National Bowl Predictions - Part One

We don't know of anyone who has followed and supported junior college football like Hank Ives. His JC Grid-Wire newsletter has nearly completed its forty-third year of publication and is still going strong. Ives' weekly rankings are anticipated by coaches, fans, and players nationwide. And his pre- and post-season All-American teams are published in newspapers and pinned up on many a coach's bulletin board. Here are Ives' bowl predictions...

*This is Part One of a two part bowl predictions article. JCFootball.com will be adding its own predictions on Wednesday.*

December 1

SEA ISLAND/GOLDEN ISLES BOWL @ Brunswick, Ga.

GEORGIA MILITARY (10-0) vs. BUTLER COUNTY (10-1)

GMC would earn the NJCAA title with a win.  Bert Williams' Bulldogs are loaded.  DE Randy Jackson heads up a "D" that allowed more than one score just once, 14 points by Auburn's JVs  How about a 37.4 to 4.9 ratio in scoring?  Derrick Wimbush, 6-1, 205, is the "horse" on offense with 117-1126-16 stats.  BC beat N.E. Oklahoma 34-24 in the opener and then most of the Kansas teams twice. The only loss was to Garden City 14-7.  The Grizzlies have a 35.5 to 16.2 ratio.  Ron McClendon is a marvelous RB, but has been hurt.  Jermaine Green carries the mail nicely.  Cedric Stevens is a workmanlike QB and Matt Mattox, 6-4, 250, a super TE.  Still, GMC is looking for the title and we think they will get it. 

PREDICTION: Say GEORGIA MILITARY 17, BUTLER COUNTY 10

HAWAIIAN PUNCH BOWL @ San Francisco CC.

CC SAN FRANCISCO (10-0) vs. FRESNO (10-0)

This is probably the big one in California.  Winner takes on a Southern California challenger Dec. 8, in Visalia for the California title.  CCSF has won 34 straight games and two national titles in a row.  George Rush and his Rams would like to make it three.  QB Orlando Evans is a fine athlete with a plethora of receivers at hand.  Princell Brockenbrough, Kellen Taylor, Zach Fletcher and Jon Makonnen share the catching duties.  LBs Lance Mitchell and Pasha Jackson along with Gibril Wilson at SS head a defense that allows 8.5 points per game while the "O" racks up 45.7 (throwing out the 96-0 squeeker over the San Jose Raiders way back on Sept. 7).  Fresno has guns of its own and would love to avenge last year's 41-7 loss to CCSF in the same bowl game.  Fr. Mark Hetherington has thrown for over 2300 yds and 30 TDs.  Remember the names WR Maurice Washington, WR Lamonte Jones, TE Aaron Austin, DL Loa Emmsley, OL J.J. Martin and RBs Fr. Earl Charles and So. Rodney Davis.  If they play their game, which averages 47.4 and gives up 13.3, they could represent the North in Visalia. 

PREDICTION: Much closer this year.  SAN FRANCISCO 24, FRESNO 14

RED RIVER BOWL, Bedford, Tx.

KILGORE (11-0) VS. TYLER (8-3)

RB Brandon Warfield has been a key in Kilgore's two previous wins over Tyler, 24-7 and 28-14.  He avg. 6.8 yds while gaining 1104 on 162 and scoring 62.  LB DeMorrio Williams is terrific.  QB Graham Gochneauer gets the job done.  The Rangers last won the J.C. Grid-Wire national title in 1978.  They avg. 37.3 and give up 9.1.  Tyler has a zoom-zoom offense that avg. 41.2 per game.  The opponents get 24.9.  Jonathan Combs, 5-10, 220, went 107-988-10 in 10 games and QB Jeff Hilliard won All-Conf. Honors.  This should be a lock for Kilgore off the record, but why do we have that nagging feeling that beating a good team 3 times is next to impossible?

PREDICTION: TYLER 31, KILGORE 28

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BOWL @ Chaffey College

CHAFFEY (10-0)  vs. PALOMAR (9-1)

Chaffey beat Mt. San Antonio 52-48 in the opener and then kept on winning.  The Foothill Conf. won the crossover series. So why do we feel that Palomar will win this one?  Good passing with Goodenough to Alexander and Bresnahan.  Rory Palmer 158-867, handles the ball packing.

