New York Mets Top 50 Prospects

Here are the Top 50 New York Mets Prospects. Inside Pitch gives insight on each selection in in the rankings, but will follow up with more in-depth individual scouting reports throughout the offseason, starting in descending order.

EDITOR'S NOTE FROM INSIDE PITCH: Please, do not reveal the rankings, either in parts or its entirely on other message boards and/or sites. This list is the property of Inside Pitch Magazine and we would like the extensive work to remain the privilege of our valued, paying subscribers.


JS: Each year, the New York Mets Top 50 Prospects list is the most extensive look at the 50 best prospects in the organization.

The collection of all this information requires numerous visits to see and interview as many as possible of the prospects listed below. In addition, information is collected from the seasonal writing staff and a network of scouts and coaches who share their opinions.

I encourage our readership to read the rankings and take part in any discussion and/or questions you have in our subscribers forum

Thank you.


1. Jenrry Mejia – Mejia became a lightning rod last spring for the organization's decision making when it came to young pitching. While many observers certainly questioned the Mets decision to have him break camp on the 25-man roster, there is little doubt about his raw talent. Though a bit undersized for a hard thrower, Mejia's moving fastball reaches 97 MPH and is backed up by a power changeup that is quickly becoming a plus pitch. He still needs to work on crafting his breaking pitch which may be the deciding factor as to whether or not he remains a starter at the highest level or becomes an enticing option as a closer.

2. Wilmer Flores – Flores had a very positive all-around season that witnessed him hit for greater power, play better defense and move up a level and show little to no problems adjusting to the stronger talent. Physically, Flores continues to put on size which should help extract the power which will come in the future. Strong hands, a fast bat and the ability to drive secondary pitches are all reasons to be excited about his offense. Questions still linger about his long term projection in the field, but his bat will play at the highest levels.

3. Kirk Nieuwenhuis – Nieuwenhuis broke out in 2009 and backed it up with an impressive performance in Double-A in 2010. He is the most complete ballplayer in the system with the ability to hit for contact, power, and play above-average defense. An athlete in every sense of the baseball definition, Nieuwenhuis has strong tools in all five categories. He remains a bit of a "tweener" when projecting his defense to the big league level, reinforced by the big center field in Citi Field. However, his bat, range and arm will create a spot for him in the outfield.

4. Fernando Martinez – The former top overall prospect stays high on the list but slips a bit simply on health concerns. Further injuries limited Martinez to just 71 games in Triple-A this season. Martinez, 22, continues to boast plus raw extra-base and home run power and enough glove to provide good corner outfield defense. Plate discipline remains a concern, but pole-to-pole power and excellent bat speed make him a promising offensive prospect. Injuries have prevented him from receiving consistent playing time which has lowered his stock and raised concerns about his long term viability. Health is the biggest concern regarding Martinez, but if (and by now it is a big if), he can stay healthy and productive he still projects as a middle of the order run producer.

5. Matt Harvey – The Mets used their highest draft pick in over five years to select the University of North Carolina right-hander with the seventh overall selection in the 2010 draft. Harvey signed at the deadline and thus did not pitch an inning this season. However, there is still a lot of excitement focused on Harvey who is armed with a low to mid-90s fastball and a two breaking balls, the stronger of which is a power curveball. Harvey should start 2011 in the Florida State League with the strong possibility of moving quickly up the ladder.

6. Jeurys Familia – Still raw and working on his secondary pitches, Familia lands this high on the list because of a live arm that is only surpassed in the system by Mejia. He doesn't have the polish on the breaking ball like Harvey which keeps him down a spot, but Familia can still ratchet the heat up to 97 MPH. Familia's slider has the potential to be a true put-away pitch with sharp, diving action away from right-handers. Familia's changeup continues to be a focal point of his development, but when he learns to put all three together he will give himself a bigger window to work as a starter.

Familia, 21, still needs a better feel for pitching as he has a tendency to overthrow and lose his command. Physically, he is a strong, well-proportioned right-hander could become an overpowering bullpen arm if starting does not materialize in years to come.

7. Cesar Puello – A rising star in the system, Puello put together a second half in Savannah (.346 in 47 games) that left many scouts believing big things are coming for the 19-year-old outfielder. Puello hit just one home run this year but has displayed plus power in batting practice and possesses a very strong ball-striking ability. He has a plus right fielder's arm and enough speed to steal 45 bases in 55 attempts in the South Atlantic League. He has the potential to be the top prospect in the system in a couple more seasons upon other graduations.

8. Aderlin Rodriguez – When looking at the build, frame and the bat speed of the 18-year-old Rodriguez, it is easy to see the untapped power potential. The third baseman, which pushes 6-foot-4 and well over 200 pounds, possesses advanced pitch recognition for his age and strength in his hands and wrists to get the bat through the zone quickly. His swing mechanics are still a bit long and need some work, but the base tools are there to provide significant growth in the future. Defensively, Rodriguez is still raw and could open himself to a position switch in the future.

9. Reese Havens – Injury limited Havens to just 32 games in 2010, a season during which it was desired he take important steps to becoming an everyday second baseman after entering the system as a shortstop. That didn't happen as recurrent oblique injuries sidelined him for most of the year. Nevertheless, Havens split 32 games between High-A and Double-A and continued to show his plus contact skills and an ability to hit for power. Defensively, Havens manages second base more so than he is a playmaker. He is quick around the bag on double plays but suffers from limited range.

10. Dillon Gee – Gee was another prospect to make his big league debut in 2010. His Triple-A season had its highs and lows statistically, but more importantly he continued to display the consistent mechanics and command of the strike zone that make him an aggressive, efficient pitcher. His 165 strikeouts were a personal career high before making four opining-swaying starts in September. Gee is not a hard-thrower, but instead relies on movement and the ability to miss the fat part of the bat. If he can continue to do that, he will retain his value at the big league level in the back of the Mets rotation.

11. Jordany Valdespin – Valdespin bounced back from a troubled 2009 season to emerge as one of the more talked about Mets prospects in scouting circles. The second baseman boasts some of the best athleticism in the organization, projects plus defense at second base and is rapidly becoming a more consistent hitter. He puts the ball in play, has complimentary power and uses his speed as a weapon. He still does not walk enough and needs more patience at the plate, but he has not appeared over matched as he moves up the ladder. Valdespin must temper his emotions and play more controlled on the field and cut out any disciplinary red flags off of it. Then, he will further assert himself as the possible long term answer at second base.

