AAA 400 Drive For Autism
Yahoo: Top 30 Drivers
Yahoo / Fox / NASCAR: Quick Picks
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Dover International Speedway this weekend, and after a rash of races at 1.5-mile ovals, Sunday's AAA 400 Drive for Autism will be a bit of curveball.
Dover is a 1.0-mile, concrete oval that blends the speeds of a larger oval with the side-by-side racing of a short track, and when it comes to NASCAR DFS, I often think of Dover as another short track when assembling my lineups.
The 400-lap distance means there are plenty of points available in the dominator categories, and history says that a couple of drivers are going to monopolize these points. You can also count on the drivers who lead a lot of laps this weekend to start near the front.
In six races over the last three seasons, 14 drivers have led 70-plus laps in a race at Dover. During that span, all but one of those drivers started in the Top 15, and nine of those drivers started in the Top 5.
Looking at the pricing, I think it is going to be tough to build a balanced lineup. Many of the mid-priced options are slotted at more than $8,000, and unless qualifying brings some surprises, I don't think you can pay that much for a driver who doesn't have a chance to contribute in the dominator stats.
As a result, I'm expecting many of lineups to be top heavy. Playing around with some lineups, I like a few combinations that feature three high-priced drivers and three drivers priced below $7,000.
I'll wait and see what qualifying and practice bring before finalizing any lineups, but in the meantime, here is a closer look at the drivers I'll be considering for Sunday's race at Dover.
Jimmie Johnson ($10,600)
Johnson has been a one-man wrecking crew at Dover throughout his career. He has amassed 10 wins at the track, including three in his last seven starts. More importantly, Johnson has absolutely owned the dominator categories. Since 2005, his 1,305 fastest laps run are 774 more than any other driver, and his 2,698 yards are 1,559 more than any other driver. When he is dialed in at Dover, he can carry a DFS lineup by himself.
Kasey Kahne ($7,700)
Hendrick Motorsports has enjoyed a lot of success at Dover, and Kahne has definitely seen a boost in his numbers at the track since joining the organization. He has a 6.5 average finish over the last four races here, gaining a combined 48 spots and moving up at least five spots in every race. If he starts in the middle of the pack, Kahne can deliver a solid point total.
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