Kevin & Hank's Nationwide Bowl Predictions

JC Grid-Wire's Hank Ives and Kevin take their annual look at the national JC bowl picture and makes predictions. This year, the NCJAA will decide its champion in the Sea Island Golden Isles Bowl where Joliet meets Georgia Military. In all, there are 14 bowls in California and seven in the NJCAA -- with three games already played.

December 7, 1:00pm

FRESNO (9-1) vs. REEDLEY (10-0)

Mike White's Reedley Tigers knocked off Fresno 28-21 two weeks ago and took over 1st place in the national rankings. Frosh QB Robert Johnson has nifty 10g stats of 159 of 250 for 2,122, 19 TDs and 9 INTs. WR Byrant Stewart (Season: 64-1,099-13) is on the receiving end. Defense is led by a couple of nasty DL in Donyell Booker, 6-2, 300, and DE Doug Langenfeld, 6-3, 247. Plus, CB Lionel Green, 6-1, 185, is great in coverage. We've written a lot about FRESNO's QB Willie Johnson, and FS Rodney Woods. These guys lead a team that won't take Saturday's loss lightly. Tough to beat a good foe twice in a row so we'll go with the Rams, but very close. FRESNO 27, REEDLEY 24

Kevin's take: Reedley's defense and the play of QB Johnson will once again be too much for Fresno. It goes without saying that Fresno's chances of winning go up dramatically if RB Charles goes off. Hetherington may need to play the game of his life. Reedley 21, Fresno 17.

December 7, 1:00pm

CANYONS (9-1) vs. CHAFFEY (10-0)

Panther QB Nick Fotia does a fine workmanlike job (9g-121-207-2,003-18-6), but the go-go guy is RB Johnny Bogarin, who rushed for 1,607 yards on 237 carries, with 18 TDs and 108 points. CHAFFEY averages 463 per game, 42.7 points and gave up only 16.4. Carl Beach's lads gave Grossmont their only loss. CANYONS tallies an amazing 50 points per game, but gives up 26.9. QB Kyle Bauer, 6-1, 190, is the big gun going 178 of 307 for 3,109 yards, 36 TDs, and only 3 picks. RB J.J. Arrington averaged 5.7 yards per carry (Season: 135-769), but has found the endzone 19 times. WR Tyrell Smith caught 44 passes for 1,099 yards and 12 TDs. TE Brian Miller is a good one. It looks like solid rushing vs. solid passing. Chaffey is at home. Canyons has better pass/run balance. This sucker should be real close. CANYONS 37, CHAFFEY 35

Kevin's take: Arrington, Bauer, Miller, a bevy of excellent receivers, and enough defense will get it done for Canyons. The coaching staff at Chaffey is top-notch, so I'm sure the Panthers will be ready to go. But if the Cougars keep mistakes to a minimum they will win. COC 42, Chaffey 31

SEA ISLAND GOLDEN ISLES (Glynn Stadium, Brunswick, Ga.)
December 7, 1:00pm

Official Bowl Website


This is for the NJCAA Championship since these two teams are ranked 1-2 in their rankings. GMC has some trouble gaining respect simply because they only played four JC teams. However, the Bulldogs traveled to Dixie in the opener and came away with a solid 35-19 victory and beat two Texas teams and Nassau. RB Andre Hall is the real deal, P/K Clay Crisp is outstanding, and the same can be said of CB Brian Staley. Joliet head man Bob MacDougall slid into the 200-win club (204) with his JOLIET Wolves. QB Jim Peyton, DE Josh Crestman, LB Datema Lay are solid performers. Illinois-bound WR Kelvin Hayden, the MVP on offense for the conference, is a superstar. JOLIET has won 20 in a row. GMC has a 23-game streak working. The two longest win streaks in the country among JCs. Playing at home is a real advantage. GEORGIA MILITARY 31, JOLIET 10

Kevin's take: Georgia Military is loaded with speed on both sides of the ball. They've also got a ton of players headed to D1 rosters next year (three are committed to S. Carolina). Kelvin Hayden (destined for the U. of Illnois) is special for Joliet and Bob McDougall a great coach with a storied, winning history. But that won't be enough for Joliet to win in GMC's home state. The NJCAA National Title is on the line! GMC 52, Joliet 7.

