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Fantasy Basketball: Scouting The NBA DFS Playoffs - Sunday, May 7

There is no better time of year! The sun is shining, the grass is green and you can watch the NBA playoffs all afternoon, evening and night!

Plays of the Day

Value: With Kyle Lowry admitting he’s "probably" doubtful for today’s game, Cory Joseph is a strong play at $4,400. He’s a productive starting PG at a bargain rate. Save some money and roll with him.

Fade: I’m fading DeMar DeRozan just as I did yesterday since this is the same game. He played great Game 3 coming off a woeful performance in Game 2. Nonetheless, he can just as easily turn right back into that the playoff disaster who couldn’t hit a shot on Wednesday night. We have seen him disappear too many times in the playoffs to trust him now.

Games to Target

  • Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors
  • Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards

Point Guards

Two Studs

John Wall (WAS) vs BOS FD: $10,700/DK: $10,400

Wall is the best true point guard left in the playoffs right now. Any slate he’s on he’s going to be a stud. Isaiah Thomas may be outscoring him in this series, but Wall has him beat in every other category and still can score with him as well. Wall contributes with assists, rebounds, and steals while Thomas is a one-trick pony.

Isaiah Thomas (BOS) @WAS FD: $9,000/FD: $9,000

Despite not being on Wall’s level, Thomas still scores enough to be considered a stud on this slate. He is the Celtics offense and is not shy about dominating the ball and forcing up shots. With the offense centering around him and the Wizards having a poor defense, the points should come.

Potential Value

Cory Joseph (TOR) vs CLE FD: $4,400/DK: $4,000

With Kyle Lowry admitting he’s “probably doubtful for today’s game, Cory Joseph is a strong play at $4,400. He’s a productive starting PG at a bargain rate. Save some money and roll with him.

Long Shot

Dejounte Murray (SA) @HOU FD: $2,200/DK: $3,000

With Tony Parker out for the playoffs, Murray was the starter in Game 3. Although he started, he played just 14 minutes and wasn’t overly productive. Nevertheless, the minutes and production could easily be on the rise in this one. We’ve seen him have some big games this year.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

James Harden (HOU) vs SA FD: $12,500/DK: $10,900

After LeBron James, Harden is probably the best Fantasy option in the NBA, although, Kawhi Leonard may have something to say about that. Still, he’s the top SG on any slate, and we’ve seen all season what a prolific Fantasy option he can be. The Spurs aren’t making it easy on him though.

Bradley Beal (WAS) vs BOS FD: $7,900/DK: $7,400

Being that I’m fading DeRozan, I’ll be rolling with Beal as my stud just ahead of Avery Bradley. Beal’s ability to shoot just gives him too much upside to overlook. He can put up points in a hurry from beyond the three-point line. If he’s hot, he’s deadly.

Potential Value

Norman Powell (TOR) vs CLE FD: $4,300/DK: $4,600

Since I am down on DeRozan and Lowry is hurt, someone has to score for the Raptors. I like Powell’s game, and he has matched up well with the Cavs with an ability to drive to the basket. In Game 3 he played 36 minutes with 21.6 Fantasy points. This is not his peak and if Lowry is out, his upside increases.

Long Shot

Kyle Korver (CLE) @TOR FD: $3,300/DK: $2,900

Korver is coming off his best performance of the playoffs as he knocked down 3’s with ease. It almost looked automatic. Roll with the hot hand in Cleveland. Of course the hot hand could become JR Smith, Iman Shumpert or Channing Frye. Nonetheless, I’ll go with Korver in this one.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

LeBron James (CLE) @TOR FD: $12,600/DK: $12,200

What James is doing in these playoffs is historic already. He’s scoring at a clip we haven’t seen in a decade and filling up the stat sheet in every category including piling up steals and blocks. LeBron takes his game to a different level in the playoffs that few in NBA history can even imagine.

Kawhi Leonard (SA) @HOU FD: $10,800/DK: $10,800

Leonard has improved immensely this season on the offensive end. He is making a strong case for being the second-best player in the world. His now prolific scoring combined with his defensive prowess makes him a Fantasy asset and a no-doubt stud on this slate.

Potential Value

Otto Porter (WAS) vs BOS FD: $5,100/DK: $6,100

Porter was among the most accurate shooters in the league this season from three. I love his upside in Game 4. His role as a shooter could increase with Kelly Oubre being suspended for shoving Kelly Olynyk in Game 3. The Wizards already have a short bench, and Porter will likely get an expanded role in this one.

Long Shot

P.J. Tucker (TOR) vs CLE FD: $3,300/DK: $3,600

This is more fallout from the Lowry injury. Tucker has been playing solid minutes and playing well all things considered. In Game 1 vs. Cleveland, he posted 28.7 Fantasy points and last game he totaled 14.5 in 19 minutes. His value is there at $3,300.

Power Forwards

Two Studs

Kevin Love (CLE) @TOR FD: $7,800/DK: $7,100

Love is the underappreciated and underrated “3” of the Cavs Big 3. He disappears at times from a scoring standpoint, but if his shot is falling his upside is incredible. Even when it’s not, he’s a walking double-double with the ability to pull down 15 boards a game. This keeps his floor higher.

LaMarcus Aldridge (SA) @HOU FD: $7,000/DK: $6,200

Aldridge finally showed up in Game 3 and played like the star he was signed to be. With Tony Parker gone, L.A. became the second scoring option, and it served him well. The hope is he will continue to carry his weight in the playoffs with Parker sidelined for the remainder of the tournament.

Potential Value

Ryan Anderson (HOU) vs. SA FD: $4,300/DK: $5,200

Coming off a nightmarish Game 3, Anderson may carry some value in this one. We know he is capable of eclipsing 30 Fantasy points. With his price driven down and owners steering clear, this may be the time to roll the dice on him. Look for a bounce back game at home after he couldn’t get anything to fall on Friday.

Long Shot

David Lee (SA) @HOU FD: $3,200/DK: $3,300

We’ve seen Lee play as many as 29 minutes in this series and as few as 11. This is certainly a high-risk option, but there is also some upside as he has topped 24 Fantasy points in a game already in these playoffs. If you want to cheap at PF, he’s the guy to roll the dice on.

Centers

Two Studs

Al Horford (BOS) @WAS FD: $8,300/DK: $7,500

I want to preface this by saying I don’t trust Horford and he has a history of breaking your heart when you need him most. With that said, he has been playing well in this series and deserves to be listed as a stud. Especially when you consider how weak this slate is at center. It has depth but isn’t at all top heavy.

Clint Capela (HOU) vs SA FD: $6,500/DK: $5,100

Capela is playing surprisingly well against a brutal Spurs defense. It seems as if San Antonio is far more concerned with James Harden and their shooters, as they should be. Capela has been pulling down boards and scoring points averaging a double-double in this series.

Potential Value

Jonas Valanciunas (TOR) vs CLE FD: $4,900/DK: $4,400

Valanciunas has been one of the few bright spots against the Cavs this series. He’s been particularly effective in the first half. He saw his minutes jump from 22 to 30 in Game 3 after a strong Game 2. In those two games, he tallied 29 and 27.6 Fantasy points respectively.

Long Shot

Nene Hilario (HOU) vs SA FD: $4,700/DK: $3,900

Hilario has posted a 42.5 Fantasy score in these playoffs already. However, his minutes have slipped against the Spurs, and his high is just 14 points. After a brutal loss at home, the Rockets may look to switch things up in Game 4. Playing Hilario, who played very well in the first round, may be one of the moves they make.


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