Mid-Season Top 50 Review – Part V

In this final edition of the Mid-Season Top 50 in Review the top ten prospects are analyzed. What movements did they make? How have things changed for each? What tools have or have not developed? Find out the answers to those questions and more.

#10. Brant Rustich: 1-1, 2.60 ERA, 16 G, 45 IP, 42 K, 16 BB, .247 OBA

In what can only be viewed as a disappointment given his lack of innings in 2009, Rustich did not make the headway expected of the 2007 second rounder. Once again nicked up by comparatively minor injuries throughout the season, he has been on the disabled list since late July with shoulder issues and will certainly not get close to 100 innings which was a preseason goal for Rustich.

The stuff is there for the big right-hander, but now it is a matter of innings and he has yet to stay on the field long enough to collect them. At this point, he looks like a boom or bust prospect, with the former possible if he just stays healthy and locked into his game.

#9. Tobi Stoner: 5-7, 3.61 ERA, 16 GS, 102.1 IP, 62 K, 33 BB, .208 OBA

As expected before the season, Stoner saw limited time in Binghamton before moving up to Buffalo. His season began late following shoulder fatigue in camp, but he breezed through Double-A—limiting the opposition to 28 hits in 47 innings—and has since held his own in Triple-A. His 4.39 ERA in Buffalo is a bit high, but his five quality starts or better is a good sign.

His changeup has rapidly improved and better fastball command and effectiveness to go with his already established breaking pitches figures to earn Stoner a big league shot in the near future. That could very well come this September given the big league club's current depth chart issues, but the safer bet may be Stoner returning to Triple-A in 2010 and earning his shot early next season.

#8. Bobby Parnell: (NYM) 2-3, 3.74 ERA, 54 G, 45.2 IP, 38 K, 22 BB

Not surprisingly, Parnell made the big league club out of camp and has filled a number of late-inning roles. His hard fastball and strong slider made him a candidate for the 7th or 8th inning role as anticipated in last fall's scouting report. His size and velocity are two of his strongest traits and his confidence has climbed as the season progressed. He did not give up an earned run and only five hits in 10 1/3 innings in July. The season has been positive training ground for a guy who could solidify the setup role in the near future.

#7. Nick Evans: .218, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 30 R, 25 BB, .291 OBP

It has been a very difficult year for Evans who was anticipated to be a valuable piece to the big league club's bench this season. He got his chances sporadically throughout the season but simply has not hit enough to remain on the roster despite the current lack of depth. He returned to Buffalo where he went an infamous 7-for-75 before unceremoniously going down to Extended Spring Training to correct his swing. Since then he appeared in 25 games in Binghamton and another 22 in Buffalo.

His versatility as a left fielder and first baseman puts him in a good position for the future, but he really needs a prolonged, productive turnaround not only to reassure the organization of his long term value, but the longer he stagnates in Triple-A—where he is hitting .178 in 44 games—the tougher it becomes to dig himself out.

#6. Daniel Murphy: (NYM) .250, 7 HR, 37 RBI, 41 R, 33 BB, .317 OBP

Murphy was on the list despite exceeding his rookie at-bats by one last season, and this year earned a spot on the 25-man roster and has appeared in over 100 games with many coming at first base. It has been very shaky at times both in left field and at first base for Murphy, but the key to his future remains the same—hitting. As stated in the last fall's scouting report, as long as Murphy hits, the organization will have to find a spot for him. The onus is now on Murphy to show he is worthy of a starting role when the big money guys return.

#5. Eddie Kunz: 4-3, 3.97 ERA, 29 G, SV, 45.1 IP, 28 K, 27 BB, .215 OBA

The 2007 top pick has taken his share of lumps this season but as performed his job well at other times. The sticking point with Kunz is obviously command and the amount of walks have come back to bite him numerous times throughout the season. He has the pitches—both in his fastball and slider—to get guys out more consistently than he has shown, but until he harnesses his repertoire more efficiently in the strike zone, he makes it harder for the organization to trust him in a late-inning role at the highest level. Kunz still has a future in New York, but any projection as a closer is gone and any role as an eighth inning pitcher is rapidly dissipating.

#4. Brad Holt: 6-6, 4.28 ERA, 18 GS, 90.1 IP, 93 K, 30 BB, .236 OBA

Holt has entrenched himself as the leading pitching prospect in the organization. After blowing through St. Lucie in nine starts earlier this season, Holt moved up to Double-A and has shown many flashes of his promise but other times inconsistencies that the opposition has exploited.

Though in the midst of a tough stretch, his delivery is much improved as he is remaining closed longer which is helping him explode through the hips and generate more power on his fastball. The closed motion is also keeping him on top of his curveball more which is creating a later, harder break and thus making it a better pitch. He is also being more aggressive with his changeup which he is throwing with much better feel and tempo.