12. Lucas Duda – I stuck by Duda during underwhelming seasons leading up to and including 2009, but the 2007 7th round pick busted out in a big way in 2010. A swing adjustment and greater bat speed led Duda to have a career season. He set personal career highs in every statistical category including home runs (23), RBI (87), OBP (.398) and OPS (.967). Duda made his big league debut in a September call-up and should remain in the mix for the 25-man roster come March. He may be blocked from an everyday job in New York, but his power and patience at the plate will be a valuable asset to the 2011 Mets.

13. Brad Holt – Many want to discount Holt after a very difficult 2010 season in which he posted a combined 3-14 record and 8.34 ERA. However, Holt's struggles are not entirely based on tools. Holt has a history of impressive, big league caliber tools including one season of 93-94 MPH fastball velocity and a curveball that can serve as a finishing pitch when he is right.

Confidence and the lack of finish on his pitches were the biggest detriment to his season. He followed up his tough year with a good Instructional League performance followed by a positive start in the Arizona Fall League which may have Holt headed back in the right direction. His lack of fastball velocity is the biggest red flag. He has, however, effectively used a cutter in the Arizona Fall League which has swayed some scouts' opinions despite more publicized opinions that his stock has plummeted. He is a project right now, but if he can put it back together, Holt has the tools to be a big league asset.

14. Darrell Ceciliani – Ceciliani returned to short-season ball in his second season and lit up the New York-Penn League in the process. Not only did Ceciliani have a very statistically impressive season (.351/.410/.941/95 hits/56 runs in 68 games), he displayed a significant jump in the quality and consistency of his best tools: hitting for contact, speed and outfield defense. Ceciliani does not turn 21 until midseason so there isn't a need to push him, but he should see two levels in 2011.

15. Juan Urbina – The one recurring positive anecdote regarding Urbina, the Mets' big international free agent signing of 2009, is the maturation and feel for the game he possesses as a 17-year-old. Given his youth, Urbina remains slight in frame and overall strength, but the southpaw is already topping out at 92 MPH on his fastball with a working changeup and breaking ball. Urbina, who turns 18 next season, comes off a positive showing in the Instructional League, and is pitching well enough that he may push the Mets into accelerating his timeline.

16. Robert Carson – Carson didn't have a statistically attractive season, but what lies under the numbers are attractive tools from the left side that heightened his overall value. Carson is a big, strong with an athletic build and boasts consistent mechanics. Carson reached 92-95 MPH with his fastball this summer, which flashed cutting action, and a projectable slider. He possesses a fringy changeup and needs to improve it to remain on a starter's path to New York, yet the his physical traits and consistent fastball velocity should get him there.

17. Sean Ratliff – Ratliff was unquestionably one of the biggest risers in the entire system in 2010. Like Duda, Ratliff made an adjustment to close up his stance and move his hands into a more actionable position. He improved against breaking pitches and began driving the ball over the wall to all fields. Ratliff is good, not great athlete, but moves better than would expect with his build. He runs the bases well and offers steady left field defense with the ability to run down the ball. Ratliff could truly make his stock jump with a repeat or better performance in 2011.

18. Cory Vaughn – The Mets' 2010 4th round pick enjoyed a big first season in Brooklyn where he led the New York-Penn League in home runs (14) while hitting .307 with 56 RBI. The league's pitching was not a big jump from what he saw in college and Vaughn still has work to do making mid-swing adjustments to breaking pitches. That being said, he is a big, strong athlete with a good outfield arm and plus raw power—an attractive compliment of tools to build upon.

19. Josh Stinson – Slowly but surely Stinson has caught up to the projection which kept him in the Top 50 for many years despite ups, downs and moves in and out of the starting rotation. Stinson has good size, a durable arm and pitches effectively with four pitches. During a down year for organizational pitching, Stinson was one of the most consistent. He pitched to a strong finish in Triple-A, setting up the opportunity for the sixth-year but still 22-year-old (23 in March) right-hander to make an even greater impression.

20. Zach Lutz – Lutz struggled with another ankle/foot injury this year, but when healthy displayed prowess with the bat which has caught the attention of many scouts. He faces questions about his long term use in the field, but his skills with the bat are established. Good strike zone discipline, plus bat speed and raw power make him a highly valued organizational asset.

21. Kyle Allen – Allen started the year looking and feeling strong, but by August the 2010 season turned into disappointment for the right-hander. Pitching through pain while adjusting to a new level is never a good recipe. When going right, Allen pitches at 91-94 MPH with one of the better changeups in the system and an improving slider. Allen's stock was dinged after a tumultuous season, but he remains one of the higher priority young pitchers in the system. Coming back healthy and productive will help wash away his 2010 season.

22. Nick Carr – Carr battled his way back from Tommy John surgery to log valuable innings at the end of the regular season and in the Arizona Fall League. For Carr, it's always been a matter of controlling his stuff because at a raw level his stuff is enough to get him to New York as a power bullpen arm. A mid-90s fastball and a hard low to mid-80s slider, when commanded, should help him get through the system quickly. A Rule 5 draft eligible pitcher, Carr is one guy the Mets should take a close look at protecting this winter.

23. Robbie Shields – Shields returned in the second half of the season and demonstrated enough with the bat to retain his values in the mid-20s despite missing nearly 80 games in 2010. Shields, the 2009 third round pick who returned from Tommy John surgery, is a strong contact hitter with good pop. He can hit to all fields and while he does not walk much, he keeps his strikeouts relatively low. Shields may not stick at shortstop long term, but he has the tools be a roving infield defender.

24. Wilfredo Tovar – Tovar burst onto the prospect scene this season after coming up from Extended Spring Training and playing strong ball well above his age level (19) in the Florida State League and South Atlantic League. Tovar is still raw overall and does not yet offer much offensively, but the combination of his speed, agility, plus defense at shortstop and maturity make him one to watch in coming seasons.

