SEC Power Predictions

The BCS rankings are out and Yratings rankings almost agree with the Top-4. Yratings agrees with Alabama at No. 2 and Boise State at No. 4, but flip-flop Texas to No. 1 and Florida to No. 3. TCU is the only other top-10 BCS team ranked in the Yratings Top-10 ranked No. 7 (BCS No. 8).

Cincinnati, Iowa and LSU are the three other teams ranked in the BCS Top-10, and by the BCS computers but not ranked in the Top-10 by Yratings. BCS No. 10 Miami has the worst ranking from the BCS computers at 13th, while Yratings ranks BCS No. 9 LSU the worst at 27th.

Kansas has the worst ranking from the BCS computers at 33rd, while Yratings ranks Wisconsin the worst at 52nd.

Alabama took over the top spot in the Yratings rankings due to Florida's rating stock falling six points over the last two weeks. Alabama dropped slightly, but held on enough to surpass Florida by 0.3 rating points.

Auburn continues to fall after back-to-back losses, and Ole Miss jumped three places to No. 4 after this weekend's large margin victory.


1. (124.4) ALABAMA - takes over the top spot
2. (124.1) FLORIDA - 3 point drop in the ratings two weeks in a row
3. (113.7) TENNESSEE - didn't play, little change
4. (110.6) OLE MISS - bounced back moving up 3 ratings points
5. (109.7) AUBURN - two straight losses, 2 point drop
6. (108.6) LSU - didn't play, little change
7. (107.1) ARKANSAS - good effort in loss to Florida
8. (104.0) SOUTH CAROLINA - kept it close for a while against Bama, slight drop
9. (102.3) KENTUCKY - up 1.3 points, no ranking change after the win over AU
10.(101.7) GEORGIA - up 3 rating points, but no movement in the rankings
11.( 98.7) MISS. STATE - up 4 ratings points, same ranking
12.( 90.3) VANDERBILT - 2 point drop in the ratings, no where to go in the rankings

Last week the picks went 5-1 (83%), and since week #4 the pick are 22-6 (79%). Auburn over Kentucky was the only loser - AU proved the ratings wrong two weeks in a row. Can they make it three?


#33 ARKANSAS (3-3, 1-3) AT #20 OLE MISS (4-2, 1-2)

Arkansas will win because..#12 passing offense (302.5 yds/game), 9th in turnover margin (1.17 takeaways/game), ranked 14th in tackles for loss (7.83 tfl/game), #3 in kick returns led by Dennis Johnson (31.4 yds/kick) and Yratings #1 toughest schedule.

Ole Miss will win because..Arkansas #97 total defense (397.3 yds/game) and #100 pass defense (253.7 yds/game), #4 pass efficiency defense, #8 pass defense (152.3 yds/game), #8 scoring defense (13.0 pts/game) and the rubber beaded home field.

If there is a defense to slow down the high flying offense of Arkansas the mold would look similar to Ole Miss. Ole Miss loves to shutdown the pass which could cause problems for Ryan Mallet and his big receivers.

Jevan Snead will need to avoid mistakes because Arkansas loves to create turnovers. This one will go down to the last possession with the home team holding on in the end.


#15 TENNESSEE (3-3, 1-2) AT #2 ALABAMA (7-0, 4-0)

Alabama will win because..#9 rushing offense (229.3 yds/gm), SEC rushing leader Mark Ingram (129.3 yds/gm), kicking game of Leigh Tiffin, #1 total defense (226.6 yds/gm) and #1 pass efficiency defense, and home field.

Tennessee will win because..#13 total defense (272.0 yds/gm) #10 pass defense (161.8 yds/gm), Montario Hardesty (112.0 yds/gm), and Crompton (against Georgia).
Three games into the season this game looked like a gimmee for Bama, but the last three games indicate a closer entertaining game. If McElroy can find his mojo from earlier games it'll be a long day for the Vols.

If Crompton and company keep improving then we might have us a ballgame. Same old story, Alabama literally runs away in the end.


#97 VANDERBILT (2-5, 0-4) AT #44 SOUTH CAROLINA (5-2, 2-2)

Vandy will win because..#9 pass efficiency defense, #3 pass defense (133.6 yds/game) and all-purpose runner Warren Norman.

South Carolina will win because..Vandy's #110 scoring offense (17.6 pts/game) and #112 pass offense (150.6 yds/game), #19 total defense (291.1 yds/game), #5 pass defense (142.6 yds/game) and the kicking of Spencer Lanning.

After a physical loss on the road South Carolina will be back in the safe confines of home where the Gamecocks are undefeated. Vandy's season is reeling and nothing would make it better than to pull of the upset on the road. USC may be a little sluggish at the start, but they will pull away in the end.


#88 LOUISIANA-MONROE (4-2, 3-0) AT #53 KENTUCKY (3-3, 1-3)

UL-Monroe will win because..a 3-game win streak, #12 rushing defense (93.3 yds/game), #21 rushing offense (194.5 yds/game), #7 in sacks Aaron Morgan (1.17 sacks/game) and Frank Goodin.

Kentucky will win because..#18 strength of schedule, #13 pass defense (163.3 yds/game), dangerous returners SEC leading kick returner Derrick Locke and punt return man Randall Cobb, plus a little home field action doesn't hurt.

Kentucky's 4th quarter comeback over Auburn should boast the confidence of the team on the outlook of the season ahead. Plus an out of conference game against an inferior opponent will help to work out the kinks before diving back into SEC play. But Kentucky needs to beware because this opponent may not be so inferior.


#3 FLORIDA (6-0, 4-0) AT #67 MISSISSIPPI STATE (3-4, 1-2)

Florida will win because..13th toughest schedule, #1 scoring defense (8.7 pts/game), #2 total defense (228.3 yds/game), #6 total offense (470.5 yds/game), and Tim Tebow ranked #3 in pass efficiency and always dangerous Brandon James returning kicks.

Miss.State will win because..Florida's turnover issues, #13 rushing offense (219.0 yds/game), #26 in sacks allowed, #29 in kickoff returns, Anthony Dixon's running game (116.0 yds/game) and Corey Broomfield in the secondary.

Mississippi State's home field has witnessed previous upsets of Florida in the recent past. So can Florida pick up the pieces after last week's scare and avoid falling into the same trap on the road. Miss.State doesn't have the firepower of Arkansas, so Florida should be able to cruise to a win as long as the turnover bug doesn't bite again.


#24 AUBURN (5-2, 2-2) AT #27 LSU (5-1, 3-1)

Auburn will win because..#7 rushing offense (247.3 yds/game), #8 total offense (464.9 yds/game), #12 scoring offense (34.9 pts/game), Ben Tate's 122.3 yards on the ground and his sidekick Onterio McCalebb.

LSU will win because..Saturday night game in Baton Rouge, Auburn's 99th ranked rushing defense (181.4 yds/game), #14 scoring defense (14.5 pts/game), 9th in turnover margin, and maybe Charles Scott in the ground game.

Both offenses have struggled against SEC competition, and it doesn't help Auburn to play in one of the toughest stadiums in the country. LSU doesn't offer many gifts to opposing teams, so even more pressure will be applied if the purple and gold Tigers get an early lead. Which Auburn team will show up - the one that was blownout by the Hogs or the one that pounded the Vols. LSU is struggling for an identity on offense while Auburn has one when it shows up.


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