- Chris Archer (Tampa Bay) @CLE, vs. NYY
- Carlos Carrasco (Indians) vs. TB, @HOU
- Yu Darvish (Rangers) vs. PHI, @DET
- John Lackey (Cubs) vs. CIN, vs. MIL
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals) @PIT, @ATL
Jesse Chavez (Angels) vs. CWS, @NYM
Chavez hasn't been as bad as the numbers show. He has two solid matchups. The Mets have been erratic. At times they hit, at times they look putrid. In four of his six starts that have gone at least five innings, he has allowed three earned runs or less. Chavez has been hurt by home runs but in a week with weak two-start pitchers, he's one of the better ones to stream.
Jerad Eickhoff (Phillies) @TEX, @PIT
Eickhoff has been a disappointment at 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. He is getting less swings and misses and allowing more fly balls. The Pirates have been awful and the Rangers haven't hit consistently.
Marco Estrada (Blue Jays) vs. ATL, @BAL
I keep saying and writing it: Estrada is undervalued. He has a 3.12 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9.73 K/9 and 2.76 BB/9. He's a fly ball pitcher, but he induces a lot of weak fly balls and soft contact. He has a hard hit rate of 25 percent.
Kyle Freeland (Rockies) @MIN, @CIN
Freeland has been successful, even at Coors Field, by limiting home runs and getting grounders (65.9 percent). He has a 2.93 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 5.85 K/9 and 4.05 BB/9. Freeland is allowing too much contact to have these numbers continue, but he's on the road with solid matchups.
Zack Godley (Diamondbacks) vs. NYM, @SD
Godley has been good in his two starts with a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and a 3.0 BB/9 in 12 innings. He has a 75 percent ground ball rate and a 14.3 percent swinging strike rate. His fastball velocity has increased from 90.8 to 93.3 miles per hour this season.
Lance Lynn (Cardinals) vs. BOS, vs. SF
Lynn is coming off his worst start of the season. The Red Sox matchup is dicey, but it's at home and the Red Sox lose the DH. Lynn has a 2.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 8.24 K/9 and a 3.66 BB/9.
Sean Manaea (A's) @SEA, vs. BOS
Manaea is set to come off the DL after missing time with a shoulder injury. Manaea has been unlucky. The 5.18 ERA is misleading and allowed three earned runs in two innings before leaving his last start. He has a 9.99 K/9, 4.44 BB/9, 0.37 HR/9 and a 63.9 percent ground ball rate. He has an extremely low strand rate of 53.8 percent. He has a 13.8 percent swinging strike rate. Buy him.
Brandon McCarthy (Dodgers) @SF, vs. MIA
McCarthy was pitching well before injuring his non-throwing shoulder in a weight room accident. This will be his first start back. He has a 3.10 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.76 K/9 and a 2.79 BB/9.
Luis Perdomo (Padres) vs. MIL, vs. ARI
Perdomo hasn't had a decision in five starts. He has a 4.13 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7.94 K/9 and a 3.18 BB/9. He has allowed one home run in 28.1 innings and a 69.5 percent ground ball rate with a 20.7 percent hard hit rate. His surface stats should be better.
Eduardo Rodriguez (Red Sox) @STL, @OAK
Rodriguez has pitched well, especially his last four starts. Walks were an issue early, but he has allowed three walks over his last 18 innings. He has a 2.80 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and a 3.82 BB/9. Rodriguez has a 25 percent hard hit rate and a 14.4 percent swinging strike rate.
Andrew Triggs (A's) @SEA, vs. BOS
Triggs is 5-2 with a 2.21 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 6.86 K/9 and a 2.21 BB/9. He has a 56.6 percent ground ball rate and a 22.8 percent hard hit rate. An 11.2 percent swinging strike rate indicates potential for more strikeouts.
Zack Wheeler (Mets) @ARI, vs. LAA
Wheeler has looked good except for the walks. He has a 4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.07 K/9, and a 3.9 BB/9. Wheeler has a 55.6 percent ground ball rate, a 10 percent swinging strike rate and a 28.9 percent hard hit rate. The Arizona matchup is a concern.
