Prospect Predictions for 2011 – Part II

InsidePitchMagazine.com continues its preseason predictions with this second in edition. In the first part, we looked at who would least certain statistical categories. This time around, we take a look at the superlatives, including who will be the first to debut at the big league level, who will bounce back from injury, who will crack the Top 10, and more.

First To Be Called Up to The Big Leagues: Dillon Gee – There are few guys who the Mets will assign to Triple-A that do not have big league experience. Aside from Gee, Buffalo offers Fernando Martinez, Jenrry Mejia, Ruben Tejada, and others – all of whom have varied big league experience. Gee entered camp in competition for a rotation spot before big league veterans assumed the roles.

Nevertheless, he should be the first arm called up from the farm if the Mets need more help. Gee had a very sharp debut last September, giving the organization confidence he can handle the job if he needs to pitch in the back of the Mets' rotation for an extended period of time. Kirk Nieuwenhuis is a popular option among those without big league time, but with Lucas Duda emerging as a fourth outfield option, that gives the Mets plenty of time to leave Nieuwenhuis in Triple-A until he proves he's worthy of a promotion.

Comeback from Injury: There are two popular choices here and it was difficult to pick between the two. Reese Havens was notably limited in playing time last year, but certainly has observers' interested piqued about what his performance will be like if/when he's on the field for a prolonged period. Unfortunately, it sounds like that will still have to wait because Havens does not appear to be ready for Opening Day.

Instead, turn your attention to the lower levels of the farm, where 2009 top pick Steven Matz is poised to make his professional debut this season. It has been a long, long two years for Matz since his draft day, but finally scouts and fans alike will get to see Matz compete for the first time. It may take another season before he really settles into a rhythm and his career, but 2011 will be a big first step.

Bounce Back Season: This is another category that was tough to pick with one player, but both could have the potential to turn around a disappointing 2010 season. Kyle Allen showed plenty of why he is a high upside arm, but struggles with a back injury never let the right-hander pitch up to his true capability. Now healthy, I expect Allen to fare much better this year even if the numbers don't show immediately. For now it's about getting his velocity and movement back to where he was the previous season.

We've all been waiting for Brant Rustich to stay on the field and show the raw power that could elevate him quickly through the season. Rustich says he feels better than he has in years. If that's the case, and he can report to a roster without issue and get into a regular bullpen rotation, we may finally see him move as I've been anticipating for years.

Breakout Player: Really, who else would be it? Matt Harvey. The right-hander is the highest pick the Mets have drafted in a half decade and reports coming out of spring training is that he has impressed coaches with his power and breaking ball. I still expect him to break camp with St. Lucie, and give fans an enticing look of what an impact first round pitcher looks like. A mid-90s fastball and a power breaking ball? Give him the ball and let's see what he's got.

Outside the Top 50: Albert Cordero is a young catcher who impressed lower level coaches with his advanced skills for his age (20). He showed good power in the Appalachian League, hitting eight home runs and a .772 OPS in 206 at-bats. However, numbers alone don't get you on the Top 50 list. In hindsight, could I have him snuck him on? Sure, but regular playing time in the South Atlantic League will cement him on next year's list.

Top Prospect for 2010: Barring the unforeseen and that being Jenrry Mejia spending another month-plus in New York, Mejia should remain the Mets' top prospect by the end of the 2011 season. If he does graduate, Wilmer Flores would ascend to the top spot. Outside of those two, we could be talking about Cesar Puello taking over a top spot come this time next year. At the very least, barring injuries or a (surprising) sheer inability to handle the Florida State League, I expect Puello to at least be in the top three come the start of the 2012 season.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nFirst To Be Called Up to The Big Leagues: Dillon Gee – There are few guys who the Mets will assign to Triple-A that do not have big league experience. Aside from Gee, Buffalo offers Fernando Martinez, Jenrry Mejia, Ruben Tejada, and others – all of whom have varied big league experience. Gee entered camp in competition for a rotation spot before big league veterans assumed the roles.
\r\n
\r\nNevertheless, he should be the first arm called up from the farm if the Mets need more help. Gee had a very sharp debut last September, giving the organization confidence he can handle the job if he needs to pitch in the back of the Mets' rotation for an extended period of time. Kirk Nieuwenhuis is a popular option among those without big league time, but with Lucas Duda emerging as a fourth outfield option, that gives the Mets plenty of time to leave Nieuwenhuis in Triple-A until he proves he's worthy of a promotion.
\r\n
\r\nComeback from Injury: There are two popular choices here and it was difficult to pick between the two. Reese Havens was notably limited in playing time last year, but certainly has observers' interested piqued about what his performance will be like if/when he's on the field for a prolonged period. Unfortunately, it sounds like that will still have to wait because Havens does not appear to be ready for Opening Day.
\r\n
\r\nInstead, turn your attention to the lower levels of the farm, where 2009 top pick Steven Matz is poised to make his professional debut this season. It has been a long, long two years for Matz since his draft day, but finally scouts and fans alike will get to see Matz compete for the first time. It may take another season before he really settles into a rhythm and his career, but 2011 will be a big first step.
\r\n
\r\nBounce Back Season: This is another category that was tough to pick with one player, but both could have the potential to turn around a disappointing 2010 season. Kyle Allen showed plenty of why he is a high upside arm, but struggles with a back injury never let the right-hander pitch up to his true capability. Now healthy, I expect Allen to fare much better this year even if the numbers don't show immediately. For now it's about getting his velocity and movement back to where he was the previous season.
\r\n
\r\nWe've all been waiting for Brant Rustich to stay on the field and show the raw power that could elevate him quickly through the season. Rustich says he feels better than he has in years. If that's the case, and he can report to a roster without issue and get into a regular bullpen rotation, we may finally see him move as I've been anticipating for years.
\r\n
\r\nBreakout Player: Really, who else would be it? Matt Harvey. The right-hander is the highest pick the Mets have drafted in a half decade and reports coming out of spring training is that he has impressed coaches with his power and breaking ball. I still expect him to break camp with St. Lucie, and give fans an enticing look of what an impact first round pitcher looks like. A mid-90s fastball and a power breaking ball? Give him the ball and let's see what he's got.
\r\n
\r\nOutside the Top 50: Albert Cordero is a young catcher who impressed lower level coaches with his advanced skills for his age (20). He showed good power in the Appalachian League, hitting eight home runs and a .772 OPS in 206 at-bats. However, numbers alone don't get you on the Top 50 list. In hindsight, could I have him snuck him on? Sure, but regular playing time in the South Atlantic League will cement him on next year's list.
\r\n
\r\nTop Prospect for 2010: Barring the unforeseen and that being Jenrry Mejia spending another month-plus in New York, Mejia should remain the Mets' top prospect by the end of the 2011 season. If he does graduate, Wilmer Flores would ascend to the top spot. Outside of those two, we could be talking about Cesar Puello taking over a top spot come this time next year. At the very least, barring injuries or a (surprising) sheer inability to handle the Florida State League, I expect Puello to at least be in the top three come the start of the 2012 season.
\r\n
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