The OL averages right at 300 pounds headed by Ryan Morris 6-6, 305, and Damien Holman, 6-6, 305.  Tom Craft's Comets go 37.3 to 12.3 ratio.  Chaffey  averages 40.6 and gives up 19.8.  The Panthers too have an excellent OL with the likes of Howard Brissette, 6-5, 290, Brad Lekkerkerker OT 6-8, 305, and brother Cory OG 6-4, 285.  Dale Rogers averages 43.1 punting.  Jeremiah Cockheran 47-730 is usually on the end of Jeff Disney's passes.  Disney went 143 of 254 for 2104, 19 TDs and 8 ints. 

PREDICTION: Shake it all down and we see it something like PALOMAR 35, CHAFFEY 24

SOUTH COUNTY BOWL @ Southwestern College

GROSSMONT (9-1) vs PASADENA (9-1)

Grossmont wins its games by a 34.4 to 21.4 tally.  They made a sensational comeback from 28-14 down to defeat Antelope Valley 42-35 last weekend as backup Fr. RB Michael Yancy ran for 206 on 29 carries and LB Chad Macomber 5-11, 195 had 2 picks.  The Griffs may not be as good as last year, but FS Brett Hudson 6-3, 180, wouldn't agree.  Dave Jordan's charges will have to be at their best to beat the powerful Pasadena machine with a scoring ratio of 42.4 to 17.8.  Tom Maher's Lancers let up just once, 23-30 to El Camino, but nothing else was close.  They finished with 51-12 and 55-14 wins over to Mission powers, Cerritos and Long Beach.  RB Jonathan Smith set two national all-purpose records, 515 in one game and 2589 on the season.  QB Nate Chandler 6-6, 245, broke all sorts of records, including 26 TD tosses and is a great field general.  DT Jimmy Williams, LB Jeff Runnels and C Jesus Yanez are all super quality types.

PREDICTION: PASADENA 41, GROSSMONT 21

DIXIE ROTARY BOWL @ Dixie College, St. George, Utah

DIXIE (10-1) vs. ROCHESTER (10-1)

Dixie sports a 36.1 to 16.6 scoring ratio.  Rochester avgs. 41 and allows 10,4.  Dixie has a dynamite punter in Tyson Dunham, 42.2 and a great DB/PR in Chad Barney, a J.C. Grid-Wire All-American in 1998.  DT Scott Young, 6-5, 305, had 15.5 sacks and like OL Ron Green, 6-6, 315, is being heavily recruited.  Rochester usually cleans house in Minnesota, but is not so fortunate when they go outside. OL Brad Bauer is an awesome specimen 6-4, 300, and Rod Malone, 6-1, 195, a fine RB.  If it comes to a kick Rhys Lloyd, is very talented. 

PREDICTION: We figure Dixie at home will win rather easily, DIXIE 27, ROCHESTER 10.

PACIFIC GRAFFITI BOWL @ Modesto College

MODESTO (8-2) vs. SAN MATEO (8-2)

Modesto's only losses were at the hands of CCSF and Fresno.  Sam Young's Pirates avg. 37.5 and give up 18.3 behind QB Tim Garcia 106-164-1480-16-1 9G; FS Scott  Thiessen, OL Ryan Souza, and DE David Vargas are special.  San Mateo went from last in the Golden Gate to first in the Coast Conf. riding the passing arm of Jason Douglas, who had a typical 19-26-246-3 game in win over West Valley. DE Ryan Boschetti, 6-4, 285, is one of the best in the country. Bulldogs avg. 44.8 and give up 20.3. 

PREDICTION: MODESTO  34, SAN MATEO 24

VALLEY OF THE SUN BOWL @ Scottsdale College

SCOTTSDALE (6-4) vs. GARDEN CITY (8-2)

This one looks like a mismatch if Garden City takes care of business.  Fr. RB Kay Jay Harris, 6-2, 228, rushed for 1049 yds in 8 games.  LB Derrick Pope is everyone's All-Star.  OT Clint Werth and DE Lance Carson are tops at their position.  Fort Scott upset ‘em and Butler County edged them 15-14 for the Kansas title.  QB Jack Tomco, LB Tate Pittman, and P Robbie Kemp are the Scottsdale stars who will have to shine bright to win this one.

