Prospect Predictions for 2008 – Part I

With the report date for prospects growing closer with each passing week, Inside Pitch Magazine Online looks into its crystal ball to predict who will finish at the top of certain statistical categories for both pitchers and position players. We ask—Who will lead in wins? Who will lead in ERA? Who will hit the most home runs? And drive in the most runs? Look inside for the answers.

For Position Players:

Hit for the Highest Average: Ezequiel Carrera. It's going to be a challenge for the smooth swinging contact hitter to transition his high average from the short-season to long-season, but he makes a ton of contact and has a terrific eye which makes it likely. His combined .329 average across the GCL and Brooklyn and ability to hit from line to line should keep him above the .300 with the best chance of leading the organization. Ruben Tejada is another fine choice, but figures to experience a learning curve in his second year.
Look Out For: Michael Parker, Jose Jimenez

Most Home Runs: Nick Evans. The St. Lucie first baseman's power has been on the rise over the last two seasons, and with the exit of perennial home run leader Brett Harper, Evans is primed to take over this category. He matched his 2006 home run total in 2007 [15], led his team in round-trippers last year despite appearing in 34 fewer games and looks ready to eclipse 20 home runs for the first time.
Look Out For: Caleb Stewart, Fernando Martinez, Mike Carp

Highest RBI total: Caleb Stewart. Stewart's past has been marked by streakiness and injury in 2007 limited what could have been an even more productive season than his .252, 16 HR, 69 RBI line. In the upcoming season, he figures to in the heart of which order he hits in [likely Binghamton or New Orleans], where if he healthy, he will have the opportunity to drive in more runs than anybody.
Look Out For: Daniel Murphy

Highest On-Base Percentage: Ruben Tejada. The young shortstop may hit some speed bumps as he moves out of rookie-level ball in his second season which could effect his batting average, but with a disciplined knowledge of the strike zone, Tejada should still earn enough walks to keep his on-base percentage well above the .400 mark [.434 in 2007] as long as he does not see a rapid rise in his strikeout ratio. As Tejada was mentioned in hitting for average, Ezequiel Carrera needs to be mirrored in this category as well for his own ability to draw walks and make easy contact.
Look Out For: Lucas Duda, Matthew Bouchard, Gabriel Zavala

Most Stolen Bases: Greg Veloz. The infielder has been a force on the base paths since signing with the Mets in 2006. He has swiped 61 bases [33 in 2007] over the last two seasons and should continue to receive the green light wherever he lands. As he improves his technique, his offense and increases his on-base percentage, he season total should rise as well.
Look Out For: Hector Pellot, Emmanuel Garcia


For Starting Pitchers:

Most Wins: Jonathon Niese. The St. Lucie southpaw was tied for the most wins in the organization last season with 11 victories, and figures to put up at least a similar numbers in Double-A this season. The exist of the leading arms in the Johan Santana trade has left room for Niese to really make his mark not only within the organization but in minor league circuits—leading the system in wins would do just that. His repertoire grew much stronger in 2007, and if he continues that that growth, surpassing last season's total should not be out of reach.
Look Out For: Eric Brown, Dylan Owen, Eric Niesen

Most Strikeouts: Bobby Parnell. The right-hander led the entire organization in strikeouts last season with 136 combined whiffs in St. Lucie and Binghamton. Though his strikeout rate slightly decreased when he moved up to the Eastern League, his strikeout total should rebound with last season's experience. His tough fastball combination and devastating slider will keep hitters guessing as he once again pitches his way to the top of the list. Brant Rustich's move to the rotation will certainly make him a candidate for this category, but we will have to see how effective he will be in the role over a full season.
Look Out For: Nick Carr, Brant Rustich, Phillips Orta

Best Walks Per Nine Innings: Eric Brown. Though Brown does not throw an overly hard fastball [usually high-80s], his terrific control on the fringes over the strike zone and a high-quality slider/changeup combination induces a high rate of groundballs which causes hitters to make soft contact. He walked just 30 hitters in 143.2 innings pitched last season, and though he will face tougher lineups in Double-A this season, he has the confidence to stay within his game without getting overly creative.
Look Out For: Jonathon Niese, Michael Devaney, Jason Vargas

