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Hill vs Bumgarner. key to Wild Card?

Hill vs Bumgarner. key to Wild Card?

  • Richard Joseph Hill
  • Born: 3/11/1980 in Boston, MA
  • Draft: 2002, Chicago Cubs, 4th rd. (112th overall)
  • College: Michigan
  • Debut: June 15, 2005
YearWLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2016 Stats 12 5 2.05 19 19 0 105.1 125 0.98
MLB Career Stats 38 28 4.10 220 93 0 605.1 612 1.29

Report generated Friday, September 30, 2016

Pitch Summary
  • Threw fastballs 88-91mph (46% of all pitches)
  • Curveball 73-76 (50%)
  • Changeup 78-86 (2%)
  • Slider 79-81 (1%)
  • 1729 total pitches (65% in the strike zone)
  • Threw 121 of 206 first pitches for strikes (59%)
Last Game
  • LAST GAME ON 09/20/16@LAN
  • Fastball 89-91mph (35 pitches, 45% of total) 
  • Curveball 73-75 (41 pitches, 53% of total)
  • Threw 77 total pitches (61% in the strike zone)
Last Game Summary
  • 1 walk 6 hits- 4 off FB 2 off CB. 7 strikeouts (4 swinging). Threw 13 first-pitches in the strike-zone of 20 total (65%). Faced 4 LHH 16 RHH. Umpire called 2 strikes incorrectly as balls Umpire called 2 balls incorrectly as strikes
YearTeamLGNPPitch TypeAvg Pitch Speed (mph)Avg Perceived Speed (mph)Avg Spin Rate (rpm)Avg Extension (feet)Avg Exit Velocity (mph)
2016 Dodgers NL 862 Curveball 75.09 73.91 2791.00 5.92 86.25
MLB Avg - - - Curveball 78.06 77.05 2370.00 5.73 87.08
Strengths
  • Great control of fastballs. 
  • Plus control of curve. 
  • Kept first-pitch down 32% of the time (25% was average)
  • -- and when he did batters performed just average hitting 8% (9% is average).
Weaknesses
  • Release points for slider came out 2.20". 
  • Threw first-pitch up often 47% of the time (28% was average)
  • Made mistakes often with his curve - 234 of 867 thrown (27% ; 16% is average)-- and when he did batters performed just average hitting 5% (7% is average).
Patterns
  • Liked to throw curveballs - 50%. Threw first-pitch curveballs much more often than most pitchers at 40%. 
  • 0-1 threw curves to RHH 44% (13% is average). 0-1 threw curves to LHH 75% (15% is average). 1-0 threw curves to RHH 48% (7% is average). 1-0 threw curves to LHH 59% (7% is average). 1-1 threw curves to RHH 61% (11% is average). 1-1 threw curves to LHH 78% (13% is average). 1-2 threw curves to LHH 79% (17% is average). 
  • 2-1 threw curves to righties 53% (7% is average).
  • 2-1 threw curves to lefties 73% (8% is average).
  • 2-2 threw curves to righties 68% (12% is average).
  • 2-2 threw curves to lefties 65% (14% is average).
  • 3-0 ALWAYS threw fastballs to righties 99% (86% is average).
  • 3-1 threw curves to righties 30% (1% is average). 3-2 threw curves to righties 89% (6% is average). 3-2 threw curves to lefties 84% (7% is average).
Windup/Stretch
  • From the stretch, located curves 34" more to the catchers left.
DurationWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOIPHRERHRHBBBIBBSOWHIP
Rest of Season  0 0 2.08 1 1 0 0 0 0 4.1 3 2 1 0 0 2 0 5 1.15
Cumulative  12 5 2.05 20 20 0 0 0 0 109.2 74 29 25 4 8 34 0 130 0.98
Insights
  • Threw pitches inside the strikezone 66% compared to the 59% MLB average. 
  • 0 Threw fastballs high to RHH. FB had a big tailing action. 
  • Deceptive fastballs had 30% of swings miss (10% is average). Got good spin on fastballs (16% above MLB average). Threw curves high to RHH. Threw curves high to LHH. Had 1-7 curve break angle (14 deg). Long sweeping curves break length. Got good spin on curves (37% above MLB average). Threw sliders inside to righties. Threw sliders outside to lefties. Threw sliders high to lefties. His slider is one of the slowest at 79.70. Long sweeping slider break length. Changeups were average in being 8.20 mph slower than FB. Threw changeup high to RHH. Threw changeups inside to LHH. Threw changeups high to LHH. He mixed up his changeup velocities broadly, usually by 8.20 mph. His 4-seams were one of the slowest of all pitchers at 89. 
  • Got good spin on 4-seam (15% above MLB average).

