Mid-Season Top 50 Review - Part III

InsidePitchMagazine.com continues its review of last fall's Top 50 list. In this edition, prospects #21-#30 are analyzed. Look inside to find out how each prospect has developed and for an idea of how each prospects stock may have changed in the first half of the 2008 season.

#30. Josh Thole; .345, 1 HR, 37 RBI, 41 R, 35 BB, .412 OBP

Following a breakout season in 2008, Thole was listed #30 in part because his season in St. Lucie came out no where and with tools that needed maturing, we took and wait and see approach with the catcher who had only recently assumed a full-time role.

Well, Thole has not only legitimized his candidacy as the top catching prospect on the farm, but he is hitting for a much higher average this year, after hitting .300 last season, while maintaining his excellent eye at the plate and improving his defensive skills. His fundamentals—ball striking and swing—and demeanor on the field are two traits that further raise his stock as his likely enters 2010 with a shot at the Mets 25-man roster.

#29. Robert Carson: 7-7, 2.53 ERA, 18 GS, 99 2/3 IP, 67 K, 32 BB, .245 OBA

The 20-year-old left-hander has handled his challenge in the Sally League with flying colors, showing both consistency and the durability to pitch deep into games. With a fastball that sits 88-90, though he hits a few ticks higher at times, and a well-developed slider that more than handles Sally hitters, Carson has the front two pitches to make him a leading left-hander on the farm. His changeup still needs work and it could run him into trouble at a higher level next year, but such is naturally the case for a pitcher his age. Otherwise, Carson is a durable pitcher with projectability and plenty of time and opportunity to refine his craft.

#28. Lucas Duda: .279, 8 HR, 49 RBI, 44 R, 53 BB, .376 OBP

Duda's season in Binghamton has not really shifted his standing as a prospect. Yes, Ike Davis' ascension knocked Duda off first base and to the outfield a bit quicker than expected, but the 2007 7th round pick projectes as a first base/outfield utility player who can hit for some power and a steady average—exactly what he has provided the B-Mets

Left-handed pitchers still open up a big hole in his swing, but Duda is quick on the inner third facing righties with an overall excellent grasp of the strike zone. He needs to overcome a pattern of falling into a June swoon, yet he still remains a guy who can get a look as a bat of the bench or inside-out utility man.

#27. Francisco Pena: .221, 7 HR, 30 RBI, 29 R, 13 BB, .265 OBP

Being a 19-year-old catcher in High-A does not happen often nor does it come easy, and Pena is proof of that. His learning curve is naturally accelerated by his position but the tools have not quite caught up. He is making some noticeable improvements at the plate specifically in his blocking and throwing and has shown a bit a more of his raw power during games, but he is still a project who would benefit from another year in St. Lucie. Two notable areas are Pena's overall physical and mental improvements of the game, but now it needs to translate into his performance.

#26. Eric Niesen: 4-9, 4.87 ERA, 19 GS, 94 1/3 IP, 89 K, 40 BB, .260 OBA

Niesen got the expected mid-season promotion to Binghamton where he has struggled through eight starts (1-5, 7.36 ERA, 36 2/3 IP), but optimism remains that he can harness the Double-A level upon an expected return in 2010 much like his stronger showing St. Lucie this season. Niesen has many intricacies to his mechanics—like his landing, throwing motion, delivery—that can breed inconsistency. He figures to remain a starter in the system, but his past as a collegiate reliever, fastball velocity and solid slider could gain him a look in the bullpen again in the future.

#25. Dylan Owen: 4-7, 4.62 ERA, 19 GS, 109 IP, 69 K, 40 BB, .286 OBA

Owen's early struggles in Binghamton were well-documented, but his brief return to St. Lucie appears to have been the proper antidote to his early season missteps. Owen's early pains can be attributed to not taking an aggressive enough approach with Double-A hitters, but since then he has committed to a more attacking method and that has been a big difference. Owen still has work to do, but his recent body of work has shaken off some early reservations about his ability to handle this level.

#24. Jefry Marte: .239, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 48 R, 21 BB, .282 OBP

While showing glimpses of his promise in Savannah, our most controversial ranking from last fall's list has shown is not ready to be ranked in the top ten as other publications pegged him. Marte, arguably playing at a level beyond his skills, has shown little progression defensively (36 errors) while striking out an average of once per game. There have been positive flashes with the bat, but at 18 years old Marte has plenty of years and learning ahead of him.

