TheOldCoach Class 5A Bracketology

THEOLDCOACH breaks down the 5A brackets, things to watch for, possible first round upset watch and we make our picks in each region, It's playoff time in Texas and TOC will be all over the state!

THEOLDCOACH CLASS 5A BRACKETOLOGY

DIVISION I

Region I

El Paso Bel Air (6-4) vs. El Paso Chapin (9-1) Friday 8:00pm Rocket Memorial Stadium, El Paso

Plainview (5-5) vs. Canyon Randall (9-1) Friday 7:30pm Sherwood Memorial Stadium, Plainview

Birdville (4-6) vs. Saginaw Boswell (9-1) Saturday 10:30am AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Burleson Centennial (7-3) vs. Fort Worth Arlington Heights (8-1) Friday 7:30pm Kangaroo Stadium, Weatherford

El Paso Andress (6-4) vs. El Paso Del Valle (8-2) Friday 8:00pm Conquest Stadium, El Paso

Amarillo Caprock (3-7) vs. Abilene Cooper (5-5) Friday 4:00pm Lowrey Field, Lubbock

Denton (8-2) vs. Grapevine (8-2) Saturday 9:00pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Fort Worth Trimble Tech (5-5) vs. Aledo (9-1) Thursday 7:00pm Ranger Stadium, Fort Worth

The big question is will anyone be able to give Aledo a semi-tough challenge??? A year ago the Bearcats did get tested twice in Region I as El Paso Del Valle and Canyon Randall both played Aledo very tough, but fell to the eventual champions. The Bearcats will be prohibited favorites again and it is likely they again matchup with Randall in the regional finals, but there are some potential pot holes. Denton High, who lost to Aledo in the area round a year ago looks to be even better in 2015, while rejuvenated Abilene Cooper can score points with just about anyone. Randall is looking at a possible area round matchup with powerful El Paso Chapin who has a history of being a thorn in the side of West Texas teams. Boswell looms in the third round, the Pioneers have just one loss and they feature a powerful rushing attack, they have a potential area round showdown with one loss Arlington Heights ahead. Much more depth than last year in Region I Division I but all roads once again go through Aledo.

First Round Upset Potential

Amarillo Caprock over Abilene Cooper

Final Four

Aledo over Abilene Cooper; Canyon Randall over Saginaw Boswell

Regional Champ

Aledo

Region II

Wylie (6-4) vs. Frisco Wakeland (8-2) Saturday 2:00pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Rockwall-Heath (7-3) vs. Carrollton Creekview (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Clark Field, Plano

Mansfield Summit (9-1) vs. Dallas Kimball (6-4) Thursday 7:00pm Midlothian ISD Stadium, Midlothian

Lufkin (7-3) vs. Longview (8-2) Friday 7:30pm TMF Rose Stadium, Tyler

The Colony (5-5) vs. Wylie East (9-1) Friday 5:30pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Carrollton Smith (4-6) vs. Mesquite Poteet (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Standridge Stadium, Carrollton

Dallas Samuell (4-6) vs. Mansfield Lake Ridge (10-0) Thursday 7:00pm Gopher-Warrior Bowl, Grand Prairie

Texarkana Texas High (8-2) vs. Tyler John Tyler (7-3) Saturday 2:00pm Lobo Stadium, Longview

Unbeaten Mansfield Lake Ridge laid the seeds for their tremendous regular season run last year in a surprising run to the third round of the playoffs. Now the Eagles look poised to make even more noise in 2015, but as always Region II is full of challenges. The biggest challenge may come in the area round of the playoffs as last year’s regional champion John Tyler is playing their best football at the right time having won seven straight. CUJO has a playoff tradition and Lake Ridge’s gaudy stats and record won’t intimidate the Lions. A possible round three matchup with Wylie East could light the scoreboard up as well. The top half of the bracket doesn’t look near as daunting with several question marks, the winner of the area matchup between Mansfield Summit and Lufkin/Longview could make a deep push.

