Region III Division 2 Bi-District Predictions and analysis
Elgin (7-3) vs. Montgomery (5-3)
The Elgin Wilcats are the third place representative from district 17-4A. The Wildcats are led on offense by Tyler Swensen who accounted for 570 passing yards and 4 touchdowns to go with 581 rushing yards and 10 more touchdowns. Running back Derrick Falke also is a key member of the Wildcat offense. He rushed for 562 yards and 4 touchdowns this season.
The Montgomery Bears come into the post season as the fourth place team from district 18-4A. Leading the offense for the Bears is quarterback Tyler Bolfing who had a district leading 977 passing yards on the season with 10 touchdown passes. Running back Leroy Dobbins had 915 rushing yards this season, including a big week last week against Caney Creek in which he rushed for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensive backs Logan Ross and Anthony Scott each had 3 interceptions on the year.
Montgomery is a little more two dimensional that Elgin, I would look for them to mix it up well to try and keep Elgin honest on defense.
Elgin by 7
Ahmard's take: Elgin by 14
Dayton (8-1) vs. Livingston (6-2)
The Dayton Broncos are looking to make another deep run in the play-offs last year by eventual State Champion Lake Travis in the semi-finals. The Broncos potent offense includes Nebraska commit Cody Green as well as Houston commit A.J. Dugat. Both of these Broncos have proven to be quick strike playmakers throughout the season. Green has racked up nearly 2100 yards passing and 22 touchdowns to go with 723 rushing yards an 17 more touchdowns. Dugat has also had impressive numbers, rushing for 358 yards and 4 touchdowns while catching 70 passes for 1140 yards and 14 more touchdowns.
The Livingston Lions earned their trip to the play-offs this year with a second place finish in 20-4A. The Lions are primarily a running team with four running backs that have rushed for over 275 yards. The top two of that quartet are Quinton Jackson who had 544 yards and 5touchdowns and Jordon Nixon who had 496 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Livingston has given up 24 points a game over the last 6 games to less talented teams that Dayton. This could be abother game that gets out of hand early.
Dayton by 24
Ahmard's take: Dayton by 21
Houston Sharpstown (5-4) vs. Houston Furr (6-3)
The Apollos of Sharpstown High School are headlined by Junior quarterback Sam Carter who led the team in passing and rushing this year with 1395 and 925 yards respectively. William Peck and Darius Jones proved to be 2 of the top 3 receivers in the district with a combines 54 catches and 10 touchdowns. Jimmy Evans led the district with 5 of the Apollos 8 interceptions this year.
The Furr Brahmas finished 2nd in district 22-4A to make this years play-offs. The Brahmas had the number one offense from 22-4A this year averaging 410 yards of offense a game. Furr is a balanced team with quarterback Quentin Russell throwing for 1930 yards and 12 touchdowns while running backs Jimario Piro and Jarvis Milton combined to rush for 1700 yards and 22 touchdowns. The Brahmas defens also proved to be a force with 10 interceptions and 11 fumble recoveries this year.
The Brahmas have a good balanced offense that is not afraid to put some points up on the board. Sharpstown has that quick strike capabilities, but will need good protection for Sam Carter to be succesful.
Furr by 10
Ahmard's take: Sharpstown by 10
Rosenberg Terry (4-4) vs. Texas City (5-4)
The Rosenberg Terry Rangers were the second place team from district 23-4A. They have an odd distiction of being the top rated team defensively and the wort team offensively from 23-4A. The strond defense does however keep them in most games. The Rangers defense led the district with 11 interceptions. The Rangers don't throw the ball often, but when they do they complete about 50% of their passes.
The Texas City Stingarees had a rollercoaster of a season. Big wins followed by tough losses landed them in the fourth spot in district 24-4A. They are not to be underestimated though, as they are still one of the better programs in the Houston Area. The Stingarees defense led the district with 10 interceptions on the year. Offensively keep an eye on Derrick Bernard who rushed for 678 yards and 8 touchdowns while throwing for 836 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Both these teams are battle tested and come from very competitive districts. Don't expect either team to quit before the final whistle blows.
