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Plays of the Day
Value: Braves 1B Matt Adams is doing his best Freddie Freeman impersonation with homers in B2B games and he’s still extremely cheap on FanDuel. Tonight Atlanta faces a vulnerable rookie RHP in Trevor Williams and Adams could come through again.
Fade: Mike Trout has obviously been elite lately and he faces a relatively weak RHP in Erasmo Ramirez, but 6 of his 7 career hits off Ramirez have been singles and he might not have as much upside as usual as the most expensive OF on the board.
Team Target Stacks
Yankees: Brett Gardner, Aaron Judge, Starlin Castro, Aaron Hicks
Cubs: Kris Bryant, Ian Happ, Willson Contreras
Red Sox: Hanley Ramirez, Chris Young, Sandy Leon
Nationals: Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Anthony Rendon, Matt Wieters
Astros: Jose Altuve, Evan Gattis, George Springer
Chance of delays in Washington and Atlanta tonight.
Chris Sale: (BOS) vs. TEX DK: $13,500/FD: $11,800
Every time he takes the mound, Sale is an absolutely elite option and it’s about time he got the same respect as Clayton Kershaw with this lofty price tag. He’s been unbelievable with a 1.62 FIP and career-high 13.04 K/9 ratio while he’s somehow been even better at Fenway with a 1.95 ERA and .151 BAA at home this season. The Rangers offense is not the same as it’s been in years past and they’re sporting a 22.8% K-Rate over the last month. The Rangers are ranked 24th in collective batting average (.224) and 26th in wOBA (.291) with a 24.8% K-Rate when facing lefties this year so clearly Sale is set up for some success.
Kyle Hendricks: (CHC) vs. SF DK: $8,500/FD: $9,100
Hendricks is returning to his status as a Quality Start machine lately while allowing just 6 ER over his last 5 outings and he’s facing a Giants offense that’s scuffling with the fourth-lowest collective batting average (.232) this season and the fifth-lowest wOBA (.295) over the last 14 days. The league-leader in ERA last year was a beast with a 1.32 ERA at Wrigley Field and Hendricks held the Giants to just 1 ER on 3 hits over 5 IP in his sole meeting with SF in 2016.
Rich Hill: (LAD) vs. STL DK: $8,900/FD: $8,700
He’s a bit cheaper because of his chronic blister issues but Hill is worth the risk to a degree right now. The crafty lefty established some upside even though he’s on a bit of a pitch count with 6 K’s over 5 IP at San Francisco in his last outing and now he faces a Cardinals lineup that is sporting a below average .302 wOBA with a 22.2% K-Rate when facing LHP this season. Hill was great at home last year with a 2.90 FIP and we saw the type of fantasy numbers he can put up when he’s right.
Ricky Nolasco: (LAA) @ TB DK: $7,700/FD: $7,600
Nolasco seems to be improving with age to a degree and he’s definitely worth consideration tonight against the most strikeout-prone team in the Majors. The Rays finished with the second-highest K-Rate last year and are sporting a 27.2% K-Rate to lead the Majors over the last 30 days. Nolasco is not getting many ground balls, but Tropicana Field is a spacious venue and he has been raising his strikeout game with a 7.84 K/9 ratio on the year. He’s been better on the road this year with a 3.72 ERA and 8.13 K/9 ratio, so give him a look in some formats.
Sandy Leon: (BOS) vs. TEX DK: $3,300 / FD: $2,500
He continued to produce last night with a double and Leon is raking like he did throughout most of last season with a .343/.395/.657 slash line over his last 10 appearances. While he draws a LvL matchup tonight against Rangers southpaw Martin Perez, he’s still worth a look considering the fact that he’s 8-for-23 (.381) off lefties this year after hitting .400 with a 1.067 OPS at home against LHP last season. Of course there’s a higher Run Factor at Fenway and the rest of the Red Sox lineup could make life quite difficult for Perez.
Willson Contreras: (CHC) vs. SF DK: $3,600/ FD: $3,200
He’s a lefty-killer who will have the platoon advantage against Giants LHP Matt Moore tonight.
Matt Wieters: (WAS) vs. SEA DK: $3,600 / FD: $2,700
Certainly worth adding to a Nationals stack against rookie RHP Joe Gaviglio.
