This Week in the Cards Minors– 07/14– Hitters

In this installment of our weekly stats-based report, Leonda Markee analyzes position player performances across the St. Louis Cardinals' minor league system.

It has been another busy week in St. Louis' system.  Springfield released a couple of their bullpen pitchers while another pitcher took the mound for the first time since April 2006 when he appeared with the GCL Cardinals.  On the injured reserve front, Palm Beach saw two of their heaviest hitters go on the disabled list and Springfield got their shortstop back for about one pitch before he re-injured himself and went back to the sick farm.  Finally, one of the 2007 draft class is now wearing his fourth different uniform of the month as he is promoted up to Quad Cities.

 

None of the sabermetric statistics have been adjusted to include park factors due to extreme time constraints.  However, each team's 2004-2006 Weighted Park Factors are listed for those that want to adjust the figures.  There is a section at the end of the report that tries to explain some of these statistics a bit better.

 

How Are They Doing?  (Standings as of July 13, 2007)

Team W L GB 1st Place Team
Memphis 39 53 17.5 Nashville (MIL)
Springfield 14 6 --- 5 games up
Palm Beach 10 10 2.5 Brevard County (MIL)
Quad Cities 10 9 1.5 Peoria (ChC)
Batavia 7 16 6 Auburn (BAL)/Williamsport (PHI)
Johnson City 8 13 11 Elizabethton (MIN)
GCL Cards 7 11 6.5 GCL Dodgers

 

Up, Down and Out

Here are the transactions since the last report through July 12th:

07/06/07 - Springfield - RHP Jose Garcia given his unconditional release

07/06/07 - Memphis (Springfield) - C Matt Pagnozzi sent to Double-A Springfield;  RHP Anthony Reyes activated on the Memphis roster

07/07/07 - Batavia (Johnson City) - 3B Tony Cruz called up from rookie level Johnson City

07/08/07 - Springfield (Pittsburgh) - SS Tyler Greene activated from the 7-day Disabled List;  C Danilo Sanchez traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates organization, terms of the deal (cash or PTBNL) undisclosed

07/08/07 - GCL Cardinals (DSL Cardinals) - 3B Juan Cabrera called up from the DSL Cardinals

07/09/07 - Springfield - SS Tyler Greene placed on the 7-day Disabled List (same knee)

07/10/07 - Palm Beach (Quad Cities) - INF Donovan Solano called up from class A Quad Cities

07/10/07 - Quad Cities (GCL Cardinals) - RHP Phillip Andersen begins a rehab assignment with the GCL Cardinals

07/11/07 - Palm Beach - OF Ian Church placed on the 7-day Disabled List, retroactive to July 3rd (dislocated shoulder)

07/11/07 - Batavia - OF Collin Fanning, RHP David Kopp:  on the 7-day Disabled List (Fanning - fractured bone in his leg.  Has not appeared in a game so far this season) (Kopp - ankle injury)

07/11/07 - Springfield - LHP Kevin Ool given his unconditional release

07/12/07 - Memphis (Springfield) - RHP Chris Russ sent to Double-A Springfield; 
C Ryan Christianson placed on the 7-day Disabled List (shoulder);  C Matt Pagnozzi called up from Springfield

07/12/07 - Springfield (Palm Beach) - C Henry Guerrero called up from class A-Advanced Palm Beach

07/12/07 - Palm Beach - INF Allen Craig, OF Jon Jay:  placed on the 7-day Disabled List

07/12/07 - Palm Beach (Quad Cities) - OF Luke Gorsett, C Chris Grossman:  called up from class A Quad Cities

07/12/07 - Quad Cities (Batavia) - 3B Tony Cruz, OF Antone DeJesus, C Nick Derba:  called up from short-season A Batavia

07/12/07 - GCL Cardinals - INF Hector Alvarez added to the GCL Cardinals roster

07/12/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - INF Brendan Ryan optioned to Triple-A Memphis;  SS David Eckstein activated from the 15-day Disabled List;  RHP Todd Wellemeyer placed on the 15-day Disabled List, retroactive to July 9th (right elbow sprain);  RHP Andy Cavazos called up from Triple-A Memphis

 

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Triple-A – Memphis Redbirds

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Pacific Coast League, four-team America North division

Overall Record – 39-53 

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.91, H=0.94, 2B=0.93, HR=1.08, BB=1.01, SO=1.04

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .265/.347/.487/.834, .268 BABIP, 55.2 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date* – .263/.324/.429/.753, .297 BABIP, 360 RC

*Note:  Pitchers' offensive statistics excluded

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Second baseman Jarrett Hoffpauir is making it look easy in the early going at the Triple-A level.  While he has mainly been manning his usual position at second, he has made one appearance at short, so far.  His stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Current shortstop, and usual utility guy, Mike McCoy is struggling.  McCoy went .242/.390/.303/.693, 8-for-33, but did draw eight walks to give him a nice on-base percentage.  He had a .267 BABIP.