#23. Ike Davis: .296, 14 HR, 52 RBI, 46 R, 49 BB, .384 OBP

Davis is in the middle of a sophomore surge and his turnaround should not minimized. His swing is much improved this season over last and he is demonstrating a level of comfort and execution that just was not there last season in Brooklyn. Sure, he still has his issues with left-handed pitching (see this thread) but his combination of offense and defense has significantly raised his stock.

#22. Jenrry Mejia: 4-4, 2.50 ERA, 13 GS, 72 IP, 68 K, 25 BB, .234 OBP

The 19-year-old right-hander blazed through the Florida State League (4-1, 1.97 ERA, 50 1/3 IP) before his promotion to Binghamton. Not only was his start in St. Lucie surprising, but earning a mid-season promotion to Double-A exemplifies the talent and confidence the organization sees in him.

Mejia's positioning last fall was based off a lack of a true third pitch, but the rapid development of his changeup plus the solidification of his breaking ball has made him a top pitching prospect in the organization. He has not pitched since June 23 and aside from manager Mako Oliveras recently stating the right-hander felt good, very few details have been released since then.

#21. Zach Lutz: .286, 7 HR, 40 RBI, 30 R, 35 BB, .390 OBP

Injuries that took him off the field the last two seasons were a major concern for Lutz heading into 2009, but the third baseman has remained healthy and following a slow start, is raking the ball as of late. He has just seven home runs, but Lutz has maintained his natural opposite field power and precision to get on base. He has seen time across the diamond at first base which offers a positive nudge to his overall stock.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n#30. Josh Thole; .345, 1 HR, 37 RBI, 41 R, 35 BB, .412 OBP
\r\n
\r\nFollowing a breakout season in 2008, Thole was listed #30 in part because his season in St. Lucie came out no where and with tools that needed maturing, we took and wait and see approach with the catcher who had only recently assumed a full-time role.
\r\n
\r\nWell, Thole has not only legitimized his candidacy as the top catching prospect on the farm, but he is hitting for a much higher average this year, after hitting .300 last season, while maintaining his excellent eye at the plate and improving his defensive skills. His fundamentals—ball striking and swing—and demeanor on the field are two traits that further raise his stock as his likely enters 2010 with a shot at the Mets 25-man roster.
\r\n
\r\n#29. Robert Carson: 7-7, 2.53 ERA, 18 GS, 99 2/3 IP, 67 K, 32 BB, .245 OBA
\r\n
\r\nThe 20-year-old left-hander has handled his challenge in the Sally League with flying colors, showing both consistency and the durability to pitch deep into games. With a fastball that sits 88-90, though he hits a few ticks higher at times, and a well-developed slider that more than handles Sally hitters, Carson has the front two pitches to make him a leading left-hander on the farm. His changeup still needs work and it could run him into trouble at a higher level next year, but such is naturally the case for a pitcher his age. Otherwise, Carson is a durable pitcher with projectability and plenty of time and opportunity to refine his craft.
\r\n
\r\n#28. Lucas Duda: .279, 8 HR, 49 RBI, 44 R, 53 BB, .376 OBP
\r\n
\r\nDuda's season in Binghamton has not really shifted his standing as a prospect. Yes, Ike Davis' ascension knocked Duda off first base and to the outfield a bit quicker than expected, but the 2007 7th round pick projectes as a first base/outfield utility player who can hit for some power and a steady average—exactly what he has provided the B-Mets
\r\n
\r\nLeft-handed pitchers still open up a big hole in his swing, but Duda is quick on the inner third facing righties with an overall excellent grasp of the strike zone. He needs to overcome a pattern of falling into a June swoon, yet he still remains a guy who can get a look as a bat of the bench or inside-out utility man.
\r\n
\r\n#27. Francisco Pena: .221, 7 HR, 30 RBI, 29 R, 13 BB, .265 OBP
\r\n
\r\nBeing a 19-year-old catcher in High-A does not happen often nor does it come easy, and Pena is proof of that. His learning curve is naturally accelerated by his position but the tools have not quite caught up. He is making some noticeable improvements at the plate specifically in his blocking and throwing and has shown a bit a more of his raw power during games, but he is still a project who would benefit from another year in St. Lucie. Two notable areas are Pena's overall physical and mental improvements of the game, but now it needs to translate into his performance.
\r\n
\r\n#26. Eric Niesen: 4-9, 4.87 ERA, 19 GS, 94 1/3 IP, 89 K, 40 BB, .260 OBA
\r\n