25. Eric Niesen – Niesen has been something of an anomaly because he struggles to find command of the tools that could get him to New York as a valuable bullpen arm. When right, Niesen features a low-90s fastball with sinking and cutting action plus a tight, snapping mid-80s slider which he can effectively use as a finishing pitch. However, Niesen—who spent time in the rotation and the bullpen this season—has struggled with his consistency. If he can keep his game on track early in 2011, he could find himself in the Mets bullpen by mid-to-late season.

26. Steven Matz – Matz, the Mets' top pick in the 2009 draft, missed the entire season as he rehabbed from Tommy John surgery. In 18 months with the organization, Matz has yet to pitch a regular season inning, which is disappointing, but Matz is still just 19 years old. His live, low-90s fastball and feel for his slider and changeup should help him move quickly once he gets going. As long there are no physical setbacks, Matz will get a chance to shake off the rust in rookie ball this season.

27. Brant Rustich – Rustich remains a long-awaited question mark for the organization. Blessed with a mid-90s fastball and one of the three best sliders in the system, Rustich has the size, strength and two power pitchers to be a valuable, hard-throwing bullpen option in New York. However, a rash of injuries have kept him off the field for the better part of the last three seasons since he was the Mets' second round pick in 2007. The potential is there, but Rustich continues to slip on the list because of his inability to stay on the field.

28. Josh Satin – Satin's tools don't jump out to the observer, but his full body of work and continued improvements speak for itself. Satin has not only hit at every level, his production has increased with each promotion. He hit a combined .311 with 12 home runs, 74 RBI, .399/.467/.866 with 39 doubles in 2010. Satin's swing mechanics are not clean, but he gets the bat to the point of contact extremely well with deceiving home run power to the opposite field. He's fairly limited defensively, having average tools at second base and providing serviceable enough defense at first base. Nevertheless, Satin is an offense-first prospect who will force further promotions as long as he continues to hit at the high level he has every year of his career.

29. Matt Den Dekker – Den Dekker debuted with Savannah late in the season following a long collegiate season and signing process. What the Mets got in return from their 2010 fifth round pick was a strong contact hitter and a plus center field defender. He still has adjustments to make with his swing and doesn't project much power, but more appropriately he fits the mold of the contact/speed combination the organization has pursued in center field in recent seasons.

30. Kai Gronauer – Gronauer wasn't on the radar before this season, but his steady and timely improvements come at a time when there is a lack of catching depth in the system. Gronauer is good behind the plate, showing mobility and quick catch-and-throw mechanics. He is regularly complimented for the way he handles and communicates with the pitching staff. Gronauer will never be a big producer with the bat, but if he can keep up production with at the plate as he moves up, he has a shot.

31. Armando Rodriguez – Rodriguez was a potential sleeper heading into 2010, but came out of 2010 with no more than steady stock. Rodriguez has a good power arm with a fastball that can climb to 92 MPH at times, with movement, but his slider did not make the jump expected and he still lacks a third pitch. Though already 22 in the South Atlantic League, Rodriguez is an attractive prospect because of his strength, durability and live fastball, but his days in the rotation are numbered unless he establishes a third pitch.

32. Jefry Marte – Marte returned to Savannah this season where he was better, but has yet to establish himself as a formidable prospect. His best tools are still evident, raw power and bat speed. Those tools have yet to consistently show for an entire season. He was better in the second half, which is a positive sign for a young player who didn't always exude confidence, but the 19-year-old needs to put it together for an entire season both sides of the ball before he can move up the list. Defensively he's still a bit of a project at third base. Marte turns 20 next season in what will be a pivotal year after two underwhelming seasons in Savannah.

33. Ryan Fraser – Fraser, selected in the 16th round of the 2010 draft, burst onto the scene as the best mid-round value the Mets attained in this year's draft. A tall, strong right-hander, Fraser came out of the bullpen throwing 91-95 MPH on his fastball with excellent command. He backs it up with a slider he commands on the corners and throws inside to right-handers. His projection could change if the organization decides to put him back in the rotation in 2011 (he was a starter in college), but if not, Fraser could be a very fast mover as a reliever.

34. Blake Forsythe – The Mets boosted the catching depth by grabbing Forsythe out of the University of Tennessee in the third round in 2010. Forsythe brings a needed maturity to the depth chart which, aside from Gronauer, features a young and unproven talent or minor league veterans. Forsythe is a big-framed catcher but moves well. His throwing mechanics require some fine tuning, but he is advanced behind the plate as expected given his collegiate career. Forsythe boasts good raw power and drives the ball well. Moving to full-season ball next year will challenge his ability to put balls in play at a higher rate.

35. Rafael Fernandez – Fernandez is a raw ballplayer, but slowly and surely he is starting to come around and blend his tools. Fernandez, 22, moved up to High-A this year where he hit .300 in 59 games and showed improved bat control, pitch recognition and contact skills. Fernandez boasts good speed and a strong outfield arm suitable for left field or right field. He does not project much power, but he is a toolsy, athletic ballplayer with value.

36. Domingo Tapia – Tapia was not on anyone's radar before the season, but the 18-year-old international free agent opened eyes with a Sterling Award winning performance in the Gulf Coast League. Tapia is another tall, hard-throwing right-hander with a fastball that topped out at 95 MPH late in the season. He backs it up with command of a good breaking ball. Tapia is another young arm whose talents and progress may force the organization to accelerate his timeline.

37. Mark Cohoon – Cohoon, the organization's Pitcher of the Year Award recipient, blitzed through the South Atlantic League winning seven of eight decisions and posting a 1.30 ERA. Skipping St. Lucie entirely with a promotion to Binghamton came with its lumps, but Cohoon showed good adjustments to Double-A down the stretch. Cohoon will not overpower hitters with his mid to high-80 fastball, but instead uses excellent command and pitchability to stay one step ahead of hitters. He lacks a true plus or real formidable pitch, but is a crafty left-hander who finds ways to rack up outs.