First Round Upset Potential

Wylie over Frisco Wakeland

Final Four

Mansfield Summit over Rockwall-Heath; Mansfield Lake Ridge over Wylie East

Regional Champ

Mansfield Lake Ridge

Region III

Willis (6-4) vs. Temple (9-1) Friday 7:30pm Bowers Stadium, Huntsville

Houston Waltrip (6-4) vs. Houston Stratford (9-1) Thursday 7:30pm Delmar Stadium, Houston

Beaumont Central (5-5) vs. Houston King (8-2) Thursday 7:00pm The Rig, Pearland

Richmond Foster (8-2) vs. Fort Bend Elkins (8-2) Friday 7:00pm Traylor Stadium, Rosenberg

Manor (7-3) vs. Bryan (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Greene Stadium, Bryan

Magnolia West (7-3) vs. Houston Madison (7-3) Friday 7:00pm Mustang Stadium, Magnolia

New Caney (7-3) vs. Nederland (7-3) Saturday 6:00pm Thomas Center, Beaumont

Fort Bend Bush (5-5) vs. Richmond George Ranch (10-0) Friday 7:00pm Mercer Stadium, Sugar Land

The Houston area is loaded this year and it shows as several powerful teams from H-Town are vying to unseat defending regional champion Temple. The biggest challenger could be the Wildcats second round opponent in Houston Stratford, the Spartans have the athletes to go toe to toe with Temple and this year they’ve got the defense to contend. Always dangerous Richmond Foster hasn’t had much luck getting past tough first round opponents and that’s not changing this week with Elkins but if FHS gets past Elkins they could be a third round test for Temple as well. Looming at the bottom of the bracket is the region’s only unbeaten team in George Ranch, the Longhorns lost a thriller to Temple in the regional final a year ago and they’d like nothing more than a second shot at the Wildcats.

First Round Upset Potential

New Caney over Nederland

Final Four

Temple over Richmond Foster; Richmond George Ranch over Bryan

Regional Champ

Temple

Region IV

Bastrop Cedar Creek (4-6) vs. Austin Vandegrift (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Monroe Stadium, Austin

San Marcos (7-3) vs. San Antonio Harlandale (6-4) Friday 7:30pm Harlandale Memorial Stadium, San Antonio

San Antonio Highlands (7-3) vs. Lockhart (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Lion Stadium, Lockhart

Victoria East (6-4) vs. Uvalde (6-4) Saturday 4:00pm Alamodome, San Antonio

Brownsville Porter (6-4) vs. Edinburg Vela (10-0) Friday 7:30pm Sams Stadium, Brownsville

Cedar Park Vista Ridge (8-2) vs. Austin LBJ (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Nelson Field, Austin

San Antonio Highlands (7-3) vs. Lockhart (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Lion Stadium, Lockhart

Laredo Nixon (5-5) vs. Victoria West (9-1) Saturday Noon Alamodome, San Antonio

Mission Veterans Memorial (7-3) vs. Donna (8-2) Friday 7:30pm LaPrade Stadium, Donna

Can anyone unlock the stranglehold District 25-5A has had on Region IV in this alignment cycle? The district has swept the regional titles in every team sport and that district looks to have the favorite once again with Austin Vandegrift, who the regional title a year ago. The Vipers have a state championship offense but the defense leaves a lot to be desired and that makes them vulnerable. The big question is besides Vista Ridge can anyone challenge VHS? The best bet could be Victoria West who nearly made it to the quarter-finals last year before losing by a single point in round three, West brings back a lot of talent and they’ve been impressive winning nine of ten games this year. The big sleeper could be unbeaten Edinburg Vela out of the Valley, Vela a year ago lost a shootout to West in the area playoffs and they have the experience and confidence to make noise as well.

