This Week in the Cards Minors– 7/21– Pitchers

Every other week, in our stats-based report, Leonda Markee analyzes pitching performances across the St. Louis Cardinals' minor league system. Johnson City's Jose Mateo is among the "hot" pitchers this period.

Well, I think this report includes a new record in futility.  This is the first report, ever, in which all our short-season teams have been in last place.  It is understandable that each team's level of play is impacted due to more aggressive promotion policies, yet their respective standings are a sad commentary. 

 

Something I learned since the last report is that St. Louis has a policy that any minor league reliever that is used in three consecutive games must be rested for two consecutive days.  It is a good thing to keep in mind when reviewing the box scores. 

 

There is not much happy news in this report's transactions as it has been a pretty lousy week.  Carpenter needs Tommy John surgery, Tyler Greene needs knee surgery as does John Rodriguez.  The only bits of good news were the promotions of Brad Furnish and Clayton Mortensen to Palm Beach and Quad Cities, respectively, plus the activation from the disabled list of Jon Jay at Palm Beach, David Kopp at Batavia and Jimmy Edmonds.

 

This report goes on vacation with me and will return on August 4th.  Look for a special report next week.

 

How Are They Doing?  (Standings as of July 20, 2007)

Team W L GB 1st Place Team
Memphis 41 57 18.5 Nashville Sounds (MIL)
Springfield 16 10 --- 3.5 up on Tulsa (COL)
Palm Beach 13 13 1.5 Brevard County (MIL)
Quad Cities 13 11 1.5 Burlington (KC)/Peoria (ChC)
Batavia 7 22 10 Auburn (BAL)
Johnson City 10 16 10.5 Elizabethton (MIN)
GCL Cards 7 15 11 GCL Dodgers

 

Up, Down and Out

Here are the transactions since the last report:

 

07/13/07 - Batavia (Johnson City) - 2B Jose Garcia, C Paul Vasquez:  called up from rookie league Johnson City

07/14/07 - Quad Cities (Johnson City) - 3B Wilmer Alvarado sent to rookie league Johnson City

07/15/07 - Palm Beach (Quad Cities) - LHP Brad Furnish called up from class A Quad Cities

07/15/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - UT Scott Spiezio placed on the 15-day Disabled List, retroactive to July 14th (left index finger infection);  SS Brendan Ryan recalled from Triple-A Memphis

07/16/07 - Quad Cities - SS Willian Sandoval placed on the suspended list and sent home

07/16/07 - Quad Cities (Batavia) - RHP Clayton Mortensen called up from short-season A Batavia

07/17/07 - Batavia - RHP David Kopp, OF Collin Fanning:  activated from the 7-day Disabled List;  RHP Josh Wilson placed on the Disabled List, retroactive to June 28th (will undergo shoulder surgery);  3B Brian Cartie placed on the Disabled List (separated shoulder)

07/18/07 - Memphis - OF John Rodriguez to undergo arthroscopic surgery on Thursday to repair a damaged meniscus in his left knee, per the Commercial-Appeal

07/18/07 - Memphis (Palm Beach) - LHP Chris Narveson re-called from his rehab assignment at A-Advanced Palm Beach

07/18/07 - Springfield - SS Tyler Greene to undergo right knee surgery on Thursday, July 26th (clean out loose cartilage)

07/19/07 - Palm Beach - OF Jon Jay activated from the 7-day Disabled List

07/19/07 - Johnson City (GCL Cardinals) - RHP Joel Pichardo called up from the GCL Cardinals

07/19/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - RHP Andy Cavazos sent down to Triple-A Memphis;  OF Jim Edmonds activated from the 15-day Disabled List

 

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Triple-A – Memphis Redbirds

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Pacific Coast League, four-team America North division

Overall Record – 41-57

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.91, H=0.94, 2B=0.93, HR=1.08, BB=1.01, SO=1.04

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationBlake Hawksworth, Randy Keisler, Mike Parisi, Anthony Reyes, Mike Smith

Current Bullpen Hugo Castellanos, Brian Falkenborg, Matt Ginter, Kelvin Jimenez, Chris Lambert, Mark Worrell

 

Current Period Pitching – 3.95 ERA, 4.14 dERA, 1.31 WHIP, .239 BAA, .294 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.75 ERA, 4.33 dERA, 1.43 WHIP, .279 BAA, .322 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Relievers Brian Falkenborg and Matt Ginter have been cookin' recently, going a combined 1-0 with three saves over nine innings pitched.  During that time they allowed seven hits and two walks against 11 strike outs for a 1.00 WHIP and .206 BAA.  They had a 1.54 dERA and .304 BABIP.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Randy Keisler's most recent two starts combined one alright outing with a lousy one.  He gave up 15 hits and four walks in 13 innings for a 1.46 WHIP and .288 BAA.  Keisler had a 4.64 dERA and .333 BABIP. 

