MMLN – Over/Unders: A Look Back - Part III

In this final segment of looking back at preseason predictions, there is analysis about a group of players who saw their stock rise, some fall and others who saw their years shortened by injury. Look inside for the final recap of predictions from February.

For reference, you can find the preseason predictions and analysis here

Batting Average for Sean McCraw:

Preseason: .275 - UNDER
Actual .220

The fourth-year catcher did not have the offensive season as anticipated after showing important growth at the plate while in Savannah in 2007. He began the year atop the St. Lucie catching depth chart, but struggled to find any consistency against Florida State League pitching as he hit just .143 in 28 games with only one double and two RBI with the club. He returned to Savannah in mid-June and found his footing again as he hit .290 through his first 28 games there, but went 7-for-35 over his last ten games. In a disappointing regression, McCraw mustered just nine extra-base hits this season with zero home runs.

Big League Innings for Carlos Muniz:

Preseason: 20 IP - UNDER
Actual: 23.1 IP

When the season began, Muniz expected to be the Zephyrs closer just as he was in Binghamton in 2007. But when trouble called from the big league bullpen early in the year, the shuttle was warmed up for the right-hander to bounce back and forth between Shea and Zephyr Field. Muniz was marginally effective during his big league stint, allowing 14 earned runs while used in a seventh inning role. His slider and changeup needed work heading into the season, leading to the belief that a longer stay in Triple-A was needed before the big league club could heavily rely on him.

Strikeouts for Bobby Parnell:

Preseason: 140 - OVER
Actual: 114

Parnell led the organization in strikeouts in 2007, but could not reproduce similar numbers this past season as he struck out 91 batters in 127.2 innings in Binghamton. Upon moving up to New Orleans in August, he tallied 23 strikeouts in 20.1 innings pitched. The difference for Parnell this season was a little more inconsistency in his slider. Though the pitch still had its hard, downward break, he had trouble ideally locating the pitch, especially early in the season when pitching in the cold Eastern League spring weather. The brisk temperatures had an effect on Parnell's slider and his fastball velocity. Last season, he did not appear in Binghamton until the second half.

Stolen Bases for Greg Veloz:

Preseason: 35 - OVER
Actual: 29

Given his tremendous natural speed, acute base stealing ability and projected stronger bat in 2008, Veloz seemed prime to surpasses his total from last season [33] and push 40 stolen bases. Yet, his proficiency slightly dipped this season from 75% in 2007 to 70% this year. Despite coming up on short on the prediction, there is no doubting that his ability to run adds another valuable dynamic to his skills as a leadoff hitter.

Total Wins for Nathan Vineyard:

Preseason: 8 - OVER
Actual: 0

Unfortunately for 2007 first-round pick, his season was over in a blink of an eye after he was shut down following two appearances and just eight innings pitched. What was first diagnosed as shoulder inflammation turned into something much worse, eventually causing the 19-year-old southpaw to undergo shoulder surgery. While Vineyard is still on the comeback trail, any activity for the 2009 season is still in a touch-and-go phase.

Total Home Runs for Raul Reyes:

Preseason: 12 - OVER
Actual: 1

The 21-year-old outfielder, originally signed in 2004, was another Savannah starter who fell to a significant injury. Reyes was knocked out for the season in mid-April after breaking his ankle sliding into second base. A left-hander bat with tremendous power upside, Reyes hit nine home runs in Brooklyn in 2007 and looked ready to take all-around production to its next level before the injury. The injury came at a devastating time for Reyes who will be 22 in December and is still a bit of a project, but his power potential leaves scouts optimistic.

Errors Committed by Juan Lagares:

Preseason: 25 - UNDER
Actual: 19

Lagares' defense could only improve after committing an astonishing 40 errors in Savannah last year. However, the 19-year-old shortstop was relegated to just 65 games this season after a shoulder injury delayed his start until June. Had he played a full of slate of games, who knows where his final number would have landed. For Lagares, much of his defensive issues stem from his inability to field balls cleanly and make smooth transfers. His lack of range has raised questions about his future at his shortstop position.