First Round Upset Potential

Austin LBJ over Cedar Park Vista Ridge

Final Four

Austin Vandegrift over Edinburg Vela; Victoria West over Cedar Park Vista Ridge

Regional Champ

Austin Vandegrift

DIVISION II

Region I

El Paso Ysleta (8-2) vs. El Paso Burges (6-4) Friday 8:00pm Mustang Stadium, El Paso

San Angelo Lake View (3-7) vs. Canyon (8-2) Friday 7:00pm Wigwam Stadium, Seminole

Fort Worth Dunbar (5-5) vs. Wichita Falls Rider (6-4) Friday 7:30pm Clark Stadium, Fort Worth

Everman (6-4) vs. Fort Worth Wyatt (6-4) Thursday 7:00pm Newsom Stadium, Mansfield

El Paso Bowie (7-3) vs. El Paso Eastlake (9-1) Thursday 8:00pm Socorro ISD Student Activity Center, El Paso

Dumas (8-2) vs. Lubbock Cooper (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Demon Stadium, Dumas

White Settlement Brewer (6-4) vs. Lake Dallas (8-2) Friday 7:00pm Northwest ISD Stadium, Justin

Fort Worth South Hills (7-3) vs. Burleson (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Gopher-Warrior Bowl, Grand Prairie

In the region that produced El Paso’s first ever regional champion a year ago, things look to be wide open once again and yes an El Paso team is right in the mix. That team, Eastlake bears a striking resemblance to last year’s regional champion Canutillo. EHS is fresh off a three round trip a year ago, they bring back a large number of seniors and they have won nine games in a row. Lubbock Cooper, a surprise area round loser to Eastlake a year ago likely will get another shot at Eastlake and the Pirates will be chomping at the bit to get that revenge. Burleson and Everman out of 8-5A could both be contenders as well, Everman is 6-4 but three of the Bulldogs losses are by a combined five points and they went to the regional final a year ago. Don’t count Wichita Falls Rider out or Canyon at this point, both are incredibly dangerous as well while Lake Dallas is working to get healthy and could be a tough out at the bottom of the bracket.

First Round Upset Potential

White Settlement Brewer over Lake Dallas

Final Four

Canyon over Wichita Falls Rider; El Paso Eastlake over Burleson

Regional Champ

Canyon

Region II

Prosper (6-4) vs. Frisco Lone Star (9-1) Friday 9:00pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Forney (7-3) vs. Dallas Adams (7-3) Thursday 7:00pm Eagle Stadium, Allen

Mansfield Timberview (5-5) vs. South Oak Cliff (7-3) Thursday 7:30pm Eagle Stadium, DeSoto

Lindale (5-5) vs. Marshall (9-1) Saturday 1:00pm Pirate Stadium, Longview

Frisco (8-2) vs. Lovejoy (7-3) Saturday 5:30pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Dallas Wilson (7-3) vs. Terrell (9-1) Thursday 7:00pm HBJ Stadium, Garland

Seagoville (7-3) vs. Lancaster (7-3) Thursday 7:00pm Eagle Stadium, Wilmer

Hallsville (6-4) vs. Ennis (6-4) Friday 7:30pm Memorial Stadium, Van

With a lot of the power in Division I this region looks to be wide open, last year’s state champion Ennis struggled just to get into the playoffs and they are facing a tough potential area round game against Lancaster. WEBO when they’ve been good, they’ve been really good but when bad they’ve been very beatable. No one is talking much about Terrell, but the Tigers are 9-1 they could really be a threat as well. The top of the bracket is just as wide open, despite losing their starting QB Marshall could be the favorite to advance out of the top side of the bracket. The Mavericks have plenty of playoff experience returning after last year. SOC despite not being as deep as last year is dangerous but can they get out of a brutal bi-district game with Mansfield Timberview? Frisco Lone Star is under the radar as well, the Rangers have plenty of talent but the lack of playoff experience could be the downfall in the later rounds.

