 21 boards to carry the Pelicans while Cousins turned the ball over 6 times and looked generally defunct within his new offense in a plus matchup against the Hornets. Both big men are worth consideration tonight against a Blazers team that allows the fifth-most PPG (110.5) overall and the fourth-most FPPG (45.15) to opposing PFs on the season. Yet Cousins should draw the coverage of formidable center Jusuf Nurkic, while Davis gets to operate against Portland’s patchwork group of PFs tonight.

Draymond Green (GSW) vs. PHI: DK:$7,700/FD:$7,900

The Sixers have been unbelievably vulnerable down low with Joel Embiid done for the year and Jahlil Okafor serving as a swinging gate defensively, as they now give up the most FPPG (53.68) and most PPG (24.63), while giving up an absurd 59.63 FPPG to opposing centers over the last month. Green is a PF of course, but he spends plenty of time at the 5 for the fast-paced Warriors and should be able to bully Rookie of the Year candidate Dario Saric all night. Robert Covington (knee) is somewhere between questionable and doubtful, leaving very few players quick and strong enough to have any hope of guarding the versatile Draymond.

Potential Value

Richaun Holmes ($4900/$4500) should see a boost in usage and playing time if Robert Covington (knee) remains out for the Sixers. Jon Leuer ($4400/$4300) will be a solid option if Harris is out.


Channing Frye ($4000/$4300) could find room to shoot tonight and he’ll be needed if Korver remains out for the Cavs.



Jusuf Nurkic (POR) @ NO: DK:$7,000/FD:$6,600

Nurkic is the main reason I’d be wary of taking the cheese on DeMarcus Cousins at a diminished price tag, because he’s strong enough defensively to limit Boogie and debunk his huge splits against the Blazers as a member of the Kings this season. On the other end of the floor, Nurk draws a great matchup against a Pelicans team that coughs up the ninth-most FPPG (48.25) and most RPG (16.72) to opposing centers this season, as he’s two games removed from a monstrous 28-point, 20-rebound game and is rolling with averages of 15.1 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 4 APG and 3.5 STL/BLK per game over 10 appearances with his new team.

Potential Value

Zaza Pachulia ($3800/$4400) should be productive in limited playing time in a dream matchup against the Sixers.


Andre Drummond ($7600/$8000) could have another big game against a Cavs team that’s struggled to rebound defensively with Love out.

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