Top 50 Scouting Report: #44 Julio Polanco

The New York Mets signed Julio Polanco as an international free agent from the Dominican Republican in 2004. Last season was his second stateside and he held down a spot in the Savannah rotation despite a rough season. The Mets still see promise in the 21-year-old, but he does have work to do. Here is a scouting report on Savannah starter Julio Polanco.

Vital Statistics:
Name: Julio Polanco
DOB: November 29, 1986
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 163
Throws: Left
Bats: Left

At just 21 years old, there is plenty of room for the battered Julio Polanco to grow. Signed out of his native Dominican Republic, the left-hander spent two summers at the Mets' island complex where he impressed coaches and coordinators with a live arm and fairly electric pitches for teenager. After two fine stints in the Dominican Summer League, Polanco arrived in Kingsport in 2006 but that was where his current struggles were birthed.

He made 12 inconsistent starts with the K-Mets, but the organization figured to challenge Polanco further last season by promoting him to the very young Savannah Sandgnats squad. It was the hope that with another season under his belt, Polanco would refine his pitches and show the positive tools similar to his years in the DSL.

That was not the case. He got off to a brutal start to the season, posting an 0-1 record in four April starts, surrendering 15 earned runs in 14.1 innings pitched for a 9.42 ERA. The opposition hit .348 off him for the month, almost all resulting from a general lack of command.

Armed with a fastball that sits in the high-80s to 91 MPH, and a rather average curveball, Polanco showed intermittent positives but on the whole, his lack of location came back to hurt him. From start to start, and even inning to inning, it was tough to predict what he would offer, and that more than anything confounded and frustrated his coaches.

As the season wore on, his ineffectiveness continued. He finished up the first half of season with a 0-3 mark and a 8.83 ERA in 35.2 innings pitched and a stunning.344 opponents batting average. Towards the ends the end of the first half, he even made four appearances out of the bullpen perhaps to conserve innings, maybe to test him in a new role.

Yet, the Savannah coaches hung with Polanco and reinserted him back into the rotation for the second half of the South Atlantic League season. After two poor starts to kick start his summer, Polanco rebounded and pitched admirably in his last eight starts of the year. While his curveball and changeup still have many steps to go before he has the utmost confidence in them, improved command of his fastball enabled him to pitch with more fluidity.

It started with a June 30 start against the Columbus Catfish. The two earned run, five inning performance may have gone overlooked to the masses, but it put Polanco on track for the homestretch. He was staying in games longer and his walk total decreased while his strikeout numbers surged—he doubled up on his 24 first half strikeouts with 48 after the break. Lastly, and perhaps more importantly, his opponent's average dipped 100 points.

The high notes of his second came in two July starts. One on the fifth of the month against the Rome Braves in which he went seven strong innings, giving up one hit while striking out seven. The other came on the 31st against the Greensboro Grasshoppers when pitched 6.2 scoreless innings with eight strikeouts. Those highlights allowed Polanco to head into the off-season with momentum for this upcoming season when the Mets will most likely challenge him with another promotion.

The southpaw is still young and has the chance to be a dynamic addition from the left side as he continues to mature and move up the organization. Yet for him to fulfill those possibilities, he needs to develop more consistency in his pitching, and the Mets seem ready to work with him until he does just that.

Year

Team

W-L

IP

Hits

BB

K

ERA

2007

Savannah

3-8

83.2

102

43

72

6.67

2006

Kingsport

1-3

53.2

57

21

44

4.53

2005

DSL

3-4

54.1

49

21

82

3.81

2004

DSL

5-2

68.0

38

27

91

1.99


Repertoire: Fastball, Curveball, Changeup

Fastball: Polanco's small frame prevents him from achieving the greater velocity the Mets would like to see from him, but he throws his fastball between 88-91 MPH which is serviceable at the lower levels. Scouts and coordinators hope that with age his size will increase, allowing him to add a few more ticks on his heater. He has decent command with his fastball, however, until he can locate it with more consistency, it remains a cause for his high walk totals and high contact rate.

Other Pitches: Polanco's curveball has the look of a terrific pitch in the future, but he still works to achieve greater control of the pitch. He shows flashes of the pitch's ability from time to time, but until he can settle down with the pitch, hitters will continue to pass it by and sit on his fastball. Much of the same applies with his changeup. He throws the pitch with good difference in velocity, but his very shaky command prevents the pitch from becoming as effective as can be.

