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Scouting The MLB DFS - Friday, April 14

Cash in on tonight's full slate of MLB action with our top DFS plays on DraftKings and FanDuel

Plays of the Day

Value: We were hoping Travis d’Arnaud would wake up over his last few games and so were the Mets, as he came through with a game-winning homer as one of 4 hits to produce 40 DK points (53.6 FD points) last night. That makes him 7-for-13 over his last 3 starts and he’s definitely worth a look tonight against inconsistent LHP Adam Conley.

Fade: Clayton Kershaw is extremely expensive now that he’s no longer pitching at Coors Field, but he still draws a tough matchup against a D’Backs lineup that mashes lefties. He’s no ordinary lefty, but still a bit tough to trust and mortgage the rest of your lineup.

Team Target Stacks

Reds: Joey Votto, Adam Duvall, Eugenio Suarez

Twins: Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, Max Kepler

Indians: Francisco Lindor, Edwin Encarnacion, Brandon Guyer

Mets: Yoenis Cespedes, Asdrubabl Cabrera, Travs d’Arnaud

Mariners: Nelson Cruz, Mitch Haniger, Robinson Cano

Weather Report

Chance of rain delays in Minnesota tonight.


Pitchers

Two Studs

Noah Syndergaard: (NYM) @ MIA DK: $11,400/FD: $11,200

All things being equal, Syndergaard has as much upside as any SP in the league right now, yet he’s far cheaper than Clayton Kershaw in a tough matchup, while he faces a strikeout-prone Marlins lineup. Current Marlins are 17-for-61 (.279) in their careers against Thor, but are sporting a 37% K-Rate during those at-bats. Syndergarrd just struck out 9 Marlins while eliciting 12 ground ball outs and allowing 2 runs (1 earned) over 7 dominant innings against this team and he’s clearly on a mission after getting snubbed for N.L. CY Young consideration last year.

Johnny Cueto: (SF) vs. COL DK: $11,600/FD: $9,000

This is almost purely a recommendation on FanDuel, where Cueto is somehow the eight-most expensive SP on a full slate in which he’s the SP2 on DraftKings. Say what you will about his strikeout upside next to Thor or Clayton Kershaw, but the RHP knows how to deal and he’s facing a Rockies team that’s struggled to produce runs whether they’re at their home ballpark or on the road so far this season. Cueto’s been very solid whenever he draws a plus matchup at AT&T Park, where he posted a 2.46 FIP and 5.29 K/BB ratio last year and he has a good shot to earn some run support with inexperienced LHP Tyler Anderson coming to town.

Potential Value

Julio Teheran: (ATL) vs. SD DK: $8,500 / FD: $8,500

Even in a relatively tough matchup at Pittsburgh, Teheran hung his own while pitching around some bad defense to allow 2 unearned runs over 7 strong innings. Now he returns home to face a Padres lineup that is annually one of the worst in the MLB and he’s posted a 3.02 ERA with a .223 BAA and an 8.54 K/9 ratio in his career at Atlanta’s Turner Field. He’s yet to allow an earned this season and is molding into a true ace for the Braves.

Longshot

Dallas Keuchel: (HOU) @ OAK DK: $9,600/FD: $8,900

Keuchel has been lights out over his first 2 appearances in similar fashion to how he performed while contending for a CY Young back in 2015. He’s excelled in a couple of matchups at home, where he’s dominated for a couple of seasons, but it’s hardly concerning to see him travel to massive Oakland Coliseum and face an A’s lineup that posted the lowest collective wOBA (.302) amongst A.L. teams last year. Oakland hit just .244 against lefties last season and current A’s are just 25-for-109 (.229) in their carrers against Keuchel.

Batters

Catchers

Travis d’Arnaud: (NYM) @ MIA DK: $3,000 / FD: $2,800

We were hoping d’Arnaud would wake up over his last few games and so were the Mets, as he came through with a game-winning homer as one of 4 hits to produce 40 DK points (53.6 FD points) last night. That makes him 7-for-13 over his last 3 starts and he’s definitely worth a look tonight against inconsistent LHP Adam Conley, who has already coughed up a pair of homers this year after posting a 4.84 xFIP last season. Conley struggles with walks as well as the long ball, giving d’Arnaud a decent floor-ceiling combination.

Potential Value

Nick Hundley: (SF) vs. COL DK: $3,000 / FD: $2,700

He should fill in with Buster Posey on the concussion DL.

Longshot

Roberto Perez: (CLE) vs. DET DK: $2,700 / FD: $2,000

Perhaps he draws a start against LHP Daniel Norris. If not, consider Yan Gomes ($3200/$2100) as part of an Indians stack.