\r\nNiesen got the expected mid-season promotion to Binghamton where he has struggled through eight starts (1-5, 7.36 ERA, 36 2/3 IP), but optimism remains that he can harness the Double-A level upon an expected return in 2010 much like his stronger showing St. Lucie this season. Niesen has many intricacies to his mechanics—like his landing, throwing motion, delivery—that can breed inconsistency. He figures to remain a starter in the system, but his past as a collegiate reliever, fastball velocity and solid slider could gain him a look in the bullpen again in the future.
\r\n
\r\n#25. Dylan Owen: 4-7, 4.62 ERA, 19 GS, 109 IP, 69 K, 40 BB, .286 OBA
\r\n
\r\nOwen's early struggles in Binghamton were well-documented, but his brief return to St. Lucie appears to have been the proper antidote to his early season missteps. Owen's early pains can be attributed to not taking an aggressive enough approach with Double-A hitters, but since then he has committed to a more attacking method and that has been a big difference. Owen still has work to do, but his recent body of work has shaken off some early reservations about his ability to handle this level.
\r\n
\r\n#24. Jefry Marte: .239, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 48 R, 21 BB, .282 OBP
\r\n
\r\nWhile showing glimpses of his promise in Savannah, our most controversial ranking from last fall's list has shown is not ready to be ranked in the top ten as other publications pegged him. Marte, arguably playing at a level beyond his skills, has shown little progression defensively (36 errors) while striking out an average of once per game. There have been positive flashes with the bat, but at 18 years old Marte has plenty of years and learning ahead of him.
\r\n
\r\n#23. Ike Davis: .296, 14 HR, 52 RBI, 46 R, 49 BB, .384 OBP
\r\n
\r\nDavis is in the middle of a sophomore surge and his turnaround should not minimized. His swing is much improved this season over last and he is demonstrating a level of comfort and execution that just was not there last season in Brooklyn. Sure, he still has his issues with left-handed pitching (see this thread) but his combination of offense and defense has significantly raised his stock.
\r\n
\r\n#22. Jenrry Mejia: 4-4, 2.50 ERA, 13 GS, 72 IP, 68 K, 25 BB, .234 OBP
\r\n
\r\nThe 19-year-old right-hander blazed through the Florida State League (4-1, 1.97 ERA, 50 1/3 IP) before his promotion to Binghamton. Not only was his start in St. Lucie surprising, but earning a mid-season promotion to Double-A exemplifies the talent and confidence the organization sees in him.
\r\n
\r\nMejia's positioning last fall was based off a lack of a true third pitch, but the rapid development of his changeup plus the solidification of his breaking ball has made him a top pitching prospect in the organization. He has not pitched since June 23 and aside from manager Mako Oliveras recently stating the right-hander felt good, very few details have been released since then.
\r\n
\r\n#21. Zach Lutz: .286, 7 HR, 40 RBI, 30 R, 35 BB, .390 OBP
\r\n
\r\nInjuries that took him off the field the last two seasons were a major concern for Lutz heading into 2009, but the third baseman has remained healthy and following a slow start, is raking the ball as of late. He has just seven home runs, but Lutz has maintained his natural opposite field power and precision to get on base. He has seen time across the diamond at first base which offers a positive nudge to his overall stock.
\r\n
\r\n","mobileBody":" \r\n#30. Josh Thole; .345, 1 HR, 37 RBI, 41 R, 35 BB, .412 OBP
\r\n
\r\nFollowing a breakout season in 2008, Thole was listed #30 in part because his season in St. Lucie came out no where and with tools that needed maturing, we took and wait and see approach with the catcher who had only recently assumed a full-time role.
\r\n
\r\nWell, Thole has not only legitimized his candidacy as the top catching prospect on the farm, but he is hitting for a much higher average this year, after hitting .300 last season, while maintaining his excellent eye at the plate and improving his defensive skills. His fundamentals—ball striking and swing—and demeanor on the field are two traits that further raise his stock as his likely enters 2010 with a shot at the Mets 25-man roster.
\r\n
\r\n#29. Robert Carson: 7-7, 2.53 ERA, 18 GS, 99 2/3 IP, 67 K, 32 BB, .245 OBA
\r\n
\r\nThe 20-year-old left-hander has handled his challenge in the Sally League with flying colors, showing both consistency and the durability to pitch deep into games. With a fastball that sits 88-90, though he hits a few ticks higher at times, and a well-developed slider that more than handles Sally hitters, Carson has the front two pitches to make him a leading left-hander on the farm. His changeup still needs work and it could run him into trouble at a higher level next year, but such is naturally the case for a pitcher his age. Otherwise, Carson is a durable pitcher with projectability and plenty of time and opportunity to refine his craft.
\r\n
\r\n#28. Lucas Duda: .279, 8 HR, 49 RBI, 44 R, 53 BB, .376 OBP
\r\n
