This Week in the Cards Minors– 08/13– Hitters

In the return of our weekly stats-based report, Leonda Markee analyzes position player performances across the St. Louis Cardinals' minor league system.

It is finally back, the weekly stats report.  Never go on vacation; it takes too long to catch up afterwards.  Well, the biggest thing to happen in St. Louis' minor league system is Rick Ankiel getting the long-awaited Call.  While it was certainly beneficial to have Ankiel stay in the minors and get much-needed at bats, it was beyond thrilling when he was promoted.  Ankiel has no bigger believer than me.  Best of luck, Rick!

 

Elsewhere, the report gives what has been happening from a stats point-of-view.  Just remember that stats are never the entire story.

 

None of the sabermetric statistics have been adjusted to include park factors due to extreme time constraints.  However, each team's 2004-2006 Weighted Park Factors are listed for those that want to adjust the figures.  There is a section at the end of the report that tries to explain some of these statistics a bit better.

 

How Are They Doing?  (Standings as of August 10, 2007)

Team W L GB 1st Place Team
Memphis 48 71 23.5 Nashville (MIL)
Springfield 25 20 --- 2 games up
Palm Beach 20 26 6 Brevard County (MIL)
Quad Cities 28 17 --- 2.5 games up
Batavia 18 30 10 Auburn (BAL)
Johnson City 20 28 15.5 Elizabethton (MIN)
GCL Cards 21 19 7 GCL Dodgers

 

Up, Down and Out

Here are the transactions for the week:

 

08/03/07 - Johnson City (GCL Cardinals) - INF Hector Alvarez called up from the GCL Cardinals

08/03/07 - Batavia (Johnson City) - SS Domnit Bolivar called up from rookie league Johnson City

08/03/07 - Quad Cities (Batavia) - SS Oliver Marmol called up from short-season Batavia

08/03/07 - Memphis - RHP Brian Falkenborg cleared waivers and assigned to Triple-A Memphis;  RHP Chris Lambert placed on the 7-day Disabled List (strained left oblique)

08/04/07 - GCL Cardinals - RHP Stuart Pomeranz begins a rehab assignment with the rookie level GCL Cardinals

08/05/07 - GCL Cardinals - RHP Matt North begins a rehab assignment with the rookie level GCL Cardinals

08/06/07 - St. Louis - LHP Mike Maroth placed on the 15-day Disabled List (left elbow tendonitis);  LHP Tyler Johnson activated from the 15-day Disabled List

08/06/07 - GCL Cardinals - 3B Rico Washington begins a rehab assignment with the rookie level GCL Cardinals

08/06/07 - St. Louis (GCL Cardinals) - RHP Ronald Russell (49th round) agreed to terms and assigned to the rookie level GCL Cardinals

08/08/07 - Johnson City - 3B Wilmer Alvarado given his unconditional release

08/08/07 - Johnson City (GCL Cardinals) - CI (corner infielder) Osvaldo Morales called up from the GCL Cardinals

08/08/07 - Batavia - INF Andrew Brown, RHR Josh Dew, RHS Jess Todd:  named to the 2007 New York-Penn League All-Star team

08/09/07 - St. Louis (Memphis) - UT Scott Spiezio placed on the restricted list (substance abuse);  RHS Chris Carpenter moved to the 60-day Disabled List;  OF Rick Ankiel's contract purchased from the Triple-A Memphis Redbirds, added to both the 25- and 40-man rosters (called up)

08/09/07 - Johnson City (GCL Cardinals) - C Ivan Castro called up from the GCL Cardinals

 

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Triple-A – Memphis Redbirds

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Pacific Coast League, four-team America North division

Overall Record – 48-71 

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.91, H=0.94, 2B=0.93, HR=1.08, BB=1.01, SO=1.04

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting -.253/.322/.380/.703 , .280 BABIP, 108 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date* – .260/.325/.422/.748, .290 BABIP, 518 RC

*Note:  Pitchers' offensive statistics excluded

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

First baseman Tagg Bozied hit .305/.393/.558/.951, 29-for-95, over the last four weeks with three doubles and seven home runs.  Bozied had more walks (14) than he did strikeouts (13) and even stole a base.  Bozied's .293 BABIP says the numbers are realistic.  Bozied has played almost exclusively at first so is not much of a candidate for a call-up at this late date.  But he has been the best hitter on the Redbirds over the last month.  

