This Week in the Cards Minors– 6/16– Pitchers

Every other week, in our stats-based report, Leonda Markee analyzes pitching performances across the St. Louis Cardinals' minor league system.

Well, this week saw several leagues' play-off drives enter the home stretch, to mix sporting metaphors.  Each level below Triple-A splits their season into halves with the top team in each division at the end of each half automatically qualifying for the post-season.  At the week's start, Springfield, Palm Beach and Quad Cities were all in the mix for a qualifying berth.  By the week's end, just Springfield remained as a possibility.  However, the good news is that Springfield controls its post-season fate since they are in first place with a three-game lead over the second-place team.  If they do qualify, it will be Springfield's first time in the post-season and manager Pop Warner's third consecutive post-season appearance.  Warner managed the 2005 Palm Beach squad to the Florida State League title and guided the 2006 Palm Beach club to the post-season as well.  It is no coincidence that he is on the verge of another post-season appearance.

 

The other big news was the first signings from the recent June 2007 First-Year Player Draft.  The highest drafted player currently signed is supplemental first rounder, pitcher Clay Mortensen.  As a senior, Mortensen did not have either much leverage or motivation to hold out.  In addition to first pick, Pete Kozma, other notable unsigned draftees include second rounder pitcher David Kopp, fourth round outfielder Kyle Russell and twelfth round pick Brett Zawacki.  Russell is expected to be a tough sign due to his signing bonus demands and Zawacki is a talented high schooler who has signed to attend Arizona State University in the fall.

 

 

How Are They Doing?  (Standings as of June 15, 2007)

Memphis Redbirds – 29-39, Last place, eleven games behind the Iowa Cubs

Springfield Cardinals – 34-29, First place, three games ahead of the Tulsa Drillers (COL)

Palm Beach Cardinals – 34-33, Tied for second place with the Vero Beach Dodgers, five games the Brevard County Manatees (MIL)

Swing of the Quad Cities – 37-29, Fourth place, four and one-half games behind the Beloit Snappers (MIN)

 

 

Up, Down and Out

Here are the transactions since the last report:

 

06/08/07 - Palm Beach - RHP Robert Ransom activated from the Disabled List

06/10/07 - Palm Beach - Gary Daley Jr. placed on the 7-day Disabled List;  CF Shane Robinson activated from the 7-day Disabled List

06/11/07 - Palm Beach - OF Matt Lemanczyk given his unconditional release

06/12/07 - Springfield - C Bryan Anderson (s), OF Sean Danielson, LHP Jaime Garcia, 2B Jarrett Hoffpauir, 1B Joe Mather (s), RHP Chris Perez, CF Colby Rasmus (s), DH Juan Richardson (s):  announced as members of the 2007 Texas League All-Star squad.  (s) denotes starter

06/12/07 - St. Louis - 3B Matt Arburr (17th), LHP Davis Bilardello (43rd), RHP Brian Broderick (21st), OF Andrew Brown (18th), OF Brian Buck (27th), 3B Brian Cartie (20th), OF Adron Chambers (38th), 3B Tony Cruz (26th), C Nick Derba (30th), RHP Joshua Dew (14th), RHP Thomas Eager (5th), RHP Chuckie Fick (15th), 2B Mike Folli (42nd), RHP Dylan Gonzalez (31st), OF Joseph Hage (23rd), 1B Steven Hill (13th), RHP Steven Hill (34th), RHP Deryk Hooker (7th), RHP Rigoberto Lugo (39th), SS Oliver Marmol (6th), OF Mateo Marquez (47th), RHP Clayton Mortensen (1s), 2B Russ Oeder (28th), OF Beau Riportella (10th), C Robert Sanzillo (46th), 3B Nicholas Vera (32nd):  announced had come to terms with these 2007 June Draft players

06/13/07 - Memphis - RHP Dennis Dove placed on the 7-day Disabled List (right shoulder);  RHP Troy Percival activated

 

06/14/07 - St. Louis - RHP Michael Blazek (35th), 3B Daniel Descalso (3rd), CF Antonio De Jesus (16th), RHP Ramon Delgado (41st), RF Collin Fanning (36th), LHP Josh Fritsche (33rd), LHP J.D. Stambaugh (25th), RHP Jesse Todd (2nd):  announced had come to terms with these 2007 June Draft players

06/14/07 - St. Louis - RHP Wayne Daman (Washington State), RHP Clayton Long (U of Auburn-Montgomery): signed as undrafted free agents

 

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Triple-A – Memphis Redbirds

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Pacific Coast League, four-team America North division

Overall Record – 29-39 

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.91, H=0.94, 2B=0.93, HR=1.08, BB=1.01, SO=1.04

 

Roster Link

 

Current RotationTroy Cate, Blake Hawksworth, Randy Keisler, Mike Parisi, Anthony Reyes

Current Bullpen Hugo Castellanos, Brian Falkenborg, Chris Lambert, Troy Percival, Mike Smith, Mark Worrell

 

Current Two-Week Pitching – 6.47 ERA, 5.65 dERA, 1.50 WHIP, .322 BAA, .350 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.93 ERA, 4.38 dERA, 1.43 WHIP, .285 BAA, .326 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot – <br>

St. Louis reject Anthony Reyes is having no problem with Triple-A batters.  Reyes is by far the best pitcher in Memphis right now. 

