Scouting Mets Prospect #46: Junior Guerra

2008 was Junior Guerra's first year within the Mets farm system, but coaches and coordinators went right to work rounding out the his game. A hard-thrower who likes to blow hitters away, he continued to break in his secondary pitches this season as the organization moved him around so he could get as many innings as possible. Here is a scouting report on Junior Guerra.


Vital Statistics:
Name: Junior Guerra
Position: Pitcher
DOB: January 16, 1985
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 213
Throws: Right
Bats: Right
Status: 2001 Free Agent Signing (Braves)

When the Mets signed 23-year-old right-hander Junior Guerra, they invested in a rather unknown commodity. Guerra missed all of the 2007 season after being released from the Braves in March of that year before joining the Mets in the following October. But it was not just missing the entire 2007 season that raised question marks, it was the effort the Mets undertook in transitioning their new signee from a catcher to a pitcher.

In his last game action prior to 2008, Guerra hit .120 with a home run and eight RBI in 13 games across the lowest levels of the Braves' the farm, but as a catcher, he benefited from a very strong throwing arm that persuaded the Mets to believe they could maximize that tool on the mound.

The first step was to mold Guerra's physique into that of a pitcher. Originally closer to a stout 220-225 pounds at 5-foot-11, strength coaches put him on a regimen that would help get him fit while building up his body to withstand the rigors of pitching.

"He's got a very strong arm and he's learning to get in better shape. When we first picked him up, we started a whole program of getting him in shape. It's not to say it's just being overweight, but he we needed to improve his flexibility and getting him stronger in the legs," said Mets pitching coordinator Rick Waits.

Guerra spent the first half of the season in Extended Spring Training working on his body, but when it came to his repertoire, the focus was merely on his delivery and locating his fastball.

In an effort to learn quickly and to get him as many opportunities to pitch as possible, Guerra spent time in four different locations this past season. He began the year with a brief stay in Kingsport, moved onto Brooklyn for one appearance before settling in Savannah where he gained the majority of his success.

With Savannah, Guerra picked up his only decisions of the season as he went 1-1 with a 1.75 ERA with 34 strikeouts against just two walks and two saves in 25 2/3 innings pitched. He surrendered just 14 hits in that time as the opposition hit .156 off him, both clear indicators that he quickly found success.

He ended the season with four shutout innings in St. Lucie, leading many to classify his season a success by any measure. However once the season concluded, coaches and coordinators pressed hard on the development of Guerra's secondary pitches—his slider and changeup.

"He loves to throw the fastball," said Waits. "But he needs to mix up a second and third pitch and he's starting to understand that. He was really effective in Savannah and pitched well there. Just like any young or inexperienced guy, you still have to get a good fastball down in the zone."

As Guerra continues to learn the finer points of pitching in addition to his repertoire, such as managing a game, controlling runners, understanding scenarios, it is difficult to overlook the sudden change in him. A checkered history in the Braves system ultimately led to his exit there, so now it will be vital that he stays on the mound and takes advantage of the opportunity presented to him.

"Honestly, he's really been a great surprise to us this year because we didn't really know what we had, but as the season went on he continued to pitch better and better," Waits added.

Year

Team

W-L

SV

IP

Hits

BB

K

ERA

2008

St. Lucie

0-0

0

4.0

0

1

4

0.00

2008

Savannah

1-1

2

25.2

14

2

34

1.75

2008

Brooklyn

0-0

0

0.1

1

1

0

54.00

2008

Kingsport

0-0

0

4.0

0

3

3

2.25


Repertoire: Fastball, Slider, Changeup

Fastball: The four-seam fastball is Guerra's comfort zone and makes up the majority of what he throws. His heater sits 92-95 MPH and he is able to locate the pitch very well which forces hitters to go after it. The fact that he can locate the pitch on the corners is absolutely imperative to his game because he throws it so often. He generates a high amount of swings and misses when he spots it at the knees, something that is a continued focus with him. As builds up his overall body strength, there is a chance he could add another tick or two to his fastball, but as of now that is wait-and-see development.

