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Fantasy Basketball: Scouting The NBA DFS - Sunday, April 9

Dive deeper into your NBA DFS research with expert advice from Mark Morales-Smith for this big-time slate.

Plays of the Day

Value: The top value pick today is Yogi Ferrell. The undrafted rookie is currently the Mavericks starting PG and has averaged about 26 Fantasy points in the past two games while playing 28 minutes per game. Tonight he faces an ideal matchup as the Suns have allowed the second-most Fantasy points to opposing PGs and only .1 point separates them from that last place spot.

Fade: Andre Drummond is my fade for this slate. No team is stingier against opposing centers than the Memphis Grizzlies and Drummond may be running into a buzz saw. It’s hard to justify his current price tag with him going head to head with Marc Gasol and the Grizz.

Games to Target

  • Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings
  • Oklahoma City Thunder @ Denver Nuggets

Point Guards

Two Studs

Russell Westbrook (OKC) @ DEN FD: $13,500/DK: $13,900

Westbrook is putting up a statistical season like many of us have never witnessed before. Not only has he matched Oscar Robertson’s incredible feat of averaging a triple-double for an entire season, but he will also likely break his record for most triple-doubles in a season. Sure his stats are padded a bit, and his team is mediocre. Nevertheless, this is Fantasy, and all we care about here are those numbers. Those numbers make him a stud every time he steps on the court. The fact that the Nuggets are the worst team against opposing PGs makes him all the more attractive on tonight’s slate.

Mike Conley (MEM) vs DET FD: $8,100/DK: $7,500

Injuries aside, Conley has exceeded expectations this season, even when realistically considering his massive contract. He’s been consistently putting up big numbers as of late topping 40 Fantasy points in four of his last five games with a high of 55.6. Detroit is bottom 10 in the league when it comes to slowing down Fantasy PGs, so Conley is a high-level player with a strong matchup making him a sure-fire stud tonight.

Potential Value

Yogi Ferrell (DAL) @ PHO FD: $4,700/DK: $4,800

The undrafted rookie is currently the Mavericks starting PG and has averaged about 26 Fantasy points in the past two games while playing 28 minutes per game. Tonight he faces an ideal matchup as the Suns have allowed the second-most Fantasy points to opposing PGs and only .1 point separates them from that last place spot.

Long Shot

J.J. Barea (DAL) @ PHO FD: $4,100/DK: $4,700

This is pretty much the same concept of Ferrell but just going a bit deeper to the backup PG. However, he has proven a Fantasy asset at times this season. The issue is his inconsistent playing time. With that said he makes the most of his minutes consistently. With this matchup, he could be a nice long-shot option.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

James Harden (HOU) @ SAC FD: $12,100/DK: $12,400

If not for Westbrook this year, Harden would be statistically blown the Fantasy world away. Still, his 53.9 FPPG is nothing to scoff at. He’s a statistical monster with seemingly unlimited Fantasy upside. He is sure to light it up again tonight against the lackluster Sacramento Kings.

Devin Booker (PHO) vs DAL FD: $8,100/DK: $8,000

Everyone had been waiting for Booker to begin to reach his full Fantasy potential and it looks like he’s hit his stride down the stretch of 2017. In his past eight games, his worst performance still saw him putting up more than 33 Fantasy points. During that stretch he’s topped 40 Fantasy points five times, 50 twice and of course peaked at a historic 91.6 on a 70 point night.

Potential Value

Lou Williams (HOU) @ SAC FD: $4,500/DK: $5,400

Williams has a tough time being consistently great because he comes off the bench. However, we all know he can get buckets in a hurry. When he’s hot, he’s lethal. With the playoffs right around the corner and the Kings on the schedule, don’t be shocked if this one isn’t close and the team tries to get Harden some extra rest. This would likely benefit Williams who should have a high floor and big upside in this one.

Long Shot

David Nwaba (LAL) vs MIN FD: $3,900/DK: $4,000

The Lakers have shut down most of their veterans allowing them to tank and get a good look at the young players they’ll be building around for the future. Nwaba is a major beneficiary of the team shutting down Nick Young. In his last seven games, we’ve seen top 20 Fantasy points every other game with a high of 30.7 Fantasy points. He may be worth a Hail Mary.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

Andrew Wiggins (MIN) @ LAL FD: $7,700/DK: $7,200

Most of the big boys at SF aren’t playing on this slate leaving Wiggins as the top guy at his position. He’s a high floor player who can give you a 50 Fantasy point night. It helps that he plays the Lakers tonight which allow the fourth-most Fantasy points to opposing SFs.

