Mets Prospect Over/Unders Part III

In this last installment of over/unders, we provide predictions for a group of players who will look to shape their future or rebound from a disappointing statistic from 2007. How many batters will Bobby Parnell strike out? How many big league innings will Carlos Muniz register? Find the answers to those questions, and more, inside.

Batting Average for Sean McCraw –.275: Sean McCraw will return to St. Lucie in the driver's seat among catchers in the organization. He spent 26 games behind the plate for St. Lucie after sharing time with Francisco Pena in Savannah where he appeared in 50 games. That will change in 2008 as he is in line for the starting job which will give him the opportunities to improve his offense which, to date, has progressed at a slower rate than his defensive abilities. Though he improved on his plate awareness and ability to hit to all fields, the continued focus on his catching will keep his offense a few steps behind and prevent him from surpassing what would be a career high batting average. UNDER

Big League Innings for Carlos Muniz – 20: Muniz had a strong season in 2007 closing games for Binghamton before late season promotions to New Orleans and eventually to the Mets. After appearing in only 2.1 innings with the Mets last year, Muniz figures to lock down the closer's role in New Orleans this upcoming season where he will be near the top of the list of relievers to be summoned from the farm when needed. However, with the Mets bullpen solidified in large part due to the return of Duaner Sanchez, it may take an extended injury for Muniz to break that total. UNDER

Strikeouts for Bobby Parnell – 140: Parnell accumulated the most strikeouts across the entire organization last season as he fanned 136 combined hitters with St. Lucie and Binghamton. His strikeout-to-inning ratio dipped when he arrived in the Eastern League, but with that initial experience under his belt, we predict his strikeout rate will return to previous levels. Parnell tosses a diving two-seam fastball and a razor-sharp slider that cuts through the zone, giving him two reliable pitches to put away hitters when ahead in the count. With the maturing changeup mixed in, 140 strikeouts should not be out of reach. OVER

Stolen Bases for Greg Veloz – 35: Although the young second baseman's offense still has a long way to go, there is one element of Veloz's game that cannot be denied and it is his speed on the base paths. With an on-base percentage of just .296 last season, he still managed to steal 33 bags. As his offense improves, there is little reason to believe he cannot eclipse 35 steals this upcoming season. OVER

Total Wins for Nathan Vineyard – 8: Vineyard, drafted high up the Mets' board right out high school, quickly received positive reviews from scouts. Armed with a provocative four-pitch repertoire, he has the ability to pick up a lot steam in a short amount of time. The Mets will likely challenge him in his second season by slotting him in the Savannah rotation where he would surely be tested over a long-season. Eight wins is a tall order for pitcher his age at that level, but if his talent shines through, he will be in the position to earn those wins. Therefore, we take the bold prediction and go with the OVER.

Total Home Runs for Raul Reyes – 12: As stated, Raul Reyes will certainly be an outfielder to keep an eye on this season as he takes his big league power to a long-season squad for the first time. As an everyday outfielder for Savannah, he should earn over 400 at-bats for the first time which at his home run pace should put him over the top of this mark. OVER

Errors Committed by Juan Lagares – 25: The infield at Savannah's Grayson Stadium was not kind to the young shortstop as he committed a South Atlantic League-leading 40 errors last season—his first outside the Dominican Summer League. It is likely he will return to the Sand Gants [where he could see time at other infield positions], but repaired mechanics should help him more confidence in the field and cut down on his miscues. UNDER

Batting Average for Emmanuel Garcia – .275 Garcia had an unfulfilling season at the plate in 2007 as he went homerless and registered only 17 extra-base hits in 488 at-bats for St. Lucie. Nonetheless, he continues to get pushed by the Mets with annual promotions to see if his tools will eventually piece together. Anticipate that Garcia will begin the year as Binghamton's shortstop where he will once again receive the ability to gather a similar total of at-bats. In the comparably hitter-friendly Eastern League, Garcia should experience a boost in his production but we predict he will fall just short of this mark. UNDER

Innings Pitched for Michael Antonini – 50: With each outing last season, Antonini grew stronger and stronger on the mound and became a very important piece in the Brooklyn bullpen, where he was virtually lights out in 19.2 innings pitched [0.46 ERA]. He made three starts with Kingsport in 2007 before his promotion, and though he may another shot at starting if he can improve rapidly improve his changeup, he has the look of a steady long reliever who can eat innings. OVER


