Final 2002 Scouting Report: LHP, Phil Seibel

The Mets acquired Phil Seibel from the Montreal Expos in a deal that brought Matthew Watson and Scott Strickland to the Mets for Bruce Chen, Dicky Gonzalez and Saul Rivera. The Expos drafted Seibel out of the University of Texas with their 8th round selection in the 2000 draft. Seibel signed too late to pitch during the 2000 season.

Phil Seibel has finished his season strongly after tightening his SL and adding a slow CB. He's increased his K-rate during the season to 6.4 K per 9 IP (up from about 4.4 K per 9 IP.) He's allowing 8.9 hits per 9 IP and he issues about 3.0 BB per 9 IP. However, he's allowed 17 home runs during the season.

























*Stats as of 9/04/02.

Repertoire. 4-seam fastball (FB), 2-seam FB, curve (CB), slider (SL) and change CU.

Fastball. Seibel's 4-seam FB sits at 86-87 mph while topping off at 88 mph. His 4-seamer has excellent sinking action. He's not likely to add more than 1 or perhaps 2 mph to his FB. Seibel also throws a 2-seam with tailing action (for a LHP that's right to left).

Other pitches. Seibel's best pitch is his straight CU that has excellent drop to it. The Mets wanted SL to tighten his SL to add velocity and sharpen its break so it's still in development. His CB is in development and and sits at 68-69 mph.

Pitching. Seibel possesses good control and his repertoire should work well together to get MLB hitters out. He's likely to allow a lot of hits so he cannot walk very many. Since he's a control pitcher he will yield some HRs despite the sinking fastball.

Projection. A likely #4 or #5 SP.

ETA. Before the end of 2003.

Left-Handed Starting Pitchers Team
Phil Seibel AA - Binghamton Mets
Neal Musser A - St. Lucie Mets
Leonard DiNardo A - Capital City Bombers
Ross Peeples A - Capital City Bombers
Scott Kazmir A - Brooklyn Cyclones
Ryan Danly R - Kingsport Mets
Kelvin Garay R - Kingsport Mets
Edgar A. Alfonzo R - Kingsport Mets


The Mets system has a number of left handed pitching prospects. Should MLB execute a collective bargaining agreement before seasons end Bacsik will lose his rookie status.

1. Phil Seibel was a good acquisition for the Mets. He has a chance to develop into a solid end of the rotation left-handed starter.

2. Scott Kazmir is the Mets top LHP prospect. He has dominant FB that sits at 93-94 mph while topping out at 97 mph. His FB has explosive movement. Kazmir's CB and SL are near MLB ready and should develop into plus pitches. His CU is a work in progress but has good promise.

3. While Bacsik projects to a #5 SP or long RP/spot SP, there is room for improvement. The most likely improvements in repetoire would be from changing speeds on his CB or on his CU. If Bascik can learn to change speeds on his CB, then his ceiling would be a #4 SP or better. Jaime Moyer learned to change speeds on his CU and as a result he became a front-end SP. Only, Omar Daal also changes speeds on his CU. Historically, Stu Miller and Doug Jones relied heavily on changing speeds on their CU to become effective RPs. If does both, then a front end starter is possible. For now, I'd leave the #5 or long RP/spot SP projection.

4. Neal Musser completed a rehab assignment at Brooklyn and returned to St. Lucie. He was having an excellent season until a foot injury sidelined him. He's added weight during the off-season and could move quickly through the system if he can remain healthy.

5. Lenny DiNardo is still recovering from a tired arm and is on a severe pitch limit constraint. He needs to throw more strikes to be successful. With his extensive repetoire, he could move very quickly through the system.

6. Ross Peeples is an end of the rotation SP with his work ethic.

7. Yunior Cabrera is starting at Brooklyn. This is Cabrera's 6th season in the Mets farm system and he has spent precious little time above short season leagues. For the most part, Cabrera has been a RP. Thus, the Mets likely are trying to fast track him by starting him. The 22-year old Cabrera throws an excellent CB and should add 2 mph to his FB and reach 90-91 mph. He has good control of both pitches and should move quickly through the system when he returns to the bullpen.

8. Jayson Weir was placed upon the temporary suspension list.

9. Ryan Danly has return to starting after a stint in the bullpen.

10. The recently signed Kelvin Garay and Edgar Alfonzo bears watching also.

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