Pitching: Polanco always pitches with good aggressiveness, and is a gamer who will not give into hitters. The struggles with his command forced him into many poor and inflated numbers, but those statistics do not alter his tenacity and eagerness to excel on the mound. He prefers to start hitters off with his fastball and work deeper into counts with his secondary pitches, but his inconsistencies lead to coordinators to find new ways to adapt his approach. He has the potential to have very good strikeout stuff, but his pitches are not mature enough to more swings-and-misses which allowed hitters to hit nearly .300 off him last season. As his command improves, the rest of his game should come around.

Projection: At this point, much of Polanco's future remains mostly in projections. Though he spent the entire season in Savannah, he is still fairly raw in his development. His small frame leaves some questions as to what kind of pitcher he can be in the future and whether the rigors of pitching will eventually takes its toll on his shoulder. The majority of his appearances in 2007 came in a starting role, and the Mets could stick with him in the rotation, but moving forward the lack of quality depth in his repertoire should eventually land him in the bullpen. He will continue to have chances to remain a starter, but at this stage, it looks more like Polanco will be a reliever at the big league level.

ETA: 2011. Despite the rather ugly numbers, Polanco held down a spot in the Savannah rotation for the entire season, but the quality of his pitches will not translate into that role at a higher level. 2008 will most likely begin his transition into a full-time reliever as he should land a spot in the St. Lucie bullpen this upcoming season. That will keep him on track for moving up on level per season, ready to make the Mets roster in 2011.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nVital Statistics:
\r\nName: Julio Polanco
\r\nDOB: November 29, 1986
\r\nHeight: 6'0\"
\r\nWeight: 163
\r\nThrows: Left
\r\nBats: Left
\r\n
\r\nAt just 21 years old, there is plenty of room for the battered Julio Polanco to grow. Signed out of his native Dominican Republic, the left-hander spent two summers at the Mets' island complex where he impressed coaches and coordinators with a live arm and fairly electric pitches for teenager. After two fine stints in the Dominican Summer League, Polanco arrived in Kingsport in 2006 but that was where his current struggles were birthed.
\r\n
\r\nHe made 12 inconsistent starts with the K-Mets, but the organization figured to challenge Polanco further last season by promoting him to the very young Savannah Sandgnats squad. It was the hope that with another season under his belt, Polanco would refine his pitches and show the positive tools similar to his years in the DSL.
\r\n
\r\nThat was not the case. He got off to a brutal start to the season, posting an 0-1 record in four April starts, surrendering 15 earned runs in 14.1 innings pitched for a 9.42 ERA. The opposition hit .348 off him for the month, almost all resulting from a general lack of command.
\r\n
\r\nArmed with a fastball that sits in the high-80s to 91 MPH, and a rather average curveball, Polanco showed intermittent positives but on the whole, his lack of location came back to hurt him. From start to start, and even inning to inning, it was tough to predict what he would offer, and that more than anything confounded and frustrated his coaches.
\r\n
\r\nAs the season wore on, his ineffectiveness continued. He finished up the first half of season with a 0-3 mark and a 8.83 ERA in 35.2 innings pitched and a stunning.344 opponents batting average. Towards the ends the end of the first half, he even made four appearances out of the bullpen perhaps to conserve innings, maybe to test him in a new role.
\r\n
\r\nYet, the Savannah coaches hung with Polanco and reinserted him back into the rotation for the second half of the South Atlantic League season. After two poor starts to kick start his summer, Polanco rebounded and pitched admirably in his last eight starts of the year. While his curveball and changeup still have many steps to go before he has the utmost confidence in them, improved command of his fastball enabled him to pitch with more fluidity.
\r\n
\r\nIt started with a June 30 start against the Columbus Catfish. The two earned run, five inning performance may have gone overlooked to the masses, but it put Polanco on track for the homestretch. He was staying in games longer and his walk total decreased while his strikeout numbers surged—he doubled up on his 24 first half strikeouts with 48 after the break. Lastly, and perhaps more importantly, his opponent's average dipped 100 points.
\r\n
\r\nThe high notes of his second came in two July starts. One on the fifth of the month against the Rome Braves in which he went seven strong innings, giving up one hit while striking out seven. The other came on the 31st against the Greensboro Grasshoppers when pitched 6.2 scoreless innings with eight strikeouts. Those highlights allowed Polanco to head into the off-season with momentum for this upcoming season when the Mets will most likely challenge him with another promotion.
\r\n
\r\nThe southpaw is still young and has the chance to be a dynamic addition from the left side as he continues to mature and move up the organization. Yet for him to fulfill those possibilities, he needs to develop more consistency in his pitching, and the Mets seem ready to work with him until he does just that.
\r\n
\r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n
\r\n