Other Pitches: Simply put, there is a reason why Guerra relies so much on his fastball. He is still learning to throw secondary pitches and they have not yet matured to the point where he can comfortably use them. He throws his slider in the mid-80s but it has a rather shallow break and can come out flat at times when he loses his arm angle. His changeup is underdeveloped and is he still getting used to the grip and arm speed needed to throw the pitch successfully.

Pitching: It is rather easy to know what you are getting with Guerra—a reliever with a strong arm who relies on his heat while trying to establish the rest of his repertoire. He goes right after batters with his fastball and is willing to challenges hitters with it. He can run into trouble when he does not locate his fastball well, but those problems have so far come few and far between. He will show his slider and changeup early in counts, but when he falls behind or is in a two-strike count, he will pump his fastball in order to get outs.

Projection: Guerra is a hard-throwing reliever who could hold down a late-inning role if he can at least get his slider on-board. Added strength and better conditioning will go a long way for his effectiveness, but if he can remain fit and adopts a formidable secondary pitch he could ascend quickly as long as he maintains strike zone continuity. He is raw and still a project, but the early returns are positive as long as he stays on the field and is responsible for his own development.

ETA: 2010. Considering that 2008 was his first year on the mound, he will need at least one additional full season to get his game in order. His arrival is largely dependent on his ability to polish his pitches and get into better physical shape while being tested against higher level competition. If he can do all that during the 2009 season, he could get his shot sometime in the second half of 2010.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n
\r\nVital Statistics:
\r\nName: Junior Guerra
\r\nPosition: Pitcher
\r\nDOB: January 16, 1985
\r\nHeight: 5'11\"
\r\nWeight: 213
\r\nThrows: Right
\r\nBats: Right
\r\nStatus: 2001 Free Agent Signing (Braves)
\r\n
\r\nWhen the Mets signed 23-year-old right-hander Junior Guerra, they invested in a rather unknown commodity. Guerra missed all of the 2007 season after being released from the Braves in March of that year before joining the Mets in the following October. But it was not just missing the entire 2007 season that raised question marks, it was the effort the Mets undertook in transitioning their new signee from a catcher to a pitcher.
\r\n
\r\nIn his last game action prior to 2008, Guerra hit .120 with a home run and eight RBI in 13 games across the lowest levels of the Braves' the farm, but as a catcher, he benefited from a very strong throwing arm that persuaded the Mets to believe they could maximize that tool on the mound.
\r\n
\r\nThe first step was to mold Guerra's physique into that of a pitcher. Originally closer to a stout 220-225 pounds at 5-foot-11, strength coaches put him on a regimen that would help get him fit while building up his body to withstand the rigors of pitching.
\r\n
\r\n\"He's got a very strong arm and he's learning to get in better shape. When we first picked him up, we started a whole program of getting him in shape. It's not to say it's just being overweight, but he we needed to improve his flexibility and getting him stronger in the legs,\" said Mets pitching coordinator Rick Waits.
\r\n
\r\nGuerra spent the first half of the season in Extended Spring Training working on his body, but when it came to his repertoire, the focus was merely on his delivery and locating his fastball.
\r\n
\r\nIn an effort to learn quickly and to get him as many opportunities to pitch as possible, Guerra spent time in four different locations this past season. He began the year with a brief stay in Kingsport, moved onto Brooklyn for one appearance before settling in Savannah where he gained the majority of his success.
\r\n
\r\nWith Savannah, Guerra picked up his only decisions of the season as he went 1-1 with a 1.75 ERA with 34 strikeouts against just two walks and two saves in 25 2/3 innings pitched. He surrendered just 14 hits in that time as the opposition hit .156 off him, both clear indicators that he quickly found success.
\r\n
\r\nHe ended the season with four shutout innings in St. Lucie, leading many to classify his season a success by any measure. However once the season concluded, coaches and coordinators pressed hard on the development of Guerra's secondary pitches—his slider and changeup.
\r\n
\r\n\"He loves to throw the fastball,\" said Waits. \"But he needs to mix up a second and third pitch and he's starting to understand that. He was really effective in Savannah and pitched well there. Just like any young or inexperienced guy, you still have to get a good fastball down in the zone.\"
\r\n
\r\nAs Guerra continues to learn the finer points of pitching in addition to his repertoire, such as managing a game, controlling runners, understanding scenarios, it is difficult to overlook the sudden change in him. A checkered history in the Braves system ultimately led to his exit there, so now it will be vital that he stays on the mound and takes advantage of the opportunity presented to him.
\r\n
\r\n\"Honestly, he's really been a great surprise to us this year because we didn't really know what we had, but as the season went on he continued to pitch better and better,\" Waits added.
\r\n
\r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n
\r\n

