MMLN - St. Lucie First Half Review

The first half of the Florida State League season is in the books, which makes it a good time go back and look at the goings on in Port St. Lucie where many of the organization's top prospects spent the first half of the season. Among the talented roster, who met expectations? Or, who feel short or exceeded expectations? We catch up on everything St. Lucie inside.

The St. Lucie Mets ended the first half of the Florida State League season with a 36-32 record, but even that mark does not indicate just how hot this team was in the beginning of the season. Buoyed by overpowering starting pitching through the first month, the Mets got off to a 19-5 start in April – the best mark in club history. They claimed the first half FSL South Division title, clinching a spot in the postseason. It is the first division title since 2006, when the club went on to win the Florida State League.

Top 50 Guys
The following list focuses on the players that appeared in last fall's Inside Pitch Top 50 Prospects list. Ranking in parenthesis. All statistics represent first half stats only.

Wilmer Flores (2): .269, 5 HR, 44 RBI, 68 R, 12 2B, .314 OBP, .690 OPS
It wasn't quite the start to the season many expected from Flores, including yours truly. Flores hit for a high average in April (.323), but appears to have had some trouble countering the league's adjustments to him. His power in the league is down, his doubles rate has declined and his walk rate remains at a lower-than-expected rate given his pitch recognition. It is not that Flores cannot excel in the league, but he needs to better understand how the league attacks him and adjust.

Matt Harvey (5): 8-2, 2.37 ERA, 14 GS, 76.0 IP, 92 K, 24 BB, 1.20 WHIP
Harvey was everything billed as and then some. Take out a seemingly fluky eight earned runs in 3 2/3 innings on May 10, and Harvey was flat out exceptional in his 14 starts. The organization more or less kept him to five innings or a fairly strict pitch count, but it did not matter. Harvey's 10.8 K/9 IP ratio highlighted his time in St. Lucie and he did not allow a home run over his final 30-plus innings with the club.

Jeurys Familia (6): 1-1, 1.49 ERA, 6 GS, 36.1 IP, 36 K, 8 BB, 1.16 WHIP
Familia spent a mere six weeks in St. Lucie but was also dominant from the onset. His strikeout ratio peaked and his hits-to-innings ratio was the best of his career, while his walk ratio reinforced growing command with all of his pitches. Familia's stock is certainly on the rise in scouting circles and his start in St. Lucie underscored that sentiment.

Cesar Puello (7): .246, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 35 R, 63 H, 12 2B, 11 SB, .301 OBP, .657 OPS
Puello's start is the one of the more disappointing storylines across the farm. Now, his start is not to stay he has been overhyped or that he can't hang in the FSL, but at 20 years old and facing a significant jump in the quality of pitching – plus the FSL being a pitcher's league – Puello is undergoing some growing pains. That being said, he is hitting .283 in June and his OPS is up nearly 150 points since April. Puello is still a very raw player and while he has the look of a complete package, it is clear he needs some more seasoning during his first trip through the league.

Kyle Allen (21): 1-2, 5.28 ERA, 12 G, 7 GS, 46.0 IP, 30 K, 28 BB
Consistency has eluded Allen throughout the first half of the season. He has enjoyed flashes of his "A" game, but the right-hander has been plagued by an increase in walks. His hits-to-innings ratio (50 H in 46 IP) is respectable, but 28 walks in 46 innings is a tough figure to overcome for any pitcher, especially given his near 1-to-1 K/BB ratio. Allen was moved to the bullpen at the end of May, which could help narrow his focus and get him back to attacking the zone with his moving fastball which is when he's at his best.

Nick Carr (22): 3-0, 1.33 ERA, 18 G, 27.0 IP, 32 K, 12 BB, .211 OBA
Carr is now far enough removed from his elbow surgery that he is back to full strength and not only is it showing up in the box scores, but the radar readings as well. Carr is back to the mid to high-90s he was at before the surgery, but more importantly, he is showing greater overall command. Aside from the three home runs he has surrendered, Carr has given up very little in the way of contact (4 ER allowed in '11). I see no reason why Carr shouldn't be in Double-A. Now 24 and healthy, it's time to really find out if he can be an asset for the Mets.