\r\nDuda's season in Binghamton has not really shifted his standing as a prospect. Yes, Ike Davis' ascension knocked Duda off first base and to the outfield a bit quicker than expected, but the 2007 7th round pick projectes as a first base/outfield utility player who can hit for some power and a steady average—exactly what he has provided the B-Mets
\r\n
\r\nLeft-handed pitchers still open up a big hole in his swing, but Duda is quick on the inner third facing righties with an overall excellent grasp of the strike zone. He needs to overcome a pattern of falling into a June swoon, yet he still remains a guy who can get a look as a bat of the bench or inside-out utility man.
\r\n
\r\n#27. Francisco Pena: .221, 7 HR, 30 RBI, 29 R, 13 BB, .265 OBP
\r\n
\r\nBeing a 19-year-old catcher in High-A does not happen often nor does it come easy, and Pena is proof of that. His learning curve is naturally accelerated by his position but the tools have not quite caught up. He is making some noticeable improvements at the plate specifically in his blocking and throwing and has shown a bit a more of his raw power during games, but he is still a project who would benefit from another year in St. Lucie. Two notable areas are Pena's overall physical and mental improvements of the game, but now it needs to translate into his performance.
\r\n
\r\n#26. Eric Niesen: 4-9, 4.87 ERA, 19 GS, 94 1/3 IP, 89 K, 40 BB, .260 OBA
\r\n
\r\nNiesen got the expected mid-season promotion to Binghamton where he has struggled through eight starts (1-5, 7.36 ERA, 36 2/3 IP), but optimism remains that he can harness the Double-A level upon an expected return in 2010 much like his stronger showing St. Lucie this season. Niesen has many intricacies to his mechanics—like his landing, throwing motion, delivery—that can breed inconsistency. He figures to remain a starter in the system, but his past as a collegiate reliever, fastball velocity and solid slider could gain him a look in the bullpen again in the future.
\r\n
\r\n#25. Dylan Owen: 4-7, 4.62 ERA, 19 GS, 109 IP, 69 K, 40 BB, .286 OBA
\r\n
\r\nOwen's early struggles in Binghamton were well-documented, but his brief return to St. Lucie appears to have been the proper antidote to his early season missteps. Owen's early pains can be attributed to not taking an aggressive enough approach with Double-A hitters, but since then he has committed to a more attacking method and that has been a big difference. Owen still has work to do, but his recent body of work has shaken off some early reservations about his ability to handle this level.
\r\n
\r\n#24. Jefry Marte: .239, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 48 R, 21 BB, .282 OBP
\r\n
\r\nWhile showing glimpses of his promise in Savannah, our most controversial ranking from last fall's list has shown is not ready to be ranked in the top ten as other publications pegged him. Marte, arguably playing at a level beyond his skills, has shown little progression defensively (36 errors) while striking out an average of once per game. There have been positive flashes with the bat, but at 18 years old Marte has plenty of years and learning ahead of him.
\r\n
\r\n#23. Ike Davis: .296, 14 HR, 52 RBI, 46 R, 49 BB, .384 OBP
\r\n
\r\nDavis is in the middle of a sophomore surge and his turnaround should not minimized. His swing is much improved this season over last and he is demonstrating a level of comfort and execution that just was not there last season in Brooklyn. Sure, he still has his issues with left-handed pitching (see this thread) but his combination of offense and defense has significantly raised his stock.
\r\n
\r\n#22. Jenrry Mejia: 4-4, 2.50 ERA, 13 GS, 72 IP, 68 K, 25 BB, .234 OBP
\r\n
\r\nThe 19-year-old right-hander blazed through the Florida State League (4-1, 1.97 ERA, 50 1/3 IP) before his promotion to Binghamton. Not only was his start in St. Lucie surprising, but earning a mid-season promotion to Double-A exemplifies the talent and confidence the organization sees in him.
\r\n
\r\nMejia's positioning last fall was based off a lack of a true third pitch, but the rapid development of his changeup plus the solidification of his breaking ball has made him a top pitching prospect in the organization. He has not pitched since June 23 and aside from manager Mako Oliveras recently stating the right-hander felt good, very few details have been released since then.
\r\n
\r\n#21. Zach Lutz: .286, 7 HR, 40 RBI, 30 R, 35 BB, .390 OBP
\r\n
\r\nInjuries that took him off the field the last two seasons were a major concern for Lutz heading into 2009, but the third baseman has remained healthy and following a slow start, is raking the ball as of late. He has just seven home runs, but Lutz has maintained his natural opposite field power and precision to get on base. He has seen time across the diamond at first base which offers a positive nudge to his overall stock.
\r\n
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