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Outfielder Nick Stavinoha hit an anemic .253/.322/.380/.703, 22-for-102, with only two doubles, two home runs and twelve strikeouts.  He had a .227 BABIP, 8 RC and .078 ISO.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

H

AB

BB

SO

BABIP

RC

ISO

Ankiel, Rick

0.260

0.317

0.500

0.817

25

96

8

20

0.271

15.6

0.229

Hanson, Travis*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hoffpauir, Jarrett

0.318

0.406

0.455

0.860

28

88

13

10

0.342

16.1

0.136

Mather, Joe

0.268

0.336

0.381

0.718

26

97

9

19

0.316

12.8

0.103

Stavinoha, Nick

0.216

0.259

0.294

0.553

22

102

6

12

0.227

8.1

0.078

*on Disabled List during period

 

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AA – Springfield Cardinals

League Affiliation - eight-team Texas League, four-team East division

Second-Half Record – 25-20

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=1.03, H=1.02, 2B=0.98, HR=1.16, BB=1.02, SO=1.10

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting - .281/.353/.441/.794, .322 BABIP, 125 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date* – .267/.342/.425/.767, .305 BABIP, 530 RC

*Note:  Pitchers' offensive statistics excluded

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Two S-Cards get the nod this time around.  The first is third baseman Juan Richardson who went .333/.411/.544/.956, 30-for-90, with four doubles, five home runs and 19 runs batted in.  Richardson had a .424 BABIP and struck out once every 3.5 at bats.

 

The other is infielder Juan Lucena.  Lucena hit .354/.402/.544/.947, 28-for-79, with five doubles, two triples, two home runs and 16 runs batted in.  He also walked more (five) than he struck out (three). Lucena had a .351 BABIP and 16 RC.  

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Believe it or not, it is not Colby Rasmus but Mark Hamilton.  Hamilton posted a sad .584 OPS (.220/.287/.297/.584) in 91 at bats.  Hamilton struck out 25 times to only eight walks and had a .292 BABIP.

 

Of Note –

As has been noted by some of the posters on our Message Board, Jose Martinez has been putting up some nice numbers recently.  Over the last month Martinez went .315/.327/.543/.870, 29-for-92, with six doubles, five home runs, 13 runs scored and 22 runs batted in.  He posted a .308 BABIP and .228 ISO.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Anderson, Bryan

0.263

0.322

0.325

0.647

21

80

7

16

0.328

8.4

0.063

Greene, Tyler*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Haerther, Cody**

0.333

0.348

0.644

0.992

15

45

1

8

0.371

10.1

0.289

Hamilton, Mark

0.220

0.287

0.297

0.584

20

91

8

25

0.292

7.8

0.077

Rasmus, Colby

0.253

0.434

0.427

0.861

19

75

20

23

0.340

12.9

0.160

Shorey, Mark

0.286

0.367

0.529

0.896

20

70

7

22

0.364

13.0

0.243

*on the Disabled List
**combined stats, GCL Cardinals/Springfield

 

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A-Advanced – Palm Beach Cardinals

League Affiliation - twelve-team Florida State League, six-team East division

Second-Half Record – 20–26

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.89, H=0.96, 2B=1.06, HR=0.71, BB=0.97, SO=1.07

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting - .255/.304/.368/.672, .292 BABIP, 100 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .263/.322/.380/.703, 305 BABIP, 482 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

No one.  Not a one of ‘em.  At least no one averaging three or more plate appearances for the period. 

 

Who's Hittin' Not

So many choices, so much competition.  However, Jim Rapoport has been particularly putrid as he hit .170/.231/.220/.451, 17-for-100, with one double, two triples and 16 strikeouts.  He did have a .202 BABIP so things should get better for him.

 

Of Note –

It is worth noting that only those players that averaged three or more plate appearances per game for the period qualify for the ‘Hot' and ‘Not' mentions.

 

Gaylen Pitts, the Palm Beach manager, may be having a difficult time figuring out who to have catch these days as both his choices are hitting quite well.  Brandon Yarbrough is getting most of the playing time, averaging 2.70 PA/game, and went .333/.348/.621/.969, 22-for-66, with seven doubles, three triples and two home runs and a.400 BABIP.  Chris Grossman is averaging 1.65 PA/Game and went .421/.476/.500/.976, 16-for-38, with three doubles and a .533 BABIP.  Keep it going, guys!

