Mets Prospect Over/Unders – Part II

InsidePitchMagazine.com continues its predictions for the upcoming season, looking at what marks these prospects will or will not exceed. What is the over/under on Reese Havens' batting average? How high will Jenrry Mejia's strikeout total reach? How many home runs for Francisco Pena? Look inside for those predictions and more.

Batting Average for Reese Havens -- .280: The 2008 first round pick never got a chance to settle in and find a groove with Brooklyn last season as elbow and leg injuries bounced him in and out of the lineup. Havens is now healthy and headed for a long-season club where his bat should earn him 400-plus at-bats despite a possible platoon situation looming. That many opportunities and his smooth stroke to all fields should afford Havens even one cool period with enough time to recover and hit over this mark. A likely ticket to St. Lucie will come with challenges, but Havens is one of the purest hitters in the system. OVER

Number of Levels for Michael Antonini – 1.5: The third-year southpaw comes off a very solid Puerto Rican Winter League effort [2-0, 3.45 ERA, 47 IP] and will return to Binghamton where he made eight starts at the end of last season. Antonini should hold down the number two or three spot in the B-Mets rotation and another strong performance, and a continuation of what he started last season, should get him to Buffalo at some point during the second half of the season. His performance throughout all of 2008 garnered him a lot more attention and being left-handed adds value to his rising stock. OVER

Strikeout Total for Jenrry Mejia – 125: Mejia's high velocity and plus changeup was enough to blow hitters away in the short-season leagues, but a move to Savannah or possibly St. Lucie will demand a lot more from the right-hander whose curveball got away from him at times last season. He will need that curveball to maintain the same effectiveness at the higher levels. Mejia boasts very good stamina, but a 125-inning cap could be placed on him. Combine a possible innings limit and more advanced hitters and Mejia will have a tougher time eclipsing the 125-strikeout mark.UNDER

Home Run Total for Francisco Pena – 10: After two years in Savannah, Pena is finally moving on to the Florida State League. The 19-year-old backstop possesses very good raw power, but the focus continues to be on advancing his contact and up-the-middle stroke so he can build greater consistency. His power should come easier and more naturally once his swing is stabilized and he improves his knowledge of the strike zone. Ten dingers is a solid goal for Pena, but the larger parks and tougher pitching will make it difficult for him.UNDER

Games Played for Zach Lutz – 75 : One of the bigger frustrations of the last two draft classes has been the inability for Lutz to stay healthy and on the field. He possesses excellent potential with the bat but ankle and foot injuries have limited him to just 25 games in Brooklyn over the past two seasons. There are some fears that his injuries could linger throughout his career and deny the full exposure of his talents. However, as long as Lutz makes it through camp without any setbacks, he should finally break camp with a long-season club with the opportunity to surpass 350 at-bats for the first time in his career. There is optimism that his ankle will hold together in 2009, allowing Lutz to finally make it June and beyond.OVER

Total Stolen Bases for Kirk Nieuwenhuis – 20: Nieuwenhuis should also be off to St. Lucie this year and hit at the front of the order with the two-hole being a logical spot for him because of his contact skills and speed. The 2008 third round pick swiped 11 bags in 18 chances last season and the full season should permit him to expand upon that valuable piece to his game. His athleticism allows him to be a playmaker and with a talented lineup heading to St. Lucie, Nieuwenhuis should have plenty of chances to surpass 20 steals.OVER

Batting Average for Shawn Bowman -- .290: Bowman hit a combined .290 in 55 games last year, but only .248 in 29 games in Binghamton. The third baseman was a lot more of a free swinger during his first prolonged comeback, but his patience should return in 2009 as he settles in for a full season of ball. Few doubt Bowman's ability to put the balls in play with many more watching to see if the power he displayed earlier in his career can return after years of back injuries. Nonetheless, his sharp eye and good swing should push Bowman beyond this mark over the course of a complete schedule.OVER

Batting Average for Jefry Marte -- .300: Marte comes off an impressive debut in the Gulf Coast League, but unlike Wilmer Flores – who many use as a comparison – he has a lot more development to undergo with his swing. The advanced pitching of the South Atlantic League – where most projections have him beginning the season – and fewer fastballs will force Marte to adapt throughout the season. The jump in pitching quality and demands off the full season will really test Marte, leading to the prediction to be he will finish UNDER.