PREDICTION: GARDEN CITY  34, SCOTTSDALE 14

SHRINE POTATO BOWL, @ Bakersfield College

BAKERSFIELD (8-2) vs. ANTELOPE VALLEY (7-3)

Bakersfield will be favored in this the countries oldest JC Bowl game.  However, if Robert Thomas is not back from his leg injury, it won't be easy. Thomas missed 3 games but still gained 891 yds on 117 carries with 9 TDs.  FS James McGill and WR Sammie Moore are headed for big things on the next level.  Not much of a passing attack, but a deadly defense.  AVC has a scoring machine avg. 41.5, but gives up 26.2.  QB Cory Allred 9G 110-164-1795-15-6 is a deadly passer.  RB DeAndra Cobb, 9G 126-946-10 and Jason Anderson, 4.3 speed, and DE Anthony Diggs, 10 sacks in 8 games can play with anyone.

PREDICTION: ANTELOPE VALLEY 21, BAKERSFIELD 14

REAL DAIRY BOWL, Pocatello, Idaho

RICKS (9-1) vs. LACKAWANNA ( 9-0)

Lackawanna completed its 2nd straight regular season unbeaten.  However, it's a different story against stiff bowl competition.  Ricks figures to be that competition.  The Vikes averaging 38.6 on the strong passing arm of Robbie Haas with TE Jon Clark doing the catching.  Carl Tuitavuki, 6-4, 320, is a terror on defense.  Lackawanna rides the arm of Benny Pritchyk and running of Mike Kitchen. This will be Ricks' last game before disbanding the athletics program.

PREDICTION: RICKS 30, LACKAWANNA 14

CERRITOS STRAWBERRY BOWL, @ Cerritos College

ALLAN HANCOCK (7-3) vs. CERRITOS (6-4) 7pm

Both teams had disappointing seasons.  Hancock lost to Long Beach, Bakersfield and Canyons.  No shame there and they avg. 33.3 points per game. Bulldogs gave up 20, however.  Cerritos lost QB Mike Harrison in Pasadena game with broken thumb and then got just 7 vs. Riverside.  Hancock has Ryan Canfield at QB, Michael Gaddy is a top RB and OL Trevor Hutton a real star.  Cerritos can boast of a trio of fine linebackers, Perry, Barnett and Lopez; plus the real tall Chris Chatman at WR; and OLs Jake Chavira and Jason Lehman. 

PREDICTION: Without Harrison it looks like HANCOCK 27, CERRITOS 24

KIWANIS SILICON VALLEY BOWL, @ Foothill College

FOOTHILL (7-3) vs. REDWOODS (8-2)

Rochester transfer Waye Terry has been a revelation at QB for Marshall Sperbeck and his Foothill Owls.  Add superb LB Joey Barnes to the mix and a scoring ratio of 3.5 to 20.8.  Redwoods counters with the likes of QB James Phillips and WR Chris White, not to mention DL Talifaia Atoe, 6-2, 290, a bull on defense.  Redwoods has won 7 in a row.  Foothill lost only to CCSF, Fresno, and Santa Rosa.

PREDICTION: Real tight one for sure.  FOOTHILL 34, REDWOODS 27

EYES OF TEXAS BOWL @ Copperas Cove

NAVARRO (6-5)  vs. COFFEYVILLE (6-4)

Navarro has a fine QB in Eric Rekieta (162-341-2562-21-17) and receiver DaRay Sims (46-972-8), so will go to the air.  Coffeyville will counter with tough "D" headed by DE Mondre Dickerson 6-4, 265.  RB Brandon Jacobs filled in nicely when M. Abdulqaadir went down with an injury after scoring 98 points. 

PREDICTION: Crossing the Red River is a tough proposition, but we will take COFFEYVILLE 42, NAVARRO 38.