38. Erik Goeddel – The Mets gave 24th round pick Erik Goeddel third round money on the promise of what they saw from him during his final collegiate season at UCLA. Goeddel, who projects more as a bullpen arm, possesses a fastball that climbs as a high as 96 MPH with a diving mid-80s slider to back it up. Goeddel pitched just one inning in the Gulf Coast League before being shutdown with bouts of arm fatigue. Therefore, the details are mostly based off his collegiate scouting reports. This spot could quickly turn out to be too low for Goeddel, but it is tough to go any higher without him logging more time on the mound.

39. Yohan Almonte – Almonte turned out to be the ace of the Brooklyn Cyclones staff this season and continued his strong year right into Instructs. Almonte, who turns 21 on Tuesday, has demonstrated the ability to use three pitches. His fastball sat 90-92 MPH with a little late movement. He features a hard slider in the low-80s and a workable changeup. His secondary pitches need work but he is a young pitcher who understands how to use his entire repertoire. Almonte isn't a flashy pitcher, but has good a base of tools for his jump to long-season ball in 2011.

40. Juan Lagares – Lagares missed significant portions of the previous three seasons, but healthy and consistent playing time allowed his strengths to reappear. Like Fernandez, Lagares—a converted infielder to outfielder—doesn't project much power but has rediscovered his contact stroke and uses his speed and athleticism to his advantage when possible. He is a proficient base stealer which combined with good outfield range project him well as a fourth outfielder. Lagares, who signed in 2006, enters 2011 at 22 years old.

41. Luis Rojas – Rojas is another young, hard-throwing reliever with a fastball that reached as high as 98 MPH during the Instructional League. He spent the season in Savannah where he pitched to mix results and much of that has to do with his lack of a secondary pitch behind his live fastball. The fastball has some movement, but other than blowing the ball by hitters, there isn't much depth to his game. That being said, his fastball is one of the better weapons in the entire organization.

42. Michael Antonini – The left-hander rebounded from a very tough 2009 season for an improved year in Binghamton. His strikeout-to-walk ratio went back to his career average and showed more effectiveness with three pitches, including the breaking ball, than he had in years passed. Antonini won't overpower too many hitters, but he boasts very good command and relies on his ability to hit all four quadrants and miss the sweet spot on the bat. He projects best as a reliever despite average fastball velocity, but a left-hander with good command is still an asset.

43. Zachary Dotson - Dotson receives a lot of attention given his signing overslot as a 13th round pick in 2009. In reality, Dotson remains a young (20), raw left-hander who missed a significant portion of the season due to suspension for performance-enhancing drugs. Dotson's fastball sits 87-91 MPH, averaging 88-90 MPH with two projectable but still underdeveloped secondary pitches. Dotson has the raw talent but still has work to do combining his repertoire and the mental side to pitching.

44. Eric Beaulac – Beaulac had the best season of the St. Lucie pitchers who entered 2010 with high expectations in St. Lucie. Beaulac isn't flashy or overpowering, but he pitches with enough movement to remain one step ahead of hitters. He struggled with his command down in the zone during the first half of the season. Beaulac is at his best when he keeps his sinking fastball and slider around the knees. When he stays up he runs into trouble quickly because he doesn't have the average velocity (88-91) to throw the ball by hitters. He will have much to prove when he moves up to Double-A in 2011.

45. Scott Moviel – Moviel too will have plenty to prove next season. Coming off a disappointing season during which he struggled to keep consistent command of his pitches, Moviel faces 2011 needing to have a big year. Moviel regained some of the velocity on his fastball, reaching as high as 93 MPH during Instructs, after maxing out at 92 in April, and regaining the late bite on his slider. Moviel has four pitches, but he must stay on top of his pitches and generate the extension necessary from a 6-foot-10 pitcher. If/when he does that, he stays down in the zone and is not hit as hard. But when his pitches stay up they are flat and hittable. He will have the opportunity to reverse his course with a strong start to 2011.

46. Julio Concepcion – Concepcion held good internal value leading into the season and retained and such with another year in the Gulf Coast League. He is a very athletic, nimble defender with good range and a strong arm. At the plate, he has a decent amount of pop and can use his speed on the bases. The knock against Concepcion is that he just turned 21 years old and hasn't played above rookie ball. He is a project, but one that could possibly pan out in the long run.

47. Akeel Morris – The 2010 10th round pick out of the U.S. Virgin Islands opened eyes in the Gulf Coast League when he came out throwing 92-94 MPH. Now, at this point, Morris is a project with very raw mechanics. His fastball is the only stand out tool. He throws a fringy breaking ball and he is a learning to use a changeup, but to have such a young pitcher throwing that hard is a rare commodity. Morris is a very young, but once to watch moving forward.

48. Eric Campbell – Campbell has been on the fringe of the Top 50 over the last few years but worked his way back following a positive season split between St. Lucie and Binghamton. Campbell is a strong contact hitter—though predominately to the pull side—with a very good eye and pitch recognition. However, for a physically big player (6-foot-3, 220 pounds), he lacks the home run power expected from a third baseman-turned-left fielder.

49. Brian Harrison – Harrison's strong debut slipped under the radar a bit given the large shadows created by Ceciliani and Vaughn in Brooklyn. The 2010 13th round pick contributed throughout the season showing a good blend of contact, plate discipline and pop. He has solid set of tools for third base, but not enough to withstand the logjam of third basemen in Savannah and St. Lucie next year. The outfield could be an option in the near future.

