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Scouting The NBA DFS - Saturday, March 18

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Plays of the Day

Value: With the Denver Nuggets ravaged by injuries, I love Gary Harris in this one against the Houston Rockets faced pace attack. Will Barton had the big game on Thursday, but Harris is cheaper, played more minutes and has been more consistent as of late. He’s averaged over 31.4 Fantasy PPG (FD) over his past three games. Get him in your lineups for $6,000 (FD).

Fade: I’m fading Kawhi Leonard tonight. Granted he’s a monster and in my opinion a top three player in the NBA. Still, he has a brutal matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies in this one, who are always tough on defense and love to grind it out. The Grizz are allowing the fourth-fewest Fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

Games to Target

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Clippers
Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets

Point Guards

Two Studs

John Wall (WAS) @CHA FD: $10,400/DK: $9,300

Wall has developed into an elite level PG among the best in the league. Other than Russell Westbrook no PG is better right now (assuming you view James Harden as a SG). He’s pricey but delivers every single night. Wall posted 34.9 Fantasy Points (FD) on the thirteenth. If you want to find a lower score than that you have to look back to just after New Years. This is a stud in every sense on the word.

Chris Paul (LAC) vs CLE FD: $8,600/DK: $8,200

Paul is still a premier two-way player in this league. He doesn’t consistently put up monster points like some of these younger PGs, but what’s going on right now in the league statistically is unprecedented. He can still score, dish it and put up steals in bunches. The Cavs are the best team in the East, but struggle to defend point guards. Kyrie Irving will likely miss this one too, so he may be seeing a whole lot of Deron Williams and even Kay Felder.

Potential Value

Deron Williams ($4,000/$4,400)

It’s looking like Kyrie will be sitting this one out with a minor knee issue. There is a chance Irving plays, nonetheless, I fully expect the Cavs to play it as safe as possible in this one and for the remainder of the season. It’s all about winning a ring for them at this point. Look for D-Will to step in and play upwards of 25 minutes. You have to give him at least a look if he’s starting at that price.

Long Shot

Patty Mills ($4,500/$5,500)

Mills has been on a roll with Tony Parker sidelined. Over the past three games, he has averaged over 32 Fantasy PPG with Parker riding the bench. It looks like Parker may miss another one and even if he does play, he’ll likely be limited. Much like the Cavs, the San Antonio Spurs are looking big picture at this point and will play it safe if there is any concern.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

James Harden (HOU) @DEN FD: $11,800/DK $12,400

Picking the studs at SG wasn’t particularly difficult tonight. Harden is putting up ridiculous numbers and has himself firmly in the middle of the MVP conversation. When you are averaging 53.4 Fantasy PPG for the season it doesn’t matter who you’re playing; you’re a stud. Facing a miserable and beat up Nuggets defense, at least against SGs) is just the cherry on top.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) @GS FD: $10,600/DK $9,700

Being that the Golden State Warriors have opted against playing defense since Kevin Durant got injured, this choice is easier. I fully expect the Greek Freak to have his way against a struggling Warriors team. Not only will he put up his usually monster stat line, but there is also a good chance he leads his Bucks to victory in this one. Milwaukee plays tough against top teams.

Potential Value

JR Smith ($3,700/$4,200)

Smith could be in for a big night against the Clippers. There is a strong possibility both Kyle Korver and Kyrie Irving are out. Even just having Korver out will likely Smith’s minutes up over 30, but with Kyrie out more or the scoring and shooting will fall on his shoulders. Look for him to play a major role in the offense in this one and far outperform his price tag.

Long Shot

Denzel Valentine ($3,700/$4,200)

Dwyane Wade will be out for the remainder of the regular season, and Valentine could be the biggest beneficiary. Over his past two games, he’s played 28 minutes in each and is coming off a 25.9 Fantasy Point performance. The matchup is less than ideal, but the Utah Jazz will likely focus a lot more attention on Jimmy Butler potentially freeing up Valentine to put out a strong showing.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

LeBron James (CLE) @LAC FD: $11,100/DK: $11,000

Any conversation with King James in it starts and ends with him. He’s the greatest player in the world and has been for a long time. The matchup and situation don’t matter when it comes to starting James, the fact that Irving is not playing further propels his value. Look for either Bron or Harden to lead the league in Fantasy Points tonight.

