This Week in the Cards Minors– 7/07– Pitchers

Every other week, in our stats-based report, Leonda Markee analyzes pitching performances across the St. Louis Cardinals minor league system.

Here it is; the first report with stats for all seven North American teams.  Those wondering how the pitchers were chosen that appear in the ‘Prospect Watch' for the short-season teams, well there is no set formula.  Age, draft slot (if applicable) and current performance are all factored in.  The eight-man tandem rotation is reportedly in place for all short-season teams.  While the rotation tandem is readily apparent for Johnson City, that picture is not quite so clear for either the Batavia or GCL teams.  Tandems, when obvious, will be linked.  Otherwise, those pitchers starting games during the reporting period will be listed individually.

 

How Are They Doing?  (Standings as of July 6, 2007)

Team W L GB 1st Place Team
Memphis 37 51 15.5 Iowa (ChC)
Springfield 9 5 -- 2.5 up on Wichita (KC)
Palm Beach 7 5 -- T/with Brevard County (MIL)
Quad Cities 7 7 1.5 Beloit (MIN) & Peoria (ChC)
Batavia 5 12 6 3-way tie
Johnson City 4 10 19 Elizabethton (MIN)
GCL Cards 5 6 5.5 Dodgers

 

Up, Down and Out

Here are the transactions since the last report:

6/29/07 - Quad Cities (Batavia) - C Steven Hill called up from short-season A Batavia

06/29/07 - Palm Beach (Quad Cities) - RHP Eddie Degerman called up from class A Quad Cities

06/29/07 - Batavia (Johnson City) - 1B/DH Charlie Pelt, RHP Pete Parise:  called up from rookie level Johnson City

06/29/07 - Quad Cities - RHP Jason Cairns activated from the disabled list

06/29/07 - Quad Cities (Batavia) - RHP Marco Gonzalez called up from short-season A Batavia

06/30/07 - Johnson City (GCL) - 3B Tony Cruz, OF Joey Hage:  called up from the GCL Cardinals

07/01/07 - Batavia - C David Carpenter activated from the disabled list after completing a rehab assignment at the GCL Cardinals

07/02/07 - St. Louis (Johnson City) - RHP Kris Bakey, C Garrett Bussierre: granted his unconditional release (exact release date unknown but within the last week, Bussierre release being confirmed)

07/02/07 - Batavia (Johnson City) - LHP Ryan Hodinka activated from the disabled list and sent to rookie level Johnson City

07/02/07 - Johnson City - RHP Matt North has gone to the Jupiter facility to rehab his tendonitis

07/02/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - RHP Anthony Reyes sent down to Triple-A Memphis;  RHP Braden Looper activated from the 15-day Disabled List

07/03/07 - St. Louis (Palm Beach) - RHP Fernando Salas loaned to the Saltilla Saraperos of the Mexican League
 
07/03/07 - Memphis - RHP Kelvin Jimenez placed on the 7-day Disabled List (sore shoulder);  RHP Chris Russ activated;  RHP Tomo Ohka granted his unconditional release

07/04/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - C Kelly Stinnett declined to report to Triple-A Memphis and has returned to his home

07/04/07 - Memphis (Palm Beach) - LHP Chris Narveson activated from the 7-day disabled list (left lateral muscle injury) and sent to A-Advanced Palm Beach

07/04/07 - St. Louis (Batavia) - LHP Justin Ficke's contract purchased from the Joliet JackHammers of the independent Northern League and assigned to short-season A Batavia

07/04/07 - Memphis (Springfield) - 2B Jarrett Hoffpauir called up from Double-A Springfield

07/04/07 - Memphis (Chicago) - OF John Rodriguez activated from the 7-day disabled list;  INF John Nelson sold to the Chicago Cubs for cash considerations

07/05/07 - St. Louis - RHP Adam Reifer (11th Rd) signed, per Baseball America.  Exact signing date unknown

07/05/07 - St. Louis - RHP Ryan Franklin signed to a two-year contract extension with a team option for 2010.  Exact terms are unknown but reported include a $2M base for 2008, $5M total with unknown incentives based on number of starts

 

A big ‘Shout Out' to my boy Jarrett Hoffpauir on his well-deserved promotion to Triple-A Memphis.  And a sad farewell to the inspiration for the monthly ‘The Whiffer' award…the original Mr. Whiffy, John Nelson.  I had some sort of morbid fascination with checking to see how many strikeouts Nelson accumulated each game.  What will I do with my spare time? 