Number of Levels for Scott Moviel – 1.5: Moviel is bound for the Florida State League where he will add very good depth to what is shaping up to be a dynamic staff. After neatly hitting his 140-inning cap in his last start of the 2008 season, the gloves should be off this season allowing Moviel to push 160 innings. Barring any significant setbacks, Moviel should earn a late-season spot in Binghamton as the rosters move much like his 2007 draft peers experienced last season.OVER


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nBatting Average for Reese Havens -- .280: The 2008 first round pick never got a chance to settle in and find a groove with Brooklyn last season as elbow and leg injuries bounced him in and out of the lineup. Havens is now healthy and headed for a long-season club where his bat should earn him 400-plus at-bats despite a possible platoon situation looming. That many opportunities and his smooth stroke to all fields should afford Havens even one cool period with enough time to recover and hit over this mark. A likely ticket to St. Lucie will come with challenges, but Havens is one of the purest hitters in the system. OVER
\r\n
\r\nNumber of Levels for Michael Antonini – 1.5: The third-year southpaw comes off a very solid Puerto Rican Winter League effort [2-0, 3.45 ERA, 47 IP] and will return to Binghamton where he made eight starts at the end of last season. Antonini should hold down the number two or three spot in the B-Mets rotation and another strong performance, and a continuation of what he started last season, should get him to Buffalo at some point during the second half of the season. His performance throughout all of 2008 garnered him a lot more attention and being left-handed adds value to his rising stock. OVER
\r\n
\r\nStrikeout Total for Jenrry Mejia – 125: Mejia's high velocity and plus changeup was enough to blow hitters away in the short-season leagues, but a move to Savannah or possibly St. Lucie will demand a lot more from the right-hander whose curveball got away from him at times last season. He will need that curveball to maintain the same effectiveness at the higher levels. Mejia boasts very good stamina, but a 125-inning cap could be placed on him. Combine a possible innings limit and more advanced hitters and Mejia will have a tougher time eclipsing the 125-strikeout mark.UNDER
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total for Francisco Pena – 10: After two years in Savannah, Pena is finally moving on to the Florida State League. The 19-year-old backstop possesses very good raw power, but the focus continues to be on advancing his contact and up-the-middle stroke so he can build greater consistency. His power should come easier and more naturally once his swing is stabilized and he improves his knowledge of the strike zone. Ten dingers is a solid goal for Pena, but the larger parks and tougher pitching will make it difficult for him.UNDER
\r\n
\r\nGames Played for Zach Lutz – 75 : One of the bigger frustrations of the last two draft classes has been the inability for Lutz to stay healthy and on the field. He possesses excellent potential with the bat but ankle and foot injuries have limited him to just 25 games in Brooklyn over the past two seasons. There are some fears that his injuries could linger throughout his career and deny the full exposure of his talents. However, as long as Lutz makes it through camp without any setbacks, he should finally break camp with a long-season club with the opportunity to surpass 350 at-bats for the first time in his career. There is optimism that his ankle will hold together in 2009, allowing Lutz to finally make it June and beyond.OVER
\r\n
\r\nTotal Stolen Bases for Kirk Nieuwenhuis – 20: Nieuwenhuis should also be off to St. Lucie this year and hit at the front of the order with the two-hole being a logical spot for him because of his contact skills and speed. The 2008 third round pick swiped 11 bags in 18 chances last season and the full season should permit him to expand upon that valuable piece to his game. His athleticism allows him to be a playmaker and with a talented lineup heading to St. Lucie, Nieuwenhuis should have plenty of chances to surpass 20 steals.OVER
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Shawn Bowman -- .290: Bowman hit a combined .290 in 55 games last year, but only .248 in 29 games in Binghamton. The third baseman was a lot more of a free swinger during his first prolonged comeback, but his patience should return in 2009 as he settles in for a full season of ball. Few doubt Bowman's ability to put the balls in play with many more watching to see if the power he displayed earlier in his career can return after years of back injuries. Nonetheless, his sharp eye and good swing should push Bowman beyond this mark over the course of a complete schedule.OVER
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average for Jefry Marte -- .300: Marte comes off an impressive debut in the Gulf Coast League, but unlike Wilmer Flores – who many use as a comparison – he has a lot more development to undergo with his swing. The advanced pitching of the South Atlantic League – where most projections have him beginning the season – and fewer fastballs will force Marte to adapt throughout the season. The jump in pitching quality and demands off the full season will really test Marte, leading to the prediction to be he will finish UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber of Levels for Scott Moviel – 1.5: Moviel is bound for the Florida State League where he will add very good depth to what is shaping up to be a dynamic staff. After neatly hitting his 140-inning cap in his last start of the 2008 season, the gloves should be off this season allowing Moviel to push 160 innings. Barring any significant setbacks, Moviel should earn a late-season spot in Binghamton as the rosters move much like his 2007 draft peers experienced last season.OVER
\r\n
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