Texas City by 7
Ahmard's take: Terry by 7
Manor (3-7) vs. Brenham (5-4)
The Manor Mustangs qualified for the play-offs by finishing as the fourth place team in 17-4A. The Mustangs are paced offensively by quarterback Riley Beecher who threw for 1387 yards with 14 touchdowns. His quartet of receivers are DaQuan Roberts (20-502 8 TD's), Donte Moore (17-308 3 TD's), Stanley Norwood (20-250 3 TD's), and LD Williams (19-193 1 TD's). The Mustangs also rushed for 1450 yards and 16 touchdowns on the season.
The Brenham Cubs finished third in a pretty competitive district 18-4A. The Cubs offensively have been a little inconsistant throughout the year, but defensively the Cubs ranked number one in 18-4A. The Cubs only gave up 219 yards of offense per contest this season. Brenham had two kick-off returns for touchdowns in their last contest, so watch out for that.
The Mustangs seem to be the more powerful of these two teams, but Brenham is familiar within a play-off atmosphere.
Brenham by 7
Ahamard's take: Brenham by 21
Crosby (5-4) vs. Lumberton (8-1)
The Crosby Cougars were the third place team from district 19-4A. They are led offensively by running back Chance Casey who has rushed for 798 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season. Directing the offense for the Cougars is Sophomore signal caller Dominic Merka who has done well despite his youth, throwing for 1300 yards and 8 touchdowns.
The Lumberton Raiders were the district champions for 20-4A this year. Their lone loss of the season came in week 4 to Vidor. Senior running back Jacob Hanna who has rushed for 1240 yards and 17 touchdowns this season. Although the Raiders have been one sided offensively thus far, they have been effective non the less.
This game is all about which running back has the bigger game this week. Both schools have big time backs, and it should be a slugfest!
Crosby by 3
Ahmard's take: Lumberton by 7
Houston Yates (3-5) vs. Houston Jones (7-2)
The Houston Yates Lions are counting their blessings after squeeking into the play-offs on some late season heroics. Yates running back Reginald Perry rushed for 937 yards and 12 touchdowns during the regular season.
The Jones Falcons went undefeated in district play and won the 22-4A championship. Falcons Junior quarterback Aaron Taylor threw for 2100 yards and 23 touchdowns this year. Taylor's trio of target were wide receivers Morrian Sias (43-579 6 TD's), Joshua Butler (27-428 6 TD's), and Herman Gooding ( 18-278 7 TD's).
Yates got to the play-offs on a prayer. Can they continue their magical streak, or will Jones's air attack be the final nail in the coffin?
Jones by 17
Ahmard's take: Jones by 7
El Campo (6-2) vs. Freeport Brazosport (5-4)
The El Campo Rice Birds finished the regular season as the third place team in 23-4A. Their offense is a three headed attack from the backfield with Landon Appling (998 yards 5 TD's), Maverick Smith ( 520 yards 20 TD's), and Bryan Skow (353 yards 10 TD's). Keep an eye on Bryan Skow, he plays on both sides of the ball and plays well.
The Brazosport Exporters finished third in the extremely competitive 24-4A district. Leading the charge for the Exporters is running back Gary Bivens who led the district with 1326 yards and 20 touchdowns. Defensive back Brad McCoy also led the district with 3 interceptions on the year.
This will be a match-up of two teams who love to run the ball right at you. The team that can get the opposing defense to back off the line a little will likely win the battle.
El Campo by 3
Ahmard's take: El Campo by 10
Regional Player of the Week: AJ Dugat, WR, Dayton
Senior wide receiver AJ Dugat of Dayton has been dominate to say the least. During the regular season he caught 70 passes for 1139 yards and also amassed 358 rushing yards with an additional 4 touchdowns. That's an amazing 14.5 yards a touch for this Houston commit. Dugat has had such a succesful year on the field his name is constantly brough up with other big programs within the state as being a coveted recruit to land.