Tool Time: Top Ten Changeups

If there's one area where the Mets truly lack depth stuff-wise among their pitching prospects it's among their collection of changeup hurlers. The good news however is that they have some young blood at the lower minor league levels that could change the landscape of changeups in the organization. Here are the top ten changeups in the farm system.

10) Blake Eager: Eager continues to fly under the radar because he isn't a power pitcher. But the possession of a very good curveball and the development of his now solid changeup should keep him in legitimate prospect discussions. He can't command his changeup as well as his curveball, but when it's on, he gets very good movement with it in the 74-78 MPH range. His solid secondary pitches make him a bit of a sleeper prospect.

9) Philip Humber: One of the big benefits of receiving Tommy John surgery was how Humber was able to develop a seeming non-existent changeup to a very good one during his rehab. Unable to work on his curveball, Humber focused his attention on developing his changeup grip and arm motion, and the pitch has gone from a project to a very good pitch, perhaps a borderline plus pitch. Averaging 83-85 MPH with his changeup, it is still a little too fast to be a true plus pitch and he and the Mets will be looking to throw it a bit slower to give opposing batters truly a different look.

8) Jeff Landing: One of the more frustrating pitchers in the organization, Landing's quality big league stuff hasn't translated into actual results on the field yet. His career 17-30 record and 4.95 ERA disguises the fact he has four Major League pitches, including a solid changeup. Sitting 80-83 MPH with his changeup, he gets excellent diving action on it but lacks consistent command of it to be ranked higher. If he could get enough confidence in it to throw it more in fastball counts, the results could begin to show.

7) Miguel Pinango: Pinango is a control specialist who pounds the zone with strikes and mixes up his speeds. Consistently in the 88-91 MPH range with his fastball, he locates his 77-79 MPH changeup very well and it serves as his primary out-pitch. His solid changeup was one of the reasons he fired a seven inning no-hitter against the Portland Seadogs last season and why he is inching his way closer to the big leagues after posting a winning record in Double-A Binghamton in 2006.

6) Jake Ruckle: With the command and deception Ruckle gets with his changeup, he could theoretically rank higher on this list as it has come a long way since signing with the Mets two years ago. While his fastball only sits in the mid-80's, he can drop a changeup in the 70-75 MPH range with excellent downward movement. While most scouts question whether or not he has the fastball needed to succeed at the higher minor league levels, nobody questions the projected success of his changeup.

5) Blake McGinley: The 21st round pick out of Texas Tech back in 2001 has flat-out dominated at the minor league level, mostly because of his great changeup. More of a soft-tossing control artist from the left side, McGinley can consistently throw his change for strikes in the 75-80 MPH range and it is the reason why he has been so effective against right-handed batters and why he sports a career 2.90 ERA heading into the 2007 season. Sooner or later the Mets are going to have to give their changeup specialist a shot in the big leagues.

4) German Marte: Possessing a split-changeup that has helped him control left-handed batters, it is a very good pitch when he's going right. Averaging 78-82 MPH with great command, the problem Marte ran into last season was his changeup wasn't a huge difference velocity-wise from his fastball. While it was still effective, he was only throwing in the mid-to-upper-80's with his fastball. If he can get his heater back to the low-90's where he was sitting prior to 2006, his plus changeup could be even better.

3) Shane Hawk: Hawk's great command of his plus changeup allows him to locate it wherever he wants it and it serves as his second strikeout pitch behind his hard-biting slider. Able to hit the mid-90's with his fastball and the mid-80's with his slider, the fact that he throws his changeup in the upper-70's gives opposing batters another look and with his ability to pitch to location with is pitches, opposing batters never know what's coming next.

2) Eddie Camacho: The sole reason why the undrafted Camacho has posted a career 2.61 ERA and is now knocking on the doors of Triple-A and the big leagues is on the strength of his incredible changeup. What makes it so special is the deception he gets on it. His arm speed and slot are mirror images to his fastball and he has plus command of his changeup, a pitch that averages 76-80 MPH. He uses it as his strikeout pitch against left-handed batters as he can spot it at will on the outside corner of the plate.

1) Deolis Guerra: While he doesn't throw extremely hard, the main reason why Guerra had so much success as a 17-year old with Hagerstown last season (6-7, 2.20 ERA) was due to his advanced changeup. His slow and deliberate delivery allows him to disguise his changeup and it can be a true knee-bender, serving as his primary strikeout pitch right now. It averages 74-77 MPH and just dives in the lower-half of the plate, so when he's not striking out batters with his change, he gets them to pound it into the dirt for harmless ground outs.

Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n10) Blake Eager: Eager continues to fly under the radar because he isn't a power pitcher. But the possession of a very good curveball and the development of his now solid changeup should keep him in legitimate prospect discussions. He can't command his changeup as well as his curveball, but when it's on, he gets very good movement with it in the 74-78 MPH range. His solid secondary pitches make him a bit of a sleeper prospect.
\r\n
\r\n9) Philip Humber: One of the big benefits of receiving Tommy John surgery was how Humber was able to develop a seeming non-existent changeup to a very good one during his rehab. Unable to work on his curveball, Humber focused his attention on developing his changeup grip and arm motion, and the pitch has gone from a project to a very good pitch, perhaps a borderline plus pitch. Averaging 83-85 MPH with his changeup, it is still a little too fast to be a true plus pitch and he and the Mets will be looking to throw it a bit slower to give opposing batters truly a different look.
\r\n
\r\n8) Jeff Landing: One of the more frustrating pitchers in the organization, Landing's quality big league stuff hasn't translated into actual results on the field yet. His career 17-30 record and 4.95 ERA disguises the fact he has four Major League pitches, including a solid changeup. Sitting 80-83 MPH with his changeup, he gets excellent diving action on it but lacks consistent command of it to be ranked higher. If he could get enough confidence in it to throw it more in fastball counts, the results could begin to show.
\r\n
\r\n7) Miguel Pinango: Pinango is a control specialist who pounds the zone with strikes and mixes up his speeds. Consistently in the 88-91 MPH range with his fastball, he locates his 77-79 MPH changeup very well and it serves as his primary out-pitch. His solid changeup was one of the reasons he fired a seven inning no-hitter against the Portland Seadogs last season and why he is inching his way closer to the big leagues after posting a winning record in Double-A Binghamton in 2006.
\r\n
\r\n6) Jake Ruckle: With the command and deception Ruckle gets with his changeup, he could theoretically rank higher on this list as it has come a long way since signing with the Mets two years ago. While his fastball only sits in the mid-80's, he can drop a changeup in the 70-75 MPH range with excellent downward movement. While most scouts question whether or not he has the fastball needed to succeed at the higher minor league levels, nobody questions the projected success of his changeup.
\r\n
\r\n5) Blake McGinley: The 21st round pick out of Texas Tech back in 2001 has flat-out dominated at the minor league level, mostly because of his great changeup. More of a soft-tossing control artist from the left side, McGinley can consistently throw his change for strikes in the 75-80 MPH range and it is the reason why he has been so effective against right-handed batters and why he sports a career 2.90 ERA heading into the 2007 season. Sooner or later the Mets are going to have to give their changeup specialist a shot in the big leagues.
\r\n
\r\n4) German Marte: Possessing a split-changeup that has helped him control left-handed batters, it is a very good pitch when he's going right. Averaging 78-82 MPH with great command, the problem Marte ran into last season was his changeup wasn't a huge difference velocity-wise from his fastball. While it was still effective, he was only throwing in the mid-to-upper-80's with his fastball. If he can get his heater back to the low-90's where he was sitting prior to 2006, his plus changeup could be even better.
\r\n
\r\n3) Shane Hawk: Hawk's great command of his plus changeup allows him to locate it wherever he wants it and it serves as his second strikeout pitch behind his hard-biting slider. Able to hit the mid-90's with his fastball and the mid-80's with his slider, the fact that he throws his changeup in the upper-70's gives opposing batters another look and with his ability to pitch to location with is pitches, opposing batters never know what's coming next.
\r\n
\r\n2) Eddie Camacho: The sole reason why the undrafted Camacho has posted a career 2.61 ERA and is now knocking on the doors of Triple-A and the big leagues is on the strength of his incredible changeup. What makes it so special is the deception he gets on it. His arm speed and slot are mirror images to his fastball and he has plus command of his changeup, a pitch that averages 76-80 MPH. He uses it as his strikeout pitch against left-handed batters as he can spot it at will on the outside corner of the plate.
\r\n
\r\n1) Deolis Guerra: While he doesn't throw extremely hard, the main reason why Guerra had so much success as a 17-year old with Hagerstown last season (6-7, 2.20 ERA) was due to his advanced changeup. His slow and deliberate delivery allows him to disguise his changeup and it can be a true knee-bender, serving as his primary strikeout pitch right now. It averages 74-77 MPH and just dives in the lower-half of the plate, so when he's not striking out batters with his change, he gets them to pound it into the dirt for harmless ground outs.
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