Scouting Report: RHP John Maine

With the Kris Benson trade to the Orioles complete, our friends at OriolesHangout.com help our premium subscribers get a better idea of John Maine, the pitching prospect coming over from the Orioles. Tony Pente, the publisher of OriolesHangout.com, has followed Maine since his first days in the Baltimore farm system and he offers up this scouting report.

This scouting report was first made available to OriolesHangout.com premium subscribers prior to the start of the 2005 season and Tony also offers his final analysis of John Maine, at the time of the trade with the Mets, following the report.

Bio: 24 year old former mechanical engineering major, Maine was something of a phenom during his first two and a half years in the Baltimore system. He dominated every league he pitched in from the short-season NY-Penn League to the AA Eastern League. He averaged well over a strikeout an inning, and tallied up impressive command ratios and ERAs as well. In 2003 he lead all affiliated minor league pitchers with 185 strikeouts in only 146.2 innings. Originally a 6th round pick, Maine fell out of the highest rounds because of a sub par final collegiate season.

2004: After just 12 games at Carolina during the second half of 2003, the Orioles assigned Maine to AA Bowie after spring training 2004. He picked up right where he left off for the Baysox, dominating the competition in the EL. His first start was an impressive five innings of one-hit, seven-strikeout ball. Overall at Bowie he struck out 34 batters in 28 innings, and only gave up 5.1 hits and 7.4 baserunners per nine.

In May, after only five AA starts he got the call to move up to Ottawa. For the first time in his pro career he had to deal with prolonged adversity. He was hit hard often by the more advanced AAA players, and on June 17th his ERA stood at an ugly 6.11. From then on he was the John Maine we'd come to know before. By July 14 he'd lowered his ERA by almost two runs, to 4.26. After his prolonged hot streak the O's called him up for a spot start, but he was roughed up by the Twins and sent back down afterwards.

Nevertheless, by the end of Ottawa's season he'd lowered his ERA to the 3's, and had regained the form that made him one of the organization's top young hurlers.

Strengths: While Maine's fastball only touches the low 90s, he has spot-on command that he uses to deceive the opposition. His control was surprisingly suspect early on at Ottawa, but it returned to being a strength by season's end. As he's worked his way up he's become more adept at working in his off-speed and breaking pitches.

Weaknesses: Without a blazing fastball Maine will always face criticism from scouts. That only intensified last year when he struggled during his first month of AAA competition. Until he gets his feet on the ground in the majors he'll hear whispers that he's only a "AAAA pitcher," somebody who can get minor leaguers out with his brain and his command but who'll get killed by major leaguers. In the lower minors he was able to dominate with precise placement of his fastball, but that won't cut it in the majors. He'll need to continue to refine his curve and change of pace.

2005: With what seems like dozens of pitchers in the 28-and-younger age bracket fighting for spots on the Orioles' roster, it seems likely that Maine will end up as the #1 starter for the Lynx in April. But with so many health and performance questions surrounding the big league rotation it's almost assured Maine will get more than a cup of coffee in the majors this year.

Pente's Analysis of John Maine At The Time Of The Trade

Maine has never been able to equal his lower minor league success above Double-A. His breaking ball has never really improved and although he still has good command of his fastball, it's hard to live off that at the major league level. I still believe Maine will end up with a decent career as a setup/long man, but I don't see him being anything more than a 5th starter for a lower Division team.

Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nThis scouting report was first made available to OriolesHangout.com premium subscribers prior to the start of the 2005 season and Tony also offers his final analysis of John Maine, at the time of the trade with the Mets, following the report.
\r\n
\r\nBio: 24 year old former mechanical engineering major, Maine was something of a phenom during his first two and a half years in the Baltimore system. He dominated every league he pitched in from the short-season NY-Penn League to the AA Eastern League. He averaged well over a strikeout an inning, and tallied up impressive command ratios and ERAs as well. In 2003 he lead all affiliated minor league pitchers with 185 strikeouts in only 146.2 innings. Originally a 6th round pick, Maine fell out of the highest rounds because of a sub par final collegiate season.
\r\n
\r\n2004: After just 12 games at Carolina during the second half of 2003, the Orioles assigned Maine to AA Bowie after spring training 2004. He picked up right where he left off for the Baysox, dominating the competition in the EL. His first start was an impressive five innings of one-hit, seven-strikeout ball. Overall at Bowie he struck out 34 batters in 28 innings, and only gave up 5.1 hits and 7.4 baserunners per nine.
\r\n
\r\nIn May, after only five AA starts he got the call to move up to Ottawa. For the first time in his pro career he had to deal with prolonged adversity. He was hit hard often by the more advanced AAA players, and on June 17th his ERA stood at an ugly 6.11. From then on he was the John Maine we'd come to know before. By July 14 he'd lowered his ERA by almost two runs, to 4.26. After his prolonged hot streak the O's called him up for a spot start, but he was roughed up by the Twins and sent back down afterwards.
\r\n
\r\nNevertheless, by the end of Ottawa's season he'd lowered his ERA to the 3's, and had regained the form that made him one of the organization's top young hurlers.
\r\n
\r\nStrengths: While Maine's fastball only touches the low 90s, he has spot-on command that he uses to deceive the opposition. His control was surprisingly suspect early on at Ottawa, but it returned to being a strength by season's end. As he's worked his way up he's become more adept at working in his off-speed and breaking pitches.
\r\n
\r\nWeaknesses: Without a blazing fastball Maine will always face criticism from scouts. That only intensified last year when he struggled during his first month of AAA competition. Until he gets his feet on the ground in the majors he'll hear whispers that he's only a \"AAAA pitcher,\" somebody who can get minor leaguers out with his brain and his command but who'll get killed by major leaguers. In the lower minors he was able to dominate with precise placement of his fastball, but that won't cut it in the majors. He'll need to continue to refine his curve and change of pace.
\r\n
\r\n2005: With what seems like dozens of pitchers in the 28-and-younger age bracket fighting for spots on the Orioles' roster, it seems likely that Maine will end up as the #1 starter for the Lynx in April. But with so many health and performance questions surrounding the big league rotation it's almost assured Maine will get more than a cup of coffee in the majors this year.
\r\n
\r\nPente's Analysis of John Maine At The Time Of The Trade
\r\n
\r\nMaine has never been able to equal his lower minor league success above Double-A. His breaking ball has never really improved and although he still has good command of his fastball, it's hard to live off that at the major league level. I still believe Maine will end up with a decent career as a setup/long man, but I don't see him being anything more than a 5th starter for a lower Division team.
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