Batting Average for Emmanuel Garcia:

Preseason: .275 - UNDER
Actual: .243

Garcia [ranked #31 in last fall's Top 50 list] endured more regression in his offense this year as slow bat speed and an inability to drive breaking balls left him at the mercy of Eastern League pitchers. The B-Mets second baseman hit .256 in 130 games with the club last season, but hit just .218 in the first two months of the season. Perhaps a tune up to play for the Canadian Olympic team, Garcia's best month came in July when he hit .304 in 24 games.

Innings Pitched for Michael Antonini:

Preaseason: 50 IP - OVER
Actual: 162.2 IP

Prior to the season, it was noted that if Antonini could quickly improve his changeup, he would likely be moved out of the long relief role he was predominately used in during his 2007 rookie season. Well, not only did the 23-year-old southpaw turn his changeup into his best secondary pitch, but because of the pitch's growth his stock jumped up the charts. He was the only prospect to make the leap from Savannah to Binghamton and was one of four pitchers to pitch at three different long-season levels in 2008 [Eddie Kunz, Jonathon Niese and Bobby Parnell being the others].


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nFor reference, you can find the preseason predictions and analysis here
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Sean McCraw:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: .275 - UNDER
\r\nActual .220
\r\n
\r\nThe fourth-year catcher did not have the offensive season as anticipated after showing important growth at the plate while in Savannah in 2007. He began the year atop the St. Lucie catching depth chart, but struggled to find any consistency against Florida State League pitching as he hit just .143 in 28 games with only one double and two RBI with the club. He returned to Savannah in mid-June and found his footing again as he hit .290 through his first 28 games there, but went 7-for-35 over his last ten games. In a disappointing regression, McCraw mustered just nine extra-base hits this season with zero home runs.
\r\n
\r\nBig League Innings for Carlos Muniz:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 20 IP - UNDER
\r\nActual: 23.1 IP
\r\n
\r\nWhen the season began, Muniz expected to be the Zephyrs closer just as he was in Binghamton in 2007. But when trouble called from the big league bullpen early in the year, the shuttle was warmed up for the right-hander to bounce back and forth between Shea and Zephyr Field. Muniz was marginally effective during his big league stint, allowing 14 earned runs while used in a seventh inning role. His slider and changeup needed work heading into the season, leading to the belief that a longer stay in Triple-A was needed before the big league club could heavily rely on him.
\r\n
\r\nStrikeouts for Bobby Parnell:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 140 - OVER
\r\nActual: 114
\r\n
\r\nParnell led the organization in strikeouts in 2007, but could not reproduce similar numbers this past season as he struck out 91 batters in 127.2 innings in Binghamton. Upon moving up to New Orleans in August, he tallied 23 strikeouts in 20.1 innings pitched. The difference for Parnell this season was a little more inconsistency in his slider. Though the pitch still had its hard, downward break, he had trouble ideally locating the pitch, especially early in the season when pitching in the cold Eastern League spring weather. The brisk temperatures had an effect on Parnell's slider and his fastball velocity. Last season, he did not appear in Binghamton until the second half.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Bases for Greg Veloz:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 35 - OVER
\r\nActual: 29
\r\n
\r\nGiven his tremendous natural speed, acute base stealing ability and projected stronger bat in 2008, Veloz seemed prime to surpasses his total from last season [33] and push 40 stolen bases. Yet, his proficiency slightly dipped this season from 75% in 2007 to 70% this year. Despite coming up on short on the prediction, there is no doubting that his ability to run adds another valuable dynamic to his skills as a leadoff hitter.
\r\n
\r\nTotal Wins for Nathan Vineyard:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 8 - OVER
\r\nActual: 0
\r\n
