TCN 2014 Cards Prospect #11: Tyrell Jenkins

Will this be the year the talented right-hander transforms potential into consistent results?

The Cardinal Nation/ Player Profile
(including links to full 2013 and career stats)

2013 rank Pos. DOB Ht. Wt. Bat Thw Signed Round
8 RHS 7/20/1992 6-4 180 R R 2010 1s

School: Henderson High School, Henderson, Tex.

Selected 2013 stats

Peo 4 4 4.74 4.40 10 10 0 49.1 51 28 4 24 34 1.92 0.267 0.303
PB 0 0 4.50 2.30 3 3 0 10 13 6 0 1 6 2.29 0.310 0.361
Total 4 4 4.70   13 13 0 59.1 64 34 4 25 40 1.98 0.275  

Staff comments (individual rankings in parentheses)

Message board community (9): Ranked eighth by the community last year, Tyrell Jenkins still remains in the voters' top 10. This is the case despite the right-hander missing a great portion of the 2013 season due an on and off shoulder injuries that finally led to surgery in August. Before being sidelined, Jenkins actually had a pretty decent season, but had only a couple of flashy starts to look back upon.

Health and consistency for the second year in a row are the two keys for Jenkins' baseball future. If he can first find health, the consistency will come given how athletic he is. That helps greatly for him to be able to repeat the same mechanics and arm slot over and over.

It seems there is some concern about his potential given the community's ranking of Jenkins a spot lower in a thinner Cardinals farm system than it was a year ago. Once Jenkins completes rehab of the shoulder, he should stay in Florida and start at Palm Beach, where he finished 2013. - DTFlush234

Brian Walton (12): I am clearly one of those who are beginning to get concerned. I dropped Jenkins down five spots from his number seven placement on my personal list last winter. After three straight top 10 rankings, the overall number 11 placement is the Texan's lowest ranking yet.

Up until now, perhaps it had been a good thing for the development of Jenkins that the Cardinals have so many other pitching prospects closer to the majors. That way, the organization likely did not feel pressure to rush the right-hander up the chain before he showed he is ready. Now though, two 2013 draftees and a free agent assignee are ahead of him in our prospect rankings and several others are right behind.

Jenkins will turn 22 years of age in July and has yet to consistently show he was worth his first-round selection in 2011. Not every high school draftee can be a Shelby Miller, but it is time for Jenkins to show he is ready to accelerate his pace.

There is still plenty to like about Jenkins, including a low-effort delivery that allows him to dial up his 93-94 mph fastball to 96. His curve shows a tight break and is a solid out pitch, though his changeup remains a work in progress. Jenkins' location can be good though his mechanics are inconsistent, especially when he tires.

My concern is that I have been saying comparable things the last several winters. It is time to focus on results, consistency and advancement instead of youth, tools and potential. In this series, I have been writing about the next wave of top pitchers to advance toward St. Louis. Jenkins should be among them, but he needs to earn his way.

Our 2014 top 40 countdown continues: To see the list of top Cardinals prospects announced to date and remaining article schedule, click here. You can also read the voters' philosophies in making their selections.

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