Final 2003 Scouting Report: OF, Alhaji Turay

Alhaji Turay was selected on the second round of the June 2001 free agent draft. Turay hit 10 home runs in only 61 at bats his senior year in high school. In workouts, he has demonstrated that he already is able to hit home runs out of any part of a MLB park. Turay was suspended in 2002 for poor behavior, but he also didn't listen to his coaches. The suspension seemed to solve that problem. (FREE Preview of Premium Content)

In 2003 Turay had a sensational start (.278, 2, 22), but he suffered from a bone bruise in his leg in late April. Then, he struggled the rest of the season until the Mets shut him down in mid-August. After starting out with excellent peripheral stats in his first 90 AB (1 BB per 6.9 AB, 1 K per 5.0 AB, XBA = 0.133), Turay basically fell apart: 1 BB per 11.2 AB; 1 K per 3.3 AB; XBA=0.089; and stolen base success rate of 70.0% (14 SB/20 SBA). To use a familiar refrain, "will the real Alhaji Turay please stand up". When hitters struggle with physical problems their basic stats decline, but Turay's peripheral ratios clearly indicate that his approach reverted to his wild hacking scholastic days. The latter is more worrisome.

Year

Team

AVG.

AB

Hits

HR

RBI

R

SB

BB

K

OBP

SLG

2003

Cap City

.236

314

74

6

45

44

14

28

94

.324

.373

2002

Brooklyn

.327

153

50

4

19

21

7

11

48

.380

.484

2001

Kingsport

.245

163

40

2

20

21

8

9

46

.286

.368


*Stats as of 9/7/03.

Batting and Power. Turay has excellent power potential that should he make translate into 30-35 HR during his prime even in park like Shea Stadium. He has power to all fields and can drive off-speed pitches. Turay has limited physical projectibility. In April, he's improved his approach to hitting before reverting back perhaps because of his injuries.

Base Running and Speed. Turay is an aggressive base runner with good not great speed. He has good instincts on the base paths. Needs to improve his success rate on stolen base attempts.

Defense. Turay has a strong arm and good instincts defensively. He gets surprisingly good jumps and takes good angles for a player his age. When he doesn't take a lackadaisical approach to fielding, he has good instincts defensively.

Projection. Turay's April placed on display his potential to be an above average hitting corner outfielder, but the reversion in his approach to hitting regardless of source is cause for concern.

ETA. N/A.

Outfielders Team
Prentice Redman AAA - Norfolk Tides
Esix Snead AAA - Norfolk Tides
Matthew Watson AAA - Norfolk Tides
Jeff Duncan AA - Binghamton Mets
Ronald Acuna AA - Binghamton Mets
Angel Pagan A - St. Lucie Mets
Bobby Malek A - St. Lucie Mets
Jonathan Slack A - Capital City Bombers
Alhaji Turay A - Capital City Bombers
Derran Watts A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Seth Pietsch A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Corey Coles A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Jamar Hill R - Kingsport Mets
Roberto Solano R - Kingsport Mets
Tyler Davidson R - Kingsport Mets
Lastings Milledge R - Kingsport Mets
Jesus Gamera R - Tronconero Mets
Anthony Cerda R - DSL Mets


COMMENTS


Outfield is not a strength of the organization especially in the long season leagues. The Mets have a serious shortage of power hitting OFers. Only, Turay projects to be a 30 HR type. In the short season leagues the Mets have 4-5 hitters that might top 30 HR should thy make it to the MLB level in Pietsch, Hill, Milledge, Davidson, and Solano. The Mets have a number of leadoff hitters types in Chavez, Parker, Slack, Cole, Pagan, Snead, Watts and Lydon. Milledge projects to be a power hitting leadoff hitter.

1. Lastings Milledge has the highest ceiling of any Mets prospect since Darryl Strawberry. Milledge's tools which all the scouting reports emphasized overlooked that he is a polished hitter, fielder and base runner. He's not a toolsie player trying to learn how to convert his astonishing tools into usable baseball skills. He's already well down the road of converting those tools into usable baseball skills. IMO, the Mets potentially have an Andruw Jones type player with better patience at the plate, and better base running and stealing skills.

2. Bobby Malek is the only left-handed hitting OF with any power. He likely projects to 18-22 HR power projection. TJ elbow surgery has delayed his development, but his collegiate ratios suggest he'd be a high average hitter. Malek will be rule 5 draft eligible for the first time following the 2004 season.

3. Alhaji Turay's performance was clearly affected by a number of minor injuries in 2003.

4. Prentice Redman still has the look of a nice 4th or 5th OF, but Redman has sufficient power potential that should it develop, he projects to start at LF.

5. Angel Pagan has slid since it doesn't appear that the Mets will begin to develop his power potential soon if at all. He projects to be more of a platton-type player in CF.

6. Jamar Hill is a draft and follow signee from Alaska by way of Santa Ana Junior College in California. He can also play 3B. He has great projectibility and could develop 30 HR plus power. Hill will be rule 5-draft eligible following the 2004 season.

7. Tyler Davidson missed 2002 with a fractured forearm. He has the best power potential of any player in the system including Craig Brazell (1B) and Brandon Wilson (C). Davidson was considered something of a project when the Mets drafted him. So, slow development was anticipated even without the fractured forearm. He'll be rule 5-draft eligible for the first time following the 2004 season. I don't anticipate he'll be on the 40-man roster or that he'll be selected in the rule 5 draft after 2004.

8. Matt Watson, despite his recent success, projects to be a nice pinch hitter and a reserve in the OF. Keep in mind that the noted slugged Jorge Velandia (admittedly with more ABs) has as many HRs and more doubles and triples than Watson. Watson's 14 BB in 159 ABs remains unimpressive for someone who has displayed as limited HR power as he has. Watson possesses limited speed and is a weak defender. Watson has already been passed on as a rule 5 draftee following the 2001 and 2002 seasons.

9. Corey Coles has some power and adds a needed left-handed bat with some pop. He can also pitch.

10. Seth Pietsch has excellent power, but needs to improve his plate discipline and approach to hitting.

11. Miguel Garcia has been brought of from the Dominican Republic, but he hasn't played very much.

12. Wayne Lydon has begun to demonstrate that he is converting his raw tools beyond his speed into useable baseball skills, however, he has a ways to go. Lydon was first eligible for the rule 5 draft after the 2002 season.

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