#3. Jonathon Niese: 5-6, 3.82 ERA, 94.1 IP, 82 K, 26 BB, .258 OBA

Niese's recent injury is in the forefront of many observers' minds, but before that the left-hander accomplished a dramatic in-season turnaround that is leading many to believe he has put the tools together to hold down a rotation spot when he returns next season. The start to his season was as bad as could be following a 0-6 start, but tweaks to his arm angle and release point helped him regain the devastating break on his curve and helped him further develop his cut fastball. He has yet to cross his rookie threshold limit of 50 big league innings, leaving him a prospect and one that should be ready to contribute in New York again when fully healed.

#2. Wilmer Flores: .280, 3 HR, 30 RBI, 34 R, 18 BB, .320 OBP

The stats do not weigh as heavily as they are perceived on paper. The focus of the 18-year-old shortstop's season is maturing and developing tools and he is doing that by continuing to refine his already very mature, balanced approach. The compliments paid his way in regards to his swing are warranted as he displays the ability to turn on the inner-third yet he can keep his hands back and drive outside pitches to the opposite field.

He has not shown the long ball power, but his use of the whole field is a welcomed approach in his second season. Flores stock in the system remains level as he still has some of the highest upside of any prospect.

#1. Fernando Martinez: .290, 8 HR, 28 RBI, 24 R, 11 BB, .337 OBP

Martinez simply raked in his limited time in Triple-A this season. He started the year a bit cool as he hit .233 in April, but as the weather warmed so did the Mets top prospect as he hit .337 with seven home runs and 20 RBI in May before heading to New York just three games into June.

During that hot month, Martinez demonstrated the plate discipline, strike zone awareness and raw power that can make him into a special hitter one day. Despite his youth, he is a disciplined hitter who does not strike out often because of his ability to hit line-to-line and with power. The power he generates with his hips and legs allows him to accelerate the bat through the zone.