\r\nUnfortunately for 2007 first-round pick, his season was over in a blink of an eye after he was shut down following two appearances and just eight innings pitched. What was first diagnosed as shoulder inflammation turned into something much worse, eventually causing the 19-year-old southpaw to undergo shoulder surgery. While Vineyard is still on the comeback trail, any activity for the 2009 season is still in a touch-and-go phase.
\r\n
\r\nTotal Home Runs for Raul Reyes:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 12 - OVER
\r\nActual: 1
\r\n
\r\nThe 21-year-old outfielder, originally signed in 2004, was another Savannah starter who fell to a significant injury. Reyes was knocked out for the season in mid-April after breaking his ankle sliding into second base. A left-hander bat with tremendous power upside, Reyes hit nine home runs in Brooklyn in 2007 and looked ready to take all-around production to its next level before the injury. The injury came at a devastating time for Reyes who will be 22 in December and is still a bit of a project, but his power potential leaves scouts optimistic.
\r\n
\r\nErrors Committed by Juan Lagares:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 25 - UNDER
\r\nActual: 19
\r\n
\r\nLagares' defense could only improve after committing an astonishing 40 errors in Savannah last year. However, the 19-year-old shortstop was relegated to just 65 games this season after a shoulder injury delayed his start until June. Had he played a full of slate of games, who knows where his final number would have landed. For Lagares, much of his defensive issues stem from his inability to field balls cleanly and make smooth transfers. His lack of range has raised questions about his future at his shortstop position.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Emmanuel Garcia:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: .275 - UNDER
\r\nActual: .243
\r\n
\r\nGarcia [ranked #31 in last fall's Top 50 list] endured more regression in his offense this year as slow bat speed and an inability to drive breaking balls left him at the mercy of Eastern League pitchers. The B-Mets second baseman hit .256 in 130 games with the club last season, but hit just .218 in the first two months of the season. Perhaps a tune up to play for the Canadian Olympic team, Garcia's best month came in July when he hit .304 in 24 games.
\r\n
\r\nInnings Pitched for Michael Antonini:
\r\n
\r\nPreaseason: 50 IP - OVER
\r\nActual: 162.2 IP
\r\n
\r\nPrior to the season, it was noted that if Antonini could quickly improve his changeup, he would likely be moved out of the long relief role he was predominately used in during his 2007 rookie season. Well, not only did the 23-year-old southpaw turn his changeup into his best secondary pitch, but because of the pitch's growth his stock jumped up the charts. He was the only prospect to make the leap from Savannah to Binghamton and was one of four pitchers to pitch at three different long-season levels in 2008 [Eddie Kunz, Jonathon Niese and Bobby Parnell being the others].
\r\n
\r\n","mobileBody":" \r\nFor reference, you can find the preseason predictions and analysis here
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Sean McCraw:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: .275 - UNDER
\r\nActual .220
\r\n
\r\nThe fourth-year catcher did not have the offensive season as anticipated after showing important growth at the plate while in Savannah in 2007. He began the year atop the St. Lucie catching depth chart, but struggled to find any consistency against Florida State League pitching as he hit just .143 in 28 games with only one double and two RBI with the club. He returned to Savannah in mid-June and found his footing again as he hit .290 through his first 28 games there, but went 7-for-35 over his last ten games. In a disappointing regression, McCraw mustered just nine extra-base hits this season with zero home runs.
\r\n
\r\nBig League Innings for Carlos Muniz:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 20 IP - UNDER
\r\nActual: 23.1 IP
\r\n
\r\nWhen the season began, Muniz expected to be the Zephyrs closer just as he was in Binghamton in 2007. But when trouble called from the big league bullpen early in the year, the shuttle was warmed up for the right-hander to bounce back and forth between Shea and Zephyr Field. Muniz was marginally effective during his big league stint, allowing 14 earned runs while used in a seventh inning role. His slider and changeup needed work heading into the season, leading to the belief that a longer stay in Triple-A was needed before the big league club could heavily rely on him.
\r\n
\r\nStrikeouts for Bobby Parnell:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 140 - OVER