 

Who's Pitchin' Not

Blake Hawksworth is going through a rough patch right now.  After two consecutive reports as Hot, now he is Not. 

 

Of Note –   

There were only two pitchers with a sub-.300 batting average against for the period, Mike Parisi and Anthony Reyes.  Just two of the eleven active pitchers on the Memphis roster.  That stat answers the question of why Kelvin Jimenez remains with the St. Louis squad.  There is no adequate replacement for him in Memphis.

 

Parisi continues to rebound from a rocky sequence of starts during the first half of May to post a 1.29 WHIP and .240 BAA in 14 innings over two game starts.  Control remains an issue as he averaged just under four walks every nine innings for the period.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

G

IP

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9

BB/9

Hawksworth, Blake

3

16

23

6

9

1.81

0.348

5.78

0.370

5.06

3.38

Lambert, Chris

5

10

13

3

7

1.60

0.317

4.11

0.364

6.30

2.70

Narveson, Chris

on

the

DL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reyes, Anthony

3

22

14

3

16

0.77

0.194

2.79

0.236

6.55

1.23

Worrell, Mark

5

7

11

2

10

1.86

0.367

1.61

0.550

12.86

2.57

 

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AA – Springfield Cardinals

League Affiliation - eight-team Texas League, four-team East division

Overall Record – 34-29

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=1.03, H=1.02, 2B=0.98, HR=1.16, BB=1.02, SO=1.10

 

Roster Link

 

Current RotationMitch Boggs, Jaime Garcia, Eric Haberer, Kevin Ool, Cory Rauschenberger

Current BullpenMichael Cooper, Jose Garcia, Jason Motte, Chris Perez, Matt Scherer, Nick Webber, Zack Zuercher

 

Current Two-Week Pitching – 4.27 ERA, 4.26 dERA, 1.52 WHIP, .298 BAA, .355 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.29 ERA, 4.65 dERA, 1.47 WHIP, .273 BAA, .313 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

All-or-nothing Mitch Boggs is currently in ‘All' mode and is pitching Hot.  He picked up a win and a tough no decision in two game starts this period while shutting down his opposition.  His stats appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Kevin Ool continues to struggle as a starter.  Ool gave up 32 hits and four walks in 15 innings over three game starts for a 2.40 WHIP this period.  The opposition teed off on him to the tune of a .464 batting average against.  While his BABIP was .500 he had a 4.86 dERA.  It says something about the available options in Palm Beach that Ool remains in the Springfield rotation.

 

Of Note –

Three of the Springfield bullpen were unscored upon this period:  Jason Motte, Nick Webber and Zack Zuercher.  Motte and Webber each appeared in six games and tossed a combined 15.2 innings.  Motte allowed just four hits but also walked four in seven and one-third innings while striking out 10.  He had a 1.09 WHIP and .174 BAA (.308 BABIP).  Webber gave up eight hits in eight and one-third innings with three walks and seven strikeouts for a 1.32 WHIP and .276 BAA (.364 BABIP).

 

Zuercher threw just one and one-third innings over three games and faced just five batters.  He gave up one hit, two walks (one intentional) and struck out no one.  Zuercher has a pronounced lefty/right split for the season of .227/.370/.364/.734 (22 at bats) versus .333/.447/.467/.914 (30 at bats). 

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

G

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9

BB/9

Boggs, Mitch

2

14

10

5

10

1.07

0.213

2.89

0.270

6.43

3.21

Garcia, Jaime

3

17

17

6

13

1.35

0.270

4.45

0.313

6.88

3.18

Perez, Chris

6

6

5

2

7

1.17

0.227

4.26

0.286

10.50

3.00

 

Perez had five saves.

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A-Advanced – Palm Beach Cardinals

League Affiliation - twelve-team Florida State League, six-team East division

Overall Record – 34–33

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.89, H=0.96, 2B=1.06, HR=0.71, BB=0.97, SO=1.07

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationAdam Daniels, Trey Hearne, Tyler Norrick, Adam Ottavino, Fernando Salas

Current Bullpen – Luke Gregerson, Kyle McClellan, Jon Mikrut, Robert Ransom, Donnie Smith, Matt Trent, Scott Vander Weg

 

Current Two-Week Pitching – 4.84 ERA, 4.14 dERA, 1.34 WHIP, .251 BAA, .289 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.73 ERA, 3.52 dERA, 1.28 WHIP, .243 BAA, .293 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot

There were more candidates for ‘Not' than ‘Hot' this period but Fernando Salas' work deserves mentioned.  Salas compiled an 0.59 WHIP and .133 BAA in 13.2 innings over four games, including one start.  He struck out only nine but walked only two for a 4.5:1 K/BB ratio.  His BABIP was .143.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not

Gary Daley Jr. made two starts and went only four and one-third innings total.  He gave up just over a hit an inning (five) but walked a horrific 10 batters to only one strikeout.  Daley ended the period on the disabled list so he could work on his control issues.

