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Plays of the Day
Value: Red Sox LHP Brian Johnson has been recalled to earn a second crack at greatness after spinning a CGSO in his last MLB outing on May 27. The young southpaw has been great at the AAA level as well with a 2.72 ERA and miniscule 3.4% HR/FB ratio over 8 appearances and he’s fully capable of limiting a shorthanded Tigers lineup that depends far too much on a couple of sluggers in the middle of the order.
Fade: Paul Goldschmidt and the D’Backs are always worth consideration as a stack at Chase Field, but Brewers RHP Zach Davies got back on track in his last outing and when he’s right, he can snap off breaking balls to limit RHBs such as the D’Backs slugger.
Team Target Stacks
Indians: Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Lonnie Chisenhall, Jason Kipnis
Pirates: Josh Harrison, Gregory Polanco, Andrew McCutchen
Marlins: Dee Gordon, Giancarlo Stanton, J.T. Realmuto, Christian Yelich
Nationals: Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy, Anthony Rendon
Red Sox: Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez, Jackie Bradley Jr.
Chance of rain delays in Pittsburgh tonight.
Corey Kluber: (CLE) vs. CWS DK: $12,600/FD: $10,500
Kluber is turning his season around after a rough start and some time off seemed to do him well, as he returned with a 10-strikeout, 6-inning gem at home against the A’s, allowing just 2 hits and 0 ER in his first outing off the DL. Now he faces a White Sox team that he’s generally owned with a 2.77 ERA and 10.1 K/9 ratio over his last 11 appearances, including a CGSO of the Northsiders earlier this season. The White Sox are struggling with the third-lowest collective wOBA (.295) and sixth-highest K-Rate (23.7%) in the Majors when facing RHP and are unlikely to get off the schneid in a road test against the Indians ace.
Jordan Montgomery: (NYY) vs. BAL DK: $7,600/FD: $6,700
Montgomery was a quality value option in his last outing against the Orioles, but a couple defensive mistakes did him in, as he only lasted 4.1 innings while giving up 3 runs (only 1 earned). Yet he still looked good while eliciting 9 groundball outs to go along with 5 K’s and followed that up with a 6-inning shutout at Toronto in his last outing, as he’s now posted a 1.06 ERA over his last 3 appearances. The rookie southpaw faces an Orioles lineup that posted the worst collective batting average (.234) against LHP amongst A.L. teams last year and he’s been able to limit hard contact with a modest 17.1% Line Drive Rate this season.
Brian Johnson: (BOS) vs. DET DK: $6,500/FD: $6,600
Much to the delight of Red Sox Nation, Johnson has been recalled to earn a second crack at greatness after spinning a CGSO in his last MLB outing on May 27. The young southpaw has been great at the AAA level as well with a 2.72 ERA and miniscule 3.4% HR/FB ratio over 8 appearances and he’s fully capable of limiting a shorthanded Tigers lineup that depends far too much on a couple of sluggers in the middle of the order. Boston (-160) is also heavily favored with struggling veteran Jordan Zimmerman taking the mound for Detroit, so the their rookie SP is in a good position to succeed.
Alex Cobb: (TB) vs. OAK DK: $7,200/FD: $7,900
He could not have been much worse in his last outing, as he allowed 9 ER on 14 hits in an implosion at Seattle, but now Cobb will pitch at home against arguably the worst offense in the American League. The A’s are sporting the lowest collective batting average (.233) amongst A.L. teams and the fourth-highest K-Rate (24.8%) overall when facing RHP this season and current A’s are just 8-for-31 (.258) with 5 K’s over a small sample against Cobb. Aside from that horrible outing in Seattle, Cobb’s been solid this season and much more reliable at home with a 3.67 ERA and .238 BAA over 4 appearances at Tropicana Field.
J.T. Realmuto: (MIA) @ PIT DK: $3,900 / FD: $3,200
The Fish were raking last night against a much more capable SP in Gerrit Cole, so they’re definitely worth a look against a rookie RHP that can’t seem to get it right. Tyler Glasnow is sporting a 6.97 ERA with a 1.87 WHIP that would rank dead last amongst qualified SPs if he had made it through enough innings this year, so Realmuto and his teammates should be able to reach base consistently. Miami’s backstop is 4-for-13 with a HR and triple over his last 3 appearances and he’s been deadly on the road this season with a .363 batting average and 15 RBIs over 26 appearances.
Brian McCann: (HOU) vs. LAA DK: $3,500 / FD: $3,400
Still a good option tonight in a tougher matchup against Angels RHP Matt Shoemaker.
Yan Gomes: (CLE) vs. CWS DK: $3,100 / FD: $2,700
Worth adding to an Indians stack against RHP Miguel Gonzalez.