50. Michael Hebert – Hebert was drafted out of high school in 2008, but it has taken until this season for the right-hander to put his tools into game action. Hebert boasts a good fastball which sits 90-92 MPH but can reach 94 MPH. His curveball flashes big league potential but remains an inconsistent pitch as does his changeup. Hebert added weight to his 6-foot-3 frame, an important part to his development. The 20-year-old is still a ways out, but 2010 was a step in the right direction for him.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nEDITOR'S NOTE FROM INSIDE PITCH: Please, do not reveal the rankings, either in parts or its entirely on other message boards and/or sites. This list is the property of Inside Pitch Magazine and we would like the extensive work to remain the privilege of our valued, paying subscribers.
\r\n
\r\n
\r\nJS: Each year, the New York Mets Top 50 Prospects list is the most extensive look at the 50 best prospects in the organization.
\r\n
\r\nThe collection of all this information requires numerous visits to see and interview as many as possible of the prospects listed below. In addition, information is collected from the seasonal writing staff and a network of scouts and coaches who share their opinions.
\r\n
\r\nI encourage our readership to read the rankings and take part in any discussion and/or questions you have in our subscribers forum
\r\n
\r\nThank you.
\r\n
\r\n
\r\n1. Jenrry Mejia – Mejia became a lightning rod last spring for the organization's decision making when it came to young pitching. While many observers certainly questioned the Mets decision to have him break camp on the 25-man roster, there is little doubt about his raw talent. Though a bit undersized for a hard thrower, Mejia's moving fastball reaches 97 MPH and is backed up by a power changeup that is quickly becoming a plus pitch. He still needs to work on crafting his breaking pitch which may be the deciding factor as to whether or not he remains a starter at the highest level or becomes an enticing option as a closer.
\r\n
\r\n2. Wilmer Flores – Flores had a very positive all-around season that witnessed him hit for greater power, play better defense and move up a level and show little to no problems adjusting to the stronger talent. Physically, Flores continues to put on size which should help extract the power which will come in the future. Strong hands, a fast bat and the ability to drive secondary pitches are all reasons to be excited about his offense. Questions still linger about his long term projection in the field, but his bat will play at the highest levels.
\r\n
\r\n3. Kirk Nieuwenhuis – Nieuwenhuis broke out in 2009 and backed it up with an impressive performance in Double-A in 2010. He is the most complete ballplayer in the system with the ability to hit for contact, power, and play above-average defense. An athlete in every sense of the baseball definition, Nieuwenhuis has strong tools in all five categories. He remains a bit of a \"tweener\" when projecting his defense to the big league level, reinforced by the big center field in Citi Field. However, his bat, range and arm will create a spot for him in the outfield.
\r\n
\r\n4. Fernando Martinez – The former top overall prospect stays high on the list but slips a bit simply on health concerns. Further injuries limited Martinez to just 71 games in Triple-A this season. Martinez, 22, continues to boast plus raw extra-base and home run power and enough glove to provide good corner outfield defense. Plate discipline remains a concern, but pole-to-pole power and excellent bat speed make him a promising offensive prospect. Injuries have prevented him from receiving consistent playing time which has lowered his stock and raised concerns about his long term viability. Health is the biggest concern regarding Martinez, but if (and by now it is a big if), he can stay healthy and productive he still projects as a middle of the order run producer.
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\r\n5. Matt Harvey – The Mets used their highest draft pick in over five years to select the University of North Carolina right-hander with the seventh overall selection in the 2010 draft. Harvey signed at the deadline and thus did not pitch an inning this season. However, there is still a lot of excitement focused on Harvey who is armed with a low to mid-90s fastball and a two breaking balls, the stronger of which is a power curveball. Harvey should start 2011 in the Florida State League with the strong possibility of moving quickly up the ladder.
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\r\n6. Jeurys Familia – Still raw and working on his secondary pitches, Familia lands this high on the list because of a live arm that is only surpassed in the system by Mejia. He doesn't have the polish on the breaking ball like Harvey which keeps him down a spot, but Familia can still ratchet the heat up to 97 MPH. Familia's slider has the potential to be a true put-away pitch with sharp, diving action away from right-handers. Familia's changeup continues to be a focal point of his development, but when he learns to put all three together he will give himself a bigger window to work as a starter.
\r\n
\r\n Familia, 21, still needs a better feel for pitching as he has a tendency to overthrow and lose his command. Physically, he is a strong, well-proportioned right-hander could become an overpowering bullpen arm if starting does not materialize in years to come.
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\r\n7. Cesar Puello – A rising star in the system, Puello put together a second half in Savannah (.346 in 47 games) that left many scouts believing big things are coming for the 19-year-old outfielder. Puello hit just one home run this year but has displayed plus power in batting practice and possesses a very strong ball-striking ability. He has a plus right fielder's arm and enough speed to steal 45 bases in 55 attempts in the South Atlantic League. He has the potential to be the top prospect in the system in a couple more seasons upon other graduations.
\r\n
\r\n8. Aderlin Rodriguez – When looking at the build, frame and the bat speed of the 18-year-old Rodriguez, it is easy to see the untapped power potential. The third baseman, which pushes 6-foot-4 and well over 200 pounds, possesses advanced pitch recognition for his age and strength in his hands and wrists to get the bat through the zone quickly. His swing mechanics are still a bit long and need some work, but the base tools are there to provide significant growth in the future. Defensively, Rodriguez is still raw and could open himself to a position switch in the future.
\r\n
\r\n9. Reese Havens – Injury limited Havens to just 32 games in 2010, a season during which it was desired he take important steps to becoming an everyday second baseman after entering the system as a shortstop. That didn't happen as recurrent oblique injuries sidelined him for most of the year. Nevertheless, Havens split 32 games between High-A and Double-A and continued to show his plus contact skills and an ability to hit for power. Defensively, Havens manages second base more so than he is a playmaker. He is quick around the bag on double plays but suffers from limited range.
\r\n