 

Of Note –    

Memphis used the Triple-A All-Star break to re-organize their rotation order.  Prior to the break the order had been:  Blake Hawksworth, Randy Keisler, Anthony Reyes, Mike Parisi and Mike Smith.  After the break the rotation order has been:  Randy Keisler, Mike Parisi, Mike Smith, Anthony Reyes and Blake Hawksworth.  As a result of this re-organization, Blake Hawksworth made only one start during the current reporting period.

 

Prospect Watch 

Player  G IP H BB SO WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Hawksworth, Blake 1 6 2 4 3 1.00 0.118 7.96 0.077 4.50 6.00
Lambert, Chris 2 5 4 4 3 1.60 0.222 4.52 0.267 5.40 7.20
Narveson, Chris*
Reyes, Anthony 2 10.7 8 6 12 1.31 0.205 6.73 0.208 10.12 5.06
Worrell, Mark 4 5 6 1 4 1.40 0.316 2.32 0.400 7.20 1.80
*on rehab assignment, see Palm Beach 'Prospect Watch' 

 

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AA – Springfield Cardinals

League Affiliation - eight-team Texas League, four-team East division

Overall Record – 16-10

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=1.03, H=1.02, 2B=0.98, HR=1.16, BB=1.02, SO=1.10

 

Roster link

 

Current Rotation – Mitchell Boggs, Adam Daniels, Jaime Garcia, Eric Haberer and Cory Rauschenberger

Current BullpenKyle McClellan, Jason Motte, Chris Perez, Chris Russ, Matt Scherer and Nick Webber

 

Current Period Pitching – 2.27 ERA, 3.15 dERA, 1.26 WHIP, .251 BAA, .309 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.94 ERA, 4.30 dERA, 1.43 WHIP, .268 BAA, .314 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Starters Mitchell Boggs and Jaime Garcia share ‘Hot' honors this time around.  Check out their stats in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not

Adam Daniels had two mediocre outings this period to get the ‘Not' nod.  His performance can be found in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Of Note –

Reliever Kyle McClellan continues to put up sick numbers.  He tossed five and two-thirds innings over four games and did not allow a hit.  He walked two and struck out six.  That works out to an 0.35 WHIP, 1.55 dERA and zeros for both batting average against and batting average for balls in play.  McClellan had a 3:1 K/BB ratio.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  G IP H BB SO WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Boggs, Mitchell 3 17 14 6 15 1.18 0.215 2.57 0.280 7.94 3.18
Daniels, Adam 2 12 16 2 5 1.50 0.327 4.15 0.349 3.75 1.50
Garcia, Jaime 2 14 11 5 12 1.14 0.224 2.60 0.297 7.71 3.21
Perez, Chris 3 2.2 1 3 3 1.50 0.111 4.39 0.167 10.15 10.15

 

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A-Advanced – Palm Beach Cardinals

League Affiliation - twelve-team Florida State League, six-team East division

Overall Record – 13–13

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.89, H=0.96, 2B=1.06, HR=0.71, BB=0.97, SO=1.07

 

Roster link

 

Current Rotation – Eddie Degerman, Brad Furnish, Tyler Norrick, Adam Ottavino, P.J. Walters

Current BullpenMichael Cooper, Luke Gregerson, Trey Hearne, Jon Mikrut, Robert Ransom, Donnie Smith, Matt Trent and Scott Vander Weg

 

Current Period Pitching – 3.11 ERA, 3.40 dERA, 1.34 WHIP, .267 BAA, .322 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.69 ERA, 3.61 dERA, 1.30 WHIP, .250 BAA, .300 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Reliever Jon Mikrut has been outstanding recently, for the most part.  He pitched eleven innings over six games and allowed just seven hits and four walks that resulted in one run.  That sole run resulted in a loss.  Otherwise, he struck out 11 and had a 1.00 WHIP, .194 BAA, 2.28 dERA and .280 BABIP.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Swing man Trey Hearne appeared in two games, one start, and tossed seven innings.  He gave up 12 hits and two walks for a 2.00 WHIP and .429 BAA.  Hearne had a 2.26 dERA and .571 BABIP which says he was really unlucky. 

 

Of Note –

When looking at the ‘Prospect Watch' below, P. J. Walters' numbers may raise the question as to why he did not get the Not mention this report.  Well, Walters started a game on July 3rd that was suspended fairly early.  Walters was doing fine at that point.  But he was sent out on the 8th to take up where he left off and got hammered.  All that shows is that Walters did not do well on short rest.

 

Reliever Scott Vander Weg pitched only one inning in one game during this period.   

