Rick Osentoski / USA TODAY Sports

Scouting The MLB DFS - Friday, May 19

Cash in on tonight's full slate of MLB action with our top DFS plays on DraftKings and FanDuel

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Plays of the Day

Value: Jose Reyes is 18-for-53 (.340) with 4 homers and 4 SB in his career against Angels RHP Ricky Nolasco, who is sputtering along with a 4.34 ERA and 5.67 FIP while posting a career-worst 20.6% HR/FB ratio this season. Reyes might be hitting a putrid .194, but he went 3-for-6 last night and has been heating up in May, so he’s worth a look as a value in GPP formats.

Fade: Carlos Correa and the Astros are red hot with the best record in the A.L. right now, but their most expensive bats might not be worth stacking against a talented RHP in Trevor Bauer, who is capable of shutting down a lineup when he’s on.

Team Target Stacks

Diamondbacks: Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb, Yasmany Tomas

Nationals: Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman, Jayson Werth, Anthony Rendon

Yankees: Aaron Judge, Matt Holliday, Jacoby Ellsbury, Aaron Hicks

Tigers: J.D. Martinez, Ian Kinsler, Victor Martinez

Weather Report

Chance of delays in Cincy and St. Louis tonight.


Pitchers

Two Studs

Chris Sale: (BOS) @ OAK DK: $13,000/FD: $12,200

The best SP in baseball faces one of the worst offenses at a very spacious ballpark, so Sale is pretty much a no brainer as the top option tonight. He’s sporting a 2.15 ERA with a ridiculous 0.77 WHIP and .160 BAA and a career-high 13.04 K/9 ratio while he’s 4-2 at this point as he’s finally gotten some run support from the Red Sox capable lineup. The Athletics lineup is hardly imposing with a .232 batting average and 23.3% K-Rate on the season, while Oakland is sporting a weak .299 wOBA with a 23.9% K-Rate against LHP and a collective 33.1% K-Rate over 130 career at-bats against Sale.

Alex Wood: (LAD) @ MIA DK: $9,400/FD: $8,600

We recommended Wood as more of a longshot value play in his last outing, not necessarily expecting him to exceed all expectations with 10 K’s and just 5 hits allowed over 6 scoreless innings at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Now he’ll pitch at home against the mediocre Marlins offense and he should get plenty of run support while starting opposite weak LHP Justin Nicolino. That formula has worked well for Wood, as he’s earned 3 wins in 3 straight outings and is making a very strong case to remain in the Dodgers rotation with a 2.27 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 8 appearances this year.

Potential Value

Gio Gonzalez: (WAS) @ ATL DK: $8,600/FD: $5,600

I’m not going much cheaper than this on a full slate, because there are several quality options in Gio’s price range and the Nats southpaw is one SP who you can likely count on to earn a win with a Quality Start. He faces off with inconsistent RHP R.A. Dickey, who has given up a whopping 9 homers over his last 6 starts and faces a slugging Washington lineup. On the other side, Atlanta’s lefty-heavy lineup just became much more deficient with star 1B Freddie Freeman (wrist) looking out a multi-week absence and he’s accounted for 2 of the homers and 11 of the 43 hits Braves hitters have produced over 145 at-bats against Gio, who is back to pitching at an elite level and set up for success this evening.

Longshot

Luis Severino: (NYY) @ TB DK: $8,800/FD: $8,200

While he’s struggled in 2 of his last 3 outings, this is a good spot to pounce on Severino at a somewhat diminished price tag. The young RHP is still limiting base runners with a 1.07 WHIP and 2.87 xFIP on the season, and while he’s had trouble with a 21.9% HR/FB ratio, Tropicana Field has a relatively low HR Factor for an A.L. East ballpark. Current Rays are batting a collective .207 (12-for-58) with 24 K’s in their careers against Severino after he struck out 11 Rays and allowed just 2 ER in a strong start on April 13.

Batters

Catchers

Jonathan Lucroy: (TEX) vs. DET DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,000

As soon as Lucroy heats up the rest of the Rangers are starting to struggle, but that doesn’t prevent him from serving as a good stand-alone option tonight. The backstop will have the platoon advantage against LHP Daniel Norris, who is allowing RHB to hit .297 this year with a startling 45.6% Hard Contact Rate. Lucroy is 20-for-91 (.375) with a .208 ISO Mark against lefties so far this year and he’s hitting .351 over his last 10 appearances to seriously boost his average.

Potential Value

Yadier Molina: (STL) vs. SF DK: $3,300/ FD: $3,400

Will have the platoon advantage against LHP Matt Moore, who can really struggle when he struggles.

Longshot

Buster Posey: (SF) @ STL DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,800

Michael Wacha isn’t the pitcher of years past and Posey’s performing at career-best levels.

First Basemen

Ryan Zimmerman: (WAS) @ ATL DK: $4,400 / FD: $3,500

Zimmerman has finally cooled off after hitting over .400 for an extended part of the season, yet he faces a vulnerable pitcher in a potential get-right matchup tonight. Braves SP R.A. Dickey is 3-3 with a 4.22 ERA, but he’s been very wild with a 1.31 K/BB ratio and has also coughed up 9 homers over his last 6 outings. Zimmerman is 11-for-34 with 2 HR and 2 doubles in his career against Dickey and could do some serious damage at the heart of a Nationals stack tonight.