Matt Den Dekker (29): .301, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 52 R, 78 H, 19 2B, 8 3B, 24 BB, 12 SB, .365 OBP, .870 OPS
Den Dekker got off to a scorching start in April when he hit .376. While his average dipped to .254 and .268 in May and June respectively, he continues to hit his way and base and do a little bit of everything once he's out of the batter's box. Perhaps most notable is that his power emerged in June, hitting four home runs in 15 games before the break. At 24 with a mature game and space in the Binghamton outfield, it should be time to get him moving.

Armando Rodriguez (31): 0-1, 2.65 ERA, 4 GS, 17 IP, 21 K, 6 BB, .242 OBA
Rodriguez missed nearly the first eight weeks of the season with a shoulder/arm injury, but since returning has limited in innings and pitch counts. Nevertheless, he appears to be getting strong each time out, highlighted by his 10 strikeouts in five innings on June 14. At 23, Rodriguez would appear older for the league, but I've always noted that Rodriguez was something of a late developer. He remains on the 40-man roster.

Jefry Marte (32): .281, 5 HR, 32 RBI, 32 R, 68 H, 13 2B, 25 BB, 9 SB, .353 OBP, .758 OPS
Marte's first trip through the FSL has been a solid showing so far. His contact rate is up and his strikeout rate is essentially the same as 2010 in Savannah. His projections for the year show more power at a level with stronger pitching which is a good sign. I've never been as high on Marte, but this is a positive development for a player who will no doubt remain in St. Lucie for the rest of the season.

Juan Lagares (40): .339, 5 HR, 27 RBI, 31 R, 65 H, 12 BB, .379 OBP, .873 OPS
Lagares, another one of the late bloomers, is still just 22 years old and having a career season in the FSL. He has never been much of a producer when it comes to power, but his five home runs in 53 first-half games are the same he hit in 67 games with Savannah in the beginning of 2010. His stolen base totals are far off his pace from 2010 when he swiped 25 bags. If he can make that part of his game in the second half, he will certainly help his stock as a potential long-term fourth outfielder option.

Eric Beaulac (43): 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 7 G, 10.2 IP, 11 K, 5 BB, .262 OBA
Beaulac gutted out his 2010 season with a pretty serious hip injury. He avoided surgery, hoping that he could rehab his way through it into 2011. This season, injury has again struck him down, landing him on the disabled list since May 2. His return – as far as I know – is far from concrete.

Scott Moviel (44): 4-5, 4.94 ERA, 13 GS, 71.0 IP, 33 K, 24 BB, .309 OBA
I said before the season this was pretty much a make-or-break year for Moviel. Right now, Moviel hasn't given the organization much of a case for optimism. His strikeout rate is the lowest of his career while his opposing average is the highest. The organization has remained steadfast in keeping him in the starting rotation, but the right-hander needs a big second half to make a case for his future.

Other Notables

Darin Gorski: 4-0, 1.72 ERA, 14 G, 8 GS, 62.2 IP, 76 K, 15 BB, .225 OBA
It is not an overstatement to say that Gorski has been one of the best pitchers in the Florida State League this season. Right now, it is all coming together for the 2009 seventh round pick that has a 1.35 ERA in eight starts with 54 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings. Command was always one of Gorski's strongest traits, but his ability to ratchet up the strikeouts to a career-high 10.9 K/9 IP after averaging about 8.0 K/9 IP during his first two seasons is a standout addition to his game.

Francisco Pena: .203, 3 HR, 19 RBI, 9 R, 32 H, 6 2B, 11 BB, .259 OBP, .556
Pena battled a foot injury that limited him to just 20 games last season (10 in St. Lucie). Now healthy, Pena has assumed the majority of the catching duties. While he is making some improvements behind the plate, his continued shortcomings with the bat have for now wiped out the possibility of me considering him a legit prospect in this system.