 

Of Note –

Gary Daley Jr. is averaging almost seven walks every nine innings so far this season.  His control issues resulted in him being placed on the disabled list so coaches could work with him out of game situations.  That leaves his slot in the Palm Beach rotation open.  Both Fernando Salas and Robert Ransom made starts this week.  Since Ransom's came as part of a June 13th double-header, Fernando Salas appears to be the at least temporary replacement.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9

BB/9

Daley Jr, Gary

2

4.33

5

10

1

3.46

0.313

13.62

0.286

2.08

20.79

Daniels, Adam

3

18

21

4

14

1.39

0.304

3.97

0.358

7.00

2.00

Norrick, Tyler

3

19

12

12

18

1.26

0.176

4.83

0.208

8.53

5.68

Ottavino, Adam

2

12

12

5

10

1.42

0.261

5.16

0.294

7.50

3.75

 

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Low-A – Swing of the Quad Cities

League Affiliation - fourteen-team Midwest League, eight-team West division

Overall Record – 37–29

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.97, H=0.99, 2B=1.09, HR=0.93, BB=0.93, SO=0.98

 

Roster Link

 

Current RotationBrandon Dickson/Blake King, Elvis Hernandez/ P.J. Walters, Brad Furnish/ Tyler Herron, Eddie Degerman/Shaun Garceau

Current BullpenArmando Carrasco, Kenny Maiques, Kyle Mura, Kyle Sadlowski, Mike Schellinger

 

Current Two-Week Pitching – 2.56 ERA, 2.97 dERA, 1.06 WHIP, .207 BAA, .284 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 2.98 ERA, 3.04 dERA, 1.18 WHIP, .229 BAA, .298 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

20-year-old Tyler Herron has really put it together over the past six weeks –

Period

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9

BB/9

05/04 - 05/17

13.3

11

1

13

0.90

0.229

1.52

0.314

8.78

0.68

05/18 - 05/31

13.7

9

4

11

0.95

0.191

2.47

0.250

7.24

2.63

06/01 - 06/14

17

9

1

21

0.59

0.155

0.85

0.243

11.12

0.53

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Blake King gets the ‘Not' for the second consecutive period.  His current stats are located in the ‘Prospect Watch' 

 

Of Note –

The Swing's 1.18 team WHIP is the second best in the Midwest League, just behind first-place Beloit's 1.15 WHIP.  Beloit has pitched just ten total innings more than Quad Cities with the Swing allowing 42 fewer hits.  However, Quad Cities has issued 52 more free passes than Beloit.

 

Three of the Top Ten WHIP leaders in the Midwest League are from the Swing:  Tyler Herron's 0.94 WHIP is third, P.J. Walters' 1.04 WHIP is eighth and Brad Furnish's 1.07 WHIP is tenth.  However, Herron has the most innings pitched of the three with 64.2 and that is good for only 30th in the league in that category.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

G

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9

BB/9

Degerman, Eddie

3

13.0

4

5

20

0.69

0.098

3.53

0.105

13.85

3.46

Furnish, Brad

4

15.7

11

3

16

0.89

0.200

2.69

0.263

9.19

1.72

Herron, Tyler

4

17.0

9

1

21

0.59

0.155

0.85

0.243

11.12

0.53

King, Blake

3

8.3

6

10

13

1.92

0.188

5.34

0.278

14.05

10.80

Walters, P.J.

3

9.3

10

2

14

1.28

0.256

2.50

0.375

13.49

1.93

 

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NOTE:  The two sabermetric statistics being used in this report, as of now, are BABIP and dERA.

BABIP – Batting Average on Balls In Play.  It is used mainly to measure the luckiness or unluckiness of a pitcher on those balls put into play that involve fielders.  Hence, home runs are excluded.  The standard BABIP range is .280-.310 so pitchers with a BABIP above .310 are unlucky while those below .280 are lucky. 

dERA – the small ‘d' stands for the acronym DIPS (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics).  DIPS is used in many areas.  With regards to a pitcher's Earned Run Average, it tries to measure his effectiveness in those areas in which the pitcher has the most control:  walks and strikeouts.  This stat is not perfect but it does help gauge a pitcher's performance.

 

 

Leonda Markee may be reached at uconncard@yahoo.com.

 

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