 

Any over/under on how long Chris Narveson and John Rodriguez will stay off the disabled list this time?

 

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Triple-A – Memphis Redbirds

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Pacific Coast League, four-team America North division

Overall Record – 37-51 

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.91, H=0.94, 2B=0.93, HR=1.08, BB=1.01, SO=1.04

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationBlake Hawksworth, Randy Keisler, Mike Parisi, Anthony Reyes, Mike Smith

Current Bullpen Hugo Castellanos, Andy Cavazos, Brian Falkenborg, Matt Ginter, Chris Lambert, Chris Russ, Mark Worrell

 

Current Three-Week Pitching – 4.52 ERA, 4,28 dERA, 1.48 WHIP, .277 BAA, .321 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.83 ERA, 4.35 dERA, 1.44 WHIP, .283 BAA, .325 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Lefty starter Randy Keisler is stringing together a series of good starts.  He is 4-1 over his last five starts with a 1.28 WHIP and .220 BAA.  In 33.1 innings he has allowed just 27 hits but has walked 14 with 30 strikeouts.  That gives him a 2.1:1 K/BB ratio.  Keisler is quoted in the <i>Memphis Commercial-Appeal</i> as saying that since he does not appear to be part of St. Louis' future plans, he is pitching for a possible trade.  He also acknowledged that he blew his previous opportunity with St. Louis during his call-up. 

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Blake Hawksworth (sigh).  He is just getting hammered on a regular basis these days.  Hawksworth has lasted just 18 total innings over his last four starts and opposing hitters are teeing off on him to a .378 batting average.  More stats are included in the ‘Prospect Watch' below.

 

Of Note –    

For those that are curious, here are recently released Tomo Ohka's stats as a Redbird:  3 G, 3 GS, 0-2, 18.1 IP, 27 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 0 HB, 3 BB, 7 SO, 6.87 ERA, 4.51 dERA, 1.64 WHIP, .360 BAA, .379 BABIP.

 

Troy Percival's brief stint as a Redbird showed the others on the Memphis pitching staff just what a Major League pitcher looks like.  Excluding his first game appearance in which he was clearly rusty, Percival pitched six innings over five games, allowed only three hits and two walks (0.83 WHIP) and did not allow an earned run.  He struck out nine (13.5 K/9 IP average) and held opponents to a .136 BAA.  Percival also had a 4.5:1 K/BB ratio.

 

Prospect Watch 

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Hawksworth, Blake 4 18 31 7 10 2.11 0.378 8.25 0.369 5.00 3.50
Lambert, Chris 6 7.1 14 7 9 2.86 0.412 8.36 0.500 11.05 8.59
Narveson, Chris*
Reyes, Anthony**
Worrell, Mark 7 7.2 4 4 5 1.04 0.148 5.58 0.143 5.87 4.69
*just off the DL and sent to Palm Beach
** Did Not Pitch at this level during this period

 

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AA – Springfield Cardinals

League Affiliation - eight-team Texas League, four-team East division

Overall Record – 9-5

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=1.03, H=1.02, 2B=0.98, HR=1.16, BB=1.02, SO=1.10

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationMitchell Boggs, Adam Daniels, Jaime Garcia, Eric Haberer, Cory Rauschenberger

Current BullpenKyle McClellan, Jason Motte, Kevin Ool, Chris Perez, Matt Scherer, Nick Webber, Zack Zuercher

 

Current Three-Week Pitching – 3.44 ERA, 3.66 dERA, 1.35 WHIP, .253 BAA, .313 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.16 ERA, 4.45 dERA, 1.45 WHIP, .270 BAA, .314 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Lefty Adam Daniels is making quite a first impression in the Texas League.  In his first four Double-A games, Daniels tossed 24.1 total innings and gave up just 19 hits with nine walks for a 1.15 WHIP and .207 BAA.  Daniels' dERA works out to 3.51 due to a barely 2:1 K/BB ratio.  His .247 BABIP, among other peripherals, says this performance is not likely to continue, but we will take it while it lasts.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not – <b>

Lefty Jaime Garcia is currently going through some 20-year-old growing pains.  Garcia took three losses in three starts during this period and averaged just over five innings a start (15.2 in all).  He gave up 20 hits and six walks for a 1.66 WHIP and .308 BAA.

