Plays of the Day
Value: White Sox 2B Yolmer Sanchez simply continues producing with a .438 batting average over his last 10 appearances, including a walk-off single on Saturday and a three-hit performance on Sunday. He’ll be hard to leave out of the lineup against mediocre RHP Jesse Chavez tonight and he’s one of the cheapest plays available at any position..
Fade: Brewers RHP Chase Anderson is an appealing value on DK, but he’s almost certainly not worth his price tag on FanDuel considering his lackluster lines in recent starts.
Team Target Stacks
Brewers: Jonathan Villar, Eric Thames, Hernan Perez
Dodgers: Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, Yasmani Grandal, Justin Turner
Blue Jays: Devon Travis, Kevin Pillar, Jose Bautista
Mariners: Nelson Cruz, Jean Segura, Ben Gamel
No real weather concerns tonight.
Brandon McCarthy: (LAD) @ SF DK: $9,100/FD: $8,700
There certainly are not too many elite SP options on this 7-game slate, so McCarthy might as well be the best play with the Dodgers offense expected to provide run support against veteran RHP Matt Cain. McCarthy has been solid with a 3.10 ERA and he’s really cut down on his issues with the long ball with a 0.71 HR/9 ratio over the last two seasons. He’s been better away from Dodger Stadium with a 1.39 ERA and .214 BAA over two road starts and will pitch tonight in the ballpark with one of the lowest Run Factors in the Majors against a Giants offense that is sporting the fourth-lowest batting average (.219) with the second-lowest wOBA (.279) in the Majors over the last 14 days.
Dan Straily: (MIA) vs. HOU DK: $8,200/FD: $8,600
While he comes with a bit of risk, Straily might have more upside than McCarthy or really any other SP on this short slate. He’s been boom or bust and regained his mojo by allowing just 1 ER on 3 hits over 7 innings to beat the Cardinals his last time out, and he’s been unlucky to post a 4.03 ERA with an excellent 1.08 WHIP and .196 BABIP this season. He’s been great at home with a 0.93 WHIP and .133 BAA over 4 appearances this year and faces an Astros team that’s been much less dangerous on the road.
Zack Godley: (ARI) vs. NYM DK: $6,300/FD: $7,500
He paid off bigtime as a value play with 6 K’s and 14 groundball outs, allowing just 1 ER over 7 strong innings to beat the Tigers in his last outing, and now Godley faces an inferior offensive team at home. The Mets are sporting a collective .238 batting average and don’t pose too much of a threat at Chase Field, where the D’Backs often provide excellent run support with a .298 batting average and 33 homers at home this season. Godley clearly made some adjustments after posting a 6.39 ERA over 27 appearances last year and he’s carried his success at the AAA level this spring into his stint in the Majors thus far.
Mike Bolsinger: (TOR) vs. ATL DK: $6,000/FD: $7,000
Another value play with a good chance to earn a win thanks to potential run support, Bolsinger’s Blue Jays should be all over ancient RHP Bartolo Colon at home tonight. He’s making his second start of 2017 after posting a 1.46 ERA and startling 13.14 K/9 ratio over 4 appearances at the AAA level this spring. Bolsinger was excellent over his first few starts with the D’Backs and Dodgers, but slipped up last season, yet there’s no reason to ignore a dirt cheap starter in a plus spot against light-hitting Atlanta when his team is heavily favored.
Yasmani Grandal: (LAD) @ SF DK: $3,500 / FD: $2,900
Suddenly the Dodgers have a hot-hitting catcher in Grandal with a .462/.488/.667 slash line and 5 doubles over his last 10 appearances, so he should be on your radar ahead of a plus matchup against aging RHP Matt Cain. The Giants RHP is allowing lefties to post a .384 wOBA with a 2.30 WHIP when facing the platoon this season and Grandal is hitting .351 with a .208 ISO Mark and 3 homers from the left side of the plate. In addition, winds are expected to be blowing out to CF at 22 MPH at AT&T Park this season, which should help Big Blue tag a fly-ball pitcher in Cain.
Manny Pina: (MIL) vs. SD DK: $2,800 / FD: $2,600
All he does is produce when the Brewers put him in their lineup.
J.T. Realmuto: (MIA) vs. HOU DK: $3,400 / FD: $2,700
He faces a struggling RHP in Joe Musgrove at home.