Danilo Gallinari (DEN) vs OKC FD: $6,700/DK: $6,400

Gallinari is a significant step down from Wiggins. However, he’s been playing well as of late. In his last four games, he’s tallied more than 30 Fantasy points three times while topping 38 Fantasy points twice. He finally seems to be looking like the standout player in Denver Fantasy players expected him to be this season.

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Potential Value

Vince Carter (MEM) @ DET FD: $3,700/DK: $3,900

All these years later and Vinsanity is still getting it done. He’s still playing big minutes and is coming off a 27.3 Fantasy performance. In his past five games, he’s topped 20 Fantasy points three times and eclipsed 31 once during that stretch. Overlooking his value at just $3,700 is hard.

Long Shot

Doug McDermott (OKC) @ DEN FD: $3,500/DK: $3,300

It looks like Andre Robertson may miss another game tonight. McDermott will draw the start again assuming this is the case. On Friday he started and played 40 minutes. Although he only put up 17 Fantasy points, the minutes has to be viewed as an upside play. He can shoot and that gives him upside. The issue may be that Westbrook’s usage rate is so high there aren’t a whole lot of Fantasy points to go around in OKC.

Power Forwards

Two Studs

Nikola Jokic (DEN) vs OKC FD: $10,100/DK: $9,500

Jokic has come out of nowhere this season to become a Fantasy superstar. A bad night for him now is 35 Fantasy points. He’s eclipsing the 40 and 50 Fantasy point mark with regularity and is probably the most valuable asset at PF this season. No one is close to him at power forward on this slate.

Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC) vs HOU FD: $6,300/DK: $6,500

Cauley-Stein has been able to flourish now that Boogie was shipped out of town. Granted he’s not anywhere near the level of a DeMarcus Cousins, but his numbers have seen a huge boost since the trade. There is no chance before the All-Star break that he would have ever been considered as a Fantasy stud on any slate.

Potential Value

Ryan Anderson (HOU) @ SAC FD: $4,200/DK: $4,200

Anderson’s price is low due to an ankle sprain and his low minutes played in his first game back on Friday. However, you can flip that. Despite playing just 13 minutes, he looked good and still put up 14.6 Fantasy points. At such a low cost, if he goes off he can make a huge difference in your lineup. His opponent is also allowing the sixth-most Fantasy points to power forwards.

Long Shot

JaMychal Green (MEM) vs DET FD: $3,600/DK: $4,000

We have seen Green play very well in the past, although, this has got to be considered a disappointing season. Still, Zach Randolph is sitting this one out, and Green should push 30 minutes if not bypass it. Twice in March, we saw him post more than 34 Fantasy points in 26 minutes. That’s about his upside, and I expect him to play 26-to-32 minutes.

Centers

Two Studs

Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) @ LAL FD: $10,200/DK: $10,700

Not only is KAT by far the most productive Fantasy player on this slate, but he also as a superior matchup than the other top centers. The Lakers are allowing the second-most Fantasy points to opposing centers. Look for Towns to have a massive game.

Marc Gasol (MEM) vs DET FD: $7,700/DK: $7,400

I’m hesitantly putting Gasol as one of my studs as he is the second best option despite his price tag and a tough matchup. However, I probably wouldn’t be paying for him here. I’d rather splurge on Towns or save money on my value pick. Nonetheless, Gasol is a more than capable option with a high floor.

Potential Value

Nerlens Noel (DAL) @ PHO FD: $5,700/DK: $4,700

Noel was a borderline stud for me tonight against the Suns who struggle with centers. I just couldn’t put him above Gasol in good conscience. With that said, I love his upside in this one and believe he could far outperform his price tag and average FPPG.

Long Shot

Georgios Papagiannis (SAC) vs HOU FD: $3,500/DK: $3,900

The Kings have shut down Kosta Koufos in favor of getting a long look at Papagiannis down the stretch. He’s currently playing about 25-to-30 minutes per game and looks pretty good. Friday night he put up 24.5 Fantasy points on a 25-minute double-double. Tonight he plays the Rockets who are allowing the third-most Fantasy points to opposing centers.


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