Year

\r\n

\r\n Team

\r\n

\r\n W-L

\r\n

\r\n IP

\r\n

\r\n Hits

\r\n

\r\n BB

\r\n

K

\r\n

\r\n ERA

\r\n

2007

\r\n

\r\n Savannah

\r\n

\r\n 3-8

\r\n

\r\n 83.2

\r\n

\r\n 102

\r\n

\r\n 43

\r\n

\r\n 72

\r\n

\r\n 6.67

\r\n

2006

\r\n

\r\n Kingsport

\r\n

\r\n 1-3

\r\n

\r\n 53.2

\r\n

\r\n 57

\r\n

\r\n 21

\r\n

\r\n 44

\r\n

\r\n 4.53

\r\n

2005

\r\n

\r\n DSL

\r\n

\r\n 3-4

\r\n

\r\n 54.1

\r\n

\r\n 49

\r\n

\r\n 21

\r\n

\r\n 82

\r\n

\r\n 3.81

\r\n

2004

\r\n

\r\n DSL

\r\n

\r\n 5-2

\r\n

\r\n 68.0

\r\n

\r\n 38

\r\n

\r\n 27

\r\n

\r\n 91

\r\n

\r\n 1.99


\r\nRepertoire: Fastball, Curveball, Changeup
\r\n
\r\nFastball: Polanco's small frame prevents him from achieving the greater velocity the Mets would like to see from him, but he throws his fastball between 88-91 MPH which is serviceable at the lower levels. Scouts and coordinators hope that with age his size will increase, allowing him to add a few more ticks on his heater. He has decent command with his fastball, however, until he can locate it with more consistency, it remains a cause for his high walk totals and high contact rate.
\r\n
\r\nOther Pitches: Polanco's curveball has the look of a terrific pitch in the future, but he still works to achieve greater control of the pitch. He shows flashes of the pitch's ability from time to time, but until he can settle down with the pitch, hitters will continue to pass it by and sit on his fastball. Much of the same applies with his changeup. He throws the pitch with good difference in velocity, but his very shaky command prevents the pitch from becoming as effective as can be.
\r\n
\r\nPitching: Polanco always pitches with good aggressiveness, and is a gamer who will not give into hitters. The struggles with his command forced him into many poor and inflated numbers, but those statistics do not alter his tenacity and eagerness to excel on the mound. He prefers to start hitters off with his fastball and work deeper into counts with his secondary pitches, but his inconsistencies lead to coordinators to find new ways to adapt his approach. He has the potential to have very good strikeout stuff, but his pitches are not mature enough to more swings-and-misses which allowed hitters to hit nearly .300 off him last season. As his command improves, the rest of his game should come around.
\r\n
\r\nProjection: At this point, much of Polanco's future remains mostly in projections. Though he spent the entire season in Savannah, he is still fairly raw in his development. His small frame leaves some questions as to what kind of pitcher he can be in the future and whether the rigors of pitching will eventually takes its toll on his shoulder. The majority of his appearances in 2007 came in a starting role, and the Mets could stick with him in the rotation, but moving forward the lack of quality depth in his repertoire should eventually land him in the bullpen. He will continue to have chances to remain a starter, but at this stage, it looks more like Polanco will be a reliever at the big league level.
\r\n
\r\nETA: 2011. Despite the rather ugly numbers, Polanco held down a spot in the Savannah rotation for the entire season, but the quality of his pitches will not translate into that role at a higher level. 2008 will most likely begin his transition into a full-time reliever as he should land a spot in the St. Lucie bullpen this upcoming season. That will keep him on track for moving up on level per season, ready to make the Mets roster in 2011.
\r\n
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