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Buckman, Brandon

0.242

0.268

0.374

0.642

22

91

4

17

0.278

9.3

0.132

Craig, Allen

0.333

0.381

0.564

0.945

13

39

2

4

0.353

9.7

0.231

Garcia, Isa

0.295

0.311

0.489

0.800

26

88

2

8

0.299

12.9

0.182

Gorsett, Luke

0.291

0.337

0.442

0.779

25

86

3

13

0.324

12.1

0.140

Jay, Jonathan

0.231

0.292

0.277

0.569

15

65

4

15

0.300

4.7

0.046

Solano, Donovan

0.169

0.220

0.169

0.388

13

77

4

8

0.188

2.7

0.000

 

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Low-A – Swing of the Quad Cities

League Affiliation - fourteen-team Midwest League, eight-team West division

Second-Half Record – 28–17

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.97, H=0.99, 2B=1.09, HR=0.93, BB=0.93, SO=0.98

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting - .305/.383/.422/.805, .367 BABIP, 167 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .267/.334/.386/.719, .317 BABIP, 490 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Steven Hill is on fire, going .407/.431/.610/1.041, 48-for-118, with nine doubles, five home runs and 26 runs batted in.  Hill has a .473 BABIP and 31 RC.  He averaged 4.7 plate appearances per game and played the outfield, first base and behind the plate.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Middle infielder Christian Lopez went .221/.277/.325/.602, 17-for-77, with two doubles, two home runs and 24 strikeouts.  Lopez K'd an average of once every 3.2 at bats and had a .294 BABIP.

 

Of Note –

Jaime Landin made the most of limited playing time (2.15 PA/game average) by going .356/.473/.556/1.028, 16-for-45, with six doubles, one home run and ten runs batted in.  He also had ten walks to only three strikeouts and stole a couple of bases as well.  Landin had a .366 BABIP.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Cruz, Tony

0.313

0.363

0.500

0.863

35

112

9

14

0.330

20.6

0.188

DeJesus, Antone

0.298

0.410

0.340

0.751

28

94

17

20

0.378

14.3

0.043

Hill, Steven

0.407

0.431

0.610

1.041

48

118

5

22

0.473

31.0

0.203

Jones, Daryl

0.286

0.367

0.377

0.743

22

77

7

15

0.344

13.4

0.065

Marmol, Oliver*

0.247

0.351

0.284

0.634

20

81

10

16

0.308

8.2

0.025

*combined stats, Batavia/Quad Cities

 

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Short-season A – Batavia Muckdogs

League Affiliation - fourteen-team New York-Penn League, six-team Pinckney division

Overall Record – 18–30

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – R=0.98, H=1.11, 2B=1.29, HR=0.77, BB=1.06, SO=1.16

 

Roster link

 

Current Two-Week Hitting – 240/.310/.350/.660, .303 BABIP, 91 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .239/.325/.337/.661, .299 BABIP, 169 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

First baseman Andrew Brown hit .298/.378/.607/.985, 25-for-84, with three doubles, four triples, five home runs and 21 runs batted in.  He scored 16 runs and had a .333 BABIP.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Shortstop Domnit Bolivar went .193/.250/.253/.503, 16-for-83, between Johnson City and Batavia.  Bolivar did have 10 runs batted in and had a .232 BABIP.

 

Of Note –

Middle infielder Ross Oeder hit .356/.423/.400/.823, 16-for-45, in limited at bats but did score nine runs.  He also had a .471 BABIP.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Bolivar, Domnit*

0.193

0.250

0.253

0.503

16

83

3

14

0.232

4.9

0.060

Brown, Andrew

0.298

0.378

0.607

0.985

25

84

11

19

0.333

19.3

0.262

Descalso, Daniel

0.244

0.364

0.354

0.717

20

82

15

12

0.286

11.6

0.073

Henley, Paul

0.333

0.419

0.389

0.807

12

36

3

3

0.364

5.8

0.056

Pham, Tommy

0.218

0.284

0.322

0.606

19

87

8

25

0.306

9.4

0.069

*combined stats, Batavia/Johnson City

 

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Rookie – Johnson City Cardinals

League Affiliation - nine-team Appalachian League, five-team West division

Overall Record – 20–28

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting – 257/.332/.371/.703, .320 BABIP, 117 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .263/.336/.376/.712, .325 BABIP, 204 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Only five players on the Johnson City team had the requisite three or more plate appearances per game average needed for consideration and none of them are currently hitting ‘Hot'.