\r\n10. Dillon Gee – Gee was another prospect to make his big league debut in 2010. His Triple-A season had its highs and lows statistically, but more importantly he continued to display the consistent mechanics and command of the strike zone that make him an aggressive, efficient pitcher. His 165 strikeouts were a personal career high before making four opining-swaying starts in September. Gee is not a hard-thrower, but instead relies on movement and the ability to miss the fat part of the bat. If he can continue to do that, he will retain his value at the big league level in the back of the Mets rotation.
\r\n
\r\n11. Jordany Valdespin – Valdespin bounced back from a troubled 2009 season to emerge as one of the more talked about Mets prospects in scouting circles. The second baseman boasts some of the best athleticism in the organization, projects plus defense at second base and is rapidly becoming a more consistent hitter. He puts the ball in play, has complimentary power and uses his speed as a weapon. He still does not walk enough and needs more patience at the plate, but he has not appeared over matched as he moves up the ladder. Valdespin must temper his emotions and play more controlled on the field and cut out any disciplinary red flags off of it. Then, he will further assert himself as the possible long term answer at second base.
\r\n
\r\n12. Lucas Duda – I stuck by Duda during underwhelming seasons leading up to and including 2009, but the 2007 7th round pick busted out in a big way in 2010. A swing adjustment and greater bat speed led Duda to have a career season. He set personal career highs in every statistical category including home runs (23), RBI (87), OBP (.398) and OPS (.967). Duda made his big league debut in a September call-up and should remain in the mix for the 25-man roster come March. He may be blocked from an everyday job in New York, but his power and patience at the plate will be a valuable asset to the 2011 Mets.
\r\n
\r\n13. Brad Holt – Many want to discount Holt after a very difficult 2010 season in which he posted a combined 3-14 record and 8.34 ERA. However, Holt's struggles are not entirely based on tools. Holt has a history of impressive, big league caliber tools including one season of 93-94 MPH fastball velocity and a curveball that can serve as a finishing pitch when he is right.
\r\n
\r\nConfidence and the lack of finish on his pitches were the biggest detriment to his season. He followed up his tough year with a good Instructional League performance followed by a positive start in the Arizona Fall League which may have Holt headed back in the right direction. His lack of fastball velocity is the biggest red flag. He has, however, effectively used a cutter in the Arizona Fall League which has swayed some scouts' opinions despite more publicized opinions that his stock has plummeted. He is a project right now, but if he can put it back together, Holt has the tools to be a big league asset.
\r\n
\r\n14. Darrell Ceciliani – Ceciliani returned to short-season ball in his second season and lit up the New York-Penn League in the process. Not only did Ceciliani have a very statistically impressive season (.351/.410/.941/95 hits/56 runs in 68 games), he displayed a significant jump in the quality and consistency of his best tools: hitting for contact, speed and outfield defense. Ceciliani does not turn 21 until midseason so there isn't a need to push him, but he should see two levels in 2011.
\r\n
\r\n15. Juan Urbina – The one recurring positive anecdote regarding Urbina, the Mets' big international free agent signing of 2009, is the maturation and feel for the game he possesses as a 17-year-old. Given his youth, Urbina remains slight in frame and overall strength, but the southpaw is already topping out at 92 MPH on his fastball with a working changeup and breaking ball. Urbina, who turns 18 next season, comes off a positive showing in the Instructional League, and is pitching well enough that he may push the Mets into accelerating his timeline.
\r\n
\r\n16. Robert Carson – Carson didn't have a statistically attractive season, but what lies under the numbers are attractive tools from the left side that heightened his overall value. Carson is a big, strong with an athletic build and boasts consistent mechanics. Carson reached 92-95 MPH with his fastball this summer, which flashed cutting action, and a projectable slider. He possesses a fringy changeup and needs to improve it to remain on a starter's path to New York, yet the his physical traits and consistent fastball velocity should get him there.
\r\n
\r\n17. Sean Ratliff – Ratliff was unquestionably one of the biggest risers in the entire system in 2010. Like Duda, Ratliff made an adjustment to close up his stance and move his hands into a more actionable position. He improved against breaking pitches and began driving the ball over the wall to all fields. Ratliff is good, not great athlete, but moves better than would expect with his build. He runs the bases well and offers steady left field defense with the ability to run down the ball. Ratliff could truly make his stock jump with a repeat or better performance in 2011.
\r\n
\r\n18. Cory Vaughn – The Mets' 2010 4th round pick enjoyed a big first season in Brooklyn where he led the New York-Penn League in home runs (14) while hitting .307 with 56 RBI. The league's pitching was not a big jump from what he saw in college and Vaughn still has work to do making mid-swing adjustments to breaking pitches. That being said, he is a big, strong athlete with a good outfield arm and plus raw power—an attractive compliment of tools to build upon.
\r\n
\r\n19. Josh Stinson – Slowly but surely Stinson has caught up to the projection which kept him in the Top 50 for many years despite ups, downs and moves in and out of the starting rotation. Stinson has good size, a durable arm and pitches effectively with four pitches. During a down year for organizational pitching, Stinson was one of the most consistent. He pitched to a strong finish in Triple-A, setting up the opportunity for the sixth-year but still 22-year-old (23 in March) right-hander to make an even greater impression.
\r\n
\r\n20. Zach Lutz – Lutz struggled with another ankle/foot injury this year, but when healthy displayed prowess with the bat which has caught the attention of many scouts. He faces questions about his long term use in the field, but his skills with the bat are established. Good strike zone discipline, plus bat speed and raw power make him a highly valued organizational asset.
\r\n
\r\n21. Kyle Allen – Allen started the year looking and feeling strong, but by August the 2010 season turned into disappointment for the right-hander. Pitching through pain while adjusting to a new level is never a good recipe. When going right, Allen pitches at 91-94 MPH with one of the better changeups in the system and an improving slider. Allen's stock was dinged after a tumultuous season, but he remains one of the higher priority young pitchers in the system. Coming back healthy and productive will help wash away his 2010 season.
\r\n
\r\n22. Nick Carr – Carr battled his way back from Tommy John surgery to log valuable innings at the end of the regular season and in the Arizona Fall League. For Carr, it's always been a matter of controlling his stuff because at a raw level his stuff is enough to get him to New York as a power bullpen arm. A mid-90s fastball and a hard low to mid-80s slider, when commanded, should help him get through the system quickly. A Rule 5 draft eligible pitcher, Carr is one guy the Mets should take a close look at protecting this winter.
\r\n
