Plays of the Day
Value: You can take a chance on Indians catcher Yan Gomes tonight in the hopes that Francisco Liriano struggles in a tough matchup. The Blue Jays lefty has been boom-or-bust this season as per usual and is allowing righties to post a .393 wOBA with a 2.07 WHIP and 25.9% Line Drive Rate when facing the platoon, while Gomes is a lefty killer with a .300 batting average against LHP this year.
Fade: There are really a glut of great options at the 1B position tonight and while Paul Goldschmidt is a great candidate to tag a LHP in Matt Boyd, you may have to fade him in order to target even more appealing plays.
Team Target Stacks
Dodgers: Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, Joc Pederson, Justin Turner
Brewers: Ryan Braun, Jonathan Villar, Eric Thames, Hernan Perez
Rangers: Rougned Odor, Shin-Soo Choo, Elvis Andrus
Nationals: Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy, Ryan Zimmerman, Anthony Rendon
Diamondbacks: A.J. Pollock, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Owings, Yasmany Tomas
Chance of storms in Chicago (White Sox) tonight could lead to delays or postponement.
Chris Archer: (TB) vs. KC DK: $10,800/FD: $10,400
The top SP plays tonight are so obvious and so reasonably priced that they might be over 50% owned in some DK contests, but so what. Archer is an easy choice to deploy at home against the last-place Royals offense, as he’s been on point with a 9.53 K/9 ratio and 3.15 FIP so far this season. By rediscovering his slider, he’s been able to limit hard contact and post his lowest HR/FB ratio (8%) in years. Archer posted a 2.65 ERA and .213 BAA at home while struggling on the road last year, so he’s clearly comfortable in this spot against a Royals team that’s batting a league-low .213 this season.
Yu Darvish: (TEX) vs. SD DK: $10,700/FD: $11,200
Here’s the second obvious play tonight against a Padres offense that’s every bit as impotent as the Royals right now. San Diego is batting a combined .220 with the third-lowest wOBA (.289) in the Majors so far this season and sporting the third-highest K-Rate (24.8%), which certainly bodes well for Darvish. They haven’t seen much of the Rangers ace at all and he can be very hard to pick up with an elite slider and plenty of gas in the tank. Darvish is sporting a 2.76 ERA and while his K/9 ratio (9.07) is below his career average, he’s certainly capable of ramping up the K’s in this matchup.
Zack Godley: (ARI) vs. DET DK: $4,800/FD: $6,000
If you’re going to use a value on DK tonight, it might as well be the cheapest SP on the board in Godley. He should get ample run support with the D’Backs likely to tee off on LHP Matt Boyd and he faces a Tigers lineup that has struggled recently. Godley was solid in his 2017 debut with 6 K’s and 2 ER allowed over 5 IP against the Padres after he posted a 2.24 ERA at the AAA level this April. He’s a top prospect for a reason and he could pay off as a punt this evening.
Lance Lynn: (STL) @ MIA DK: $8,400/FD: $8,700
Lynn has been excellent over his last four starts and there’s no reason to really worry about his prospects in Miami tonight other than the pop in the middle of that lineup, namely, Giancarlo Stanton. Yet current Marlins are batting just .188 (13-for-69) with 22 K’s in their careers against Lynn and Stanton is 2-for-12 with 6 K’s against the Cards righty. Lynn is looking even stronger after missing last year to undergo elbow surgery with a 2.04 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over 6 appearances and you can trust the Cardinals coaching staff to keep him on track.
Yan Gomes: (CLE) @ TOR DK: $2,700 / FD: $2,600
You can take a chance on Gomes tonight on a relatively light slate for good options at catcher in the hopes that Francisco Liriano struggles in a tough matchup. The Blue Jays lefty has been boom-or-bust this season as per usual and is allowing righties to post a .393 wOBA with a 2.07 WHIP and 25.9% Line Drive Rate when facing the platoon. Gomes is a lefty killer with a .300 batting average against LHP this year and he went 2-for-4 with a HR last night, so give him a shot as a value with upside.
Yadier Molina: (STL) vs. MIA DK: $3,200 / FD: $3,000
Solid bet for production against mediocre RHP Tom Koehler.
Matt Wieters: (WAS) vs. BAL DK: $3,800 / FD: $2,900
Has power from the right side of the plate as well and could tag LHP Wade Miley at home.