  • Madison Kyle Bumgarner
  • Pronunciation: MAD-i-suhn BUHM-gahr-ner
  • Born: 8/1/1989 in Hickory, NC
  • Draft: 2007, San Francisco Giants, 1st rd. (10th overall)
  • High School: South Caldwell, Hudson, NC
YearWLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2016 Stats 14 9 2.71 33 33 0 219.1 246 1.02
MLB Career Stats 99 67 2.98 216 213 0 1390.1 1376 1.10

Pitch Summary
  • Threw fastballs 90-92mph (49% of all pitches)
  • Slider 86-88 (31%)
  • Curveball 73-76 (14%)
  • Changeup 82-85 (3%)
  • 3439 total pitches (58% in the strike zone)
  • Threw 241 of 401 first pitches for strikes (60%)
Last Game
  • LAST GAME ON 09/24/16@SDN
  • Fastball 89-92mph (45 pitches, 45% of total) 
  • Slider 86-88 (24 pitches, 24% of total)
  • Curveball 74-76 (19 pitches, 19% of total))
  • Changeup 83-87 (11 pitches, 11% of total)
  • Threw 99 total pitches (62% in the strike zone)
Last Game Summary
  • 1 walk 4 hits- 3 off FB 1 off CB. 5 strikeouts (3 swinging). Threw 19 first-pitches in the strike-zone of 24 total (79%). Faced 6 LHH 18 RHH.
Strengths
  • Deceptive curve had 40% of swings miss (26% is average). 
  • Great control of slider. 
  • Changeups had a very deceptive release point - almost identical to the fastball. 
  • Deceptive 4-seamers had 23% of swings miss (10% is averageS). 
  • Kept first-pitch down 44% of the time (25% was average)
  • -- and when he did batters performed just average hitting 8% (9% is average).
YearTeamLGNPPitch TypeAvg Pitch Speed (mph)Avg Perceived Speed (mph)Avg Spin Rate (rpm)Avg Extension (feet)Avg Exit Velocity (mph)
2016 Giants NL 1535 Four-seam FB 90.95 91.63 2290.00 6.71 90.24
MLB Avg - - - Four-seam FB 93.04 92.76 2241.00 6.19 90.14
Weaknesses
  • Poor control of 4-seams. 
  • Threw first-pitch up often 38% of the time (28% was average)
Patterns
  • 2-0 did not throw fastballs to lefties often - 46% (74% is average).
  • 2-0 threw sliders to righties 51% (9% is average).
  • 2-0 threw sliders to lefties 53% (8% is average).
  • 2-1 threw sliders to lefties 39% (12% is average).
  • 3-1 threw sliders to righties 48% (5% is average). 
  • Consider stealing on 2-2 - he threw 20% of 72 pitches in potential SB opportunities in the dirt. 
  • Use caution stealing on 0-2 counts - he threw 20% of 44 pitches in potential SB opportunities high.
Windup/Stretch
  • From the stretch, located curves 21" more to the catchers left. From the stretch, located curves 3" down. From the stretch, threw sliders 31% more frequently (38% vs 29% of all pitches). From the stretch, located changeups 5" up.
DurationWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOIPHRERHRHBBBIBBSOWHIP
Rest of Season  0 0 3.38 1 1 0 0 0 0 5.1 4 2 2 1 0 1 0 6 0.94
Cumulative  14 9 2.72 34 34 4 1 0 0 224.2 174 78 68 27 8 54 0 252 1.01
Insights
  • CB was his most effective pitch - batters hit just 1 when put into play compared to 1 off his least effective pitch - CH. Rarely attempted pickoffs. 
  • 0 He did not vary his fastballs velocity much, usually by only 1.80 mph. 
  • Deceptive fastballs had 21% of swings miss (10% is average). Had 1-7 curve break angle (10 deg). He threw a hard slider that averaged 86.70. He did not vary his slider velocity much, usually by only 2 mph. Short slider break length. Did not vary the slider length often, usually by 1 ft.

datacourtesyof mlbadvancedmedia/ariballscoutables jason rutherford


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