\r\nActual: 114
\r\n
\r\nParnell led the organization in strikeouts in 2007, but could not reproduce similar numbers this past season as he struck out 91 batters in 127.2 innings in Binghamton. Upon moving up to New Orleans in August, he tallied 23 strikeouts in 20.1 innings pitched. The difference for Parnell this season was a little more inconsistency in his slider. Though the pitch still had its hard, downward break, he had trouble ideally locating the pitch, especially early in the season when pitching in the cold Eastern League spring weather. The brisk temperatures had an effect on Parnell's slider and his fastball velocity. Last season, he did not appear in Binghamton until the second half.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Bases for Greg Veloz:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 35 - OVER
\r\nActual: 29
\r\n
\r\nGiven his tremendous natural speed, acute base stealing ability and projected stronger bat in 2008, Veloz seemed prime to surpasses his total from last season [33] and push 40 stolen bases. Yet, his proficiency slightly dipped this season from 75% in 2007 to 70% this year. Despite coming up on short on the prediction, there is no doubting that his ability to run adds another valuable dynamic to his skills as a leadoff hitter.
\r\n
\r\nTotal Wins for Nathan Vineyard:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 8 - OVER
\r\nActual: 0
\r\n
\r\nUnfortunately for 2007 first-round pick, his season was over in a blink of an eye after he was shut down following two appearances and just eight innings pitched. What was first diagnosed as shoulder inflammation turned into something much worse, eventually causing the 19-year-old southpaw to undergo shoulder surgery. While Vineyard is still on the comeback trail, any activity for the 2009 season is still in a touch-and-go phase.
\r\n
\r\nTotal Home Runs for Raul Reyes:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 12 - OVER
\r\nActual: 1
\r\n
\r\nThe 21-year-old outfielder, originally signed in 2004, was another Savannah starter who fell to a significant injury. Reyes was knocked out for the season in mid-April after breaking his ankle sliding into second base. A left-hander bat with tremendous power upside, Reyes hit nine home runs in Brooklyn in 2007 and looked ready to take all-around production to its next level before the injury. The injury came at a devastating time for Reyes who will be 22 in December and is still a bit of a project, but his power potential leaves scouts optimistic.
\r\n
\r\nErrors Committed by Juan Lagares:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: 25 - UNDER
\r\nActual: 19
\r\n
\r\nLagares' defense could only improve after committing an astonishing 40 errors in Savannah last year. However, the 19-year-old shortstop was relegated to just 65 games this season after a shoulder injury delayed his start until June. Had he played a full of slate of games, who knows where his final number would have landed. For Lagares, much of his defensive issues stem from his inability to field balls cleanly and make smooth transfers. His lack of range has raised questions about his future at his shortstop position.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Emmanuel Garcia:
\r\n
\r\nPreseason: .275 - UNDER
\r\nActual: .243
\r\n
\r\nGarcia [ranked #31 in last fall's Top 50 list] endured more regression in his offense this year as slow bat speed and an inability to drive breaking balls left him at the mercy of Eastern League pitchers. The B-Mets second baseman hit .256 in 130 games with the club last season, but hit just .218 in the first two months of the season. Perhaps a tune up to play for the Canadian Olympic team, Garcia's best month came in July when he hit .304 in 24 games.
\r\n
\r\nInnings Pitched for Michael Antonini:
\r\n
\r\nPreaseason: 50 IP - OVER
\r\nActual: 162.2 IP
\r\n
\r\nPrior to the season, it was noted that if Antonini could quickly improve his changeup, he would likely be moved out of the long relief role he was predominately used in during his 2007 rookie season. Well, not only did the 23-year-old southpaw turn his changeup into his best secondary pitch, but because of the pitch's growth his stock jumped up the charts. He was the only prospect to make the leap from Savannah to Binghamton and was one of four pitchers to pitch at three different long-season levels in 2008 [Eddie Kunz, Jonathon Niese and Bobby Parnell being the others].
\r\n
\r\n
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