Mid-Season Top 50 Review – Part II

InsidePitchMagazine.com continues its review of last fall's Top 50 list. In this edition, we look at prospects #40 - #31 and what is new with each prospect and how he has developed so far during the 2009 season. Look inside for more details.

#40. Kyle Allen: 7-5, 4.08 ERA, 18 G, 12 GS, 2 SV, 86 IP, 72 K, 35 BB, .250 OBA

Allen's stock is on the rise thanks to not only a steady season as a 19-year-old in the South Atlantic League, but more importantly the growth that the right-hander has shown as the months have gone by. Allen's fastball sits in the low-90s and his slider has shown improvements to back up his second best pitch, his changeup. It has not just been stronger pitches that raised his stock, but the improved pitching aptitude and reduced lag time from studying to results on the field make Allen one of the most intriguing young arms in the system.

#39. Cesar Puello: .267, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 16 H, 11 R, .323 OBP

We predicted the Mets would push Puello all the way to Savannah following a strong, early showing in the Gulf Coast League last year, but the outfielder has gone to Kingsport which is a safer move to allow the still raw 18-year-old to mature against more level competition. There is not much of a sample to size to dissect so far this summer for Puello, but pacing out his growth to develop his power potential and defense—his two tools that could carry him—is the right move here.

#38. Nick Carr: 2-3, 3.59 ERA, 14 G, 2 GS, 3 SV, 42 2/3 IP, 42 K, 28 BB, .237 OBA

Carr's numbers are certainly better than last year but more significantly he is showing a lot of life with his fastball that has touched as high as 97 MPH this season. He still fights with consistency of his secondary pitches, but the right-hander still has a look of a big league pitcher one day. It may take Carr a few years to get to the big leagues and he is starting to look like a late bloomer, but he just needs to pitch, stay focused on the mound, let his game come to him and it should click for him sooner rather than later.

#37. Sean McCraw: N/A

McCraw last shot at redemption with the Mets evaporated during Spring Training when he was released following a period of internal strife and confrontation within the organization. McCraw, once a promising prospect back in 2007, saw his slide begin in 2008 when he produced extremely marginal results in 66 games between Savannah and St. Lucie. Now 23, McCraw's career looks shaky at best as he continues to flounder in A-ball in the Brewers system.

#36. Elvin Ramirez: 3-7, 4.09 ERA, 15 GS, 72 2/3 IP, 48 K, 39 BB, .261 OBA

Ramirez has been steady at times but more so inconsistent in his second trip through the South Atlantic League. His numbers took an ugly turn when he went 0-4 with a 5.64 ERA in June and the 21-year-old right-hander is still figuring out his repertoire and learning to pitch with depth aside from his low-90s, sinking fastball. His slider has remained a fringy pitch with a changeup that still needs work. He has not pitched since June 28 and at this point he would likely stay in a similar spot in the next Top 50 with a ceiling that appears to be lowering.

#35. Raul Reyes: .257, 6 HR, 33 RBI, 58 H, 24 R, .341 OBP

Reyes returned from his season-ending injury and has been a producer for Savannah. The outfielder is still an all-or-nothing hitter showing flashes of power but his other tools, namely his speed and base running, have not returned to the formidable elements they were back with Brooklyn in 2007. He will turn 23 in the off-season which makes his future an even taller uphill climb following the lost season of 2008. His bat has come through for Savannah with glimpses of the power threat he could be, but he needs to dramatically accelerate his growth rate to move up the ranks.

#34. Josh Stinson: 4-2, 3.59 ERA, 31 G, 52 2/3 IP, 57 K, 13 BB, .288 OBA

Stinson has found his niche in the bullpen and though he still has his periodic hiccups, the right-hander is comfortable with his new role. He has trimmed down his five-pitch repertoire, of which three were quality pitches, to just two or three pitches and that has taken pressure off Stinson. At 21, Stinson appears to have found stability, both on the mound and in the rankings for now, in a previously tumultuous career. With his size and stuff, the book has not been written yet on this right-hander.

#33. Rafael Fernandez: .254, HR, 14 RBI, 76 H, 38 R, 20 BB, 10 SB, .302 OBP

Fernandez has shown limited power this season, but that is alright because his game focuses on hitting his way on base and using his speed. His on-base percentage still leaves more to be desired, but he was the rookie league outfielder to get the push to Savannah and so far the returns and critiques have been mostly positive. Fernandez best fits the mold of the departed Ezequiel Carrera and that is a projection to shoot for.

#32. Jeurys Familia: 7-6, 3.09 ERA, 18 G, 17 GS, 99 IP, 80 K, 33 BB, .218 OBA

Familia has shown very good potential and upside with his impressive season in Savannah. His fastball velocity has been steady in the low-90s throughout the season, but the sharper break added to his slurvy breaking ball has given him a formidable option when ahead in the count. His changeup still needs work and mixed feelings exist among scouts about his long term projection, but for now Familia has developed into one of another young arm to watch.