Lowest ERA: Eric Niesen. There were many deserving pitchers who could qualify for this distinction, but Niesen boasts tools which should allow him to pitch very efficiently from his projected spot in the St. Lucie rotation. His high walk ratio should be a figment of his rookie season as he will show the terrific control of both sides of the plate that scouts know is there. He throws his fastball with enough velocity [92-93 MPH] and can spot it well enough that he can take advantage of hitters with his good slider and maturing changeup when ahead in the count. Dylan Owen's NY-Penn League leading 1.49 ERA certainly has observers wondering if he can mirror anything close to that in his second year, and he too should be in the St. Lucie rotation.
Look Out For: Scott Moviel, Bobby Parnell


For Relief Pitchers:

Most Saves: Carlos Muniz. Selecting Muniz for this distinction comes with the realization that he could be called up to Shea early in the season. If he is not however, he should fill the closer's role in New Orleans until needed by the big league club. He accumulated a system leading 23 saves in 2007 and looks to reign supreme again if given the opportunities. Eddie Kunz should hold down a closer's role wherever he lands this season where he figures to receive plenty of opportunities to rack up saves as the Mets will want to see his talent for the position.
Look Out For: Eddie Kunz, Stephen Clyne

Lowest ERA: Stephen Clyne. The right-hander really impressed during his rookie season with a power two-seam fastball in the mid-90s which he throws with great control down in the strike zone. Though his repertoire actually goes four pitches deep, he relies on a buzzing slider that he can backdoor to righties and a changeup with similar drop to his sinker which forces hitter to pound pitches into the dirt. His formula on the mound should breed further success during his second season.
Look Out For: Michael Antonini, Will Morgan, Steven Cheney, Brandon Nall

Most Strikeouts Per Nine Innings: Eddie Kunz. Though the former first-round pick is known for inducing a very high-rate of groundballs, his sinker gets hitters to swing over the top as well. He pitched just a very small sample size during his first season, but over the length of a full season, he should effectively collect a both a high groundball/flyball ratio as well as strikeouts per nine innings.
Look Out For: Daniel McDonald, Michael Olmsted