SHRINE POTATO BOWL (Bakersfield College)
December 7, 1:00pm

MOORPARK (9-1) vs. PASADENA (8-2)

A 3-point loss to Long Beach in the season finale probably cost PASADENA a shot at the SoCal title. Will the Lancers be too disappointed to give their best in Bakersfield? Tom Maher's lads have lots of talent, but were pretty sporadic after QB John Rattay went down. LB James Griffin is a star. WR Hannibal Thomas will go D1. FB Allen Kennett is really tough. LBCC and Riverside ripped the DBs to shreds. Which team will show up? MOORPARK could be in the title game if the season was one play shorter. Palomar beat them in the opener on a long pass on the last play. QB Tony Williams is having a great season (Season: 10g- 96-181-1,662-23-10). Frosh RB Greg Morris (Season: 154-1,078-12), WR Berry Tolli, FS Mike Argo, and OT Phil Clark have had All-Conference seasons. MOORPARK 35, PASADENA 31

Kevin's take: Two mobile quarterbacks who can throw lead their teams tomorrow. Should be fun to watch and hard for each team to defend! PCC has a slight edge in the skill positions, with Thomas being especially dangerous. The Lancers also have a huge OL, great strength on the DL with Harley and Chuck Jones. Then there's Griffin, a sideline to sideline terror in the defensive backfield for PCC. Moorpark has a tremendously talented defense led by Argo, DT Gabe Reininger, LBs Leo Reed and Chris Davis. Their offense has been potent too as Hank mentions above. This game should be a lot of fun. I'm going with Tom Maher and Pasadena, 35-28, over Moorpark.

December 7, 12:00pm


Craig Rigsbee figured his BUTTE Roadrunners should have been playing Reedley in the NorCal title game. True, Butte lost to Fresno earlier in a shootout, but he figures FCC didn't win their conference. After that 35-10 blasting of CCSF, it could be argued that BC is the best in the North. DELTA won't be an easy mark. Gary Barlow's Mustangs are a scoring machine and like BC, their only loss came against Fresno. BC has a hot young QB in Aaron Rodgers who can pass and run. RB William Shoulders rushed for over 1,400 yards. Butte LBs Casey Corbaley and Cam Yeow are excellent. DELTA goes with a solid passing attack headed by QB Daniel Taylor, who had 24 TDs and just 5 INTs after 9 games. Lots of scoring anticipated. BUTTE 42, DELTA 39

Kevin's take: It's simple, HC Craig Rigsbee and his team are out to prove that they should be playing for the title. Butte QB Aaron Rodgers (a Cal commit) should have a big day as will Shoulders behind a talented OL. The defense has solid sophomore leadership, size, and athleticism. Delta deserves kudos for their wonderful season and will do their best to win in Butte's house. I don't think they'll have quite enough defense, though. Butte 49, Delta 42.

DIXIE ROTARY BOWL (Dixie State College)
December 7, 1:00pm

Official Rotary Bowl Website


In 1986, DIXIE beat BC 36-33. And in '99 it was BC winning 49-35. This year's match up should be another tough struggle, with strong defenses in the spotlight. BC doesn't have anyone with big offensive stats although Joe Harris had some 800 yards rushing. On defense, LBs Lee Foliaki, DB Jamie Thompson, and DT J.J. Grant get the job done big-time. They're all going D1. Butler County head man Troy Morrell has the team concept going and it's working. Greg Croshaw's DIXIE Rebels lost the first two games and then won 9 in a row. They recorded three shutouts this season, too. DB Jason Lee is big and physical. QB Casey Rehrer gets the job done while RB Josh Burkman had over 1,000 yards. We have a hunch that it will be BUTLER COUNTY 17, DIXIE ST. 14.