 

Of Note –

Closer Chris Perez is still allowing too many baserunners.  He issued nine free passes in just 7 2/3 innings over seven games.  He also has a .167 BABIP.  Compare his numbers below with set-up man Jason Motte.  Motte's numbers:  7 G, 7.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 0 HR, 2 BB, 8 SO, 1.09 WHIP, .222 BAA, 1.89 dERA, .316 BABIP, 4:1 K/BB, 9.8 K/9 IP, 2.5 BB/9 IP

 

Prospect Watch

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Boggs, Mitch 3 20 25 5 17 1.50 0.309 3.03 0.381 7.65 2.25
Daniels, Adam 4 24.1 19 9 18 1.15 0.207 3.51 0.247 6.66 3.33
Garcia, Jaime 3 15.2 20 6 19 1.66 0.308 4.53 0.395 10.92 3.45
Perez, Chris 7 7.1 2 9 11 1.50 0.087 3.95 0.167 13.49 11.04

 

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A-Advanced – Palm Beach Cardinals

League Affiliation - twelve-team Florida State League, six-team East division

Overall Record – 7–5

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.89, H=0.96, 2B=1.06, HR=0.71, BB=0.97, SO=1.07

 

Roster link

 

Current Rotation – Eddie Degerman, Tyler Norrick, Adam Ottavino, Robert Ransom, P.J. Walters

Current BullpenMichael Cooper, Luke Gregerson, Trey Hearne, Jon Mikrut, Donnie Smith, Matt Trent, Scott Vander Weg

 

Current Three-Week Pitching – 4.22 ERA, 4.07 dERA, 1.44 WHIP, .273 BAA, .329 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.78 ERA, 3.64 dERA, 1.30 WHIP, .247 BAA, .297 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Adam Ottavino may just be turning the corner, performance-wise.  Ottavino wins ‘Hot' honors by tossing three excellent starts in a row.  He averaged almost seven innings a start and cut his average walks per game to under nine while holding opponents to an under .200 cumulative batting average.  Ottavino has not had a comparable period so far this season.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Fernando Salas went from ‘Hot' to ‘Not' and off to Mexico in one report.  He compiled a 2.47 WHIP (22 hits and six walks) in 11.1 innings pitched over three games (all starts).  In fact he walked almost as many as he struck out (six walks to seven strikeouts).  Opponents hit .407 against him (.359 BABIP) and he had a whopping 12.71 dERA.  Best of luck in Mexico.

 

Of Note –

P.J. Walters deserves an ‘Honorable Mention' for ‘Hot' honors.  He was promoted from Quad Cities during this period and actually pitched better in most categories at Palm Beach than he did at Quad Cities.  Walters allowed just 11 hits and four walks in 20 total innings over three games.  He struck out 25 for an 0.75 WHIP, .153 BAA and 11.25 K/9 IP.

 

Prospect Watch 

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Degerman, Eddie 4 13.1 13 10 22 1.72 0.260 2.26 0.464 14.84 6.75
Norrick, Tyler 3 16 15 9 14 1.50 0.263 4.10 0.333 7.88 5.06
Ottavino, Adam 3 20 13 4 18 0.85 0.183 2.00 0.245 8.10 1.80
Walters, P.J. 3 20 11 4 25 0.75 0.153 2.74 0.200 11.25 1.80

 

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Low-A – Swing of the Quad Cities

League Affiliation - fourteen-team Midwest League, eight-team West division

Overall Record – 7–7

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.97, H=0.99, 2B=1.09, HR=0.93, BB=0.93, SO=0.98

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationBrandon Dickson, Brad Furnish, Shaun Garceau, Elvis Hernandez, Tyler Herron

Current Bullpen – Jason Cairns, Armando Carrasco, Marco Gonzalez, Kenny Maiques, Kyle Mura, Kyle Sadlowski, Mike Schellinger

 

Current Three-Week Pitching – 3.56 ERA, 3.77 dERA, 1.36 WHIP, .269 BAA, .324 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.11 ERA, 3.16 dERA, 1.21 WHIP, .235 BAA, .303 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Tyler Herron wins a second straight ‘Hot' nod with an 0.97 WHIP, .244 BAA and 1.59 dERA.  Right now the question is how much longer he will be at Quad Cities.  His stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Shaun Garceau is currently struggling.  He went just 12.1 total innings in four games, allowing 19 hits and five home runs.  Garceau did strike out almost a batter an inning but walked almost as many as he struck out.  Check out his stats in the ‘Prospect Watch'. 