\r\n23. Robbie Shields – Shields returned in the second half of the season and demonstrated enough with the bat to retain his values in the mid-20s despite missing nearly 80 games in 2010. Shields, the 2009 third round pick who returned from Tommy John surgery, is a strong contact hitter with good pop. He can hit to all fields and while he does not walk much, he keeps his strikeouts relatively low. Shields may not stick at shortstop long term, but he has the tools be a roving infield defender.
\r\n
\r\n24. Wilfredo Tovar – Tovar burst onto the prospect scene this season after coming up from Extended Spring Training and playing strong ball well above his age level (19) in the Florida State League and South Atlantic League. Tovar is still raw overall and does not yet offer much offensively, but the combination of his speed, agility, plus defense at shortstop and maturity make him one to watch in coming seasons.
\r\n
\r\n25. Eric Niesen – Niesen has been something of an anomaly because he struggles to find command of the tools that could get him to New York as a valuable bullpen arm. When right, Niesen features a low-90s fastball with sinking and cutting action plus a tight, snapping mid-80s slider which he can effectively use as a finishing pitch. However, Niesen—who spent time in the rotation and the bullpen this season—has struggled with his consistency. If he can keep his game on track early in 2011, he could find himself in the Mets bullpen by mid-to-late season.
\r\n
\r\n26. Steven Matz – Matz, the Mets' top pick in the 2009 draft, missed the entire season as he rehabbed from Tommy John surgery. In 18 months with the organization, Matz has yet to pitch a regular season inning, which is disappointing, but Matz is still just 19 years old. His live, low-90s fastball and feel for his slider and changeup should help him move quickly once he gets going. As long there are no physical setbacks, Matz will get a chance to shake off the rust in rookie ball this season.
\r\n
\r\n27. Brant Rustich – Rustich remains a long-awaited question mark for the organization. Blessed with a mid-90s fastball and one of the three best sliders in the system, Rustich has the size, strength and two power pitchers to be a valuable, hard-throwing bullpen option in New York. However, a rash of injuries have kept him off the field for the better part of the last three seasons since he was the Mets' second round pick in 2007. The potential is there, but Rustich continues to slip on the list because of his inability to stay on the field.
\r\n
\r\n28. Josh Satin – Satin's tools don't jump out to the observer, but his full body of work and continued improvements speak for itself. Satin has not only hit at every level, his production has increased with each promotion. He hit a combined .311 with 12 home runs, 74 RBI, .399/.467/.866 with 39 doubles in 2010. Satin's swing mechanics are not clean, but he gets the bat to the point of contact extremely well with deceiving home run power to the opposite field. He's fairly limited defensively, having average tools at second base and providing serviceable enough defense at first base. Nevertheless, Satin is an offense-first prospect who will force further promotions as long as he continues to hit at the high level he has every year of his career.
\r\n
\r\n29. Matt Den Dekker – Den Dekker debuted with Savannah late in the season following a long collegiate season and signing process. What the Mets got in return from their 2010 fifth round pick was a strong contact hitter and a plus center field defender. He still has adjustments to make with his swing and doesn't project much power, but more appropriately he fits the mold of the contact/speed combination the organization has pursued in center field in recent seasons.
\r\n
\r\n30. Kai Gronauer – Gronauer wasn't on the radar before this season, but his steady and timely improvements come at a time when there is a lack of catching depth in the system. Gronauer is good behind the plate, showing mobility and quick catch-and-throw mechanics. He is regularly complimented for the way he handles and communicates with the pitching staff. Gronauer will never be a big producer with the bat, but if he can keep up production with at the plate as he moves up, he has a shot.
\r\n
\r\n31. Armando Rodriguez – Rodriguez was a potential sleeper heading into 2010, but came out of 2010 with no more than steady stock. Rodriguez has a good power arm with a fastball that can climb to 92 MPH at times, with movement, but his slider did not make the jump expected and he still lacks a third pitch. Though already 22 in the South Atlantic League, Rodriguez is an attractive prospect because of his strength, durability and live fastball, but his days in the rotation are numbered unless he establishes a third pitch.
\r\n
\r\n32. Jefry Marte – Marte returned to Savannah this season where he was better, but has yet to establish himself as a formidable prospect. His best tools are still evident, raw power and bat speed. Those tools have yet to consistently show for an entire season. He was better in the second half, which is a positive sign for a young player who didn't always exude confidence, but the 19-year-old needs to put it together for an entire season both sides of the ball before he can move up the list. Defensively he's still a bit of a project at third base. Marte turns 20 next season in what will be a pivotal year after two underwhelming seasons in Savannah.
\r\n
\r\n33. Ryan Fraser – Fraser, selected in the 16th round of the 2010 draft, burst onto the scene as the best mid-round value the Mets attained in this year's draft. A tall, strong right-hander, Fraser came out of the bullpen throwing 91-95 MPH on his fastball with excellent command. He backs it up with a slider he commands on the corners and throws inside to right-handers. His projection could change if the organization decides to put him back in the rotation in 2011 (he was a starter in college), but if not, Fraser could be a very fast mover as a reliever.
\r\n
\r\n34. Blake Forsythe – The Mets boosted the catching depth by grabbing Forsythe out of the University of Tennessee in the third round in 2010. Forsythe brings a needed maturity to the depth chart which, aside from Gronauer, features a young and unproven talent or minor league veterans. Forsythe is a big-framed catcher but moves well. His throwing mechanics require some fine tuning, but he is advanced behind the plate as expected given his collegiate career. Forsythe boasts good raw power and drives the ball well. Moving to full-season ball next year will challenge his ability to put balls in play at a higher rate.
\r\n
\r\n35. Rafael Fernandez – Fernandez is a raw ballplayer, but slowly and surely he is starting to come around and blend his tools. Fernandez, 22, moved up to High-A this year where he hit .300 in 59 games and showed improved bat control, pitch recognition and contact skills. Fernandez boasts good speed and a strong outfield arm suitable for left field or right field. He does not project much power, but he is a toolsy, athletic ballplayer with value.
\r\n
\r\n36. Domingo Tapia – Tapia was not on anyone's radar before the season, but the 18-year-old international free agent opened eyes with a Sterling Award winning performance in the Gulf Coast League. Tapia is another tall, hard-throwing right-hander with a fastball that topped out at 95 MPH late in the season. He backs it up with command of a good breaking ball. Tapia is another young arm whose talents and progress may force the organization to accelerate his timeline.
\r\n