Eric Thames: (MIL) vs. SD DK: $4,800 / FD: $4,200
He’s worth a long look tonight if only for the reason that Padres RHP Luis Perdomo has really struggled against the platoon lately. Lefties are hitting .409 (18-for-50) with 5 doubles and a HR off him this year after he coughed up a 2.03 HR/9 ratio when facing the platoon last season. Thames is obviously one of the best power-hitting lefties in the game right now and while Perdomo has avoided major damage thanks to the spacious confines of Petco Park, he might not be able to keep a strong LHB in Thames in the yard at hitter-friendly Miller Park.
Danny Valencia: (SEA) vs. OAK DK: $3,300 / FD: $3,600
He’s starting to come around and will have the platoon advantage against LHP Sean Manaea tonight.
Cody Bellinger: (LAD) @ SF DK: $4,400 / FD: $3,300
Could certainly produce in his first career matchup against RHP Matt Cain.
Yolmer Sanchez: (CWS) @ LAA DK: $2,300 / FD: $2,600
The White Sox infielder simply continues producing with a .438 batting average over his last 10 appearances, including a walk-off single on Saturday and a three-hit performance on Sunday. He’ll be hard to leave out of the lineup against mediocre RHP Jesse Chavez tonight and he’s one of the cheapest plays available at any position. Chavez has posted a 1.40 WHIP and 4.62 FIP in his career against LHB and Sanchez is hitting .310 on the road against RHP this season.
Devon Travis: (TOR) vs. ATL DK: $3,700 / FD: $2,600
Great value option to consider as part of a Blue Jays stack against RHP Bartolo Colon.
Jonathan Villar: (MIL) vs. SD DK: $4,500 / FD: $3,500
Impressively enough, he’s 5-for-5 over a limited sample of at-bats against Padres RHP Luis Perdomo.
Jake Lamb: (ARI) vs. NYM DK: $4,700 / FD: $3,500
This position is extremely thin tonight and Lamb is one of the few options with a solid floor-ceiling combination in his matchup. The D’Backs impressive offense will host young RHP Zack Wheeler, who is sporting a 1.59 WHIP with a 4.48 FIP and allowed lefties to post a 23.7% Line Drive Rate throughout his career. Lamb is hitting .320 with a .247 ISO Mark against RHP this year and has regained his stroke with 8 hits over his last 4 appearances.
Adonis Garcia: (ATL) @ TOR DK: $3,300 / FD: $3,000
Not a bad cash game option to consider at Rogers Centre against Bolsinger.
Justin Turner: (LAD) @ SF DK: $4,100 / FD: $3,300
A RHB who prefers to face RHP and could easily tag veteran Matt Cain.
Corey Seager: (LAD) @ SF DK: $4,600 / FD: $3,600
Seager is quite affordable on FanDuel tonight despite his juicy matchup against a veteran RHP who has really struggled against LHB as we mentioned above. Matt Cain allowed lefties to hit .312 with a .386 wOBA last year and Seager is hitting .395 on the road against righties this season. He’s 2-for-6 in a limited sample of at-bats against Cain and has hit safely in 8 of his last 9 appearances, while his power should return, beginning with his sixth HR of the year on Sunday.
Kike Hernandez: (LAD) @ SF DK: $3,000/ FD: $2,900 as OF
Either Hernandez or fellow punt play Brett Eibner should start for the Dodgers tonight as great potential values.
Jean Segura: (SEA) vs. OAK DK: $4,400 / FD: $4,400
Great option as always and could serve as part of a contrarian Mariners stack.
Mike Trout: (LAA) vs. CWS DK: $5,400 / FD: $5,400
It’s hard to manage a full Angels stack on any given night, but Trout can serve as a one-man wrecking crew against weak RHP Mike Pelfrey. The White Sox starter is sporting a 5.21 ERA with a matching 5.89 xFIP on the season and he’s hardly eliciting any swings and misses with a miniscule 2.84 K/9 ratio. Trout is somehow just 1-for-10 in his career against this weak RHP, but he’s been heating up in a big way with a pair of homers over his last 2 appearances and should only continue to ramp up as he comes back from a hamstring twinge.
Nelson Cruz: (SEA) vs. OAK DK: $4,500 / FD: $4,900
The Mariners aren’t a stack that you want to go too deep with, but the heart of that lineup is always easy to identify in the form of red-hot SS Jean Segura and notable lefty-killer Nelson Cruz. Tonight, Cruz is definitely a great GPP option against a LHP that he’s tagged for a homer with 3 hits, 3 walks and a SB over 6 career at-bats and Manaea could show signs of rust or simply implode as he tries to return from a shoulder injury tonight Cruz is sporting a .419 wOBA off lefties this year and led the Majors with a .351 ISO Mark against the platoon last season, so he’s always an elite option against a southpaw starter.