 

Of Note –   

While Tagg Bozied had a lousy .243 batting average, he did draw eight walks to boost his on-base percentage to .349.  Bozied also had a .568 slugging percentage because he had three doubles and three home runs in nine hits.  That works out to a .324 ISO.

 

John Rodriguez has gone .333/.368/.722/1.091, 6-for-18, with a double and two home runs since coming off the disabled list. 

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Ankiel, Rick 0.231 0.318 0.641 0.959 9 39 3 9 0.160 7.14 0.410
Hanson, Travis 0.273 0.273 0.455 0.727 6 22 0 2 0.263 2.73 0.182
Hoffpauir, Jarrett* 0.371 0.436 0.629 1.064 13 35 4 1 0.344 9.59 0.257
Mather, Joe 0.219 0.342 0.656 0.998 7 32 4 5 0.130 6.42 0.438
Stavinoha, Nick 0.361 0.395 0.389 0.784 13 36 1 4 0.406 5.30 0.028
*combined stats, Springfield/Memphis

 

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AA – Springfield Cardinals

League Affiliation - eight-team Texas League, four-team East division

Second-Half Record – 14-6

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=1.03, H=1.02, 2B=0.98, HR=1.16, BB=1.02, SO=1.10

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .253/.317/.386/.703, .319 BABIP, 48 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date* – .264/.340/.421/.761, .300 BABIP, 406.7 RC

*Note:  Pitchers' offensive statistics excluded

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

It appears as if Mark Hamilton has made his first adjustment to Double-A.  Hamilton posted a .500 slugging percentage this period with a .388 on-base percentage.  Stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.  Now it is time for the pitchers to adjust.

  

Who's Hittin' Not

Jose Martinez is not doing well right now, .209/.244/.349/.593, 9-for-43, with six strikeouts and only one walk.  He had a .222 BABIP, 3.4 RC and .140 ISO.

 

Of Note –

Sean Danielson just keeps chugging along.  In what was a ‘down' period for him, Danielson went .295/.392/.364/.756, 13-for-44, with three doubles seven walks and two stolen bases in two attempts.   

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Anderson, Bryan 0.344 0.364 0.344 0.707 11 32 1 10 0.500 4.00 0.000
Greene, Tyler*
Hamilton, Mark 0.318 0.388 0.500 0.888 14 44 5 9 0.382 8.08 0.182
Rasmus, Colby 0.242 0.333 0.455 0.788 8 33 4 10 0.318 4.79 0.212
Shorey, Mark 0.200 0.256 0.500 0.756 8 40 2 10 0.185 4.76 0.300
*back on the disabled list

 

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A-Advanced – Palm Beach Cardinals

League Affiliation - twelve-team Florida State League, six-team East division

Second-Half Record – 10–10

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.89, H=0.96, 2B=1.06, HR=0.71, BB=0.97, SO=1.07

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .292/.340/.416/.756, .345 BABIP, 62.9 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .265/.327/.384/.711, .309 BABIP, .381.3 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

There was quite a vigorous debate on the Message Board this week about Donovan Solano's recent promotion from Quad Cities.  Some thought he was being rushed and others disagreed.  Well, Solano was certainly tearing the cover off the ball, both at Quad Cities and in very limited at bats at Palm Beach.  He went .366/.395/.415/.810, 15-for-41 at Quad Cities and .333/.333/.667/1.000, 3-for-9, at Palm Beach.  He still does not show much power.  Solano's combined stats for the period appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'. 

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Dan Nelson was ice cold, hitting .171/.244/.220/.464, 7-for-41, with two doubles and eleven strikeouts.  He had a .233 BABIP, 2.3 RC and .049 ISO.

 

Of Note –

The Cardinals organization should start fining all players that slide head first into a base.  Jonathan Jay's head-first slide back in May is costing him dearly as he goes back on the disabled list, again, due to the same injury to his shoulder.  Jay was absolutely raking before going on the DL this time.  Sure hope this does not end up costing him, and the organization, long-term.    