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nBatting Average for Sean McCraw –.275: Sean McCraw will return to St. Lucie in the driver's seat among catchers in the organization. He spent 26 games behind the plate for St. Lucie after sharing time with Francisco Pena in Savannah where he appeared in 50 games. That will change in 2008 as he is in line for the starting job which will give him the opportunities to improve his offense which, to date, has progressed at a slower rate than his defensive abilities. Though he improved on his plate awareness and ability to hit to all fields, the continued focus on his catching will keep his offense a few steps behind and prevent him from surpassing what would be a career high batting average. UNDER
\r\n
\r\nBig League Innings for Carlos Muniz – 20: Muniz had a strong season in 2007 closing games for Binghamton before late season promotions to New Orleans and eventually to the Mets. After appearing in only 2.1 innings with the Mets last year, Muniz figures to lock down the closer's role in New Orleans this upcoming season where he will be near the top of the list of relievers to be summoned from the farm when needed. However, with the Mets bullpen solidified in large part due to the return of Duaner Sanchez, it may take an extended injury for Muniz to break that total. UNDER
\r\n
\r\nStrikeouts for Bobby Parnell – 140: Parnell accumulated the most strikeouts across the entire organization last season as he fanned 136 combined hitters with St. Lucie and Binghamton. His strikeout-to-inning ratio dipped when he arrived in the Eastern League, but with that initial experience under his belt, we predict his strikeout rate will return to previous levels. Parnell tosses a diving two-seam fastball and a razor-sharp slider that cuts through the zone, giving him two reliable pitches to put away hitters when ahead in the count. With the maturing changeup mixed in, 140 strikeouts should not be out of reach. OVER
\r\n
\r\nStolen Bases for Greg Veloz – 35: Although the young second baseman's offense still has a long way to go, there is one element of Veloz's game that cannot be denied and it is his speed on the base paths. With an on-base percentage of just .296 last season, he still managed to steal 33 bags. As his offense improves, there is little reason to believe he cannot eclipse 35 steals this upcoming season. OVER
\r\n
\r\nTotal Wins for Nathan Vineyard – 8: Vineyard, drafted high up the Mets' board right out high school, quickly received positive reviews from scouts. Armed with a provocative four-pitch repertoire, he has the ability to pick up a lot steam in a short amount of time. The Mets will likely challenge him in his second season by slotting him in the Savannah rotation where he would surely be tested over a long-season. Eight wins is a tall order for pitcher his age at that level, but if his talent shines through, he will be in the position to earn those wins. Therefore, we take the bold prediction and go with the OVER.
\r\n
\r\nTotal Home Runs for Raul Reyes – 12: As stated, Raul Reyes will certainly be an outfielder to keep an eye on this season as he takes his big league power to a long-season squad for the first time. As an everyday outfielder for Savannah, he should earn over 400 at-bats for the first time which at his home run pace should put him over the top of this mark. OVER
\r\n
\r\nErrors Committed by Juan Lagares – 25: The infield at Savannah's Grayson Stadium was not kind to the young shortstop as he committed a South Atlantic League-leading 40 errors last season—his first outside the Dominican Summer League. It is likely he will return to the Sand Gants [where he could see time at other infield positions], but repaired mechanics should help him more confidence in the field and cut down on his miscues. UNDER
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Emmanuel Garcia – .275 Garcia had an unfulfilling season at the plate in 2007 as he went homerless and registered only 17 extra-base hits in 488 at-bats for St. Lucie. Nonetheless, he continues to get pushed by the Mets with annual promotions to see if his tools will eventually piece together. Anticipate that Garcia will begin the year as Binghamton's shortstop where he will once again receive the ability to gather a similar total of at-bats. In the comparably hitter-friendly Eastern League, Garcia should experience a boost in his production but we predict he will fall just short of this mark. UNDER
\r\n
\r\nInnings Pitched for Michael Antonini – 50: With each outing last season, Antonini grew stronger and stronger on the mound and became a very important piece in the Brooklyn bullpen, where he was virtually lights out in 19.2 innings pitched [0.46 ERA]. He made three starts with Kingsport in 2007 before his promotion, and though he may another shot at starting if he can improve rapidly improve his changeup, he has the look of a steady long reliever who can eat innings. OVER
\r\n
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