 

Of Note –  

Jason Cairns finally made his 2007 debut after spending the season-to-date at Jupiter with a knee injury.  Cairns first saw Quad Cities shortly after his 2005 drafting when he was promoted from short-season A New Jersey.  Since he spent all of 2006 at Quad Cities as well, Cairns is likely hoping to show enough to get himself promoted to Palm Beach.  There are a couple of relievers struggling at Palm Beach, particularly Scott Vander Weg, so opportunities exist.

 

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Furnish, Brad 3 12.2 11 2 13 1.03 0.229 3.91 0.273 9.23 1.42
Shaun Garceau 4 12.1 19 9 11 2.27 0.352 8.83 0.368 8.03 6.57
Hernandez, Elvis 4 16.2 14 7 14 1.26 0.215 3.66 0.260 7.56 3.78
Herron, Tyler 4 21.2 19 2 21 0.97 0.244 1.59 0.333 8.73 0.83

 

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Short-season A – Batavia Muckdogs

League Affiliation - fourteen-team New York-Penn League, six-team Pinckney division

Overall Record – 5–12

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.98, H=1.11, 2B=1.29, HR=0.77, BB=1.06, SO=1.16

 

Roster link

 

Current Rotation 

The rotation tandems appear to be sorting themselves out.  The following pitchers have started so far: 

Thomas Eager, Josh Fritsche, Brandon Garner, Blake King, David Kopp, Clay Long, Clayton Mortensen, Pete Parise, J.D. Stambaugh, Jess Todd, Josh Wilson

Current BullpenDavis Bilardello, Logan Collier, Wayne Daman, Josh Dew, Ryan Riddle

 

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.66 ERA, 3.05 dERA, 1.46 WHIP, .268 BAA, .349 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Although Pete Parise has been slotted for the Batavia bullpen, he has started there and is the recipient of Batavia's first ‘Hot' honor because of his success.  Parise came into the St. Louis minor league system when his contract was purchased from the Slippery Rock Sliders of the Frontier League.  He was initially assigned to Johnson City where he quickly became their closer before being promoted on to Batavia on June 30th.  Parise tossed a combined 11.1 innings, allowing nine hits and two walks for an 0.97 WHIP and .220 BAA.  He struck out 10 and compiled a 1.99 dERA and .290 BABIP.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not   

Brandon Garner is a bit of a surprise as a starter since he spent last season in the bullpen.  Garner is not off to a very good start:  4 G, 12.1 IP,, 24 H, 14 R, 13 ER, 4 BB, 4 SO, 9.24 ERA, 3.60 dERA, 2.21 WHIP, .400 BAA, .429 BABIP.

  

Of Note –  

Lefty J.D. Stambaugh is off to a very good start and gets an Honorable Mention for ‘Hot' honors.  The 25-th round pick has allowed 11 hits and only one walk in 15.2 innings against 13 strikeouts.  That works out to a 0.77 WHIP, .186 BAA, 2.73 dERA and .222 BABIP.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Eager, Thomas 4 13.1 15 6 14 1.58 0.300 2.50 0.417 9.45 4.05
King, Blake* 4 12.1 7 9 12 1.30 0.175 4.77 0.222 8.75 6.56
Kopp, David 1 2 2 0 3 1 0.200 1.07 0.286 13.50 0.00
Mortensen, Clayton 4 13 6 8 13 1.08 0.143 3.05 0.207 9.00 5.54
Todd, Jess 4 16 13 5 20 1.13 0.220 1.72 0.333 11.25 2.81
Wilson, Josh 3 8 11 3 7 1.75 0.306 2.73 0.379 7.88 3.38
*combined stats, Quad Cities/Batavia

  

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Rookie – Johnson City Cardinals

League Affiliation - nine-team Appalachian League, five-team West division

Overall Record – 4–10

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationSenger Peralta/Mark Diapoules, Nick Additon/Jose Arredondo, Tyler Leach/Brian Broderick, Omar Javier/Jose Mateo