#31. Kirk Nieuwenhuis: .244, 9 HR, 39 RBI, 79 H, 58 R, 36 BB, 12 SB, .335 OBP

Nieuwenhuis has been streaky in St. Lucie and is currently mired in a deep slump, but overlooking the numbers, one will see an outfielder with five tools. However, each of those five tools falls just a bit short of a being a plus tool. A mid-season projection pegs the outfielder as a sold organizational guy who should get his shots at the big leagues, but right now does not look like an every day starter.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n#40. Kyle Allen: 7-5, 4.08 ERA, 18 G, 12 GS, 2 SV, 86 IP, 72 K, 35 BB, .250 OBA
\r\n
\r\nAllen's stock is on the rise thanks to not only a steady season as a 19-year-old in the South Atlantic League, but more importantly the growth that the right-hander has shown as the months have gone by. Allen's fastball sits in the low-90s and his slider has shown improvements to back up his second best pitch, his changeup. It has not just been stronger pitches that raised his stock, but the improved pitching aptitude and reduced lag time from studying to results on the field make Allen one of the most intriguing young arms in the system.
\r\n
\r\n#39. Cesar Puello: .267, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 16 H, 11 R, .323 OBP
\r\n
\r\nWe predicted the Mets would push Puello all the way to Savannah following a strong, early showing in the Gulf Coast League last year, but the outfielder has gone to Kingsport which is a safer move to allow the still raw 18-year-old to mature against more level competition. There is not much of a sample to size to dissect so far this summer for Puello, but pacing out his growth to develop his power potential and defense—his two tools that could carry him—is the right move here.
\r\n
\r\n#38. Nick Carr: 2-3, 3.59 ERA, 14 G, 2 GS, 3 SV, 42 2/3 IP, 42 K, 28 BB, .237 OBA
\r\n
\r\nCarr's numbers are certainly better than last year but more significantly he is showing a lot of life with his fastball that has touched as high as 97 MPH this season. He still fights with consistency of his secondary pitches, but the right-hander still has a look of a big league pitcher one day. It may take Carr a few years to get to the big leagues and he is starting to look like a late bloomer, but he just needs to pitch, stay focused on the mound, let his game come to him and it should click for him sooner rather than later.
\r\n
\r\n#37. Sean McCraw: N/A
\r\n
\r\nMcCraw last shot at redemption with the Mets evaporated during Spring Training when he was released following a period of internal strife and confrontation within the organization. McCraw, once a promising prospect back in 2007, saw his slide begin in 2008 when he produced extremely marginal results in 66 games between Savannah and St. Lucie. Now 23, McCraw's career looks shaky at best as he continues to flounder in A-ball in the Brewers system.
\r\n
\r\n#36. Elvin Ramirez: 3-7, 4.09 ERA, 15 GS, 72 2/3 IP, 48 K, 39 BB, .261 OBA
\r\n
\r\nRamirez has been steady at times but more so inconsistent in his second trip through the South Atlantic League. His numbers took an ugly turn when he went 0-4 with a 5.64 ERA in June and the 21-year-old right-hander is still figuring out his repertoire and learning to pitch with depth aside from his low-90s, sinking fastball. His slider has remained a fringy pitch with a changeup that still needs work. He has not pitched since June 28 and at this point he would likely stay in a similar spot in the next Top 50 with a ceiling that appears to be lowering.
\r\n
\r\n#35. Raul Reyes: .257, 6 HR, 33 RBI, 58 H, 24 R, .341 OBP
\r\n
\r\nReyes returned from his season-ending injury and has been a producer for Savannah. The outfielder is still an all-or-nothing hitter showing flashes of power but his other tools, namely his speed and base running, have not returned to the formidable elements they were back with Brooklyn in 2007. He will turn 23 in the off-season which makes his future an even taller uphill climb following the lost season of 2008. His bat has come through for Savannah with glimpses of the power threat he could be, but he needs to dramatically accelerate his growth rate to move up the ranks.
\r\n
\r\n#34. Josh Stinson: 4-2, 3.59 ERA, 31 G, 52 2/3 IP, 57 K, 13 BB, .288 OBA
\r\n
\r\nStinson has found his niche in the bullpen and though he still has his periodic hiccups, the right-hander is comfortable with his new role. He has trimmed down his five-pitch repertoire, of which three were quality pitches, to just two or three pitches and that has taken pressure off Stinson. At 21, Stinson appears to have found stability, both on the mound and in the rankings for now, in a previously tumultuous career. With his size and stuff, the book has not been written yet on this right-hander.
\r\n
\r\n#33. Rafael Fernandez: .254, HR, 14 RBI, 76 H, 38 R, 20 BB, 10 SB, .302 OBP
\r\n
\r\nFernandez has shown limited power this season, but that is alright because his game focuses on hitting his way on base and using his speed. His on-base percentage still leaves more to be desired, but he was the rookie league outfielder to get the push to Savannah and so far the returns and critiques have been mostly positive. Fernandez best fits the mold of the departed Ezequiel Carrera and that is a projection to shoot for.
\r\n
\r\n#32. Jeurys Familia: 7-6, 3.09 ERA, 18 G, 17 GS, 99 IP, 80 K, 33 BB, .218 OBA
\r\n
\r\nFamilia has shown very good potential and upside with his impressive season in Savannah. His fastball velocity has been steady in the low-90s throughout the season, but the sharper break added to his slurvy breaking ball has given him a formidable option when ahead in the count. His changeup still needs work and mixed feelings exist among scouts about his long term projection, but for now Familia has developed into one of another young arm to watch.
\r\n
\r\n#31. Kirk Nieuwenhuis: .244, 9 HR, 39 RBI, 79 H, 58 R, 36 BB, 12 SB, .335 OBP
\r\n
\r\nNieuwenhuis has been streaky in St. Lucie and is currently mired in a deep slump, but overlooking the numbers, one will see an outfielder with five tools. However, each of those five tools falls just a bit short of a being a plus tool. A mid-season projection pegs the outfielder as a sold organizational guy who should get his shots at the big leagues, but right now does not look like an every day starter.
\r\n
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