Gordon Hayward (UTA) @CHI FD: $7,700/DK: $7,100

With Leonard and Jimmy Butler facing brutal matchups, I’d rather opt for Hayward in this one, and the lower price makes it a no-brainer. The Chicago Bulls are mediocre in every sense of the word. Look for the Jazz and Hayward to have their way with this floundering franchise. I would expect 33 Fantasy points to be his floor in this one and won’t be surprised if he tops 50.

Potential Value

Will Barton ($6,000/$6,900)

With the Denver Nuggets ravaged by injuries, I love Gary Harris in this one against the Houston Rockets faced pace attack. Will Barton had the big game on Thursday, but Harris is cheaper, played more minutes and has been more consistent as of late. He’s averaged over 31.4 Fantasy PPG (FD) over his past three games. Get him in your lineups for $6,900 (DK).

Long Shot

Matt Barnes ($4,200/$4,100)

Barnes was signed when KD went down, and the Warriors quickly realize they need Barnes to do some of the dirty work to take some of the load off Draymond Green. Barnes is playing over 20 minutes per game and is contributing heavily on the boards and defense. He’s a guy that can surprise you with a big game at a low price.

Power Forwards

Two Studs
Nikola Jokic (DEN) vs HOU FD: $10,700/DK $10,700

Apparently, the Nuggets entered this season with a surplus of talented big men that we didn’t see coming. Jokic is putting up monster numbers every time he steps out on the court. How could he not be considered a stud at this point? A 40 point Fantasy game is a disappointment now for Jokic. I didn’t see that coming in October.

Draymond Green (GS) vs MIL FD: $8,200/ DK $8,000

With KD out, so much falls on Green’s shoulders. Based on their record since the injury, he can only carry so much of that load. Nevertheless, he’s been putting up some big numbers, and his assists totals have spiked since the Durant injury. Look for Green to put up decent point totals, rebound with the best of them, dish the ball well and of course, contribute with defensive numbers.

Potential Value

Kevin Love ($7,800/$7,600)

Love just returned from injury on Thursday and faced a minutes restriction. With that said, he’s still a big-time player at a discounted price. He can also put up points in bunches as he’s displayed this season already. With his price down and Irving and Korver, both likely out, Love has a ton of upside in this one.

Long Shot

Jason Smith ($3,500/$3,000)

Markieff Morris is dealing with an illness and could very well sit out this one. If he does Smith would get the start and we’ve seen him post strong numbers in the past when given the opportunity. However, if you opt to play Smith, be sure to check the injury reports and make sure Morris is sidelined. The game starts at 7 PM so it shouldn’t be an issue for FanDuel players.

Centers

Two Studs

Rudy Gobert (UTA) @ CHI FD: $7,900/DK: $7,200

Gobert is big, athletic and will likely have his way with the Bulls. Robin Lopez can’t hang with Gobert and losing Taj Gibson didn’t help their front line in Chicago. Coming off a 50.3 point (FD) Fantasy performance, I expect much of the same from Gobert in this one.

DeAndre Jordan (LAC) vs CLE FD: $7,400/DK: $6,500

The Cavs just don’t have anyone to matchup with Jordan. He’s just too big underneath. Cleveland has been particularly vulnerable against big men as of late allowing the seventh-most Fantasy points to opposing centers over the past ten games. Tristan Thompson will battle him, but Jordan should have a big game for the Clippers in this one.

Potential Value

Mason Plumlee ($6,000/$6,000)

With all the injuries in Denver Plumlee is expected to see an uptick in usage. He’s been producing big numbers for six games now and is averaging over 35 Fantasy PPG this week in three outings. I love Plumlee in this one and will be starting him in my lineups.

Long Shot

Tristan Thompson ($5,100/$4,400)

Thompson is coming off a tough game and has a tall task in front of him. However, Thompson usually bounces back well from bad games and steps up when challenged. If you are trying to save some money or take a contrarian pick at center, Thompson may be your man in this one. Going with my gut on this pick.


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