Justin Smoak: (TOR) @ SEA DK: $4,700 / FD: $4,000
One of the biggest surprises of the season for the Blue Jays, Smoak is absolutely en fuego with a .342/.395/.816 slash line and 6 homers over his last 10 appearances. He’s launched 17 bombs with a .950 OPS on the season and is a platoon specialist who could tag young RHP Sam Gaviglio. The Mariners starter has been lucky to avoid damage over a pair of home starts, but is struggling overall with a 5.46 FIP and 21.7% HR/FB ratio on the year. While lefties aren’t hitting for much average off Gaviglio, he’s posting a 2.53 HR/9 ratio with a 38.7% Hard Contact Rate when facing LHB and that makes Smoak a very good GPP option.
Wil Myers: (SD) vs. KC DK: $3,700 / FD: $3,500
Worth a look with the platoon advantage against rookie LHP Eric Skoglund.
Hanley Ramirez: (BOS) vs. DET DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,300
A much more dangerous option at Fenway Park and he faces a consistently vulnerable RHP in Jordan Zimmerman.
Brian Dozier: (MIN) @ SEA DK: $3,800 / FD: $3,500
Dozier remains quite cheap on DK despite drawing a juicy matchup tonight against struggling southpaw Matt Moore. The Giants LHP is sporting a 5.22 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP after getting shellacked by the lowly Phillies in his last outing and he’s worth targeting even though he’s posted much better numbers at massive AT&T Park this season. Dozier is a known lefty killer and he’s hitting .306 with a .424 wOBA against LHP this season, while he’s hit safely in 3 straight appearances and happens to be 2-for-6 with a double and HR in his career against this southpaw.
Dee Gordon: (MIA) @ PIT DK: $4,000 / FD: $3,100
Great option in any format against vulnerable young RHP Tyler Glasnow.
Jason Kipnis: (CLE) vs. CWS DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,200
The Indians could be all over Miguel Gonzalez tonight with lefties leading the charge.
Yunel Escobar: (LAA) @ HOU DK: $3,400 / FD: $3,000
Somehow, someway, the Angels are finding a way to compete on a nightly basis with Mike Trout on the DL and Escobar’s been a big part of that with his solid .351/.400/.432 slash line over his last 10 appearances. He’s been hitting clean up for the Halos and is rather under priced considering his placement within the lineup, while the Angels have a chance to continue producing on the road against mediocre RHP Brad Peacock. The Astros SP has been great over the small sample of 3 starts this year, but posted a 3.69 ERA last season with a 5.17 FIP and 1.71 HR/9 ratio and he’s been giving up a 33.9% Hard Contact Rate, so a couple of base hits from Escobar seems quite possible.
Josh Harrison: (PIT) vs. MIA DK: $4,700 / FD: $3,000
Clearly under priced on FD tonight and a play with much more upside than Escobar on that DFS site.
Jose Ramirez: (CLE) vs. CWS DK: $4,200 / FD: $3,500
Another dangerous hitter to consider as part of an Indians stack tonight.
Francisco Lindor: (CLE) vs. CWS DK: $4,400 / FD: $3,700
Part of the reason Kluber is so appealing tonight would be the likely run support he’ll receive with vulnerable RHP Miguel Gonzalez going for the visiting White Sox. Gonzo simply doesn’t have enough deception in his arsenal to consistently fool great lineups and the Indians are hitting a combined .284 (31-for-109) with 7 HRs to post a collective .405 wOBA in their careers against him. Lefties are 41-for-142 (.306) with 6 HRs off the 33-year-old RHP this year and Lindor is definitely worth a look as a powerful switch hitter despite his 0-for-6 record over a small sample of at-bats against Gonzalez.
JT Riddle: (MIA) @ PIT DK: $2,900 / FD: $2,800
With 7 hits over his last 4 appearances, Riddle is a fine value to consider against rookie Tyler Glasnow.
Asdrubal Cabrera: (NYM) @ ATL DK: $3,400 / FD: $2,900
Worth a look in case Braves RHP Julio Teheran continues to struggle.
Bryce Harper: (WAS) vs. TEX DK: $5,300 / FD: $4,500
Of course Harper is a premier option at home tonight against RHP Andrew Cashner, who was overachieving this year until the Astros brought him back to earth by tagging him for 5 ER on 11 hits over 6 IP in his last start. Now he’ll face the Nationals N.L.-leading offense and an elite lefty in Harper, who happens to be 4-for-8 with 2 walks in his career against Cashner. Lefties posted a .380 wOBA against him last year and he’s given up 4 HRs (1.27 HR/9 ratio) when facing the platoon this season, so Harper is certainly a candidate to go yard after logging 3 hits with a SB last night.
Gregory Polanco: (PIT) vs. MIA DK: $3,900 / FD: $3,300
The Pirates host one of the most vulnerable SPs on the slate in RHP Vance Worley, who is sporting a 6.59 ERA and 2.46 WHIP after giving up 5 ER on 6 hits and 3 walks over 5.2 IP in his last outing. Worley’s consistently been more vulnerable when facing the platoon in his career and LHB are 11-for-31 (.367) with a HR to post a .451 wOBA off him so far this year. Polanco’s facing Worley for the first time, but he was going well with 8 hits over 6 appearances before suffering a rough-looking ankle injury and proved that he’s over that issue with a 3-hit performance in Baltimore on Wednesday.