Chase Anderson (MIL) @SD, @CHC
Anderson has pitched well with a 2.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 7.78 K/9 and a 2.97 BB/9. He has cut down on the home runs with a 0.46 HR/9 compared to 1.66 HR/9 last season. He has a 36.1 percent hard hit rate and hasn't lasted five innings in his last two starts.
Bronson Arroyo (Reds) @CHC, vs. COL
Arroyo has pitched well in a few starts, but he's prone to the home run. He has allowed nine home runs in 36.1 innings with a 5.94 ERA.
Mike Bolsinger (Blue Jays) vs. ATL, @BAL
Bolsinger has made one start and allowed four walks in 5.2 innings.
Matt Boyd (Tigers) vs. BAL, vs. TEX
I expected Boyd to be better and would consider him in deeper formats. He has a 3.89 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 6.64 K/9 and a 4.35 BB/9.
Matt Cain (Giants) vs. LAD, @STL
Cain has a 4.54 ERA and a 4.29 BB/9. He's facing two of the hottest offenses.
Bartolo Colon (Braves) @TOR, vs. WAS
Colon has been a little unlucky, but he's still been hit hard with a 7.22 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and a 38.5 percent hard hit rate. It might be over for him.
Chase DeJong (Mariners) vs. OAK, vs. CWS
He's not good, allowing four home runs in 18.1 innings and eight walks with seven strikeouts.
Yovani Gallardo (Mariners) vs. OAK. vs. CWS
Gallardo has pitched more than six innings once and while the matchups are favorable, he has four strikeouts and five walks over his last 11 innings.
Jaime Garcia (Braves) @TOR, vs. WAS
He has a 5.35 K/9 and a 4.58 BB/9. Toronto is beginning to hit and the Nationals are one of the toughest matchups.
Jason Hammel (Royals) vs. NYY, @MIN
Hammel has been either good or bad. He has a 4.15 BB/9 and not great matchups.
Derek Holland (White Sox) @LAA, @SEA
Holland isn't as good as the 2.43 ERA shows. He struggled in his last start allowing three home runs. A .217 BABIP has helped him and a 47.5 percent fly ball rate and 38.3 percent hard hit rate indicate bad things are ahead.
Phil Hughes (Twins) vs. COL, vs. KC
Hughes has a 1.42 HR/9 and a 41.5 percent hard hit rate.
Ubaldo Jimenez (Orioles) @DET, vs. TOR
Jimenez can have a good game from time to time, but you never know when. He had a bad matchup against the Nationals in his last start and pitched well until giving up some runs in the eighth inning. More often, he gets hit hard. He has a 5.35 K/9 and a 2.14 HR/9.
Tom Koehler (Marlins) vs. HOU, @LAD
Koehler has two difficult matchups and hasn't pitched well with a 5.60 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 2.28 HR/9.
Chad Kuhl (Pirates) vs. WAS, vs. PHI
Kuhl has been plagued by some bad luck, but he's not helping with a 4.06 BB/9 and a 36.4 percent hard hit rate.
Joe Musgrove (Astros) @MIA, vs. CLE
Two of his last three starts have been quality starts and he gets a good matchup in Miami. He's borderline to a start.
Jimmy Nelson (Brewers) @SD, @CHC
Nelson is coming off a good start against the Red Sox and has a favorable matchup against a strikeout-prone Padres team. He has faced the Cubs twice with a good outing and an awful one.
Mike Pelfrey (White Sox) @LAA, @SEA
A 2.84 K/9 and a 3.32 BB/9 is all you need to know.
Clayton Richard (Padres) vs. MIL, vs. ARI
Richard has been aided by a 61.8 percent ground ball rate and the numbers still aren't impressive and he gets two of the better offenses.
CC Sabathia (Yankees) @KC, @TB
Sabathia got off to a good start, but has fallen apart over his last three starts, allowing 18 runs over his last 15.2 innings. He does have two good matchups in pitching environments, but the 35.7 percent hard hit rate is way up compared to recent seasons.