\r\n37. Mark Cohoon – Cohoon, the organization's Pitcher of the Year Award recipient, blitzed through the South Atlantic League winning seven of eight decisions and posting a 1.30 ERA. Skipping St. Lucie entirely with a promotion to Binghamton came with its lumps, but Cohoon showed good adjustments to Double-A down the stretch. Cohoon will not overpower hitters with his mid to high-80 fastball, but instead uses excellent command and pitchability to stay one step ahead of hitters. He lacks a true plus or real formidable pitch, but is a crafty left-hander who finds ways to rack up outs.
\r\n
\r\n38. Erik Goeddel – The Mets gave 24th round pick Erik Goeddel third round money on the promise of what they saw from him during his final collegiate season at UCLA. Goeddel, who projects more as a bullpen arm, possesses a fastball that climbs as a high as 96 MPH with a diving mid-80s slider to back it up. Goeddel pitched just one inning in the Gulf Coast League before being shutdown with bouts of arm fatigue. Therefore, the details are mostly based off his collegiate scouting reports. This spot could quickly turn out to be too low for Goeddel, but it is tough to go any higher without him logging more time on the mound.
\r\n
\r\n39. Yohan Almonte – Almonte turned out to be the ace of the Brooklyn Cyclones staff this season and continued his strong year right into Instructs. Almonte, who turns 21 on Tuesday, has demonstrated the ability to use three pitches. His fastball sat 90-92 MPH with a little late movement. He features a hard slider in the low-80s and a workable changeup. His secondary pitches need work but he is a young pitcher who understands how to use his entire repertoire. Almonte isn't a flashy pitcher, but has good a base of tools for his jump to long-season ball in 2011.
\r\n
\r\n40. Juan Lagares – Lagares missed significant portions of the previous three seasons, but healthy and consistent playing time allowed his strengths to reappear. Like Fernandez, Lagares—a converted infielder to outfielder—doesn't project much power but has rediscovered his contact stroke and uses his speed and athleticism to his advantage when possible. He is a proficient base stealer which combined with good outfield range project him well as a fourth outfielder. Lagares, who signed in 2006, enters 2011 at 22 years old.
\r\n
\r\n41. Luis Rojas – Rojas is another young, hard-throwing reliever with a fastball that reached as high as 98 MPH during the Instructional League. He spent the season in Savannah where he pitched to mix results and much of that has to do with his lack of a secondary pitch behind his live fastball. The fastball has some movement, but other than blowing the ball by hitters, there isn't much depth to his game. That being said, his fastball is one of the better weapons in the entire organization.
\r\n
\r\n42. Michael Antonini – The left-hander rebounded from a very tough 2009 season for an improved year in Binghamton. His strikeout-to-walk ratio went back to his career average and showed more effectiveness with three pitches, including the breaking ball, than he had in years passed. Antonini won't overpower too many hitters, but he boasts very good command and relies on his ability to hit all four quadrants and miss the sweet spot on the bat. He projects best as a reliever despite average fastball velocity, but a left-hander with good command is still an asset.
\r\n
\r\n43. Zachary Dotson - Dotson receives a lot of attention given his signing overslot as a 13th round pick in 2009. In reality, Dotson remains a young (20), raw left-hander who missed a significant portion of the season due to suspension for performance-enhancing drugs. Dotson's fastball sits 87-91 MPH, averaging 88-90 MPH with two projectable but still underdeveloped secondary pitches. Dotson has the raw talent but still has work to do combining his repertoire and the mental side to pitching.
\r\n
\r\n44. Eric Beaulac – Beaulac had the best season of the St. Lucie pitchers who entered 2010 with high expectations in St. Lucie. Beaulac isn't flashy or overpowering, but he pitches with enough movement to remain one step ahead of hitters. He struggled with his command down in the zone during the first half of the season. Beaulac is at his best when he keeps his sinking fastball and slider around the knees. When he stays up he runs into trouble quickly because he doesn't have the average velocity (88-91) to throw the ball by hitters. He will have much to prove when he moves up to Double-A in 2011.
\r\n
\r\n45. Scott Moviel – Moviel too will have plenty to prove next season. Coming off a disappointing season during which he struggled to keep consistent command of his pitches, Moviel faces 2011 needing to have a big year. Moviel regained some of the velocity on his fastball, reaching as high as 93 MPH during Instructs, after maxing out at 92 in April, and regaining the late bite on his slider. Moviel has four pitches, but he must stay on top of his pitches and generate the extension necessary from a 6-foot-10 pitcher. If/when he does that, he stays down in the zone and is not hit as hard. But when his pitches stay up they are flat and hittable. He will have the opportunity to reverse his course with a strong start to 2011.
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\r\n46. Julio Concepcion – Concepcion held good internal value leading into the season and retained and such with another year in the Gulf Coast League. He is a very athletic, nimble defender with good range and a strong arm. At the plate, he has a decent amount of pop and can use his speed on the bases. The knock against Concepcion is that he just turned 21 years old and hasn't played above rookie ball. He is a project, but one that could possibly pan out in the long run.
\r\n
\r\n47. Akeel Morris – The 2010 10th round pick out of the U.S. Virgin Islands opened eyes in the Gulf Coast League when he came out throwing 92-94 MPH. Now, at this point, Morris is a project with very raw mechanics. His fastball is the only stand out tool. He throws a fringy breaking ball and he is a learning to use a changeup, but to have such a young pitcher throwing that hard is a rare commodity. Morris is a very young, but once to watch moving forward.
\r\n
\r\n48. Eric Campbell – Campbell has been on the fringe of the Top 50 over the last few years but worked his way back following a positive season split between St. Lucie and Binghamton. Campbell is a strong contact hitter—though predominately to the pull side—with a very good eye and pitch recognition. However, for a physically big player (6-foot-3, 220 pounds), he lacks the home run power expected from a third baseman-turned-left fielder.
\r\n
\r\n49. Brian Harrison – Harrison's strong debut slipped under the radar a bit given the large shadows created by Ceciliani and Vaughn in Brooklyn. The 2010 13th round pick contributed throughout the season showing a good blend of contact, plate discipline and pop. He has solid set of tools for third base, but not enough to withstand the logjam of third basemen in Savannah and St. Lucie next year. The outfield could be an option in the near future.
\r\n
\r\n50. Michael Hebert – Hebert was drafted out of high school in 2008, but it has taken until this season for the right-hander to put his tools into game action. Hebert boasts a good fastball which sits 90-92 MPH but can reach 94 MPH. His curveball flashes big league potential but remains an inconsistent pitch as does his changeup. Hebert added weight to his 6-foot-3 frame, an important part to his development. The 20-year-old is still a ways out, but 2010 was a step in the right direction for him.
\r\n
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