Ryan Zimmerman: (WAS) vs. BAL DK: $4,900 / FD: $4,400
Zimmerman has been absolutely crushing it with a .420 batting average and 1.334 OPS so far this season and he’s been even more effective with a .563 average (9-for-17) with 3 HR off lefties. Tonight he faces a southpaw in Wade Miley, who is apparently dealing with a sore leg and started to struggle in his previous outing while walking 5 and allowing 8 hits against the league’s second best offense in the Yankees. Now he faces the top lineup in the Majors and a RHB in Zim, who happens to be 5-for-10 with 3 walks and 4 XBH in his career against Miley.
Cody Bellinger: (LAD) vs. PIT DK: $3,900 / FD: $3,500
Certainly under priced as a high-upside addition to a Dodgers stack.
Eric Thames: (MIL) vs. BOS DK: $4,600 / FD: $4,100
Kyle Kendrick has been rocked by lefties throughout his career and Thames has as much power as any LHB in the game.
Jonathan Villar: (MIL) vs. BOS DK: $4,100 / FD: $3,100
Red Sox RHP Kyle Kendrick’s first outing at Fenway Park was predictably disastrous, as he allowed 6 ER on 8 hits over 4 IP to the rival Orioles. While he goes on the road tonight, he’ll face a Brewers lineup that has plenty of upside at their home ballpark and is much more formidable now that Ryan Braun is back in the fold. Jonathan Villar is a great GPP play as always and he could set the table for Braun and Thames while possessing upside due to his great speed. He’s hitting under .200 this year, but remains aggressive on the base paths and could take advantage if Sandy Leon is catching for Boston.
Brandon Drury: (ARI) vs. DET DK: $3,300 / FD: $2,700
Worth a look against with the platoon advantage against LHP Matt Boyd.
Rougned Odor: (TEX) vs. SD DK: $4,300 / FD: $2,900
He’s flashing upside despite his low batting average and has the platoon advantage against RHP Luis Perdomo, who is struggling against lefties.
Justin Turner: (LAD) vs. PIT DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,700
The Dodgers offense is clicking right now and Turner is a big part of that with 5 hits and 4 walks while scoring 4 runs over his last 4 appearances. He could serve as part of another productive stack tonight against vulnerable RHP Chad Kuhl, and Turner has actually been more productive against righties in the past. He’s 29-for-77 (.414) with 7 doubles and a HR off RHP this season and hit .305 off righties last year, while he happens to be 2-for-2 with a homer off this particular righthander.
Travis Shaw: (MIL) vs. BOS DK: $3,500 / FD: $3,700
Good bet to burn his former team with the platoon advantage against RHP Kyle Kendrick.
Joey Gallo: (TEX) vs. SD DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,800
His price tag on FanDuel raises eyebrows and makes Gallo a little bit more interesting as a cheap GPP play on DK.
Corey Seager: (LAD) vs. PIT DK: $5,000 / FD: $3,800
Seager is another Dodgers bat to consider tonight as he draws a plus matchup against RHP Chad Kuhl. The Pirates starter is sporting a 5.54 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP and has allowed lefties to go 19-for-55 (.413) with 8 XBH and a HR so far this year. Seager is slowly warming after a rough start to the year but he could catch fire in this matchup considering he’s 2-for-5 with a double off Kuhl and hit .345 with a .420 wOBA at home against righties last year.
Chris Owings: (ARI) vs. DET DK: $3,700/ FD: $3,200
He has the platoon advantage against LHP Matt Boyd and has been much better at home this year..
Hernan Perez: (MIL) vs. BOS DK: $3,500 / FD: $3,100 as OF
Worth adding to a Brewers stack if he’s in the lineup.
Ryan Braun: (MIL) vs. BOS DK: $4,900 / FD: $3,700
Braun is a little cheaper than usual as he makes his way back from a week off and he would otherwise cost a pretty penny in a juicy matchup against Kyle Kendrick. The Brewers MVP happens to be 9-for-21 with 2 HR and 7 RBIs in his career against Kendrick, who posted one of the highest ERAs in the Majors (6.32) during his last full campaign and is at the bottom of the league with a 2.25 HR/9 ratio through one outing so far this year.
A.J. Pollock: (ARI) vs. DET DK: $3,900 / FD: $4,000
The Diamondbacks have been crushing lefties over the last couple of years and posted the highest wOBA (.348) against the platoon last year despite Pollock’s absence throughout most of that season. Yet he’s a career .289 hitter with a .361 wOBA and .213 ISO mark against the platoon and could be very productive tonight against LHP Matt Boyd at a modest price tag on DK. Boyd is posting a 4.32 BB/9 ratio and has been lucky to avoid more damage with a 5.11 xFIP, so feel free to target him at hitter-friendly Chase Field.