MERCED ELKS BOWL @ Merced College

LANEY (6-4) vs. YUBA (7-3)

Laney started 4-1, then faltered.  No explaining the loss to 1-9 Los Medanos.  OG Justin Arrington 6-3, 305, is outstanding.  Ditto for TE Caleb Jones, WRs Lorenzo Parham and Matt Taylor. Yuba has flashy RB John West 9G-202-1031-8 and has won last 4 games, including 25-20 win over Sierra last weekend.  Delta beat them both handily. 

PREDICTION: We'll take momentum in this one.  YUBA 24, LANEY 23

CHPS FOR KIDS BOWL @ East Los Angeles College

LONG BEACH (6-4) vs. MT. SAN JACINTO (6-4)

Both teams were soundly thumped last Sat., but by Pasadena and Chaffey.  Records are the same.  LBCC has a great WR/KR in Clint Bingham and a fine DL in Deshawn Gibbs, 6-2, 265.  Much depends on QB Jason Baughman.  MSJC also has a fine receiver in Brett Johnson, 9G-70-991-10.  DB Reg McClellan had 9 interceptions.  The team that is most interested will win. 

PREDICTION: LBCC will bounce back from Pasadena rout to win going away.  LONG BEACH 35, MT. SAN JACINTO 21

EAST COUNTY BOWL at Los Medanos College

CONTRA COSTA  (7-3) vs. WEST VALLEY (6-4)

The CC Comets started 5-0.  They avg. 389 yds per game and give up 323.  WVC  started slow losing to CCSF and Chabot.  They avg. 391 and give up 347.  Could this be a tie game?  CC's running back Lionel Arnold is a horse. (9G-248-1251-14).  WV has QB David Macchi, 103-173-1582-10-3.

PREDICTION: Based on a slightly tougher schedule we'll go with WEST VALLEY 21, CONTRA COSTA 19

CANON EMPIRE STATE BOWL @ Nassau College

NASSAU (7-2) vs. WM. RAINEY HARPER (7-2)

Nassau lost to Erie last weekend 46-21.  RB Corey Brown and DT Alan Holloway are keepers.  Harper's 2 losses were to Joliet.

PREDICTION: The passing combo of Wally Stoklosa to Cliff Pawlak should be enough for HARPER 28, NASSAU 21.

WESTERN STATE BOWL @ College of Canyons 4pm

CANYONS (9-1) vs. SADDLEBACK (7-3)

Canyons rebounded nicely from opening loss to Santa Ana winning next 9 with a ratio of 7.9 to 17.7.  DB Maurice Hart, P Jason Daily, K Tommy Garagliano and TE Leon Pinky are major DI prospects.  Saddleback needs QB Jason Whieldon to return from injury and to connect with WR Chris Bernard.  RB Darren Shorter is a good one.  This should be a dandy game. 

PREDICTION: If Whieldon plays, we like SADDLEBACK 24, CANYONS 21.  
*We have to hedge this one and reverse the score if Jason is still out.

US BANK BEACH BOWL @ Santa Monica College

FULLERTON (6-4) vs. GLENDALE (6-4)

Fullerton closed with 3 wins behind passing of Brian Bartczak to Terrance Moore and a "D" led by DE James Benton, 6-6, 280.   Glendale had some good wins behind QB Joe Kroells and RB Kartell Clayton.

PREDICTION: FULLERTON  38,  GLENDALE  21

TRI COUNTIES BANK HOLIDAY BOWL @ Butte College

BUTTE (7-3) vs. SANTA ROSA (7-3)

Call this one the "why bother Bowl".  They played last Sat. with Butte pulling out a last second 27-24 victory.  Both are good teams that deserve to play but not each other again.  Chris Bruhn was injured and as goes Bruhn, so goes Butte.  Don't know extent of his injury.  Santa Rosa's Fr. QB Tony Keefen, 6-2, 200, had a great season completing school record 256 passes.  Mighty mite Karl Mikolon, 5-5, 150, had 1896 all-purpose yds. 

PREDICTION: We'll take SANTA ROSA in the rematch by the same 27-24 score, especially if Bruhn is out.

 

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