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Buckman, Brandon 0.347 0.373 0.531 0.903 17 49 2 8 0.385 9.7 0.184
Craig, Allen 0.345 0.429 0.517 0.946 10 29 5 8 0.450 6.6 0.172
Garcia, Isa 0.351 0.442 0.541 0.982 13 37 4 4 0.375 8.3 0.189
Jay, Jonathan 0.341 0.357 0.537 0.894 14 41 1 6 0.382 8.3 0.195
Solano, Donovan* 0.360 0.385 0.460 0.845 18 50 1 4 0.391 8.8 0.080
*combined stats, Quad Cities/Palm Beach

 

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Low-A – Swing of the Quad Cities

League Affiliation - fourteen-team Midwest League, eight-team West division

Second-Half Record – 10–9

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.97, H=0.99, 2B=1.09, HR=0.93, BB=0.93, SO=0.98

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .247/.320/.378/.698, .287 BABIP, 42.6 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .255/.317/.370/.687, .300 BABIP, 334 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

One report after not awarding a ‘Hot' because the team's offense was so weak, this report has the season's first co-winners of the ‘Hot' nod.  Right fielder Luke Gorsett finished his time at Quad Cities in style with his first ‘Hot'.  His stats appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Gorsett shares the award with catcher Chris Grossman, who was also promoted to Palm Beach with Gorsett.  Grossman went .313/.368/.625/.993, 10-for-32, with a double and three home runs.  He scored seven runs and drove in eight with four walks and five strikeouts.  Grossman had a .292 BABIP, 7.8 RC and .313 ISO.  He will share catching duties with Brandon Yarbrough.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Centerfielder Daryl Jones has yet to figure out this game of professional baseball.  He is the Swing's recipient of the ‘Not' nudge for this report and his stats appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Of Note –

While first baseman Tim Dorn did not hit for average (.241 batting average), his on-base percentage was just over 100 points higher at.341 due to five walks.  Dorn also showed good power when he did connect with two doubles, one triple and one home run in seven total hits for a .483 slugging and .826 OPS.  Dorn has been nursing a jammed thumb which impacted his plate appearances and undoubtedly his hitting as well.  He averaged 2.9 plate appearances a game.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Gorsett, Luke* 0.343 0.400 0.514 0.914 12 35 1 8 0.423 6.50 0.143
Hill, Steven 0.277 0.300 0.447 0.747 13 47 2 13 0.344 6.60 0.170
Jones, Daryl 0.190 0.277 0.190 0.467 8 42 4 8 0.235 2.44 0.000
*Promoted to Palm Beach 7/12; did not play there so stats reported here

 

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Short-season A – Batavia Muckdogs

League Affiliation - fourteen-team New York-Penn League, six-team Pinckney division

Overall Record – 7–16

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.98, H=1.11, 2B=1.29, HR=0.77, BB=1.06, SO=1.16

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .219/.298/.326/.624, .274 BABIP, 38.4 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .232/.329/.321/.650, .287 BABIP, 74.1 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

When you get promoted three times within your first month of professional ball, you are doing something right.  While Tony Cruz was promoted on to Quad Cities at the end of this reporting period, he did not appear in a game there so his stats are going here.  At this rate Cruz will be spelling Rolen at third sometime in mid-September 2007.  Check out his stats in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

It appears that outfielder Antone DeJesus' promotion to Quad Cities on July 12th is based more on positional need rather than offensive success.  The Swing were down to two ‘true' outfielders with Luke Gorsett's promotion to Palm Beach so DeJesus got the call.  His stats appear in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Of Note –

To try and give a better idea of which players merit the most scrutiny, those players with three or more plate appearances per game for the period are listed, along with the positions at which they are primarily playing:  first baseman Andrew Brown (3.7 PA/Game), third baseman Tony Cruz (3.4), right fielder Antone DeJesus (3.00), second/third baseman Daniel Descalso (4.15), shortstop Oliver Marmol (3.7), centerfielder Tommy Pham (4.15) and left fielder Justin Roberson (3.15).

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Cruz, Tony# 0.317 0.364 0.537 0.900 13 41 2 7 0.344 7.87 0.220
DeJesus, Antone* 0.133 0.333 0.133 0.467 4 30 8 4 0.154 1.34 0.000
Descalso, Daniel 0.235 0.259 0.255 0.514 12 51 1 8 0.279 3.25 0.020
Pham, Tommy 0.180 0.226 0.340 0.566 9 50 3 9 0.179 3.52 0.160
*Promoted to Quad Cities on 7/12; did not play there so stats reported here.
#Stats combined between Batavia and Johnson City.