Ryan Zimmerman: (WAS) vs. SEA DK: $4,600 / FD: $3,600
The Nationals made Christian Bergman’s previous start look like a total fluke by tagging the young RHP for a whopping 10 ER over just 4 innings of work and they face another inexperienced pitcher tonight. Zimmerman someone missed those rallies despite snapping his brief slump with a 3-hit night, but he’s still hitting .372 with a whopping 38 RBIs and is an excellent option in any format at this position. Mariners rookie Sam Gaviglio has been solid through two brief outings this year, but posted a modest 4.15 ERA over a larger sample at the AA level last season and probably won’t shut down a Nats team that leads the Majors in just about every offensive category.
Josh Bell: (PIT) @ ATL DK: $3,900 / FD: $2,800
He’s heating up right now and faces a RHP in Julio Teheran, who has imploded in 2 of his last 3 outings.
Hanley Ramirez: (BOS) vs. TEX DK: $4,600 / FD: $3,600
Hanley is one of the top 3 options at 1B tonight with the platoon advantage against Perez.
Jose Altuve: (HOU) vs. DET DK: $5,100 / FD: $4,100
A first place team with plenty of dangerous righties could continue to make life difficult for young LHP Daniel Norris, who can’t keep runners off base with a 1.72 WHIP and a 4.40 BB/9 ratio on the year. If he puts Altuve on, you can bet dollars to pesos that he’ll be running against whichever catcher the Tigers put back there. While his speed numbers have been down this year, Altuve was riding an 8-game hitting streak leading into last night’s performance with 3 doubles and 2 homers during that span and he’s a career .341 hitter against the platoon.
Starlin Castro: (NYY) vs. KC DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,400
Great addition to a Yankees stack against struggling Royals RHP Jason Hammel.
Ian Happ: (CHC) vs. SF DK: $4,100 / FD: $3,500
Still very much an elite option at his position and he’ll have the platoon advantage against Matt Moore.
Kris Bryant: (CHC) vs. SF DK: $5,100 / FD: $4,300
Giants LHP Matt Moore might be a good option tonight if not for the matchup, as he’s simply too hard to trust at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field against a lineup that can absolutely mash. The Cubbies are sporting the fifth-highest wOBA (.343) against LHP this season and Bryant is leading the way with a .344 batting average and .542 wOBA against the platoon. He was near the top of the MLB with a .438 wOBA against lefties last season and can really use the dimensions at Wrigley, while Moore has struggled badly with a 8.63 ERA and 1.96 WHIP on the road this season.
Anthony Rendon: (WAS) vs. SEA DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,000
He was a monster last night and could come through as part of a Nats stack once again.
Josh Harrison: (PIT) @ ATL DK: $3,900 / FD: $2,800
If you believe Julio Teheran’s struggles will continue you can definitely consider Harrison as one of the Pirates best bats.
Jean Segura: (SEA) @ WAS DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,600
A brief slump from the Mariners offense as a collective seems to have led to a price drop for Segura, yet he’s still logged 3 hits over his last 2 appearances and he’s sixth amongst active players with a .340 batting average at this point in the season. Nationals RHP Tanner Roark is usually stingy, but he was tagged for 7 ER in his last outing against a weak Pirates offense and gave up 4 ER to the Phillies in his previous start to raise his ERA to 4.73 on the year. Segura has been better in RvR matchups with a .352 batting average against RHP and he’s hitting .354 on the road.
Didi Gregorius: (NYY) vs. KC DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,500
Plenty of upside as part of a Yankees stack tonight.
Trea Turner: (WAS) vs. SEA DK: $4,800 / FD: $3,500
He’s a relative bargain on FanDuel and has tons of upside in a matchup against rookie RHP Sam Gavligio.
J.D. Martinez: (DET) @ HOU DK: $4,800 / FD: $3,800
Astros SP Charlie Morton is strangely expensive tonight after he was touched up for 4 ER on 8 hits and coughed up 3 homers in his last outing against Cleveland. He’s now sporting a 19.4% HR/FB ratio with a 4.04 FIP on the year and his 10.48 K/9 ratio may not be sustainable. Martinez is the best candidate amongst Tigers hitters to go yard off him with his lofty .600 ISO Mark and 6 HR through 10 appearances this season, so you should feel free to use him at a ballpark with an extended short porch in LF.
Chris Young: (BOS) vs. TEX DK: $3,600 / FD: $2,500
It could be a great opportunity to get some value in your lineups if Young starts for the BoSox tonight. The lefty killer specializes against soft-throwing southpaws like tonight’s starter Martin Perez, who is sporting a .335 BABIP and the lowest Ground Ball Rate (43.9%) of his career while going 2-5 over his first 9 starts. Young has gone 3-for-7 over his last 2 starts and happens to be 4-for-7 with a HR in his career against Perez, so he could serve as part of an appealing Red Sox stack at home tonight.