Pedro Zapata: .323, 2 HR, 25 RBI, 26 R, 61 H, 8 BB, 17 SB, .358 OBP, .787 OPS
Zapata has continued the trend he set last year which is to hit for average – without much power (13 XBH in '11) – while using his speed and athleticism on the bases (17-for-19 in SB). At 23, Zapata too was always considered a late-bloomer, and with promotions seemingly not coming too quick from Savannah, he should have the opportunity to continue building his case.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n\r\nThe St. Lucie Mets ended the first half of the Florida State League season with a 36-32 record, but even that mark does not indicate just how hot this team was in the beginning of the season. Buoyed by overpowering starting pitching through the first month, the Mets got off to a 19-5 start in April – the best mark in club history. They claimed the first half FSL South Division title, clinching a spot in the postseason. It is the first division title since 2006, when the club went on to win the Florida State League.\r\n

\r\nTop 50 Guys
\r\nThe following list focuses on the players that appeared in last fall's Inside Pitch Top 50 Prospects list. Ranking in parenthesis. All statistics represent first half stats only.\r\n

\r\nWilmer Flores (2): .269, 5 HR, 44 RBI, 68 R, 12 2B, .314 OBP, .690 OPS
\r\nIt wasn't quite the start to the season many expected from Flores, including yours truly. Flores hit for a high average in April (.323), but appears to have had some trouble countering the league's adjustments to him. His power in the league is down, his doubles rate has declined and his walk rate remains at a lower-than-expected rate given his pitch recognition. It is not that Flores cannot excel in the league, but he needs to better understand how the league attacks him and adjust.
\r\n
\r\nMatt Harvey (5): 8-2, 2.37 ERA, 14 GS, 76.0 IP, 92 K, 24 BB, 1.20 WHIP
\r\nHarvey was everything billed as and then some. Take out a seemingly fluky eight earned runs in 3 2/3 innings on May 10, and Harvey was flat out exceptional in his 14 starts. The organization more or less kept him to five innings or a fairly strict pitch count, but it did not matter. Harvey's 10.8 K/9 IP ratio highlighted his time in St. Lucie and he did not allow a home run over his final 30-plus innings with the club.
\r\n
\r\nJeurys Familia (6): 1-1, 1.49 ERA, 6 GS, 36.1 IP, 36 K, 8 BB, 1.16 WHIP
\r\nFamilia spent a mere six weeks in St. Lucie but was also dominant from the onset. His strikeout ratio peaked and his hits-to-innings ratio was the best of his career, while his walk ratio reinforced growing command with all of his pitches. Familia's stock is certainly on the rise in scouting circles and his start in St. Lucie underscored that sentiment.\r\n

\r\nCesar Puello (7): .246, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 35 R, 63 H, 12 2B, 11 SB, .301 OBP, .657 OPS
\r\nPuello's start is the one of the more disappointing storylines across the farm. Now, his start is not to stay he has been overhyped or that he can't hang in the FSL, but at 20 years old and facing a significant jump in the quality of pitching – plus the FSL being a pitcher's league – Puello is undergoing some growing pains. That being said, he is hitting .283 in June and his OPS is up nearly 150 points since April. Puello is still a very raw player and while he has the look of a complete package, it is clear he needs some more seasoning during his first trip through the league.\r\n

\r\nKyle Allen (21): 1-2, 5.28 ERA, 12 G, 7 GS, 46.0 IP, 30 K, 28 BB
\r\nConsistency has eluded Allen throughout the first half of the season. He has enjoyed flashes of his \"A\" game, but the right-hander has been plagued by an increase in walks. His hits-to-innings ratio (50 H in 46 IP) is respectable, but 28 walks in 46 innings is a tough figure to overcome for any pitcher, especially given his near 1-to-1 K/BB ratio. Allen was moved to the bullpen at the end of May, which could help narrow his focus and get him back to attacking the zone with his moving fastball which is when he's at his best.\r\n

\r\nNick Carr (22): 3-0, 1.33 ERA, 18 G, 27.0 IP, 32 K, 12 BB, .211 OBA
\r\nCarr is now far enough removed from his elbow surgery that he is back to full strength and not only is it showing up in the box scores, but the radar readings as well. Carr is back to the mid to high-90s he was at before the surgery, but more importantly, he is showing greater overall command. Aside from the three home runs he has surrendered, Carr has given up very little in the way of contact (4 ER allowed in '11). I see no reason why Carr shouldn't be in Double-A. Now 24 and healthy, it's time to really find out if he can be an asset for the Mets.\r\n

\r\nMatt Den Dekker (29): .301, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 52 R, 78 H, 19 2B, 8 3B, 24 BB, 12 SB, .365 OBP, .870 OPS
\r\nDen Dekker got off to a scorching start in April when he hit .376. While his average dipped to .254 and .268 in May and June respectively, he continues to hit his way and base and do a little bit of everything once he's out of the batter's box. Perhaps most notable is that his power emerged in June, hitting four home runs in 15 games before the break. At 24 with a mature game and space in the Binghamton outfield, it should be time to get him moving.\r\n