 

Prospect Watch 

Player  G IP H BB SO WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Degerman, Eddie 2 10 8 3 7 1.10 0.229 2.74 0.286 6.30 2.70
Norrick, Tyler 2 10.2 8 5 8 1.22 0.205 5.97 0.207 6.75 4.22
Ottavino, Adam 3 17.1 17 5 11 1.27 0.243 4.44 0.263 5.71 2.60
Walters, P.J. 2 11.2 15 2 9 1.46 0.319 2.34 0.395 6.94 1.54

 

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Low-A – Swing of the Quad Cities

League Affiliation - fourteen-team Midwest League, eight-team West division

Overall Record – 13–11

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.97, H=0.99, 2B=1.09, HR=0.93, BB=0.93, SO=0.98

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationBrandon Dickson, Shaun Garceau, Elvis Hernandez, Tyler Herron, Clayton Mortensen

Current BullpenJason Cairns, Armando Carrasco, Marco Gonzalez, Kenny Maiques, Kyle Mura, Kyle Sadlowski, Mike Schellinger

 

Current Period Pitching – 3.40 ERA, 3.50 dERA, 1.22 WHIP, .243 BAA, .285 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 3.14 ERA, 3.20 dERA, 1.21 WHIP, .236 BAA, .301 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Recently promoted Brad Furnish left with a flourish with his best string of performances of the season.  It was his first ‘Hot' of the year and his stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

Brandon Dickson really struggled in his two starts.  Dickson only went nine and one-third innings, gave up 14 hits and six walks for a 2.14 WHIP and .350 BAA.  His .400 BABIP indicates that Dickson should have received better results for his efforts but his 4.06 dERA is a flag that he simply is not pitching well.  Dickson has never struck out many and that held true to form as he K'd only five. 

 

Of Note –  

While reliever Mike Schellinger allowed four hits in three and two-thirds innings in two games, he did not walk a batter so posted a 1.09 WHIP.  Schellinger also struck out six to raise his year-to-date K/9 IP average to 8.80.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  G IP H BB SO WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Furnish, Brad 3 12.2 11 2 13 1.03 0.229 3.91 0.273 9.23 1.42
Shaun Garceau 4 12.1 19 9 11 2.27 0.352 8.83 0.368 8.03 6.57
Hernandez, Elvis 4 16.2 14 7 14 1.26 0.215 3.66 0.260 7.56 3.78
Herron, Tyler 4 21.2 19 2 21 0.97 0.244 1.59 0.333 8.73 0.83

 

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Short-season A – Batavia Muckdogs

League Affiliation - fourteen-team New York-Penn League, six-team Pinckney division

Overall Record – 7–22

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.98, H=1.11, 2B=1.29, HR=0.77, BB=1.06, SO=1.16

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationThomas Eager/Pete Parise, Brandon Garner/J.D. Stambaugh, , Blake King/Jess Todd, David Kopp/Clay Long

 

Current BullpenDavis Bilardello, Logan Collier, Wayne Daman, Josh Dew, Justin Fiske, Josh Fritsche, Ryan Riddle

 

Current Period Pitching – 4.69 ERA, 4.38 dERA, 1.62 WHIP, .282 BAA, .333 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.69 ERA, 3.51 dERA, 1.56 WHIP, .280 BAA, .351 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Righty Jess Todd had the combination of innings pitched and stats which won him this report's Hot mention.  The second rounder's stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not   

When picking out the ‘Hot' and ‘Not' pitchers, one of the real difficulties is the very limited number of innings each is pitching, due to the tandem rotation.  There were other pitchers that did worse than this report's ‘Not' recipient but they pitched very few innings.  Keep that in mind when reading this stuff.  Starter Clay Long's eight and one-third innings were not quality ones, overall, as he allowed fourteen hits and five walks during that time.  The opposition teed off on him for a .378 batting average against and he compiled a 2.28 WHIP.  Worse still, he walked more than he struck out with four K's.  Long had a 3.99 dERA and .424 BABIP.

  

Of Note –  

Speaking of walking more hitters than you are striking out, Blake King continues to struggle with his control.  While he allowed less than a hit an inning, six hits in eight and one-third innings, King walked 12 and struck out 10.  His stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

G

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Eager, Thomas 2 4.3 11 4 3

3.46

0.478 9.47 0.500 6.22 8.29
King, Blake 3 8.3 6 12 10

2.16

0.214 5.22 0.333 10.80 12.97
Kopp, David 1 2 1 3 0

2.00

0.200 10.64 0.200 0.00 13.50
Todd, Jess 3 12 10 4 10

1.20

0.238 2.56 0.313 7.71 3.08

 

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Rookie – Johnson City Cardinals

League Affiliation - nine-team Appalachian League, five-team West division

Overall Record – 10–16

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationSenger Peralta/Mark Diapoules, Nick Additon/Jose Arredondo, Tyler Leach/Brian Broderick, Omar Javier/Jose Mateo