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nFor Position Players:
\r\n
\r\nHit for the Highest Average: Ezequiel Carrera. It's going to be a challenge for the smooth swinging contact hitter to transition his high average from the short-season to long-season, but he makes a ton of contact and has a terrific eye which makes it likely. His combined .329 average across the GCL and Brooklyn and ability to hit from line to line should keep him above the .300 with the best chance of leading the organization. Ruben Tejada is another fine choice, but figures to experience a learning curve in his second year.
\r\nLook Out For: Michael Parker, Jose Jimenez
\r\n
\r\nMost Home Runs: Nick Evans. The St. Lucie first baseman's power has been on the rise over the last two seasons, and with the exit of perennial home run leader Brett Harper, Evans is primed to take over this category. He matched his 2006 home run total in 2007 [15], led his team in round-trippers last year despite appearing in 34 fewer games and looks ready to eclipse 20 home runs for the first time.
\r\nLook Out For: Caleb Stewart, Fernando Martinez, Mike Carp
\r\n
\r\n Highest RBI total: Caleb Stewart. Stewart's past has been marked by streakiness and injury in 2007 limited what could have been an even more productive season than his .252, 16 HR, 69 RBI line. In the upcoming season, he figures to in the heart of which order he hits in [likely Binghamton or New Orleans], where if he healthy, he will have the opportunity to drive in more runs than anybody.
\r\nLook Out For: Daniel Murphy
\r\n
\r\nHighest On-Base Percentage: Ruben Tejada. The young shortstop may hit some speed bumps as he moves out of rookie-level ball in his second season which could effect his batting average, but with a disciplined knowledge of the strike zone, Tejada should still earn enough walks to keep his on-base percentage well above the .400 mark [.434 in 2007] as long as he does not see a rapid rise in his strikeout ratio. As Tejada was mentioned in hitting for average, Ezequiel Carrera needs to be mirrored in this category as well for his own ability to draw walks and make easy contact.
\r\nLook Out For: Lucas Duda, Matthew Bouchard, Gabriel Zavala
\r\n
\r\nMost Stolen Bases: Greg Veloz. The infielder has been a force on the base paths since signing with the Mets in 2006. He has swiped 61 bases [33 in 2007] over the last two seasons and should continue to receive the green light wherever he lands. As he improves his technique, his offense and increases his on-base percentage, he season total should rise as well.
\r\nLook Out For: Hector Pellot, Emmanuel Garcia
\r\n
\r\n
\r\nFor Starting Pitchers:
\r\n
\r\nMost Wins: Jonathon Niese. The St. Lucie southpaw was tied for the most wins in the organization last season with 11 victories, and figures to put up at least a similar numbers in Double-A this season. The exist of the leading arms in the Johan Santana trade has left room for Niese to really make his mark not only within the organization but in minor league circuits—leading the system in wins would do just that. His repertoire grew much stronger in 2007, and if he continues that that growth, surpassing last season's total should not be out of reach.
\r\nLook Out For: Eric Brown, Dylan Owen, Eric Niesen
\r\n
\r\nMost Strikeouts: Bobby Parnell. The right-hander led the entire organization in strikeouts last season with 136 combined whiffs in St. Lucie and Binghamton. Though his strikeout rate slightly decreased when he moved up to the Eastern League, his strikeout total should rebound with last season's experience. His tough fastball combination and devastating slider will keep hitters guessing as he once again pitches his way to the top of the list. Brant Rustich's move to the rotation will certainly make him a candidate for this category, but we will have to see how effective he will be in the role over a full season.
\r\nLook Out For: Nick Carr, Brant Rustich, Phillips Orta
\r\n
\r\nBest Walks Per Nine Innings: Eric Brown. Though Brown does not throw an overly hard fastball [usually high-80s], his terrific control on the fringes over the strike zone and a high-quality slider/changeup combination induces a high rate of groundballs which causes hitters to make soft contact. He walked just 30 hitters in 143.2 innings pitched last season, and though he will face tougher lineups in Double-A this season, he has the confidence to stay within his game without getting overly creative.
\r\nLook Out For: Jonathon Niese, Michael Devaney, Jason Vargas
\r\n
\r\nLowest ERA: Eric Niesen. There were many deserving pitchers who could qualify for this distinction, but Niesen boasts tools which should allow him to pitch very efficiently from his projected spot in the St. Lucie rotation. His high walk ratio should be a figment of his rookie season as he will show the terrific control of both sides of the plate that scouts know is there. He throws his fastball with enough velocity [92-93 MPH] and can spot it well enough that he can take advantage of hitters with his good slider and maturing changeup when ahead in the count. Dylan Owen's NY-Penn League leading 1.49 ERA certainly has observers wondering if he can mirror anything close to that in his second year, and he too should be in the St. Lucie rotation.
\r\nLook Out For: Scott Moviel, Bobby Parnell
\r\n
\r\n
\r\nFor Relief Pitchers:
\r\n
\r\nMost Saves: Carlos Muniz. Selecting Muniz for this distinction comes with the realization that he could be called up to Shea early in the season. If he is not however, he should fill the closer's role in New Orleans until needed by the big league club. He accumulated a system leading 23 saves in 2007 and looks to reign supreme again if given the opportunities. Eddie Kunz should hold down a closer's role wherever he lands this season where he figures to receive plenty of opportunities to rack up saves as the Mets will want to see his talent for the position.
\r\nLook Out For: Eddie Kunz, Stephen Clyne
\r\n
\r\nLowest ERA: Stephen Clyne. The right-hander really impressed during his rookie season with a power two-seam fastball in the mid-90s which he throws with great control down in the strike zone. Though his repertoire actually goes four pitches deep, he relies on a buzzing slider that he can backdoor to righties and a changeup with similar drop to his sinker which forces hitter to pound pitches into the dirt. His formula on the mound should breed further success during his second season.
\r\nLook Out For: Michael Antonini, Will Morgan, Steven Cheney, Brandon Nall
\r\n
\r\nMost Strikeouts Per Nine Innings: Eddie Kunz. Though the former first-round pick is known for inducing a very high-rate of groundballs, his sinker gets hitters to swing over the top as well. He pitched just a very small sample size during his first season, but over the length of a full season, he should effectively collect a both a high groundball/flyball ratio as well as strikeouts per nine innings.
\r\nLook Out For: Daniel McDonald, Michael Olmsted
\r\n
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