\r\nArmando Rodriguez (31): 0-1, 2.65 ERA, 4 GS, 17 IP, 21 K, 6 BB, .242 OBA
\r\nRodriguez missed nearly the first eight weeks of the season with a shoulder/arm injury, but since returning has limited in innings and pitch counts. Nevertheless, he appears to be getting strong each time out, highlighted by his 10 strikeouts in five innings on June 14. At 23, Rodriguez would appear older for the league, but I've always noted that Rodriguez was something of a late developer. He remains on the 40-man roster.\r\n

\r\nJefry Marte (32): .281, 5 HR, 32 RBI, 32 R, 68 H, 13 2B, 25 BB, 9 SB, .353 OBP, .758 OPS
\r\nMarte's first trip through the FSL has been a solid showing so far. His contact rate is up and his strikeout rate is essentially the same as 2010 in Savannah. His projections for the year show more power at a level with stronger pitching which is a good sign. I've never been as high on Marte, but this is a positive development for a player who will no doubt remain in St. Lucie for the rest of the season.\r\n

\r\nJuan Lagares (40): .339, 5 HR, 27 RBI, 31 R, 65 H, 12 BB, .379 OBP, .873 OPS
\r\nLagares, another one of the late bloomers, is still just 22 years old and having a career season in the FSL. He has never been much of a producer when it comes to power, but his five home runs in 53 first-half games are the same he hit in 67 games with Savannah in the beginning of 2010. His stolen base totals are far off his pace from 2010 when he swiped 25 bags. If he can make that part of his game in the second half, he will certainly help his stock as a potential long-term fourth outfielder option.\r\n

\r\nEric Beaulac (43): 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 7 G, 10.2 IP, 11 K, 5 BB, .262 OBA
\r\nBeaulac gutted out his 2010 season with a pretty serious hip injury. He avoided surgery, hoping that he could rehab his way through it into 2011. This season, injury has again struck him down, landing him on the disabled list since May 2. His return – as far as I know – is far from concrete.\r\n

\r\nScott Moviel (44): 4-5, 4.94 ERA, 13 GS, 71.0 IP, 33 K, 24 BB, .309 OBA
\r\nI said before the season this was pretty much a make-or-break year for Moviel. Right now, Moviel hasn't given the organization much of a case for optimism. His strikeout rate is the lowest of his career while his opposing average is the highest. The organization has remained steadfast in keeping him in the starting rotation, but the right-hander needs a big second half to make a case for his future.\r\n

\r\nOther Notables
\r\n
\r\nDarin Gorski: 4-0, 1.72 ERA, 14 G, 8 GS, 62.2 IP, 76 K, 15 BB, .225 OBA
\r\nIt is not an overstatement to say that Gorski has been one of the best pitchers in the Florida State League this season. Right now, it is all coming together for the 2009 seventh round pick that has a 1.35 ERA in eight starts with 54 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings. Command was always one of Gorski's strongest traits, but his ability to ratchet up the strikeouts to a career-high 10.9 K/9 IP after averaging about 8.0 K/9 IP during his first two seasons is a standout addition to his game.\r\n

\r\nFrancisco Pena: .203, 3 HR, 19 RBI, 9 R, 32 H, 6 2B, 11 BB, .259 OBP, .556
\r\nPena battled a foot injury that limited him to just 20 games last season (10 in St. Lucie). Now healthy, Pena has assumed the majority of the catching duties. While he is making some improvements behind the plate, his continued shortcomings with the bat have for now wiped out the possibility of me considering him a legit prospect in this system.\r\n

\r\nPedro Zapata: .323, 2 HR, 25 RBI, 26 R, 61 H, 8 BB, 17 SB, .358 OBP, .787 OPS
\r\nZapata has continued the trend he set last year which is to hit for average – without much power (13 XBH in '11) – while using his speed and athleticism on the bases (17-for-19 in SB). At 23, Zapata too was always considered a late-bloomer, and with promotions seemingly not coming too quick from Savannah, he should have the opportunity to continue building his case.\r\n

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