Current BullpenChuckie Fick, Dylan Gonzalez, Steve Hill, Ryan Hodinka, LaCurtis Mayes, Wladimir Mendoza, Ray Silva

 

Current Period Pitching – 4.61 ERA, 4.83 dERA, 1.43 WHIP, .245 BAA, .278 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.56 ERA, 4.09 dERA, 1.52 WHIP, .260 BAA, .314 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Jose Mateo receives his second consecutive ‘Hot' award.  Mateo beat out fellow Dominican Jose Arredondo primarly due to a better BABIP which indicates that his stats more accurately reflect his performance.  Still, both pitchers did a fine job and their stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not   

Like Batavia's Clay Long, Omar Javier gets the Pitchin' Not because he pitched some innings, unlike…say…Tyler Leach.  Leach was eye-poppingly bad in just his two innings pitched.  Both pitchers' stats are in the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Prospect Watch

Player  G IP H BB SO WHIP BAA dERA BABIP K/9 IP BB/9 IP
Additon, Nick 2 7 11 0 6 1.57 0.355 5.39 0.391 7.71 0.00
Arredondo, Jose 3 12.1 5 4 5 0.73 0.132 3.48 0.152 3.65 2.92
Diapoules, Mark 2 6 2 3 2 0.83 0.105 4.32 0.118 3.00 4.50
Javier, Omar 3 9.2 16 3 4 1.97 0.356 5.96 0.359 3.73 2.80
Leach, Tyler 2 2 8 5 2 6.50 0.533 10.09 0.583 9.00 22.50
Mateo, Jose 3 12.2 10 4 11 1.10 0.208 3.56 0.250 7.81 2.84

 

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Rookie – GCL Cardinals

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Gulf Coast League, five-team East division

Overall Record – 7–15

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current RotationHector Cardenas/Andres Rosales, Carlos Gonzalez/Reynier Gonzalez, Fabian Marquez/Mike Blazek, Francisco Samuel/Deryk Hooker

Current BullpenRamon Delgado, Rigoberto Lugo, Pablo Ortiz, Joel Pichardo, Eduardo Sanchez, Matt Spade 

 

Current Period Pitching – 2.99 ERA, 3.48 dERA, 1.38 WHIP, .236 BAA, .304 BABIP

Pitching Year-to-Date – 4.26 ERA, 3.72 dERA, 1.59 WHIP, .256 BAA, .335 BABIP

 

Who's Pitchin' Hot 

Carlos Gonzalez was pitching hot this period with only four hits and two walks allowed in 12 innings.  That works out to a miniscule 0.50 WHIP and .100 BAA.  He struck out fourteen and had a 2.51 dERA and .120 BABIP.  There is probably a direct correlation between unnaturally low WHIP's and very low BABIP's.  Check out the ‘Prospect Watch'.

 

Who's Pitchin' Not 

18-year-old Mike Blazek was less than effective in the seven innings he pitched.  Blazek allowed nine hits and two walks for a 1.57 WHIP and .321 BAA.  He also hit a couple of guys.  Blazek had a 4.04 dERA and .400 BABIP.

 

Of Note –

Pitcher Gustavo Martinez did not appear in a game the entire period.  He last saw action on July 3rd and was the first recipient of the GCL Cardinals ‘Not' nod in the last report.

 

Prospect Watch

Player

G

IP

H

BB

SO

WHIP

BAA

dERA

BABIP

K/9 IP

BB/9 IP

Cardenas, Hector 2 5 2 5 3

1.40

0.105 5.12 0.125 5.40 9.00
Gonzalez, Carlos 3 12 4 2 14

0.50

0.100 2.51 0.120 10.50 1.50
Gonzalez, Reynier 3 10 11 3 6

1.40

0.268 3.00 0.314 5.40 2.70
Hooker, Deryk 2 6 6 1 8

1.17

0.273 1.22 0.429 12.00 1.50
Samuel, Francisco 2 6 7 2 6

1.50

0.280 2.36 0.368 9.00 3.00

 

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NOTE:  The two sabermetric statistics being used in this report, as of now, are BABIP and dERA.

BABIP – Batting Average on Balls In Play.  It is used mainly to measure the luckiness or unluckiness of a pitcher on those balls put into play that involve fielders.  Hence, home runs are excluded.  The standard BABIP range is .280-.310 so pitchers with a BABIP above .310 are unlucky while those below .280 are lucky. 

dERA – the small ‘d' stands for the acronym DIPS (Defense Independent Pitching Statistics).  DIPS is used in many areas.  With regards to a pitcher's Earned Run Average, it tries to measure his effectiveness in those areas in which the pitcher has the most control:  walks and strikeouts.  This stat is not perfect but it does help gauge a pitcher's performance.

 

 

Leonda Markee may be reached at uconncard@yahoo.com.

 

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