Has Juan Lagares earned a contract extension?

The New York Mets are bullish on outfielder Juan Lagares, but did Sandy Alderson and company jump the gun by rewarding the young ballplayer with a lucrative contract extension?

Almost a year removed from capturing his first Gold Glove award Juan Lagares is now a rich man, after the Mets came to terms with the 26-year-old on a new four-year, $23 million contract that could be as much as $32.5 million and takes him through his arbitration eligible years before free agency.

No doubt Lagares has the potential to be a very special player. But it is hard for Sandy Alderson to legitimize a contract extension at this point in time for Lagares, when A) there are still a number of years before he ever hits free agency, and B) Lagares still hasn’t fully developed as a player to even warrant an extension at this point.

The contract, which kicks in in 2016, is heavily back-loaded with as much as $15.5 million in the final two years of the deal, and that $9.5 million club option in year five. That’s $27 million in 2018, 2019 and 2020. There is always the chance Lagares may not become that great all around player, and if he doesn’t the Mets have a $500,000 buyout.

Sandy Alderson has already said that he values both Lagares and Lucas Duda (who may also see a contract extension) the same way Omar Minaya viewed David Wright and Jose Reyes after 2006 when he extended their contracts during their arbitration eligible years. It’s a bad comparison.

Take the Reyes/Lagares comparison since Lagares is supposed to be the Mets leadoff hitter in 2015. When the Mets gave Reyes a $23 million 4-year contract, he already established himself both offensively and defensively as one of the best at his position. Look below at Reyes’ stats his first four years and first two full years before getting his arbitration contract:

YEAR G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP

2003 69 274 47 84 12 4 5 32 13 36 13 3 .307 .334

2004 53 220 33 56 16 2 2 14 5 31 19 2 .255 .271

2005 161 696 99 190 24 17 7 58 27 78 60 15 .273 .300

2006 153 647 122 194 30 17 19 81 53 81 64 17 .300 .354

2013 121 392 35 95 21 5 4 34 20 96 6 3 .242 .281

2014 116 416 46 117 24 3 4 47 20 87 13 4 .281 .321

Now here is Lagares:

YEAR G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP

2013 121 392 35 95 21 5 4 34 20 96 6 3 .242 .281

2014 116 416 46 117 24 3 4 47 20 87 13 4 .281 .321

Lagares has plenty of room to grow as an all around ball player. He owns a .262 lifetime batting average, a .302 on base percentage, and has stolen only 19 bases in his young career. When people say he’s the best center fielder in the game, keep in mind they are ignoring the fact that Mike Trout and Andrew McCutchen, at this point in their careers, are better center fielders (and I don’t mean just offensively).

Trout has a .993 fielding percentage in center. McCutchen has a .987 fielding percentage in center. Lagares has a .983, still very impressive with plenty of room to grow and become the best.

I like Juan Lagares. He has a chance to become a franchise face for years to come, but I feel that Alderson is putting some undue pressure on this young man to earn that $23 million when he is still growing as a player. Waiting another season would not have been a bad strategy, because the Mets still control his rights. Then again, if Lagares breaks out this year, as I expect he should, Alderson looks like a genius.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

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Almost a year removed from capturing his first Gold Glove award Juan Lagares is now a rich man, after the Mets came to terms with the 26-year-old on a new four-year, $23 million contract that could be as much as $32.5 million and takes him through his arbitration eligible years before free agency.

No doubt Lagares has the potential to be a very special player. But it is hard for Sandy Alderson to legitimize a contract extension at this point in time for Lagares, when A) there are still a number of years before he ever hits free agency, and B) Lagares still hasn’t fully developed as a player to even warrant an extension at this point.

The contract, which kicks in in 2016, is heavily back-loaded with as much as $15.5 million in the final two years of the deal, and that $9.5 million club option in year five. That’s $27 million in 2018, 2019 and 2020. There is always the chance Lagares may not become that great all around player, and if he doesn’t the Mets have a $500,000 buyout.

Sandy Alderson has already said that he values both Lagares and Lucas Duda (who may also see a contract extension) the same way Omar Minaya viewed David Wright and Jose Reyes after 2006 when he extended their contracts during their arbitration eligible years. It’s a bad comparison.

Take the Reyes/Lagares comparison since Lagares is supposed to be the Mets leadoff hitter in 2015. When the Mets gave Reyes a $23 million 4-year contract, he already established himself both offensively and defensively as one of the best at his position. Look below at Reyes’ stats his first four years and first two full years before getting his arbitration contract:

Now here is Lagares:

Lagares has plenty of room to grow as an all around ball player. He owns a .262 lifetime batting average, a .302 on base percentage, and has stolen only 19 bases in his young career. When people say he’s the best center fielder in the game, keep in mind they are ignoring the fact that Mike Trout and Andrew McCutchen, at this point in their careers, are better center fielders (and I don’t mean just offensively).

Trout has a .993 fielding percentage in center. McCutchen has a .987 fielding percentage in center. Lagares has a .983, still very impressive with plenty of room to grow and become the best.

I like Juan Lagares. He has a chance to become a franchise face for years to come, but I feel that Alderson is putting some undue pressure on this young man to earn that $23 million when he is still growing as a player. Waiting another season would not have been a bad strategy, because the Mets still control his rights. Then again, if Lagares breaks out this year, as I expect he should, Alderson looks like a genius.

See what Mets fans are saying here

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