On the heels of his big month and with the Mets in need of outfield depth, Martinez—as predicted—made his big league debut in 2009. However, after 29 rather nondescript games, he was once again sidelined by injury this time a meniscus tear. The rest of the summer would have been a great opportunity for Martinez to learn on the job at the highest level, but yet another long term injury only further raises concerns about the long term viability of his health. His tools are there, but they cannot come to fruition if he cannot stay on the field.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n#10. Brant Rustich: 1-1, 2.60 ERA, 16 G, 45 IP, 42 K, 16 BB, .247 OBA
\r\n
\r\nIn what can only be viewed as a disappointment given his lack of innings in 2009, Rustich did not make the headway expected of the 2007 second rounder. Once again nicked up by comparatively minor injuries throughout the season, he has been on the disabled list since late July with shoulder issues and will certainly not get close to 100 innings which was a preseason goal for Rustich.
\r\n
\r\nThe stuff is there for the big right-hander, but now it is a matter of innings and he has yet to stay on the field long enough to collect them. At this point, he looks like a boom or bust prospect, with the former possible if he just stays healthy and locked into his game.
\r\n
\r\n#9. Tobi Stoner: 5-7, 3.61 ERA, 16 GS, 102.1 IP, 62 K, 33 BB, .208 OBA
\r\n
\r\nAs expected before the season, Stoner saw limited time in Binghamton before moving up to Buffalo. His season began late following shoulder fatigue in camp, but he breezed through Double-A—limiting the opposition to 28 hits in 47 innings—and has since held his own in Triple-A. His 4.39 ERA in Buffalo is a bit high, but his five quality starts or better is a good sign.
\r\n
\r\nHis changeup has rapidly improved and better fastball command and effectiveness to go with his already established breaking pitches figures to earn Stoner a big league shot in the near future. That could very well come this September given the big league club's current depth chart issues, but the safer bet may be Stoner returning to Triple-A in 2010 and earning his shot early next season.
\r\n
\r\n#8. Bobby Parnell: (NYM) 2-3, 3.74 ERA, 54 G, 45.2 IP, 38 K, 22 BB
\r\n
\r\nNot surprisingly, Parnell made the big league club out of camp and has filled a number of late-inning roles. His hard fastball and strong slider made him a candidate for the 7th or 8th inning role as anticipated in last fall's scouting report. His size and velocity are two of his strongest traits and his confidence has climbed as the season progressed. He did not give up an earned run and only five hits in 10 1/3 innings in July. The season has been positive training ground for a guy who could solidify the setup role in the near future.
\r\n
\r\n#7. Nick Evans: .218, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 30 R, 25 BB, .291 OBP
\r\n
\r\nIt has been a very difficult year for Evans who was anticipated to be a valuable piece to the big league club's bench this season. He got his chances sporadically throughout the season but simply has not hit enough to remain on the roster despite the current lack of depth. He returned to Buffalo where he went an infamous 7-for-75 before unceremoniously going down to Extended Spring Training to correct his swing. Since then he appeared in 25 games in Binghamton and another 22 in Buffalo.
\r\n
\r\nHis versatility as a left fielder and first baseman puts him in a good position for the future, but he really needs a prolonged, productive turnaround not only to reassure the organization of his long term value, but the longer he stagnates in Triple-A—where he is hitting .178 in 44 games—the tougher it becomes to dig himself out.
\r\n
\r\n#6. Daniel Murphy: (NYM) .250, 7 HR, 37 RBI, 41 R, 33 BB, .317 OBP
\r\n
\r\nMurphy was on the list despite exceeding his rookie at-bats by one last season, and this year earned a spot on the 25-man roster and has appeared in over 100 games with many coming at first base. It has been very shaky at times both in left field and at first base for Murphy, but the key to his future remains the same—hitting. As stated in the last fall's scouting report, as long as Murphy hits, the organization will have to find a spot for him. The onus is now on Murphy to show he is worthy of a starting role when the big money guys return.
\r\n
\r\n#5. Eddie Kunz: 4-3, 3.97 ERA, 29 G, SV, 45.1 IP, 28 K, 27 BB, .215 OBA
\r\n
\r\nThe 2007 top pick has taken his share of lumps this season but as performed his job well at other times. The sticking point with Kunz is obviously command and the amount of walks have come back to bite him numerous times throughout the season. He has the pitches—both in his fastball and slider—to get guys out more consistently than he has shown, but until he harnesses his repertoire more efficiently in the strike zone, he makes it harder for the organization to trust him in a late-inning role at the highest level. Kunz still has a future in New York, but any projection as a closer is gone and any role as an eighth inning pitcher is rapidly dissipating.
\r\n
\r\n#4. Brad Holt: 6-6, 4.28 ERA, 18 GS, 90.1 IP, 93 K, 30 BB, .236 OBA
\r\n
\r\nHolt has entrenched himself as the leading pitching prospect in the organization. After blowing through St. Lucie in nine starts earlier this season, Holt moved up to Double-A and has shown many flashes of his promise but other times inconsistencies that the opposition has exploited.
\r\n
\r\nThough in the midst of a tough stretch, his delivery is much improved as he is remaining closed longer which is helping him explode through the hips and generate more power on his fastball. The closed motion is also keeping him on top of his curveball more which is creating a later, harder break and thus making it a better pitch. He is also being more aggressive with his changeup which he is throwing with much better feel and tempo.
\r\n
\r\n#3. Jonathon Niese: 5-6, 3.82 ERA, 94.1 IP, 82 K, 26 BB, .258 OBA
\r\n
\r\nNiese's recent injury is in the forefront of many observers' minds, but before that the left-hander accomplished a dramatic in-season turnaround that is leading many to believe he has put the tools together to hold down a rotation spot when he returns next season. The start to his season was as bad as could be following a 0-6 start, but tweaks to his arm angle and release point helped him regain the devastating break on his curve and helped him further develop his cut fastball. He has yet to cross his rookie threshold limit of 50 big league innings, leaving him a prospect and one that should be ready to contribute in New York again when fully healed.
\r\n
\r\n#2. Wilmer Flores: .280, 3 HR, 30 RBI, 34 R, 18 BB, .320 OBP
\r\n
\r\nThe stats do not weigh as heavily as they are perceived on paper. The focus of the 18-year-old shortstop's season is maturing and developing tools and he is doing that by continuing to refine his already very mature, balanced approach. The compliments paid his way in regards to his swing are warranted as he displays the ability to turn on the inner-third yet he can keep his hands back and drive outside pitches to the opposite field.
\r\n
\r\nHe has not shown the long ball power, but his use of the whole field is a welcomed approach in his second season. Flores stock in the system remains level as he still has some of the highest upside of any prospect.
\r\n
\r\n #1. Fernando Martinez: .290, 8 HR, 28 RBI, 24 R, 11 BB, .337 OBP
\r\n
\r\nMartinez simply raked in his limited time in Triple-A this season. He started the year a bit cool as he hit .233 in April, but as the weather warmed so did the Mets top prospect as he hit .337 with seven home runs and 20 RBI in May before heading to New York just three games into June.
\r\n
\r\nDuring that hot month, Martinez demonstrated the plate discipline, strike zone awareness and raw power that can make him into a special hitter one day. Despite his youth, he is a disciplined hitter who does not strike out often because of his ability to hit line-to-line and with power. The power he generates with his hips and legs allows him to accelerate the bat through the zone.
\r\n
\r\nOn the heels of his big month and with the Mets in need of outfield depth, Martinez—as predicted—made his big league debut in 2009. However, after 29 rather nondescript games, he was once again sidelined by injury this time a meniscus tear. The rest of the summer would have been a great opportunity for Martinez to learn on the job at the highest level, but yet another long term injury only further raises concerns about the long term viability of his health. His tools are there, but they cannot come to fruition if he cannot stay on the field.
\r\n
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