Year

\r\n

\r\n Team

\r\n

\r\n W-L

\r\n

\r\n SV

\r\n

\r\n IP

\r\n

\r\n Hits

\r\n

\r\n BB

\r\n

K

\r\n

\r\n ERA

\r\n

\r\n 2008

\r\n

\r\n St. Lucie

\r\n

\r\n 0-0

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 4.0

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 1

\r\n

\r\n 4

\r\n

\r\n 0.00

\r\n

\r\n 2008

\r\n

\r\n Savannah

\r\n

\r\n 1-1

\r\n

\r\n 2

\r\n

\r\n 25.2

\r\n

\r\n 14

\r\n

\r\n 2

\r\n

\r\n 34

\r\n

\r\n 1.75

\r\n

\r\n 2008

\r\n

\r\n Brooklyn

\r\n

\r\n 0-0

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 0.1

\r\n

\r\n 1

\r\n

\r\n 1

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 54.00

\r\n

\r\n 2008

\r\n

\r\n Kingsport

\r\n

\r\n 0-0

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 4.0

\r\n

\r\n 0

\r\n

\r\n 3

\r\n

\r\n 3

\r\n

\r\n 2.25


\r\nRepertoire: Fastball, Slider, Changeup
\r\n
\r\nFastball: The four-seam fastball is Guerra's comfort zone and makes up the majority of what he throws. His heater sits 92-95 MPH and he is able to locate the pitch very well which forces hitters to go after it. The fact that he can locate the pitch on the corners is absolutely imperative to his game because he throws it so often. He generates a high amount of swings and misses when he spots it at the knees, something that is a continued focus with him. As builds up his overall body strength, there is a chance he could add another tick or two to his fastball, but as of now that is wait-and-see development.
\r\n
\r\nOther Pitches: Simply put, there is a reason why Guerra relies so much on his fastball. He is still learning to throw secondary pitches and they have not yet matured to the point where he can comfortably use them. He throws his slider in the mid-80s but it has a rather shallow break and can come out flat at times when he loses his arm angle. His changeup is underdeveloped and is he still getting used to the grip and arm speed needed to throw the pitch successfully.
\r\n
\r\nPitching: It is rather easy to know what you are getting with Guerra—a reliever with a strong arm who relies on his heat while trying to establish the rest of his repertoire. He goes right after batters with his fastball and is willing to challenges hitters with it. He can run into trouble when he does not locate his fastball well, but those problems have so far come few and far between. He will show his slider and changeup early in counts, but when he falls behind or is in a two-strike count, he will pump his fastball in order to get outs.
\r\n
\r\nProjection: Guerra is a hard-throwing reliever who could hold down a late-inning role if he can at least get his slider on-board. Added strength and better conditioning will go a long way for his effectiveness, but if he can remain fit and adopts a formidable secondary pitch he could ascend quickly as long as he maintains strike zone continuity. He is raw and still a project, but the early returns are positive as long as he stays on the field and is responsible for his own development.
\r\n
\r\nETA: 2010. Considering that 2008 was his first year on the mound, he will need at least one additional full season to get his game in order. His arrival is largely dependent on his ability to polish his pitches and get into better physical shape while being tested against higher level competition. If he can do all that during the 2009 season, he could get his shot sometime in the second half of 2010.
\r\n
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