The Michigan native was the first high schooler chosen with St. Louis’ initial pick since Shelby Miller in 2009 and as noted above, their first prep position player at the spot since Pete Kozma in 2007. Further, Plummer is the team's first cold weather-climate initial pick, high school or college, in a decade - since Adam Ottavino in 2006.
On one hand, the number eight overall placement on this top 40 prospect list may seem aggressive considering Plummer’s brief and uneven professional introduction, but it isn’t really. I went back and looked at where the Cardinals first picks in the last 10 drafts ranked in our top prospect list the year after they were drafted.
Of the 10 picks, seven were college players - four pitchers and three hitters. All of them were ranked between second and sixth that following winter. The other two high school draftees were Miller, placed second in 2010, and Kozma, way down at #16 in his first year eligible. Plummer roughly splits the difference between the other two prep first-rounders.
The following table summarizes the details behind this.
|Draft||Cardinals'||Overall||HS/||Pitcher/||1st top 40||T40|
|year||1st selection||pick #||college||hitter||rank||year|
Interestingly, only the most recent five remain with the Cardinals organization. The most recent two, Plummer and Luke Weaver, are still working their way up. Marco Gonzales is on the cusp of the Majors while Michael Wacha and Kolten Wong are established with St. Louis.
The next three – Zack Cox, Miller and Brett Wallace – were traded away. Kozma was allowed to leave as a minor league free agent and Ottavino was claimed off waivers. Of the departed five, only Miller and Ottavino are clear MLB players. Cox has yet to reach the bigs while Wallace and Kozma have had chances, but have been unable to claim long-term jobs.
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