First Round Upset Potential

Mansfield Timberview over South Oak Cliff

Final Four

Marshall over Frisco Lone Star; Lancaster over Terrell

Regional Champ

Lancaster

Region III

College Station A&M Consolidated (7-3) vs. Waco (6-4) Friday 7:30pm Waco ISD Stadium, Waco

Houston Sharpstown (7-3) vs. Magnolia (9-1) Friday 7:00pm Bulldog Stadium, Magnolia

Lumberton (7-3) vs. Crosby (10-0) Friday 7:00pm Texan Drive Stadium, Porter

Port Lavaca Calhoun (7-3) vs. Fort Bend Ridge Point (7-3) Thursday 7:00pm Hopper Field, Freeport

Hutto (6-4) vs. College Station (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Cougar Stadium, College Station

Brenham (4-6) vs. Houston North Forest (9-1) Friday 7:30pm Cub Stadium, Brenham

Dayton (7-3) vs. Port Neches-Groves (8-2) Friday 7:00pm Stallworth Stadium, Baytown

Texas City (7-3) vs. Angleton (5-5) Friday 7:30pm Hopper Field, Freeport

Defending regional champion Crosby comes in undefeated and looks to be the favorite but plenty of land mines await. It starts in the area round with a possible matchup with Ridge Point who is a surprise entry into Division II after being Division I a year ago. The Panthers have the talent to contend with Crosby but they’ve had some struggles in games against high level competition. A&M Consolidated if they can get healthy is a big sleeper, the Tigers still have size and talent up front. College Station has plenty of firepower and could make a deep run, especially with a home game in bi-district. Texas City played in a tough district and the Stingarees have a favorable draw, if they can get out of the first round with a dangerous Angleton team.

First Round Upset Potential

Angleton over Texas City

Final Four

Crosby over College Station A&M Consolidated; College Station over Texas City

Regional Champ

Crosby

Region IV

Bastrop (7-3) vs. Cedar Park (10-0) Thursday 7:30pm Gupton Stadium, Cedar Park

San Antonio McCollum (5-5) vs. Kerrville Tivy (10-0) Friday 7:30pm Alamodome, San Antonio

Gregory-Portland (6-4) vs. Somerset (9-1) Friday 7:30pm Akins Wildcat Stadium, Portland

Edcouch-Elsa (6-4) vs. Roma (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Landry Stadium, Mission

Georgetown (7-3) vs. Austin Reagan (7-3) Thursday 7:00pm Georgetown ISD Athletic Complex, Georgetown

Boerne Champion (7-3) vs. San Antonio Sam Houston (10-0) Friday 7:30pm Boerne ISD Stadium, Boerne

Medina Valley (7-3) vs. Corpus Christi Calallen (8-2) Friday 7:30pm Wildcat Stadium, Corpus Christi

Mission Sharyland (6-4) vs. Mercedes (7-3) Friday 7:30pm Thompson Stadium, Mission

Last year’s state runner up Cedar Park comes in as Class 5A’s consensus number one team and they have the feather in their cap with a win over Aledo and running the table in 25-5A unbeaten. The Timberwolves seem like they are on a mission to erase the memories of last year and they’ll be the prohibited favorite. There is a possible stumbling block in the area round with unbeaten Kerrville Tivy awaiting, the Antlers aren’t very good on defense but they have the offensive firepower to do some real damage. Calallen with just one loss looks to be the top team out of the bottom of the bracket, the Wildcats will have a chance to avenge their area round loss to Sharyland in the area playoffs. Roma at 8-2 is an under the radar team , the Gladiators were playoff newcomers a year ago and now with that experience they could be a team that gets to the third round. The winner of the Champion-Sam Houston game has some real potential at the bottom of the bracket as well.

First Round Upset Potential

Gregory-Portland over Somerset

Final Four

Cedar Park over Roma; Corpus Christi Calallen over Boerne Champion

Regional Champ

Cedar Park


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