Plays of the Day
Value: With Blake Griffin out, Marreese Speights is going to see more run for the Clippers. Anyone who has been playing DFS basketball for a few years knows Speights is capable of being an extremely valuable asset on any given night. With extended opportunity, I love his potential value on a slate without standout PFs.
Fade: There weren’t a lot of standout options to fade here. However, I have to pick one, so I’m going with Dwyane Wade. There are about five or six SGs that are cheaper that have the same upside. I also didn’t like how that Bulls offense looked in Game 3 without Rajon Rondo.
Games to Target
- Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
- Boston Celtics @ Chicago Bulls
Russell Westbrook (OKC) vs HOU FD: $14,600/DK: $13,800
Do I need to explain this one anymore? In three games this series he’s tallied 105 points, 34 rebounds, 31 assists to go along with a block and nine steals with a high of 88.5 Fantasy points on one of his two triple-doubles.
Chris Paul (LAC) @ UTA FD: $10,300/DK: $9,800
Earlier in the playoffs, I would have opted for Isaiah Thomas over CP3. This is both because of the matchups and the fact Thomas is the Celtics offense. That is no longer the case as Paul has been significantly better to this point. In three games his Fantasy totals have been 54.9, 41.4 and 59.4. I am rolling with him and probably should have from the beginning. We forget how great he is sometimes.
George Hill ($5,900/$5,900)
Hill is having a strong series and is a solid Fantasy option. Coming off a 37.3 point Fantasy performance, his $5,900 price tag looks more than reasonable. Especially when you look how much the other PGs will cost you.
Michael Carter-Williams ($3,000/$3,000)
It looks like MCW will be leading the Bulls in minutes at PG with Rondo sidelined. He played 23 minutes last game and didn’t exactly pile up the Fantasy points. Nonetheless, we have seen him post big numbers in the past, and the opportunity matched with the low price gives him plenty of value.
James Harden (HOU) @OKC FD: $13,600/DK: $11,100
The only reason Harden isn’t the most valuable Fantasy asset in years is because of Westbrook. Still, much like Westbrook, I don’t think I need to tell you that Harden is a good choice. If I do, you probably haven’t been paying much attention this year.
Avery Bradley (BOS) @CHI FD: $6,600/DK: $5,800
You could make the argument here for Bradley or Marcus Smart. I prefer Bradley because I believe at his best he is better than Smart. I’d rather save the money and pay for either of those guys over Wade tonight though.
J.J. Reddick ($3,800/$4,200)
Reddick hasn’t done much this series but we know how good of a shooter he is, and he’s averaging over 28 minutes per game in this series. If you want a cheap option with high upside, go with Reddick. The minutes and ability are there.
Gerald Green ($1,500/$2,700)
At just $1,500 Green is an outstanding Longshot option. He got the start in Game 3 and played 20 minutes. He only scored eight points, but at that price his value is immense. If he starts again, it’s hard to pass on him.
Jimmy Butler (CHI) vs BOS FD: $9,900/DK: $10,000
Butler is far-and-away the best SF on this slate. He’s coming off a down game, however, in his previous two games, he posted 44.3 and 52.6 Fantasy points. I expect him to bounce back in a major way in Game 4 and put up huge numbers.
Gordon Hayward (UTA) vs LAC FD: $8,300/DK: $7,700
While Butler is by far the best option, Hayward is closer to Butler than the pack is close to Hayward. He’s coming off a 54.6 Fantasy point explosion in Game 3. His ceiling is right up there with the best of them; you just have to worry about his floor now and then.
Joe Johnson ($5,400/$4,800)
Yea, that Joe Johnson. Sure he’s 35 years old now, but few can step into the big moment quite like Johnson. He’s playing big minutes in the playoffs, and his experience is proving to be invaluable. We’ve already seen him post a 36.1 Fantasy game in this series and his floor looks to be much higher than it was in the regular season.
Paul Zipser ($3,900/$3,500)
Zipser has played an average of 27 minutes over the past two games and posted 16.7 Fantasy points in each game. With those minutes and a void left by Rondo, Zipser has an opportunity to play a significant role on this Bulls team. 18-6-2 isn’t an unreasonable expectation for a guy that comes cheap.
Nikola Mirotic (CHI) @BOS FD: $6,500/DK: $5,100
In the least-surprising development of the week, Blake Griffin is hurt again. This leaves the PF position on this slate very thin. Mirotic is probably the best option, although, he’s known to disappear for games at a time. He’s topped 27 Fantasy points in each of the past two games after failing to break double-digits Game 1.
Derrick Favors (UTA) vs LAC FD: $6,100/DK: $5,600
Favors is an ultra-talented guy plagued with mediocrity. Rudy Gobert’s absence has opened up a big opportunity for Favors to play big minutes and perhaps return to form after a frustrating season. Again, he’s not an ideal stud, but he may be the best option with the most upside.
Marreese Speights ($4,500/$3,900)
With Blake Griffin out Speights is going to see more run for the Clippers. Anyone who has been playing DFS basketball for a few years knows Speights is capable of being an extremely valuable asset on any given night. With extended opportunity, I love his potential value on a slate without standout PFs.
Jonas Jerebko ($1,500/$2,000)
This is a gut feeling here, but I like Jerebko as a super cheap long-shot option in this one. He saw his minutes climb to 10 minutes in Game 3 and I think they jump again in Game 4. In those 10 minutes, he scored six points and pulled down three boards. Look for similar production, hopefully with more minutes tonight.
DeAndre Jordan (LAC) @UTA FD: $8,600/DK: $7,900
Jordan is the best and by far the most consistent option at center. He’s given you between 32 and 40 Fantasy points every game this series and has big upside thanks to his ability to have 20-20 games with a handful of blocks. He’s the safest option here.
Al Horford (BOS) vs CHI FD: $7,700/DK: $6,700
Much like PF, the center position has been diminished by one big injury on this slate to Gobert. I don’t trust Horford and usually expect him to choke. However, he’s been good so far in this series, and he’s clearly the best option tonight behind Jordan.
Robin Lopez ($6,100/$5,300)
The Celtics are the worst rebounding team in the league and struggle inside. Lopez has taken full advantage of that scoring 44 points and grabbing 24 rebounds in three games. It would be higher if he played his usual minutes Game 3. If you’re looking for a mid-tier center, Lopez is a good choice.
Kelly Olynyk ($5,100/$4,800)
Olynyk is coming off an awful game when he saw his minutes and production fall off. However, he was averaging just barely under 27 Fantasy points per game before that in the series. Last game may have been an aberration, or it could be a trend. This one could go either way.