Kevin's take: DSC headman Greg Croshaw and his players deserve high praise for winning the conference after starting 0-2. The team is tough as nails; big and physical as always. They'll ram it down the opponent's throat behind Burkman and take it to the secondary with guys like WR Christian Smith, who is 6-4. But the bottom line is that Butler County has proven they can stop the best JC running attacks, like the one Coffeyville and Brandon Jacobs (6-4, 245) brought. Dixie will have to find a way to move chains through the air. Butler Co. hasn't wowed anyone with their offense, but they've got a decent OL, a couple speedy RBs, and a few other weapons on O. I'm going with Butler County, 27-21.

WESTERN STATE BOWL (Long Beach City Veterans Stadium)
December 7, 1:00pm

LONG BEACH (7-3) vs. COMPTON (7-2)

Should be a great individual matchup between RBs Craig Richardson of LBCC and Compton's Alvin Marshall. The game features decent QBs, too, in Vikings sophomore Brandon Fasavalu and Compton frosh Brandon Brooks. Neighborhood pride is at stake. COMPTON 28, LONG BEACH 27.

Kevin's take: This is a tough game to predict. Few teams have slowed down Richardson. Fasavalu showed flashes of consistency late in the season. Compton has kept winning in face of one criticism after another on Internet message boards. It's possible that arguably the best JC linebacking tandem in the nation, Marvin Simmons and John Andrews, will be the ones to stop Richardson -- forcing LBCC to throw more. Like I said, Fasavalu has looked good of late. Long Beach 31, Compton 28.

December 7, 1:00pm


Larry Owens would love to see his SAN MATEO Bulldogs pull off an upset. George Rush doesn't want his CCSF Rams to fall any further after losing to Butte and Foothill. If Rams QB Jason Swanson is on his game, Rush will probably get the win. He has some terrific supporting players including frosh RB Tim Brown and especially CB Chijioke Onyenegecha. CSM has had a fine season with losses only to Foothill and West Valley. QB Hassan Noble has great wheels and is 8th in the state's QB ratings. Akbar Jones is a fine WR and PR. SAN FRANCISCO 24, SAN MATEO 14.

Kevin's take: I know that CSM is looking forward to this Bay Area clash, wanting to see what they can do against the defending national champs. I'm sure that CCSF is looking forward to ending the season on high note, though.  Look for the Rams to have trouble early against the Bulldogs' option attack and the athletic Noble. Unfortunately for CSM, they'll be working against a quick defense, fleet WRs, a physical RB in Brown, and a pretty good coaching staff. Big plays will rule the day. CCSF 35, CSM 20.

RED RIVER BOWL, (Bedford, Tx. )
December 7, 1:00pm

Official Red River Bowl Website

NE OKLAHOMA A&M (10-1) vs. ERIE (7-2)

ERIE lost their opener to Morrisville by one and the finale by two. This game looks like a horrid mismatch. NEO is truly solid team with a 272-174 point differential before the playoffs. DT Mike Pruitt was conference's defensive MVP. NE OKLAHOMA 47, ERIE 13

Kevin's take: They're expecting a crowd of about 1,000 at the game; lower than in past years. This is NEO's third trip to the RR Bowl and they're 1-1. I spoke with Eric HC Dennis Greene (who has done a marvelous job with this second year program!) the other day, and he said, "Did you know that NE Oklahoma has all these guys placed there by Oklahoma and Oklahoma State?" Basically, he said they hadn't played a team like the one he's only seen on film. But, he's looking at his own squad pulverized Nassau and how Nassau hung close with #1  Georgia Military. This gives him hope! Can Erie's wishbone attack befuddle NEO's stingy defense? Can Erie's defense slow down all the D1-bound guys on NEO's offense? I don't think so. This one really is David vs. Goliath. NEO 49, Erie 13.