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Joey Hage has struggled since his promotion from the GCL Cardinals.  Hage went .200/.289/.225/.514, 16-for-80, with a .222 BABIP for the period.

 

Of Note –

The best hitter over the past four weeks that is currently still with Johnson City is corner infielder Nick Vera.  Vera is a 32nd round pick from the June 2007 draft.  Vera should be able to hit at this level since he turns 22 on August 13th (which is the date this report will likely be published.)  Vera went .406/.447/.623/1.071, 28-for-69, and averaged 2.8 plate appearances a game.  He had a .446 BABIP.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Edwards, Jon

0.260

0.379

0.429

0.808

20

77

15

25

0.360

12.6

0.156

Hage, Joey

0.200

0.289

0.225

0.514

16

80

7

8

0.222

5.0

0.025

Kozma, Pete*

0.182

0.265

0.205

0.470

8

44

5

8

0.222

2.5

0.023

Morales, Osvaldo*

0.267

0.337

0.453

0.791

20

75

8

28

0.386

11.5

0.187

Riportella, Beau

0.281

0.323

0.456

0.779

16

57

4

10

0.311

8.9

0.158

*combined stats, Johnson City/GCL Cardinals

 

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Rookie – GCL Cardinals

League Affiliation - sixteen-team Gulf Coast League, five-team East division

Overall Record – 21–19

Three-Year Weighted Park Factor – not available

 

Roster link

 

Current Four-Week Hitting - .248/.330/.373/.703, 332 BABIP, 71 RC

Hitting Year-to-Date – .245/.331/.364/.694, .315 BABIP, 158 RC

 

Who's Hittin' Hot

Outfielder Edgar Lara is about the only hit bat in the GCL line-up these days, .290/.359/.638/.997, 20-for-69, with three doubles, three triples and five home runs.  He scored 12 runs and drove in 18.  Lara had a .405 BABIP and struck out once every 2.6 at bats.  Ouch!

 

Who's Hittin' Not

Infielder Romolo Ruiz went .175/.235/.190/.426, 11-for-63, with 12 strikeouts and a .216 BABIP.

 

Of Note –

Edgar Lara, Romolo Ruiz and middle infielder Guillermo Toribio were the only three players on the GCL Cardinals that averaged three or more plate appearances during the period.

 

Prospect Watch

Player 

AVG 

OBP 

SLG 

OPS 

AB 

BB 

SO 

BABIP

RC

ISO

Lara, Edgar

0.290

0.359

0.638

0.997

20

69

7

27

0.405

15.1

0.304

Martinez, Jairo

0.160

0.250

0.200

0.450

4

25

2

10

0.267

1.1

0.040

Parejo, Frederick

0.150

0.255

0.175

0.430

6

40

5

9

0.194

2.1

0.025

Ruiz, Romolo

0.175

0.235

0.190

0.426

11

63

4

12

0.216

3.0

0.016

 

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NOTE:  The three sabermetric statistics being used in this report as of now are BABIP, Isolated Power and Runs Created.

 

Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP) - is used mainly to measure the luckiness or unluckiness of either a pitcher or batter on those balls put into play that involve fielders.  Hence, home runs are excluded.  The standard BABIP range is .280-.310 for either pitchers or hitters so hitters with a BABIP above .310 are getting lucky while those below .280 are unlucky. 

 

Isolated Power (ISO) – is one of five primary production metrics used in identifying a hitter or pitcher's comparables. PECOTA uses a slightly modified version of Isolated Power that assigns the same value to triples as to doubles (extending a double into a triple is generally an indicator of speed, rather than additional power).'

 

Runs Created (RC) - is a statistic created by Bill James to measure a player's total offensive production? Bill James describes it by saying that scoring runs consists of two actions: first - getting on base or creating base runners and second - the advancing of those runners around the bases. The formula we used to ascertain each player's RC incorporates the stolen base element of offense.

 

 

Leonda Markee may be reached via email at uconncard@yahoo.com.

 

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