Current Bullpen – Chuckie Fick, Dylan Gonzalez, Steve Hill, Ryan Hodinka, LaCurtis Mayes, Wladimir Mendoza, Ray Silva

 

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.66 ERA, 3.58 dERA, 1.61 WHIP, .272 BAA, .344 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

20-year-old Dominican Jose Mateo has started off ‘Hot'.  He tossed 14 innings over three games, allowing 13 hits and three walks against 14 strikeouts.  Check out more of his stats in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not   

Tyler Leach is off to a rocky start this season after missing the entire 2006 season due to "Tommy John" surgery.  Leach gave up 13 hits and five walks in eight and one-third innings over four games for a 2.16 WHIP and .394 BAA.  The good news is that he posted a 3.36 dERA and .500 BABIP so things are bound to improve.

 

Of Note –

Jose Arredondo posted even better numbers than fellow Dominican Jose Mateo but did it in less innings.  Thus Arredondo gets both an Honorable Mention for ‘Hot' honors and his name in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Matt North, currently at Jupiter rehabbing some tendonitis, is slated to take Omar Javier's slot in the Johnson City tandem rotation if/when he is ready to go this season.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Additon, Nick 3 8.1 11 5 9 1.92 0.324 4.50 0.417 9.72 5.40
Arredondo, Jose 3 9.2 8 3 8 1.14 0.211 2.57 0.267 7.45 2.79
Diapoules, Mark 3 9 10 5 8 1.67 0.263 3.14 0.333 8.00 5.00
Mateo, Jose 3 14 13 3 14 1.14 0.228 2.92 0.286 9.00 1.93

 

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Rookie – GCL Cardinals

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Gulf Coast League, five-team East division

Overall Record – 5–6

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationHector Cardenas, Carlos Gonzalez/Reynier Gonzalez, Rigoberto LugoAndres Rosales, Fabian Marquez, Gustavo Martinez, Francisco Samuel

Current Bullpen – Mike Blazek, Ramon Delgado, Deryk Hooker, Pablo Ortiz, Joel Pichardo, Eduardo Sanchez, Matt Spade 

 

Pitching Year-to-Date – 5.27 ERA, 3.97 dERA, 1.77 WHIP, .271 BAA, .358 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Andres Rosales gets the first ever GCL ‘Hot' nod.  The recently turned 19-year-old Columbian is unscored upon in eight innings over two games.  Rosales has exhibited excellent control so far with only walk and has struck out nine.  More stats appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Columbian Gustavo Martinez' North American debut is off to a rough start.  He compiled a 2.44 WHIP and .333 BAA in nine innings and three games.  Martinez gave up 13 hits and nine walks against just three strikeouts.  He had a 5.50 dERA and .361 BABIP. 

 

Of Note –

Look for the pitching roles, bullpen versus rotation tandem, to be fairly fluid. 

 

Prospect Watch

Player  IP  BB  SO  WHIP  BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Gonzalez, Carlos 3 11.2 9 8 12 1.46 0.237 3.22 0.346 9.25 6.17
Gonzalez, Reynier 3 11.2 8 4 11 1.03 0.170 3.57 0.200 8.48 3.08
Hooker, Deryk 2 3 4 1 5 1.67 0.308 1.34 0.500 15.00 3.00
Rosales, Andres 2 8 5 1 9 0.75 0.185 1.24 0.278 10.13 1.13

 

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NOTE:  The two sabermetric statistics being used in this report, as of now, are BABIP and dERA.

BABIP – Batting Average on Balls In Play.  It is used mainly to measure the luckiness or unluckiness of a pitcher on those balls put into play that involve fielders.  Hence, home runs are excluded.  The standard BABIP range is .280-.310 so pitchers with a BABIP above .310 are unlucky while those below .280 are lucky. 

dERA – the small ‘d' stands for the acronym DIPS (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics).  DIPS is used in many areas.  With regards to a pitcher's Earned Run Average, it tries to measure his effectiveness in those areas in which the pitcher has the most control:  walks and strikeouts.  This stat is not perfect but it does help gauge a pitcher's performance.

 

 

Leonda Markee may be reached at uconncard@yahoo.com.

 

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