December 7, 7:00pm


Falcons are 8th best rushing team in state behind Jermaine Whiten and his 1,000-plus yards and Josh Herrera doing the damage. Defense is real solid allowing just 270 yards per game. LB Justin Burks is one of the best in the land. OT Anthony Guerrero, 6-3, 305, is highly recruited. Freshman SADDLEBACK QB Brock Farrel passed for 2,200 yards and had a 19-4 ratio. RB Darren Shorter is getting hot. LB Jimmy Ellingson and DE Blake Curci lead "D". Cerritos just doesn't lose in their bowl, though. CERRITOS 24, SADDLEBACK 17

Kevin's take: One coach I spoke with today said that this year's Cerritos team was the best team he had ever faced. It's a team that beat College of the Canyons early in the year, but slowed down considerably late. Injuries played a part. Watch out for the Falcons' OL, the aforementioned RBs, and two great LBs in Marcus Miller and Burks. DT Bowman ain't have bad either. Mark McElroy's Saddleback squad isn't exactly chopped liver either. One coach who played the Gauchos earlier in the year (and lost) said, "They play a real good game of pitch and catch." Indeed. Farrel can be highly efficient throwing to Tony Holder and D1-destined TE Jon Lyon. Shorter comes out of the backfield and is a nice threat. Watch out for punishing freshman LB Ryan Powdrell, who will be a pre-season Top 101 guy next year. Gotta go with the home team although I'm tempted to pick an upset. Cerritos 27, Saddleback 24.

SILICON VALLEY BOWL (Foothill College)
December 7, 1:00pm

FOOTHILL (7-2) vs. WEST HILLS (6-4)

No one shows up in the top stats from FOOTHILL, but the team as a whole is 11th in the state on defense. High-strung LB Joe Maningo and DT Sione Tuipulotu lead the "D". WEST HILLS is a similar team but Dwayne Wright at RB is exceptional. Because of home field advantage we will go with FOOTHILL 30, WEST HILLS 21

Kevin's take: Foothill's defensive front of DT Scott Jobe, DL Sione Tuipulotu, and undersized-but-supercharged LB Joe Maningo is tough as nails. They should make it hard for West Hills' running backs to gain yards. Dwayne Wright of WHC is heading to Wazzu next year, which is where he signed after HS. Foothill 31, WHC 20.

VALLEY OF THE SUN (Glendale College)
December 7, 2:00pm

GARDEN CITY (7-3) vs. GLENDALE (8-2)

This is a rematch of the 2000 NJCAA title game, which was a bruising 13-7 defensive struggle won by GLENDALE. We look for a bit of the same this year. DE Chris McKenzie (Ariz. State commit) of GLENDALE will be D1 stars one day. GARDEN has a dandy duo at CBs in Ced Williams plus LB Marcus West. If GARDEN's potent running game gets going watch out. However, again with the home field advantage, we'll take GLENDALE 20, GARDEN CITY 17.

Kevin's take: Both teams have great coaching staffs. This bowl game is like a home away from home for GCCC, which has played in it three years in a row. I was actually at the game in 2000 with Hank, where we witnessed a seemingly outmanned Glendale stifle and stuff undefeated GCCC. I think Kersting, the Gauchos head man, is underrated. Several top GCCC players won't be in action for a variety of reasons. It's all adding up to a Glendale victory (if they can stop the run). Glendale 23, Garden City 21.

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SOUTH COUNTY BOWL (Southwestern College)
December 7, 5:00pm

PALOMAR (9-1) vs. GROSSMONT (9-1)

In days gone by it would have been easy to tab Mission Conference PALOMAR over Foothill Conference GROSSMONT, even if it is a neighborhood brawl. The Foothill has improved greatly in recent years and we see this one as a toss-up. PC does not have the flash of Craft days, but defense is strong behind FS Willie Togoai, LB Sean Sovacool, and LB Andrew Dorsey. Alex Thompson and Chris Williams are both right around 1,000-yard rushers. GCC has a slick QB in Tanner Engstrand (Season: 10g-162-271-2,492-22-10). LB Cordell Williams is a good one and there is a bevy of WRs. GROSSMONT 28, PALOMAR 21.

Kevin's take: What a great area rivalry game! Two perennial winners squaring off on a beautiful field. In short, here's the deal: I love teams that can power it down the opponent's throat. I believe that's what Palomar will try to do against Grossmont...and they'll find success. WR Eddie Sullivan will catch his share of passes from Comets QB Roman Ybarra. Defensively, this team can apply lots of pressure from the outside and is physical with blue-chip S Tagoai and ILB Sovacool. I will be very impressed if Dave Jordan's Grossmont squad can get the W. He's got a great 'team' with few individual standouts this season; and you can't underestimate the power of a 'team.' Palomar 42, Grossmont 28.