 

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Rookie – Johnson City Cardinals

League Affiliation - nine-team Appalachian League, five-team West division

Overall Record – 8–13

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .282/.354/.385/.739, .343 BABIP, 54.4 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .269/.340/.387/.726, .333 BABIP, 95.2 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Catcher Paul Vazquez earned the promotion he received on July 13th by hitting .410/.425/.692/1.117, 16-for-39, with five doubles and two home runs.  Vazquez scored six runs and drove in five with one walk.  He even stole a couple of bases and struck out once every 13 at bats.  Vazquez had a .412 BABIP, 12 RC and a .282 ISO.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Outfielder Joey Hage is still adjusting to the Johnson City level of the Rookie League after his recent promotion.  Hage's stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Of Note –

Here are those players with three or more plate appearances per game for the period, along with the positions at which they are primarily playing:  shortstop Domnit Bolivar (3.3 PA/Game), right fielder Jon Edwards (3.1), infielder Mike Folli (4.2), second baseman Jose Garcia (3.9), left fielder Joey Hage (4.1), catcher Casey Mulligan (3.25), outfielder Beau Riportella (3.75), catcher Paul Vazquez (3.3).

 

Prospect Watch

Player AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Bolivar, Domnit 0.278 0.308 0.361 0.669 10 36 2 5 0.323 4.3 0.056
Edwards, Jon 0.250 0.351 0.313 0.664 8 32 5 10 0.364 3.5 0.063
Hage, Joey 0.234 0.265 0.298 0.563 11 47 2 3 0.250 3.4 0.064
Riportella, Beau 0.372 0.400 0.395 0.795 16 43 2 7 0.444 7.7 0.023

 

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Rookie – GCL Cardinals

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Gulf Coast League, five-team East division

Overall Record – 7–11

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting - .226/.333/.322/.654, .288 BABIP, 36.6 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .242/.339/.354/.693, .299 BABIP, 70.7 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Corner infielder Osvaldo Morales was the cream of the team this week, going .333/.455/.750/1.205, 12-for-36, with three doubles, four home runs, seven runs scored and ten runs batted in.  Morales also walked (eight times) almost as much as he struck out (10 times).  He stole two bases in three attempts.  Morales had a .364 BABIP, 12.1 RC and .417 ISO and is turned 20 on July 4th.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Shortstop Romolo Ruiz, who does not turn 18 until November, has been showing his youth in the early going of his professional career in the United States.  His stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Of Note –

There are six players receiving three or more plate appearances per game for the period:  centerfielder D-Marcus Ingram (3.00 PA/Game), right fielder Edgar Lara (3.8 PA/Game), corner infielder Osvaldo Morales (4.00 PA/Game), outfielder Frederick Parejo (3.2 PA/Game), shortstop Romolo Ruiz (3.2 PA/Game) and second baseman Guillermo Toribio (4.1 PA/Game). 

 

Prospect Watch

Player  AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  H AB BB SO BABIP RC ISO
Lara, Edgar 0.237 0.310 0.474 0.783 9 38 4 8 0.250 5.1 0.237
Martinez, Jairo 0.417 0.462 0.458 0.920 10 24 1 8 0.625 5.3 0.042
Parejo, Frederick 0.207 0.343 0.207 0.550 6 29 5 5 0.250 1.9 0.000
Ruiz, Romolo 0.226 0.294 0.258 0.552 7 31 3 3 0.250 2.5 0.032

 

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NOTE:  The three sabermetric statistics being used in this report as of now are BABIP, Isolated Power and Runs Created.

 

Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP) - is used mainly to measure the luckiness or unluckiness of either a pitcher or batter on those balls put into play that involve fielders.  Hence, home runs are excluded.  The standard BABIP range is .280-.310 for either pitchers or hitters so hitters with a BABIP above .310 are getting lucky while those below .280 are unlucky. 

 

Isolated Power (ISO) – is one of five primary production metrics used in identifying a hitter or pitcher's comparables. PECOTA uses a slightly modified version of Isolated Power that assigns the same value to triples as to doubles (extending a double into a triple is generally an indicator of speed, rather than additional power).'

 

Runs Created (RC) - is a statistic created by Bill James to measure a player's total offensive production? Bill James describes it by saying that scoring runs consists of two actions: first - getting on base or creating base runners and second - the advancing of those runners around the bases. The formula we used to ascertain each player's RC incorporates the stolen base element of offense.

 

 

Leonda Markee may be reached via email at uconncard@yahoo.com.

 

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