2003 Scouting Report: OF, Prentice Redman

The Mets drafted Prentice Redman on the 10th round of the June 1999 free agent draft. Redman played high school baseball in Tuscoloosa, Alabama and Bevill State Community College. The Mets like his tools. As he continues to fill out, he presents a solid combination of power, speed, and defense.

In 2002, Redman had his best season. Redman established career high with 35 doubles, 11 HR, and 43 stolen bases. Redman's walk rate was just under 1.2 per 10 AB, strike out rate is 2.4 per 10 AB, and stolen base rate of 83% (43 SB in 51 attempts.) With the exception of the K-rate, the ratios were excellent.

The question was whether that improvement was for 1 season or whether it indicated maturation as a hitter. Redman's early 2003 performance (.240, 7, 29) suggests that his 2002 season may have been an aberration. But, his peripheral numbers tell a slightly different tale. His decline in 2003 is not quite as stark as those numbers indicate: 0.91 BB per 10 AB; 2.1 K per 10 AB, 85.8% stolen base success rate (13 of 15). If you were to add 11 singles to his hit total he'd have virtually the same BA, OBP, SLG and OPS as in 2002. The decline in K-rate somewhat off sets the decline in BB-rate. And, his decline in XBA offset by hitting HR at a better rate than in 2002. He's on a pace to hit more HR than in 2002 in a more pitcher friendly ballpark. Overall, based upon a half season of ABs, whether 2002 was an aberration remains unclear. (If he had maintained his BB-rate, I'd conclude 2002 wasn't an aberration despite the numbers.)

Year

Team

AVG.

AB

Hits

HR

RBI

R

SB

BB

K

OBP

SLG

2003

Norfolk

.242

297

72

9

36

48

15

26

64

.308

.407

2002

Binghamton

.283

491

139

11

65

79

43

59

112

.367

.430

2001

St. Lucie

.261

495

129

9

65

70

29

42

91

.322

.356

2000

Cap City

.260

497

129

3

46

60

26

52

90

.332

.320

1999

Kingsport

.295

200

59

6

29

40

16

24

40

.373

.465


*Stats as of 10/01/02.

Batting and Power. He continues to improve his power. And, he's making slightly better contact. Should he continue t fill out he'll add additional HR power. How much he fills out remains to be seen.

Base running and speed. Redman is an aggressive base runner and base stealer, and has a good success rate throughout his minor league career.

Defense. The acrobatic Redman plays good defense in LF. The questions are whether he has enough range to play CF or arm to play RF.

Projection. Assuming he continues fills out, Redman projects to somewhat below-average to average LF. If not, he'll develop into a 4th or 5th OF.

ETA. Sometime during 2004. As indicated previously, Redman's going to need more than 1 full season of AAA. Indications are he'll get a September call up for a cup of coffee.

Outfielders Team
Prentice Redman AAA - Norfolk Tides
Esix Snead AAA - Norfolk Tides
Matthew Watson AAA - Norfolk Tides
Jeff Duncan AA - Binghamton Mets
Ronald Acuna AA - Binghamton Mets
Angel Pagan A - St. Lucie Mets
Wayne Lydon A - St. Lucie Mets
Bobby Malek A - St. Lucie Mets
Jonathan Slack A - Capital City Bombers
Alhaji Turay A - Capital City Bombers
Jamar Hill A - Capital City Bombers
Derran Watts A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Seth Pietsch A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Corey Coles A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Roberto Solano R - Kingsport Mets
Tyler Davidson R - Kingsport Mets
Jesus Gamera R - Kingsport Mets


COMMENTS


Outfield is not a strength of the organization and the Mets have a shortage of power hitters. The Mets attempted to address this problem in the 2002 and 2003 drafts. The top OF prospect remains Alhaji Turay. Behind Turay is Bobby Malek. The best of the short season outfielders are Roberto Solano and Jamar Hill. The 2003 draft added Seth Pietsch and Corey Coles...both have power. The system has a number of speedy CF prospects with limited power projection. Jeff Duncan and Angel Pagan are the top CF prospects. Others include Jon Slack, Derran Watts, Wayne Lydon, and Esix Sneed. While Roberto Solano is playing CF for Kingsport, he's likely to end up a corner OF.

1. Until Lasting Milledge signs, Alhaji Turay remains the jewel of the outfield prospects. Turay hits for power to all fields. He needs to improve his plate discipline to be a star, but he has that kind of talent.

2. Bobby Malek is the only returning left-handed hitting OF with any power. He likely projects to 18-22 HR power projection. TJ elbow surgery has delayed his development, but his collegiate ratios suggest he'd be a high average hitter.

3. The top returning short-season OF prospects are Roberto Solano and Jamar Hill. He has great instincts defensively, but only solid speed. He has great bat speed and should hit for power as he fills out. He needs to improve his approach to hitting.

4. Jamar Hill is a draft and follow signee from Alaska by way of Santa Ana Junior College in California. He can also play 3B. He has great projectibility and could develop 30 HR plus power.

5. Ty Davidson missed 2002 with a fractured forearm. He has the best power potential of any player in the system including Craig Brazell (1B) and Brandon Wilson (C).

6. Corey Coles has some power and adds a needed left-handed bat with some pop. He can also pitch.

7. Seth Pietsch has excellent power, but needs to improve his plate discipline and approach to hitting.

8. Angel Pagan has the best ceiling among the Mets CF prospects, but the Mets don't intend to develop Pagan's power potential. He has great speed and is a fine defensive player.

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