2005 MLB Mock Draft: Selections 1-10

Predicting the draft picks is almost as difficult as predicting the eventual career paths of these prospects. These listings can and will change on a week-by-week and even day-by-day basis. It is always fun to try to guess the expected draft order, so let's give it a shot.

1. Arizona Diamondbacks
Selection: Justin Upton, SS/OF, R/R, 6'2", 180 lbs., Great Bridge HS, Chesapeake, Va.
2005 numbers: .667/.714/.1.815, 27 AB, 7 HR, 17 RBI, 3 SB, 7 BB, 1 K
Why: Upton has finally gotten his season underway and has managed to avoid the slow start that plagued many collegians in this top-10. His talent is simply at another level compared to the competition and the numbers he has posted are just silly. One interesting note is that he has not been shifted from shortstop. Most scouts agree that he will eventually be converted into a center fielder, where he has gold glove potential. Other than the defensive questions, he has it all and only monetary demands could keep him from being the top selection.

2. Kansas City Royals
Selection: Alex Gordon, 3b, L/R, 6'1", 205, U. of Nebraska
2005 numbers: .411/.575/.798, 129 AB, 12 HR, 38 RBI, 17 SB, 41 BB, 17 K
Why: Finally, the general public has gotten a look at Alex Gordon. With many college games now being shown on the ESPN network, Gordon and Nebraska have been given a lot of national exposure. Gordon struggled at first in these games, perhaps from the added pressure, but he eventually adjusted by hitting a home run on April 16 . Even with opposing pitchers constantly giving him nothing to hit, Gordon has put up 12 homers on the season. The third baseman has shown amazing patience at the plate, something that will translate well at the next level.

3. Seattle Mariners
Selection: Cameron Maybin, OF, R/R, 6'4", 200, T.C. Roberson HS, Asheville, N.C.
2005 numbers: .697 AVG, 9 HR, 6 2B, 23 RBI, 19-19 SB
Why: Maybin has long been considered a raw talent, with outstanding upside but also a lot of risk. His performance, however, is starting to quiet those doubt. Even though he is far more advanced than his competition, what he has been able to do is just amazing. As displayed by his overall numbers, he can do it all. "He's definitely a five-tool guy," said Tom Smith, Maybin's head coach at T.C. Roberson High. "His 6.4 time in the 60 is remarkable." Off the field, he is just as impressive. Smith added that Maybin is an, "Outstanding young man from a good family." With his tools, performance, and personality, Maybin truly has it all.

4. Washington Nationals
Selection: Luke Hochevar, RHP, 6'4", 205, U. of Tennessee
2005 numbers: 8-2, ERA, 1.73 ERA 73 IP, 81 K, 21 BB
Why: It took a few weeks, but Hochevar has finally surpassed Mike Pelfrey on the draft board. While both have posted impressive numbers, Hochevar's overall stuff and consistency have now given him the edge. The righty from Tennessee possesses the ideal pitcher's body and his solid mechanics limit his risk. It shouldn't take much time in the minors for Hochevar to add enough polish to his repertoire and reach the majors.

5. Milwaukee Brewers
Selection: Mike Pelfrey, RHP, 6'7", 215, Wichita State U.
2005 numbers: 7-2, 1.65 ERA, 81.2 IP, 93 K, 20 BB
Why: At 6-foot-7, Pelfrey is the tallest pitcher among the first few tiers of college arms. He has everything you would expect from a tall right-hander: the mid-90s heat, the power curve and the risk. Before greatness can be expected from Pelfrey, he must work on consistently repeating his mechanics. While he may have a higher overall upside than Hochevar, the risk pushes him a bit behind.

6. Toronto Blue Jays
Selection: Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, R/R, 6'3", 210, U. of Virginia
2005 numbers: .430/.489/.662, 151 AB, 5 HR, 45 RBI, 14 SB, 17 BB, 6 K
Why: Zimmerman makes the largest jump on this list this week. He doesn't possess the power potential of some of the others around this pick, but with 14 doubles and three triples he should develop enough for a 3B. Another shortcoming of his may be his lack of plate discipline, posting just 17 walks on the season. However, he makes up for that with his outstanding ability to make contact. Overall, Zimmerman may be one of the most underrated players in the draft.

7. Colorado Rockies
Selection: Wade Townsend, RHP, 6'3", 230, Rice U.
2005 numbers: N/A
Why: By not pitching, Townsend hasn't been able to do much to change his draft stock. Where he is selected depends mainly on how others have progressed. With the Rockies still likely to take a pitcher to go with Jeff Francis, Townsend still sits in this slot.

8. Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Selection: Jeff Clement, C, L/R, 6'1", 205, USC
2005 numbers: .351/.507/.685, 111 AB, 9 HR, 31 RBI, 1 SB, 30 BB, 22 K
Why: Offensively, Clement has not done much to improve his stock. While he has shown good discipline at the plate, his average and contact abilities are lacking. He is hitting .429/.600/.714 in conference play, however, a good sign. If he is able to maintain that offensive level and continue to improve his defense behind the plate, he will hold his spot in the top 10.

9. New York Mets
Selection: Troy Tulowitzki, SS, R/R, 6'3", 200, Long Beach State
2005 numbers: .375/.477/.597, 72 AB, 2 HR, 11 RBI, 1 SB, 9 BB, 14 K
Why: With Clement off the board, Troy Tulowitzki becomes the likely pick for the Mets. Tulowitzki comes with an improving bat and average plate discipline with excellent defense up the middle. Even though he has struck out more often than he has walked, the other top shortstop prospect in the draft, Tyler Greene, has done so as well. Tulowitzki's projectibility gives him the edge. While he should be able to handle SS in the majors, 2B may be his ultimate destination in New York.

10. Detroit Tigers
Selection: Tyler Greene, SS, R/R, 6'2", 190, Georgia Tech
2005 numbers: .329/.410/.539, 152 AB, 6 HR, 44 RBI, 16 SB, 18 BB, 41 K
Why: Green and Tulowitzki go hand-in-hand on many draft boards thanks to their similar skills. Tulowitzki was able to bounce back from an injury earlier in the season, while Green has struggled at the plate. His 41 strikeouts in 152 at-bats are simply unacceptable. If he can not find a way to make more consistent contact, he could slip out of the top-10.

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