First Basemen

Joey Votto: (CIN) vs. MIL DK: $4,900 / FD: $3,800

Votto might be overlooked to an extent in a LvL matchup against Brewers southpaw Tommy Milone, but he hit .314 with a .371 wOBA against lefties last year and is certainly capable of succeeding in this plus matchup. Milone has been a prime stacking target with a 9.00 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over 2 starts this season and there’s little reason to expect that to change, since regressing to the mean would simply mean coming closer to the 5.71 ERA and 21.4% HR/FB ratio he posted last year. Votto could do damage against Milone or the Brewers bullpen, but chances are he’ll be productive at home.

Potential Value

Matt Adams: (STL) @ NYY DK: $3,100 / FD: $2,300

Adams will be worth a look at Yankee Stadium if he starts against struggling RHP Masahiro Tanaka.

Longshot

Edwin Encarnacion: (CLE) vs. DET DK: $4,600 / FD: $3,400

He has immense upside against vulnerable LHP Daniel Norris.

Second Basemen

Brian Dozier: (MIN) vs. CWS DK: $4,700 / FD: $3,700

Dozier continues to flash tremendous upside with a homer two games ago and a stolen base yesterday as he’s become one of the true dual threats in the game. He could serve as the heart of a Twins stack tonight against rookie RHP Dylan Covey, who has never pitched above the AA level and allowed 11 ER over 12.2 IP in his first matchups with MLB hitters during spring training. Dozier and the hot-hitting Twins lineup should be all over him at home tonight.

Potential Value

Rougned Odor: (TEX) @ SEA DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,600

He’s at least cheap on FanDuel and worth a look against aging veteran RHP Felix Hernandez.

Longshot

Matt Carpenter: (STL) @ NYY DK: $4,200 as 1B / FD: $3,000

Another lefty with plenty of upside against Tanaka at Yankee Stadium.

Third Basemen

Nolan Arenado: (COL) @ SF DK: $4,000 / FD: $3,800

Even if he goes 0-for-2 in his first couple of at-bats against Cueto, I’ll take a few ABs from Arenado at just $4K on DraftKings. It’s fitting that he’s dirt cheap on that site, where you probably won’t use Cueto anyways because of his lofty price tag and are less likely to have cross-exposure with that SP/hitter combo. Arenado is doing his thing with a .308 batting average and .990 OPS, as he’s walked 5 times and struck out only 7 times so far this year and he’s a decent 5-for-20 with a double, HR and two walks in his career against Cueto.

Potential Value

Eduardo Nunez: (SF) vs. COL DK: $3,600 / FD: $3,000

Nunez was quiet last night but generally more productive against the platoon and worth a look against LHP Tyler Anderson.

Longshot

Eugenio Suarez: (CIN) vs. MIL DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,300

Could serve as a great addition to a Reds stack against LHP Tommy Milone.

Shortstops

Corey Seager: (LAD) vs. ARI DK: $4,200 / FD: $2,900

At a downright cheap price tag on FanDuel, it’s easy to take a chance on Seager against D’Backs RHP Zack Greinke despite the fact that the former ace posted good numbers in his last start. Greinke is still vulnerable with a declining fastball and he posted a 1.41 HR/9 Ratio with a 4.11 FIP against LHB last season. Seager happens to be 5-for-8 with 2 HRs and 2 walks in his career against Greinke and he’s starting to heat up with a HR or XBH in 3 straight appearances.

Potential Value

Zack Cozart: (CIN) vs. MIL DK: $3,600 / FD:$3,000

Another RHB worth consideration against LHP Tommy Milone.

Longshot

Francisco Lindor: (CLE) vs. DET DK: $4,700 / FD: $4,100

Clearly could be worth paying up for as the heart of an Indians stack.

Outfielders

Yoenis Cespedes: (NYM) @ MIA DK: $4,600 / FD: $4,200

Cespedes is certainly on one right now with 5 HR over his last 3 appearances and he draws a plus matchup against LHP Adam Conley tonight. While the Marlins are certain to be wary with the Mets most dangerous hitter, it only takes a single mistake for the red-hot Cepedes to go yard again. He’s 5-for-12 with 3 HR off lefties so far this year after hitting .341 with a .441 wOBA against the platoon last season.

Hunter Pence: (SF) vs. COL DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,300

Pence is off to a great start this year and we can expect that to continue for as long as his tenuous health does. He’s facing a vulnerable LHP tonight in Tyler Anderson and has posted a .363 wOBA with a .218 ISO mark in his career against the platoon. Pence is 4-for-14 with a HR and a double against lefties this year and faces a southpaw who allowed righties to post a .363 wOBA with a 14.3% HR/FB ratio on the road last season.

Potential Values

Lorenzo Cain: (KC) vs. LAA DK: $4,100 / FD: $3,600
Max Kepler: (MIN) vs. CWS DK: $3,900 / FD: $2,800
Nomar Mazara: (TEX) @ SEA DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,400

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