Final 2003 Scouting Report: P, Jason Scobie

Jason Scobie was the Mets 14th round selection in the 2001 draft. Scobie pitched for Louisiana State University, who advanced to the College WS Championship game in 2001, in 2000 and 2001. With the glutton of starting pitching prospects in the Mets' system, Scobie could see his future in the bullpen as a long reliever and spot starter.

In 2002, Scobie combined for a 4-4 record with 65 hits, 24 walks and 66 strike outs in 76 innings pitched. Overall, he had very solid ratios since he served both as a starter and reliever: 7.7 hits per 9 IP; 2.8 walks per 9 IP; 7.8 strikeouts per 9 IP.

Jason Scobie rocketed through the system in 2003, pitching at all three levels. Used primarily as a starter (17 of his 21 appearances this season were starts), Scobie struggled the farther he climbed. He enjoyed great success at St. Lucie before a respectable showing for the Binghamton Mets in AA. Hitters teed off on him at AAA to the tune of a .330 opposing batting average. Expect to see Scobie used more out of the bullpen in 2004.

Year

Team

W-L

Saves

IP

Hits

BB

K

ERA

2003

Norfolk

1-3

0

27.2

37

10

15

6.83

2003

Binghamton

2-4

0

50

50

13

24

4.14

2003

St. Lucie

2-1

0

20.2

19

4

20

1.31

2002

Capital City

2-2

4

35

29

12

32

2.57

2002

Brooklyn

2-2

1

41

36

12

34

3.07

2001

Brooklyn

3-0

6

40

22

8

32

0.89


*Stats as of 9/7/03.

Repertoire. 2-seam fastball (FB), curve ball (CB), slider (SL), change up (CU).

Fastball. Scobie throws a 2-seamer FB with good sinking action.

Other Pitches. Scobie has a quality CB and SL. He can spot the SL. His CU is a work in progress.

Pitching. It's unusual for a pitcher under 30 to have both a quality CB and SL, and Scobie is unique to that extent. Although Scobie is a groundball pitcher, he is able to setup and spot his SL for strikeouts. He has the repertoire to start. He has a good understanding of how to use his repertoire to get hitters out.

Projection. Scobie projects to be a very versatile RP - middle RP, long RP and set up. He also will be able to spot start.

ETA: 2005.

Relievers Team
Tyler Yates AAA - Norfolk Tides
Orber Moreno AAA - Norfolk Tides
Dan Wheeler AAA - Norfolk Tides
Heath Bell AAA - Norfolk Tides
Jason Scobie AAA - Norfolk Tides
Mike Cox AA - Binghamton Mets
Paul-Jon Bevis AA - Binghamton Mets
Jason Saenz AA - Binghamton Mets
Nick Mattioni AA - Binghamton Mets
Tim Lavigne AA - Binghamton Mets
Steve Bennett A - St. Lucie Mets
Blake McGinley A - St. Lucie Mets
Rafael Lopez A - St. Lucie Mets
David Byard A - St. Lucie Mets
Bryan King A - Capital City Bombers
Carlos Muniz A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Celso Rondon R - Kingsport Mets


COMMENTS


The Mets possess good depth at RP. Most teams normally convert SP into RP at some stage in the development process. The Mets have 3 closer prospects that were recovering from surgery in 2003: Tyler Yates, Orber Moreno and Franklin Nunez. The Mets added closer prospects in Royce Ring and Kole Strayhorn in deals respectively with the White Sox and Dodgers. The Mets also added Josele Diaz and Anderson Garcia in trades with the Dodgers and Yankees. The Mets are currently using them as SP, but neither yet have the repertoire to start. Thus, the eventually might be added to the closer mix.

The Mets have decent depth in LHP RP prospects: Mike Cox; Jason Saenz; and Blake McGinley. Further, Yunior Cabrera, Brian Walker and Ross Peeples could easily be lefties added to the bullpen. There is also some depth in pitchers who might serve a variety of roles in the bullpen such as Heath Bell, Jason Scobie, Tim LaVigne, PJ Bevis, Rafael Lopez, Celso Rondon, Carlos Muniz, and Bryan King. Certain SP such as Jake Joseph and Joey Cole should find their way into the bullpen.

1. Tyler Yates who reached 100 mph in Spring Training is recovering from TJ surgery. The Mets have been using him as a starter. I still expect him to return to the bullpen. His FB possesses good movement and his SL sharp break. He'd be the top closer prospect.

2. Orber Moreno, once the KC Royals closer of the future, is recovering from both shoulder and elbow surgeries that have derailed him since 2000. He features a mid-90s FB with great movement, SL and CU. He struggled in his September callup.

3. Franklin Nunez features a high 90s FB with a SL, Splf. FB, and CU.

4. While Cox may have better stuff, McGinley is the surest of the lefty prospects to pitch in MLB. He features a mid-to-high 80s FB with excellent movement, a sharp break curve and effective CU. He's added a SL. His repertoire is extensive enough to be considered for an opportunity to start.

5. Mike Cox has been plagued by control issues, he has great stuff a low-90s FB with excellent movement and a sharp breaking CB.

6. Royce Ring throws a low 90s FB with nasty movement, a sharp breaking pitch and a decent CU.

7. Kole Strayhorn features a mid-90s FB that tops out at 97-98 mph.

8. P J Bevis should be an effective in either as a middle RP or in a setup role.

9. Tim LaVigne who features a big breaking CB is another candidate for middle RP or setup.

10. Jason Scobie looks at best candidate like a middle RP/long RP/spot SP. He features a quality CB and SL. He also has a 2-seam FB with solid sink and a CU with good drop.

11. Rafael Lopez is another RP who could fill the middle RP/long RP/ spot SP role.

12. Jake Joseph might make an excellent setup with his excellent 2-seam FB, slurvy SL and CU. Combo.

13. Heath Bell's FB sits at 92-95 mph. He also complements with a decent SL and spl. FB.

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