7 p.m., St. Louis, Mo. (Chaifetz Arena)
TV: FOX Sports Midwest (Pat Parris, Scott Highmark)
Radio: 101 ESPN/101.1 FM/101Sports.com (Bob Ramsey, Earl Austin Jr.)
What SLU Must Do To Win:
Contain Tony Mitchell. He's struggled out of the gate this season, but there's a reason he's thought of as a lottery pick in next year's NBA Draft. He's shooting just 29 percent from deep this season (the team is shooting 26 percent), but he corrals over eight rebounds per game. His athleticism is simply unparalleled. SLU must, must, must block him off the boards.
Eliminate UNT's Transition Opportunities.UNT is an athletic bunch, and when they get out and run, watch out. They average a solid 1.09 PPP in transition situations, but just .67 in the halfcourt against man-to-man. I'm no mathematician, but that's a huge difference. SLU must slow down the pace and get back on defense in order to keep the Mean Green from pushing it on the break. Another thing that aids in that process? Hitting shots on offense.
Hit Outside Shots.UNT is a great team down in the post. In fact, opponents have made just six field goals against them down on the block. They're giving up an astonishing 50 percent adjusted FG percentage (factors in value of 3s). SLU can exploit that with the bevy of outside shooters in Ellis, McCall, Loe, and Barnett.
Bottom Line:There's no denying that UNT has been one of the most disappointing teams in the entire nation in the earlygoing. The Sun Belt favorites are 3-5, with one of those losses coming against D-II Alabama-Huntsville. With Mitchell and a very solid supporting cast, it's amazing that this has happened, to be quite honest. The Mean Green needs much more out of Jordan Williams. He's possessing the ball more frequently than Mitchell, which is absolutely ludicrous. That'd be fine if he were playing well, but he's averaging just .712 points per possession (PPP) which is good for the 30th percentile in Division I.
Vegas Line: SLU -13.