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CLO BOWL (Santa Rosa JC)
December 7, 1:00pm


This is the first year of play for the River and what a great job coach Rob Cushman has done. SANTA ROSA rides the rifle arm of Tony Keefer, who broke the all-time school total offense mark with a career 5,310. WR Joe Lawson is a good one. So is fireplug LB Logo Tevaseu, all 5-9, 210 of him. SRJC played a tougher schedule, though comparative scores are close on some. SANTA ROSA 40, FEATHER RIVER 20.

Kevin's take: No disrespect to Feather River, but their roster is made up of freshman and the game is in Santa Rosa. This was the program's first season and one can't help but be impressed with the number of wins. Kudos to Cushman and his staff. Coach Keith Simons of SRJC has things rolling; they would have had even more success had Keefer not battled injuries all season. I think Keefer will have time to throw and will lead SR to victory, 49-26.

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US BANK BEACH BOWL (Santa Monica C.C.)
December 7, 1:00pm

L.A. HARBOR (7-3) vs. MT. SAN JACINTO (6-4)

Long Beach found out last year that it doesn't pay to take MSJC lightly. LAH will be favored in this one behind QB David Aupiu, who had 18 TDs in 8 games. We'll have to go with the trend and observe our own warning. HARBOR 24, MT. SAN JACINTO 21.

Kevin's take: I like what Harbor has accomplished the last few seasons. If they can stop Mt. JAC's modified wing-T, then it's Harbor's game. LA Harbor 27, Mt. JAC 17.

EAST COUNTY BOWL (Los Medanos College)
December 7, 1:00pm

LOS MEDANOS (6-4) vs. HARTNELL (5-5)

RB Willie Bongo-Boloweti averaged close to 150 yards per game behind huge 6-5, 320-pound lineman Sam Vegas. Those two help make the HARTNELL offense go. LMC defense is sturdy, especially against the rush allowing just over 100 yards per game. Keep an eye on LB Tag McCurdy. This one's a grab bag. LOS MEDANOS 21, HARTNELL 20.

Kevin's take: Bongo-Boloweti really turned it on late in the year and I think he'll have a big day. Los Medanos surprised a few people with their 6-win season (not me). The LMC team's strength is its defense. I'm going with coach Souza's Hartnell team, 28-24.

December 7, 1:00pm

MODESTO (5-5) vs. SHASTA (5-5)

This is the only bowl game that doesn't have a winning team playing in it. Nick Brown's passing and John Benton's rushing should get the job done for MODESTO 38, SHASTA 7.

Kevin's take: Ten wins and ten losses between these teams. Interesting! Modesto coach Sam Young lost a bunch of fairly close games this year -- against good teams. I think they'll work hard to atone for those losses, taking out a season's worth of frustration on Shasta. But can Modesto contain Shasta's star WR Joe Irelan? Modesto 35, Shasta 21.

HEART OF TEXAS BOWL (Copperas Cove, Tx.)
December 8


TVCC had a fine year, but just couldn't beat N.E. Oklahoma in two tries. JONES had trouble getting on the scoreboard late in the campaign losing to Holmes 7-0 in the title game. TVCC has a dazzling passing attack behind freshman Justin Allgood throwing to conference's offensive MVP, Drew Coleman. DE Paul Thomas is also special. JONES stars WR Chauncey Davis (Florida State commit) 6-2, 260, will surely be heard from in future years. TRINITY VALLEY 27, JONES COUNTY 17.

Kevin's take: How did Jones Co. lose three games? It goes to show that bunch of D1 blue-chippers does not a team make. Hope that makes sense. It was a dream season for TVCC, which has endured several coaching changes the last few years (at the top and in coordinator spots). To get through the SWJCFC with only two losses is no easy task. Mississippi was down this year in many people's opinion, including mine. Could it be that many of the Jones Co. players have become more focused on moving to the next level? They wouldn't admit as much, but it could be a factor. I'm going with TVCC 23, JCJC 20.

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