Potential Value

Cody Bellinger: (LAD) vs. MIA DK: $4,500 / FD: $3,700 as OF

He’s actually hitting .333 in LvL matchups and faces a weak southpaw tonight in Justin Nicolino.

Longshot

Paul Goldschmidt: (ARI) @ SD DK: $5,200 / FD: $4,700

Definitely worth a look against washed-up veteran Jered Weaver regardless of venue.

Second Basemen

Devon Travis: (TOR) @ BAL DK: $3,900 / FD: $2,800

Travis has turned his season around with a .400 batting average (12-for-30) during his recent 9-game hitting streak and he’s still relatively cheap on both main DFS sites. Tonight he faces a very familiar foe in Orioles RHP Chris Tillman, who is still knocking off a bit of rust after missing the first month of the season with a shoulder injury. Travis happens to be 3-for-8 (.348) with a homer and 2 doubles in his career against Tillman, so he definitely enjoys facing a steady diet of fastballs from the righty and he’s also fully capable of getting a jump on the familiar SP to flash upside with his speed.

Potential Value

Whit Merrifield: (KC) vs. NYY DK: $3,500 / FD: $2,600

Still raking for the Royals and is relatively cheap ahead of a tough matchup against RHP Ervin Santana.

Longshot

Chris Taylor: (LAD) vs. MIA DK: $3,700 / FD: $2,900

Will have the platoon advantage against Nicolino tonight.

Third Basemen

Nolan Arenado: (COL) @ CIN DK: $5,200 / FD: $4,200

There are cheaper ways to speculate on the Rockies tagging Reds RHP Lisalverto Bonilla tonight, but Arenado is probably the best bet to homer off him. The 26-year-old is sporting a 19.8% HR/FB ratio over 7 appearances between AAA and the Majors this season and actually posted a 5.61 ERA with a .370 BABIP in the Minors, so he doesn’t necessarily seem ready to start at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Arenado has hit 2 homers over his last 33 at-bats in Cincy and is slashing .324/.395/.676 against the Reds over the last 3 seasons. Coincidentally, he’s hitting .324 with 2 homers over his last 10 appearances and should thrive against a vulnerable pitcher.

Potential Value

Jedd Gyorko: (STL) vs. SF DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,600

Worth considering in a stack against LHP Matt Moore.

Longshot

Jake Lamb: (ARI) @ SD DK: $4,700 / FD: $4,000

He has tons of upside in a matchup against aging RHP Jered Weaver and actually has great splits at Petco Park.

Shortstops

Jose Reyes: (NYM) vs. LAA DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,000 as 3B

You could live a little dangerously with your SS selection tonight and use Reyes against a SP that he’s owned in the past. He’s 18-for-53 (.340) with 4 homers and 4 SB in his career against Angels RHP Ricky Nolasco, who is sputtering along with a 4.34 ERA and 5.67 FIP while posting a career-worst 20.6% HR/FB ratio this season. Reyes might be hitting a putrid .194, but he went 3-for-6 last night and has been heating up in May, so he’s worth a look as a value in GPP formats.

Potential Value

Alcides Escobar: (KC) @ MIN DK: $3,300/ FD: $2,200

Dirt cheap option with the platoon advantage against a LHP in Hector Santiago that he’s owned.

Longshot

Francisco Lindor: (CLE) @ HOU DK: $4,500 / FD: $3,800

One of the most dangerous switch hitters in baseball and he’s facing a mediocre RHP in Charlie Morton.

Outfielders

J.D. Martinez: (DET) vs. TEX DK: $4,700 / FD: $4,000

God damn, J.D! He hit another homer last night and flashed patience with 3 walks to raise his OPS to an impressive 2.118 on the season with 5 bombs over just 6 starts since coming off the DL. Now he faces a vulnerable RHP in his namesake Nick Martinez, who is sporting a 5.04 ERA with a 5.64 FIP and 2.08 HR/9 ratio on the season, so he’s clearly a candidate to give up a long ball to a slugger that is absolutely mashing.

Jayson Werth: (WAS) @ ATL DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,500

He’s found a rhythm lately and possesses tons of upside in a plus matchup against R.A. Dickey, who is naturally inconsistent as a knuckler that depends on good conditions to fool hitters. Any mistakes should be punished by the Nats, who have slugged the second-most HRs (62) in the N.L. this year and have plenty of powerful bats to attack Dickey from both sides of the plate. Werth happens to be 13-for-27 with 3 doubles and 2 HR in his career against Dickey and he’s slashing .421/.522/.711 with 3 bombs over his last 10 appearances.

Potential Values

Matt Holliday: (NYY) @ TB DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,500
Jacoby Ellsbury: (NYY) @ TB DK: $3,900 / FD: $3,300
Franklin Gutierrez.: (LAD) vs. MIA DK: $3,500 / FD: $2,700

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